BludgerTrack: 53.5-46.5 to Labor

A bit of a drop for One Nation, but otherwise another stable week for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

Newspoll and Essential Research both recorded movement to Labor this week, but it hasn’t made any difference to BludgerTrack, on which the only movement worth noting is a half-point drop for One Nation. Labor nonetheless makes two gains on the seat projection, with one apiece in Western Australia and South Australia. Newspoll’s numbers have resulted in movement away from Malcolm Turnbull on both leadership trend measures.

Note that there’s a post below this one for discussion of state by-elections in New South Wales and Victoria, and another one below that on the draft federal redistribution boundaries for Queensland.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,034 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.5-46.5 to Labor”

Comments Page 6 of 41
1 … 5 6 7 … 41


  5. guytaur

    corybernadi: @danijeljw You’re entitled to your opinion. I celebrate it. But mine is more important and powerful than yours, so… Remember: vote “No”! #auspol

    A school raising over 1/4 million dollars; he does have a point.

  7. sspencer_63: “Somebody told me that you had a boyfriend who looked like a girlfriend” wait til Abbott finds out about the @afl grand final band

  9. http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/anglican-priest-rod-bower-brands-peter-dutton-a-sodomite-in-social-media-post-20170930-gyrtk5.html

    But his comments were not universally well received among church leaders. Reverend Bradly Billings, the assistant archbishop at the Anglican diocese of Melbourne, said under the post: “How does this advance the gospel and the standing of the Anglican Church in the community?”

    Mr Billings said that “without the accompanying exegesis of a complex passage in Genesis on this page, the sign will look and sound like a very personal slur on a government minister”.

    “Language like this about person however strong our disagreement with that person may be, have no place on a church notice board,” he said.
    …

    In response to Reverend Billings’ criticisms, Fr Bower said he believed his post “advances the gospel” by correcting “a common misinterpretation of the Sodom story” and “places the church very firmly on the side of the poor and oppressed”.

    “I recognise that we come from very different theological standpoints but thank God for the breadth and depth of Anglicanism that can accommodate us both. Every blessing,” he said.

  11. Watching the GF coverage and this is the first time I’ve seen those anti SSM say no adverts. What a hoot! “Say no to these radical sex and gender programs”.

    They aren’t even factual, how can these ads be approved by the relevant advertising standards board (or whatever it is)?

  13. confessions:
    Personally, I think it’s pathetic that the stations airing these anti-SSM ads have agreed to air them. Imagine the outrage if we had anti-interracial marriage ads on TV in 2017? No commercial station would go near that.

  18. “If that Cory Bernardi bit is a copy/paste of a tweet – Bernardi’s name is misspelled so likely not him”

    I was thinking along similar lines. Cory might think his opinion is superior and more powerful, but I don’t think he’d actually say that in public.

  20. John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 21h21 hours ago

    I just received @corybernardi’s #ssm robocall. As promised I’ve just donated $20 to the #VoteYes campaign. #auspol

  22. [Boerwar
    Of course the terra forming team members will not be allowed to be dual citizens.

    Martians only.]

    Easy to enforce considering no return flights for a while. 🙂

  28. Nine News Australia‏Verified account
    @9NewsAUS

    EXCLUSIVE: @macklemore has pledged to donate the Australian earnings of his song ‘Same Love’ to the Yes campaign. #AusPol

  35. PatriciaKarvelas‏Verified account @PatsKarvelas · 17h17 hours ago

    One Lib to me on Howard taking a staring (sic) role in the No campaign advertising “this is why he lost in 2007, he had lost touch.” #auspol

  36. In this so-called vote, everyone’s opinion is worth the same.

    Lizzie. Everyone’s vote is counted as if it has the ssme value. This includes all the people for whom SSM has precisely zero personal impact.

  37. lizzie

    someone posted the song the other day

    seriously, I thought it was shite, if that’s the one he was singing/rapping/whatever

    Likewise, I didn’t know/didn’t occur to me that Delilah was a song about a bloke stabbing a woman to death because he couldn’t have her.

