Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Back to normal from Newspoll after a blowout in Labor’s favour a fortnight ago.

Newspoll has Labor’s lead back at 53-47 after a 54-46 blowout a fortnight ago, with primary votes at 37% for the Coalition (up two), 38% for Labor (steady), 9% for the Greens (steady) and 8% for One Nation (down one). Both Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten are on 34% approval and 54% disapproval, which means one-point drops in both for Turnbull, and no change for Shorten. Oddly, Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has blow out to 46-29, from 43-33. Paywalled report from The Australian here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

631 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. Rex Douglas
    JOHN BOY @ #217 Monday, September 4th, 2017 – 1:44 pm

    Troll scroll

    So anyone who isn’t alt-Shorten is a ‘troll’?

    Are YOU outing yourself Rex?
    I never named anyone.

  2. Diogs

    GetUP has put out a statement about why it has withdrawn said petition.

    FYI however I signed it on the basis that the allegation is the doctor was supporting conversion therapy.

    I oppose conversion therapy as its torture and doctors advocating it should be deregistered for advocating harm to patients.

  3. Some good news – http://www.afr.com/business/energy/electricity/hydro-tasmania-to-restart-gas-power-station-20170904-gya5j3

    Hydro Tasmania said the Tamar Valley plant, which is designed to run round the clock as a baseload generator and is situated in the island’s north, is expected to run “as long as it’s commercially favourable to do so”.

    “Mainland electricity prices are currently high,” the state-owned company said in a statement. The plant “will be operated to help reduce the amount of electricity Hydro Tasmania needs to import from Victoria over the drier months, therefore reducing overall cost.”

    This will reduce the need for Tasmania to import power generated by burning brown coal in Victoria using the Basslink. This will reduce C02 emissions.

    Now, who was it here on PB who said we would not see see gas used for more baseload power generation, and also that we would not see any new gas plants built? Now we have seen both of these things occur – one in SA, and the other in Tasmania.

  4. Stuart Robert/ I’d believe anything…

    A federal MP and former minister may have been elected to Parliament in breach of the constitution after it emerged he had direct financial links with a company awarded millions in government contracts.

    But Stuart Robert, the Coalition member for the safe seat of Fadden in Queensland, has refused to detail how his directorship and shareholding in the company did not breach section 44 of the constitution, which forbids MPs from profiting – even indirectly – from the Commonwealth.

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/government-mp-stuart-robert-may-have-been-elected-to-parliament-in-breach-of-the-constitution-20170831-gy8iej.html

  5. Labor going full bore on citizenship right now. I think Labor expects the High Court to take a hard line on s44. Then they are going to start dropping dirt and pick off one Lib MP after another. It will be a turkey shoot.

  6. Diogs

    Such a petition should have no effect if the denial is true.

    I now don’t know the truth of the matter but I thought that the petition had truth to it.

    Of course Dr’s knowing the mental harm it does to trans kids with the suicide rate involved for trans kids should not be conflating issues to demonise trans kids to oppose marriage equality.

    The petition was on the same day as that research was released.

  7. Diogenes @ #250 Monday, September 4th, 2017 – 12:35 pm

    This campaign to get a No campaigner deregistered as a doctor does the Yes voters no credit. It smacks of McCarthyism.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-04/same-sex-marriage-petition-against-doctor-pansy-lai-taken-down/8869260

    IIRC the doctor is already in a spot of bother because some of her views conflicted with accepted medical practice and that she faced sanction under the code of professional conduct because of those views?

  8. David Feeney‏Verified account @Feeney4Batman 3m3 minutes ago
    More
    Treasurer takes centre stage in #qt to wax lyrical about record & rising Govt debt, record low wages growth, casualisation… #auspol

  9. Guytaur/ Zoid
    PoliticsFairfax: EXCLUSIVE: Government MP Stuart Robert may have been elected in breach of the constitution smh.com.au/federal-politi… #auspol @latikambourke

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/government-mp-stuart-robert-may-have-been-elected-to-parliament-in-breach-of-the-constitution-20170831-gy8iej.html

    This is why we need a full and open audit of all mps finances.

    tones wife maggie, i understand is a director of a child care company, possibly relates to the $800k redraw tones did, this receives govt money through the rebates, is this in breach? tones needs to come clean on this.

    do any of turnbulls cayman island trust have investments that get govt money, we just don’t know!

    what do the family trusts of mps invest in, we just don’t know. full and public audit now, all investments at time of nomination for election up to current date. Audit now!

