The Guardian reports Essential Research has Labor’s lead bouncing back to 54-46, after diminishing over recent weeks to 52-48 a week ago. The changes on the primary vote are rather striking by the standards of Essential’s fortnight rolling average, with Labor up three to 39% and the Coalition down two to a meagre 34% (UPDATE: Make that down one to 37% – that didn’t include the Nationals). The Greens are down a point to 9% and One Nation are steady on 8%. Essential’s monthly leadership ratings record Malcolm Turnbull up a point on approval to 38% and down three on disapproval to 46%, with Bill Shorten down one to 35% and down two to 42%, and Turnbull leading 41-27 to prime minister, unchanged on a month ago.
Other results related by The Guardian include 43% approval for a postal plebiscite on same-sex marriage, with 38% disapproving; 43% support for a parliamentary conscience vote, with 31% disapproving; 46% favouring a plebiscite in conjunction with the next election, with 34% disapproving; and 22% in favour of delaying a decision until after the next election, with 55% opposed. Forty-one per cent approved of Labor’s propose to impose a 30% tax rate on distributions from discretionary trusts, with 30% opposed. On Labor’s plans to overhaul the Fair Work Act, 39% rated that the existing system favoured employers compared with 12% for employees, and 29% who believed the interests of the two were balanced.
I’d say Guy has been let down by his minders.
where is BK’s morning roundup it NEVER shows for me.
imacca @ #101 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 8:58 am
There will be dozens of ways to undermine the standing of any postal Plebiscite.
imacca
All I have to say on the postal thing is the government needs new legal advisors. Assuming that is really the advice they got.
I do laugh though at the serious comments about millennials not knowing how to use the post. I think thats up there with avacado toast for house prices.
The Government will today refer Nationals Senator Matt Canavan’s citizenship to the High Court to determine whether he was validly elected.
Greens leader Richard Di Natale will also refer former senators Larissa Waters and Scott Ludlam to the High Court. He says he is “absolutely confident” those seats will remain Green after a recount.
“We have been granted a pair for each Senator, which the Greens will continue to use to keep the Government and opposition honest in the Senate.
I understand that Scott doesn’t plan on returning to politics in the short term but Larissa has indicated to me that she has unfinished business that she wants to continue”
So no risk of the govt taking advantage of the gap when the Greens have resigned but the LNP/ON folk haven’t been blasted out.
No mention of Roberts though
confessions @ #75 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 8:48 am
Que?
How will that work?
C@tmomma @ #74 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 8:48 am
Yes, C@T, exactly, and where I was going with my first (misformatted) post
[Greensborough Growler
I’d say Guy has been let down by his minders.]
Maybe that’s who he was meeting? 🙂
GG
Just the name Madafferi should have alarm bells ringing. If you are meeting “cousin Tony” to discuss fruit and veg policy, it is a dead give away in my Frank assessment
victoria @ #112 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:02 am
Sounds like a character from The Sopranos!
Narev will be a pauper after the severe soggy lettuce lashing of not getting his bonus this year. From 2016.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/cba-chief-ian-narev-receives-123m-in-pay-20160815-gqsy6z.html
vic,
I agree it looks careless. But, I doubt Guy was given a list of names of the twenty or so participants or that he would be able to identify Madafferi by sight.
No doubt it will keep the media and political types amused for a day or so.
personally, I’d prefer to see more substance than a happenstance meeting before going too hard on the corruption influence angle.
c@t
Lol. It certainly does sound like a character from the sopranos!
Barney in Go Dau @ #110 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:02 am
His name would have been Terry if that was the case.
GG
The substance is that checks and balances fail when you are essentially bankrupt and getting desperate for money.
GG
People like the Madafferis who continually get the ear of our elected pollies disgusts me.
I don’t buy these excuses. Nothing happenstance about them.
Tony Madafferi is not a small time player.
I now get the distinction between ‘core’ and ‘non code’s promises.
Core promises are made to their conservative base or to big business.