    When my kids were young, I said to one of them, Oh, that’s a really nice song about a guy taking his girlfriend to the movies.

    Shock horror, it was about a bloke who’d killed his girlfriend, and yes, he was at the movies on the Saturday night, but she was dead in the boot of his car. It was called “Doing it for Amy”.

    I think the melody tricks us, well, me at least.

  38. peter love @ #282 Saturday, September 30th, 2017 – 3:45 pm

    Kezza

    I guess it’s where you come from. I’m watching it, but thinking what a stop-start, scratch and scramble affair.

    Peter, I’m not watching it; just barracking from the sidelines, and throwing in a couple of barbs to the anti-aerial ping-pongers.

    I can imagine it’s scrappy, the Tiges haven’t been there for years; the adrenaline’s pumping, no doubt.

  40. Lizzie

    I guess so. I remember really enjoying Ozrules in Darwin and marvelling at the instincts and spatial awareness of the St Mary’s guys. I preferred it then to the amateur one-dimensional way League wasplayed. Hoping for a good final tomorrow and like both teams.

  42. kezza2

    Delilah was all about jealousy and regret, I thought.
    I can never hear the words of ‘modern’ singers/rappers, which is just as well, really.

  43. lizzie @ #270 Saturday, September 30th, 2017 – 2:45 pm

    John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 21h21 hours ago

    I just received @corybernardi’s #ssm robocall. As promised I’ve just donated $20 to the #VoteYes campaign. #auspol

    I got the call last night.
    At the end, I selected ‘3’ to indicate I was undecided in the hope that one of their loons will waste their time trying to win me over. I am prepared for a very long conversation. 😀

  44. lizzie @ #292 Saturday, September 30th, 2017 – 3:59 pm

    kezza2

    Delilah was all about jealousy and regret, I thought.
    I can never hear the words of ‘modern’ singers/rappers, which is just as well, really.

    I thought so, too.

    Except now when I think of the lyric

    “I felt the knife in my hand, and she laughed no more” I thought he was killing himself, because he couldn’t bear losing her.

    Jeez, I’m a dumb ass.

  46. [bemused
    lizzie @ #270 Saturday, September 30th, 2017 – 2:45 pm

    John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 21h21 hours ago

    I just received @corybernardi’s #ssm robocall. As promised I’ve just donated $20 to the #VoteYes campaign. #auspol

    I got the call last night.
    At the end, I selected ‘3’ to indicate I was undecided in the hope that one of their loons will waste their time trying to win me over. I am prepared for a very long conversation.    ]

    I congratulate you and any “YES” voter who can sit through the minutes of a Cory monologue.

    I would not have the perseverance. 🙂

  47. I got the call last night.
    At the end, I selected ‘3’ to indicate I was undecided in the hope that one of their loons will waste their time trying to win me over. I am prepared for a very long conversation. 

    Excellent! You’re just what they deserve 🙂

  48. Peter Brent‏Verified account @mumbletwits 2h2 hours ago
    To state the obvious: if Turnbull hadn’t agreed to this horrible “plebiscite” he would have lost his job & his replacement would’ve instead.

    Given that there isn’t an obvious successor to Turnbull I don’t see how Mumble can make such a strong assertion.

  49. lizzie

    let me explain

    because I realise the following lyrics (in the Delilah song), dispel my need to think that the narrator killed himself in preference to her, I don’t think I could reconcile that someone would kill another person because they’d been rejected.

    Plenty more fish in the sea, and all that.

    why is it, that some people think they own other people.

  50. Bill Shorten‏Verified account @billshortenmp · 9m9 minutes ago

    Best place in Melbourne, best day in September, best woman in the world.
    #AFLGF pic.twitter.com/jjowAoaADP

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 6 of 41
1 … 5 6 7 … 41