The Guardian reports the Essential Research fortnight rolling average has come in at 52-48 to Labor for a third week in a row, with the Coalition (39%), Labor (36%) and the Greens (10%) each managing to gain a point on the primary vote, as One Nation’s recent run of good polling form comes to an end with a two point drop to 7%. The poll also finds 78% of respondents on board for the no-brainer of real-time disclosure of political donations, 79% for politicians having to disclose meetings with companies, donors or unions, 64% for a ban on foreign donations and 61% for a $5000 cap on donations, but only 30% for a ban on donations and more public funding in its stead. Also featured are Essential’s occasional suite of questions on the personal attributes of the two leaders, on which I’ll wait on their full release later today before reaching any conclusions.
The other news in polldom this week is Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns by state, age, gender and metro/non-metro, which are helpfully laid out in very great detail here. Statewise, the picture is overwhelmingly one of uniformity, with Labor leading 53-47 through the April-June quarter everywhere except South Australia, where it was 56-44. In swing terms, this suggests less change in New South Wales and Victoria compared with the 2016 result than the smaller states. When these numbers are plugged into the next BludgerTrack update, they will tend to boost Labor in New South Wales, where the swing presently recorded is an anomalously modest 0.7%, without making much difference elsewhere. Also of note is a two-point drop for One Nation in Western Australia in the wake of the state election, compared with stable results elsewhere.
BK
Where ever Phelps goes, this sort of stuff also seems to go.
Not really a big follower of Greens politics but the article by John Passant was illuminating. If Rhiannon thought Gonski 2.0 was retrograde step, then she was right not to vote for it.
Also agree with his thoughts on the drift to the centre. Wishy washy poltics.
The voters will have more respect for a politician with values, than one who only has a strategy.
Many reckon that “the centre” is the place to be strategically in politics. But “the centre” of the political class is not the same as “the centre” of the voting public. It is skewed to the right by big donors and other vested interests.
phoenixred @ #4 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 6:30 am
The Trump mentality of “blame the person, not the policy” is a commonly held view of a substantial number of Americans. The American culture has an element of extreme individualism.
Katharine MurphyVerified account @murpharoo · 1m1 minute ago
If you’d like to do a mood check on the prime minister this morning, tune in to Neil Mitchell now #auspol
Hmmm… they seem to have deleted most of the comments from some of their threads. So much for free speech and fair goes.
Morning all
Lizzie
Neil Mitchell and Turnbull first thing in morning!
No thanks. Lol!
zoomster @ #43 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 8:20 am
Anyone who knows anything about e-commerce knows to use a third party email management system such as Aweber. One of the T&C for them is that all email addresses have to be what’s known as “Opt-in”.
I’m sure you’re familiar with the concept. You sign up at a site. The site sends an email to the address you used to register. In that email is a conformation link. Prospective members have to clink that link to conform that it’s a valid email address. If the link isn’t clicked, no account is created.
The email managers can see how many emails get sent out seeking confirmation, and how many actually click the links. By their T&C emails cannot be sent to addresses that have not confirmed their status.
As Don points out though, there are a number of services that allow you to create temporary address that evaporate after a set amount of time. Plus you can always set up a yahoo or gmail address that you can delete after confirming. Alternatively, you can just never log into that account again.
All of this proves once again that the LNP just don’t understand this interwebby thing.
zoomster @ #56 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 8:41 am
You’re not a middle aged or older white man. Neither you nor your opinion are of any relevance.
MarkDiStef: Turnbull sneers at those writing about “Labor lite”: “These are headlines written by clickbait journalists”
srpeatling: PM: “Tony Abbott is not a minister, he’s not in the cabinet, he’s one member in the party room.”
Sounds like its going swimmingly for Turnbull 😆
michaelkoziol: Turnbull has finally done it. He has used “fake news” (to describe the polls, which are actually expensive, scientific instruments) #auspol
Guytaur
Yep Abbott was PM until Turnbull and his merry supporters turfed him from that position. No biggie. Was only a biggie when Gillard did it. Lol!
I keep one main email account for business / family which is pretty spam-free, another for subscriptions, bookings and so forth which gets a bit of spam but not too bad. I have a few others like Gmail, iCloud and Yahoo that I was given without asking for them. I might give one of these to groups / companies I don’t want to hear from (e.g. when I comment on an overseas puplication).
NickDRalston: Census 2016: Sydney, Melbourne grow by more than 1600 people a week smh.com.au/business/the-e… via @smh
https://twitter.com/nickdralston/status/879474817837051904
abcnews: #Census results reveal Australians are older, ethnically diverse and losing their religion #auspol
ab.co/2tedizu pic.twitter.com/mm0jbAcrXr
https://twitter.com/abcnews/status/879475359111970816
Meanwhile Trump has gone from Russia did not hack election to why didn’t Obama stop it. All his fault, and North Korea needs to be dealt with asap.
We know where this is all headed…………
Ctar1
BK
Some problems for Clover Moore
Where ever Phelps goes, this sort of stuff also seems to go.
Phelps has/had one goal – the Chain of Office. I don’t think she expected that the deputy mayorship wold be ‘rotated’, that her assumed ascent would be in question, and imho, Moore is well rid of her.
Catching up on last night’s posts, I was tickled pink to find Harry Nilsson appear. The Point is pure gold for me; I stay play the vinyl.