With the superannuation changes they are still feeling the pain from a broken core promise. As mentioned below their aim is to ‘increase the wealth ‘ of their supporters.
“I think what I’m asking is does money and the making of it override all else, and is career still beholding [?] to the closet, even today.”
I think that there is an alliance of convenience between Big Money and the older power elites, including Big Churchianity, to defend and extend their power, wealth and influence. The alliance between Donald Trump and the Evangelicals is just the most egregious example.
Look at social conservatism. The rules only ever applied to ordinary people. One way or another, possibly through overseas travel, possibly through power and influence, maybe through corruption, wealthy elites, especially males, always had access to divorce, abortion, drugs, alcohol and gay (or any other kind of) sex if they wanted it. The constraints on others’ behaviour and options didn’t affect them. Travelling Saudi princelings are an example.
I accept that marriage equality is a bit different – it would be difficult to recognise it for the elites without extending it to everyone. The elites in this instance have to make a choice, and for most, power and money wins.
GG
And don’t forget the murder last year of Madafferi’s long time lawyer, Mr Acquaro who was gunned down in street
RobOakeshott1: Regardless of topic/view, that an MP can’t bring a private members bill for debate to the Parliament bc of party politics IS the problem.
@ C@tmomma – a postal plebiscite without senate support would not have all of the protections we usually associate with a vote, such as forbidding: publishing photos of your ballot paper, paying someone to vote a certain way, tampering with the ballot paper.
About the only protections are ones that protect all mail (i.e. you can’t steal letters from people’s mailboxes)
victoria @ #121 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:13 am
With respect, you are drawing a long bow.
I’m always willing to consider the evidence. But, at the moment you have only wild speculation and imaginary dotted lines to support your allegations of potential corruption or wrong doing.
guytaur:
Oakeshott’s tweet coupled with Possum’s I posted earlier sums up the ridiculousness the Libs find themselves in with SSM.
What a joke.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/02/donald-trump-sam-clovis-old-blog-progressives-obama
LindaBurneyMP: Just do a #freevote on #marriageequaility voting on laws in parliament #itsourjob #seaofhands pic.twitter.com/vRr443WVOT
https://twitter.com/lindaburneymp/status/894699615869583360
Great picture from my local member.
GG
If only it was wild speculation. I happen to be closely connected to someone who was in the employ of this family.
Enough said
Fess.
Yep so bad its got the Canberra Press Gallery turning. Even they get the issue.
Barrie Cassidy posted a picture of a shopping trolley picture in a car park with the quote.
“Leave it there until we run a plebiscite on it”
LOL!
Thanks, Voice Endeavour for that explanation! : )
paulkidd: Spare a thought for the millennials whose ability to comprehend the postal system is being much discussed today.
Steve777,
What’s the difference between “Big Money” and “Big Churchianity”?
For me especially when you look at the Catholic Church they’re one and the same.
I disagree that the rules only apply to ordinary people.
They apply to everyone, however the wealthy and powerful have ways of avoiding the rules.
In some places these transgressions are almost a right of passage which are then held as a surety for a person toeing a certain line.
larissawaters: I’m no longer Canadian! & I have more to do in the Senate, so I’ll nominate to recontest. In meantime we @QldGreens have state seats to win!
No room for doubt there.
guytaur @ #134 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:26 am
It’s true! It’s true! I told you the story just the other week about my Millennial who had never addressed a letter in his life! So I gave him a stamped envelope when he needed one to send a story away to someone and he just wrote the address in one long line!
I had to then explain the correct way to do it.
JOHN BOY @ #102 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:00 am
BK’s roundup is at 7:39 in one big post.
I suggest you refresh your page and keep scrolling down until you find it.
victoria @ #128 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:21 am
That is hearsay and not evidence.
That’s not to say that the mafia are not trying to influence politicians and the political process.
Just, that you have not made a real case as yet about Matthew Guy being corrupted.
You know, I think the Essential result reflects the fact that the electorate are seeing a government paralysed into inaction by it’s competing forces within and which Turnbull is barely holding together.
momma,
Turnbull spent a week in WA trying to glad hand and smooch the locals. That may be what’s showing up in this poll.