  10. fitzhunter: We can’t expect people to respect the Parliament if the Parliament isn’t prepared to respect the Constitution #qt #auspol

  11. Straight up and down article on the latest in the Kathy Jackson saga:

    Kathy Jackson has abandoned her claim on a $3 million inheritance from the estate of a wealthy Sydney barrister, apparently accepting that her bankruptcy trustee would most likely claw back the funds for her main creditor, the Health Services Union.

    The decision by the controversial former HSU chief marks the end of her links to David Rofe QC, who died in July after suffering ­advanced dementia.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/kathy-jackson-abandons-claim-on-barristers-estate/news-story/9825976ce60dc78fa014638e90529d8c?nk=e3701db28f5147e16a6c11420f7a01d7-1504501363

    (No paywall)

  12. Voice Endeavour @ #260 Monday, September 4th, 2017 – 2:46 pm

    @ P1 – in your excitment, I see you missed that it says ‘restart’ not ‘build’.

    I didn’t claim they were building a new gas plant in Tasmania (as they are in SA). The point is that those who claimed that the days of using more gas for baseload generation (as distinct from peaking generation) were over because it was too expensive were clearly wrong on this as well.

    I honestly can’t remember which of our solar enthusiasts it was, but they essentially claimed that this wouldn’t happen because building a new gas plant was too expensive. However, as I pointed out at the time, this was unnecessary since there was unused gas generation capacity that could easily be reactivated.

    Turns out I was right. Again : )

  13. [Dio
    I’m glad they withdrew the petition. I note the lady denies she supports conversion therapy.]

    I was not appalled at that also Dio, smacks of the church threat to sack staff who marry same sex partner, church largest employer in oz.

    enough of bullying, is shit standover tactics, if you don’t respect the other persons view don’t go to them, but don’t destroy their life because you disagree with them.

  14. Shorten_Suite: Govt wins vote to keep Barnaby Joyce in his job by ONE vote. Barnaby votes to save himself.

    And that is one vote that was in doubt in the first place! wtf, i mean wtactualf!!!!!!!!!!

  15. Bevan Shields‏Verified account @BevanShields · 24s24 seconds ago

    Bill Shorten is tabling his renunciation correspondence from the UK Home Office #auspol

  16. Bill Shorten is tabling his UK Citizenship Renunciation right now in parliament.

    Naff off, Rex Douglas! Go find another subject to troll on.

  17. Diogenes

    This campaign to get a No campaigner deregistered as a doctor does the Yes voters no credit. It smacks of McCarthyism.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-04/same-sex-marriage-petition-against-doctor-pansy-lai-taken-down/8869260
    _______________________________________

    Actually reading the article shows that nobody who is representing the ME campaign had anything whatever to do with the proposal nor endorsed it. It was an ‘anarcho-socialist’ off on a frolic of his own. Even Change.org took it down after receiving complaints.

    Lyle Shelton and co can’t on the one hand disassociate himself and official ‘no’ campaigners from the worst excesses of homophobia on show now while trying to link this sort of cowboy exercise to the official ‘yes’ campaign.

    On second thoughts, given how hypocritical they are, they certainly can.

  18. The only smart lib was Corman. He accepted Shorten did not have a case to answer, and did not want him to table documents, because there will now be blow-back on the libs.

  19. C@tmomma @ #273 Monday, September 4th, 2017 – 3:09 pm

    Straight up and down article on the latest in the Kathy Jackson saga:

    Kathy Jackson has abandoned her claim on a $3 million inheritance from the estate of a wealthy Sydney barrister, apparently accepting that her bankruptcy trustee would most likely claw back the funds for her main creditor, the Health Services Union.

    The decision by the controversial former HSU chief marks the end of her links to David Rofe QC, who died in July after suffering ­advanced dementia.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/kathy-jackson-abandons-claim-on-barristers-estate/news-story/9825976ce60dc78fa014638e90529d8c?nk=e3701db28f5147e16a6c11420f7a01d7-1504501363

    (No paywall)

    It is paywalled using your link.

  20. And immediately Sam Maiden implies that Shorten has only SHOWN his documentation… shades of the Alt Right. The nanosecond Obama tabled HIS documentation, the Alt Right startsed questioning whether it was a fraud.

  21. @ P1 – people claimed that no-one would build significant amounts of new gas plant to use for baseload.

    You have demonstrated that someone is restarting an existing plant to use during times when demand is greater than supply (i.e. summer).

    You could not be further from disproving their point if you tried.

  22. Shorten tables proof

    I offer this proof to the parliament today to put an end to baseless allegations, not reward them.

    I strongly believe that MPs and Senators should not be to produce evidence to counter claims that are made completely without evidence. I repeat – MPs and Senators should not be forced to produce evidence to counter claims that are made completely without evidence.

    No matter which party they are from

    .

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