YouGov-Forty Acres: Coalition 34, Labor 32, Greens 12, One Nation 9

A largely unchanged result on voting intention for a poll that records a slight improvement in Pauline Hanson’s personal standing, and growing concern about North Korea.

The latest fortnightly YouGov poll has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 32%, the Coalition steady on 34%, the Greens up two to 12% and One Nation down one to 9%, with the combined result for all others steady on an ample 13%. The respondent-allocated two-party result shifts a point in Labor’s favour to reach 50-50, with the Greens both increasing their primary vote and recorded a somewhat stronger flow of preferences to Labor. The results remain peculiar for the high overall level of minor party and independent voting.

Also featured are a comprehensive seat of leadership ratings: Malcolm Turnbull on 44% approval (down one on six weeks ago) and 48% disapproval (up one); Bill Shorten on 43% (up one) and 46% (down one); Pauline Hanson on 42% (up three) and 50% (down two); Richard Di Natale on 26% (up one) and 39% (up one); Nick Xenophon on 52% (up two) and 28% (up three); Bob Katter on 36% (up three) and 41% (down two); Tony Abbott on 34% (steady) and 57% (up one); and Christopher Pyne on 32% (up one) and 44% (steady). Other findings are that 66% are worried about North Korea, up 12% on eight weeks ago, with 29% not worried, down 11%. Fully 43% would support military action in response to the missile test, with an equal number opposed. Sixty-four per cent would support banning the niqab, with 26% opposed; for the burqa, 67% support and 24% opposition; but for the hijab, 29% support and 61% opposition.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1032.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,400 comments on “YouGov-Forty Acres: Coalition 34, Labor 32, Greens 12, One Nation 9”

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  1. I seek forgiveness for my sins.

    I now confess that I have been watching “Worlds Craziest Fools” on TV. The rapture is not for me, rather the wrath of the Aten and Amun (still reading “The Rise and Fall of Ancient Egypt”).

    My pathetic and obviously false excuse is that I thought that the program was about our mucho admired Government led, apparently by the nose, by Mr. W. Shorten.

    I am expecting, at any moment now, to be struck by lightning from a clear sky. ⛄️

  2. Mr. Newbie, – on a lighter note – not sure if there have been any scientific studies, but have you not heard of the “fiery red head” – a reference to red heads supposedly having a volatile temper.

    And as Lizzie pointed out earlier, referencing the “masculinisation of the brain” is not the same as suggesting all gay men are effeminate, or all heterosexual men exhibit “masculine” behaviours or visa versa or anywhere in between or all lesbians are “butch”, etc.

    I am concerned, however, that our debate is becoming one of semantics more than substance – the point I am trying to make is that human brains are impacted by hormone levels during foetal development and to a greater or lesser extent, which in turn possibly is connected to their sexual orientation as adults. It is not about one being more superior to another, or even that it is a dichotomy of either one or the other, as opposed to a co-mingling of both. Unfortunately the English language is quite limited when it comes to gender – male/female; masculine/feminine; she/he; her/him or “it” in the case of non living things; It is not about one being more superior to another. At least, unlike French, it doesn’t assign gender to inanimate objects for example in French – “cheveux” (hair) is masculine and “chaise” (chair) feminine. What criteria the ancient French used to determine that a chair is more feminine than the hair on your head is anybody’s guess.

    Finally, please do not take offence when none is intended.

  3. [Boerwar
    I see I have been mis acronyming you myself.
    How are the consequences of the Great Upstream Mekong Water Theft coming along?

    The impact from China’s use of Mekong water in China is not that great.

    Most of the Mekong’s water comes from monsoonal rains in Laos, Cambodia and Thailand and that’s the problem.

    In mountainous Northern Laos , near China, they, (Chinese companies,) are damming tributaries for hydro plants and a large amount of the energy generated is proposed to be diverted into China.

    The damming of these tributaries is, I understand, more significant in regards to water flow in the Mekong than anything they do in China.

  4. lizzie

    I hope I’m around long enough to see those MP’s advocating coal power punished for crimes against humanity.

    As the article says their only vision of the future is the next election cycle.

  5. Thanks for posting the Crikey link from today on energy, wtte it doesn’t matter how much Labor comprises with the government on energy they will move further right so they c continue to blame Labor for energy prices.
    If true we should all hope Labor wins this, what gives me hope is the public likes renewable energy and business wants, needs this fixed.

    The fate of Liddel has nothing to do with the shortfall in the next 5 years

  6. John Reidy

    The fate of Liddel has nothing to do with the shortfall in the next 5 years

    This point is being deliberately avoided by Mal & Josh. Sneaky bollards.

  7. Boerwar @ #1296 Friday, September 8th, 2017 – 6:05 pm

    Got diverted by your post into an article about the bugs that live in the lakes under the Antarctic Ice Sheet. They chew methane and ammonia for a living.

    What a find! Methane chewers will be much in demand. We should advise them on unionisation and the perils of exploitation in a warming planet.