Barney in Go Dau @ #129 Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 – 9:26 am
Like – Officer, I was only warming my appendage with the hand dryer (in the toilets in Green Park), or some such rubbish, which embarrassment I was recently told by a source admittedly more gossip than substance actually went as far as Thatcher,
GG
I am not saying Matthew Guy is corrupted. Merely that a well known crime boss once again has been able to get the ear of a politician. In this case leader of the state libs of Victoria. It is not happenstance.
First Dog gives an insight into the RWNJs preparations for yesterday’s “special” Party meeting.
He is in form.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/08/we-cant-stop-the-homosexualification-of-the-nation-but-we-can-lash-out-wildly-in-fear
GG
And I should add that Guy continually bangs in about our crime problem with drugs etc. And he dines with the very person y ye top of this food chain! You can’t make this shit up
If the Fairfax focus groups have taught me one thing it’s that there are a lot of people out there who are too ignorant and lazy to follow politics and they blame that on “the system”.
Cat
If you voted for the LNP you would not be happy with this government. So much promised to fix the Abbott era and so much not done.
Just lots of chickens coming home to roost.
ME
Banking Royal Commission imminent.
Tax increases seriously on the agenda.
Your business hurt by fraudband
Etc etc.
Trump’s Approval Rating Hits Lowest Point Ever As His Own Supporters Flee In Droves
The poll released Monday showed Trump’s approval rating at the lowest level in any survey released since he took office.
According to a new IBD/TIPP Poll released on Monday, the president’s support is in an utter free fall with just 32 percent of Americans offering their approval of Trump’s job so far – the worst rating he’s received in any poll since taking office.
What’s behind his collapse in approval? His own supporters – including white men, Midwesterners, Republicans, and high school educated – all who are fleeing from team Trump in droves.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/08/07/trumps-approval-rating-hits-lowest-point-supporters-flee-droves.html
broomstick33: Liberal Party now owned by Homophobes Misogynists Religious Fanatics and the Mafia, holding Australia back decades, on so many fronts #SSM
Seeing a few tweets like this.
Not going well at all for the LNP. Their perception is getting pushed to be as extreme as One Nation.
The Government again claiming that governments of all political persuasions don’t release legal advice, which is nonsense. Governments of all persuasions release legal advice when they feel it is in their interest to do so and numerous examples could be provided of such.
New Viewers Are Flocking To MSNBC, and That’s Bad News For Trump And The GOP
MSNBC’s rating surge is being powered by a surge in new cable news viewers as the Trump presidency has gotten more opponents involved and engaged which is bad news for the President and his party.
The tide is turning, and a midterm election landscape that looked unfriendly may be becoming downright hostile if the ratings at MSNBC are an indication of the storms to come.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/08/07/viewers-flocking-msnbc-bad-news-trump-gop.html
‘Non-stop bullying and hypocrisy’: Boston paper shreds draft-dodging Trump for attacking veteran Blumenthal
Responding to President Donald Trump’s vicious tweets aimed at Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) over his military service, a columnist for the Boston Globe unloaded on the president for his continuing attacks on veterans after having ducked the military himself.
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/08/non-stop-bullying-and-hypocrisy-boston-paper-shreds-draft-dodging-trump-for-attacking-veteran-blumenthal/
PhoenixRed
Claude Taylor has indicated over time that if Trump gets under 30% the GOP will cut him loose
‘I hate when people take credit for an election I won’: Trump blows his top over Bannon-praising book
According to sources who spoke with The Daily Caller, Trump complained about a new book by Bloomberg writer Joshua Green that recounts how Bannon’s nationalist fans helped him win the presidency.
“I hate it when people take credit for an election I won,” Trump reportedly said while decrying Green’s book, titled Devil’s Bargain: Steve Bannon, Donald Trump, and the Storming of the Presidency.
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/08/i-hate-when-people-take-credit-for-an-election-i-won-trump-blows-his-top-over-bannon-praising-book/