Here’s one for C@tmomma and Ctar1, and whoevs. I love the graphics, but can’t find the whole film, which is a joy, esp the three fat sisters 😉
https://youtu.be/guqFqcV4Po0
kemal_atlay: – 1 in 6 aged 65+, from 1 in 7 in 2011
– ‘No religion’ jumps to 30%, up from 22%
– 47k same-sex couples, up from 33k theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/ce…
When even Katharine mocks Malcolm, you sense he is in trouble.
Katharine MurphyVerified account @murpharoo 32m32 minutes ago
The PM is asked about how you cut through. “You tell the truth and you deliver.” (“The government is united”) #auspol
“No Religion” is streaking away from the field according to the latest census information.
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mediareleasesbyReleaseDate/6E48F1297C95696BCA258148000DBE59?OpenDocument
There’s a table at the end of the page.
No religion should give Politicians pause for thought. It won’t for the LNP but those that think religion means they can get away with bigotry will have to adjust.
Census population includes a big revision upwards to Victoria and it will go from 37 seats up to 38 seats. Also confirms that SA will drop from 11 seats to 10 seats.
guytaur @ #73 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 9:23 am
The gentle folk of our great nation who believe in fairies and such like are not confined to religious believers.
Witness many of the members of our current federal government.
Emoticon of me bowing to my betters protecting our way of life – 🙇
And for you Lizzie – my wrinkle cream is working a treat.
Australians have not been particularly religious in the past 50 years or so, as far as I can tell. Most have been nominally attached to one or other denomination, normally determined by birth, sometimes by marriage, but religious beliefs hasn’t seemed to particularly inform their lives. Now more are admitting to ‘no religion’. In fact, the most religious people these days seem to be recent migrants.
With 2/3rds of Australians living in capital cities as banner on News 24 says that means 2/3rds of govt expenditure should be in capital cities.
Spend where the people are
Perhaps Potatohead will send around the language police to homes of more than a quarter of Australia’s population who do not speak English at home. Doubtless he will target the Arabic speakers first.
KayJay
And how are you this foine marnin?
Paul Murray’s rant on Christopher Pyne was absolutely magnificent (and utterly hilarious). Think Shaun Micallef will bring back the leadership spill clock?
dan gulberry @ #30 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 7:47 am
Ta for that Dan.
It appears the company is on a war footing as it has announced a buy back of shares to 10% of issued stock. This must be to keep the spivs value up so that they do not terminate any high end managers / affect the total wealth
IT appears Perpetual Investments dumped its holdings up to month before the article. Did they know something the ordinary punter did not
Gt
re’ The Australian article –
No love lost between SA ‘conservatives’!
CT
Yeah. However I agree with Bernadi as Pyne was involved with the murky business regarding Slipper in the Gillard era.
lizzie @ #79 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 9:45 am
My, modom, you speak veddy vell.
I am pleased that your computer is working again.
As you noted – we are quite dependent on our computers.
I had a birthday a couple of days ago and was very pleased to have Arthur Percy (aged 20 months – great grandson) visit me together with other family members.
I have some little toy devices. These are the very popular spinning devices which rotate on ball bearing hubs.
AP (Arthur Percy) was quite delighted with these devices and gave each to me to set them going again as they slowed and stopped.
Then AP discovered that he could work them himself.
At the age of 78, once again, I was made redundant.
Never mind, AP’s grandfather was then able to tell me of unconfirmed reports of people living in communities on the far side of the moon.
How this last squares with other reports of some citizens – that nobody has ever been to the moon, I wot not.
I like that “wot not what” kind of talk. I have recently finished a biography of William Shakespeare.
Au revoir fair lady.
And of course Bernardi spoke up when Pyne and Ashby got together while the Libs were conspiring to attack Slipper???
“The most important question, has AVEO blamed Labor yet?”
No, but the Government most certainly will!
Aveo shares (AOG.AX) down a further 5% in the first 15 minutes if trading.
Bongiorno on M.E. debate
PaulBongiorno: @JoshButler So sad. Capitulation to a party room “branch stack” The moderates are ‘t winning. Thumped again.
KayJay
LoL
Gt – I’m with Cory re’ Pyne.
Things are going swimmingly in LiberalLand:
Turnbull holds firm on plebiscite
9:30AMROSIE LEWIS
PM won’t let a private member’s bill to legalise gay marriage be debated in parliament if a plebiscite isn’t held first.
citizen @ #92 Tuesday, June 27, 2017 at 10:22 am
Can he do that if a member of the opposition proposes a bill?
…… and what about if it is tabled in the Senate?
SkyNewsAust: Liberal MPs claim three senior ministers have been blacklisted from attending a dinner of the party’s right faction bit.ly/2u4D5a6 pic.twitter.com/Uc0KumCATT
https://twitter.com/skynewsaust/status/879496958024404992
Don
If the govt has the numbers they can stifle debate. But what if some Lib MPs cross the floor? Oh joy!
So Plan A is:
1. Stage a non-binding plebiscite for about $200 million.
2. Have a vote in Parliament on same sex marriage.
Plan B is:
1. Use the $200 million for something else, or save to it reduce the deficit
2. Have a vote in Parliament on same sex marriage.
So who is it says the Coalition are the better financial managers? Spend $200 million to address internal Liberal party divisions?
I thought the Libs were hopelessly divided ..chaotic even!!
..seems I am wRONg!!
Charles Croucher
@ccroucher9
“”The partyroom is very harmonious it’s very united”
– Malcolm Turnbull”
But we already knew that. Why treat it as a shock?
Malcolm lies: wtte: I am here to deliver for all Australians.