    And I was diverted some time ago by your then post on the dismantling of the statue of Victoria (source of pic) in Ireland, before the Irish lucked out and we were saddled with it, onto a blogger who just in the last ten minutes posted this ‘amuse yeux’ (tm pending) called The Curious Case of Benjamin Bathurst, a family name not unfamiliar.

  8. Redheads are more sexually promiscuous and need more pain relief than non redheads. And they turn in to vampires when they die.

  9. Previously undiscovered animals and plants may live in warm caves under Antarctica’s glaciers, according to a new study led by the Australian National University.

    Forensic analysis of soil samples from caves on Ross Island revealed traces of DNA from algae, mosses and small animals.

    ANU Fenner School of Environment and Society senior lecturer Ceridwen Fraser, who led the study, said some of the DNA sequences were unrecognised in the researchers’ database.

    “That might just be because there are plants and animals in Antarctica that we haven’t sequenced at those parts of the genome before, so they might just be your bog-standard plants and animals from Antarctica, or they might indicate something more exciting, like species that we don’t know anything about yet,” she said.

  10. Liked this from ‘The Drum’ — ‘One day you let girls wear shorts to school, the next someone wants to marry their fridge.”

  11. [zoomster
    Liked this from ‘The Drum’ — ‘One day you let girls wear shorts to school, the next someone wants to marry their fridge.”

    Surely it would be their iron or maybe hairdryer. 🙂

  12. @GuardianAus
    Indigenous groups say work for the dole scheme racially discriminatory

    )(Jerrah)( @UptightGamer
    Jacqui Lambi spent today openly calling centrelink recipients criminals…. just saying.

  13. Ronzy:

    “Finally, please do not take offence when none is intended.”

    The ‘offence’ isn’t aimed at you, but rather how these findings are misrepresented in the press etc./by lay people.

  14. The only way to get a bipartisan position on energy and climate policy would be for Labor to:
    – pledge undying love for and loyalty to coal
    – renounce any meaningful Renewables target

    All Turnbull had to do now to complete his transition to Abbott is to knight someone and threaten to shirtfront someone.

  15. Western Australia’s peak mining body is preparing its second anti-tax campaign in the space of 12 months and will lobby minor parties in a bid to block a royalty hike on gold miners proposed by the McGowan government.

    At a meeting on Friday morning, Chamber of Minerals and Energy WA and some of the state’s gold miners resolved to consider a campaign against the increase in the gold royalty rate, which was unveiled in the McGowan Labor government’s maiden budget on Thursday.

    From January, the sector will be slugged with a higher royalty rate of 3.75 per cent when the gold price is above $1200 an ounce.

    When the gold price is below $1200 an ounce, the current royalty rate of 2.5 per cent will apply.

    CME acting chief executive Nicole Roocke said the companies wanted to inform the community the increase would have a real impact,

  16. Can these entitled towrags carry on an anti State Labor campaign for 4 years?

    Gold producers to date pay no significant royalties. Why?

    Screw them. Tax them to the max, and then some, to make up for past years.

    I see that Willmott thing is getting out of Liberal – IPA politics. Obviously seen the writing on the wall for the rest of her lifetime.

    On WA ABC radio this morning, Auntie’s Arsewipes tried to stir up anti budget hysteria by interviewing Liberal types in the CBD.

    Only trouble was, nearly all of them referred to Liberal Party mismanagement as the cause of WA’s parlous state, and said that Labor had no alternative, as the only solution was to tax those who could most afford it.

  17. Fulvio Sammut @ #1339 Friday, September 8th, 2017 – 7:40 pm

    Can these entitled towrags carry on an anti State Labor campaign for 4 years?

    Gold producers to date pay no significant royalties. Why?

    Screw them. Tax them to the max, and then some, to make up for past years.

    Its always the same – end of the world if they are taxed or taxed more.

    Up to WA voters to decide – either those making money out of a gold price above a reasonable level of $1,200 or ordinary punters pay more.

    Time to call the bluff of these types of industry campaigns.

  18. The only people who can be taxed without causing the end of the world as we know it are the punters in the PAYG system. And of course we know that Big Business and their political wing a.k.a. the “Liberal” party want to transfer part of they tax they do pay onto Australian consumers via a 50% increase in the rate of GST.

    Go WA. If the miners don’t like it they can bugger off.

  19. zoidlord @ #1347 Friday, September 8th, 2017 – 8:45 pm


    Umm sounds like some dodgy tax cuts which is aimed at business.

    No, it’s also aimed at households. This kind of thing could really catch on. I reckon they might soon offer to pay me not to get sick on a particular day when the hospital emergency departments are overloaded. Or they might pay me not to drive to work when the traffic is bad. Or pay me not to use the internet when the NBN is too congested.

    I could get rich just sitting on my couch doing nothing! Brilliant!

  20. @bemused


    “incentives” to the energy companies that apply for it, but will most likely not be passed onto consumers because these schemes always do that.

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