Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

After a career-threatening result for Malcolm Turnbull three weeks ago, Newspoll records the Coalition bouncing back to near-competitiveness.

Newspoll records a much improved result for the Coalition, with Labor’s two-party lead cut from 55-45 to 52-48. The Coalition is up three on the primary vote to 37%, Labor is down two to 35%, One Nation are steady on 10%, and the Greens are down one to 9%. Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 30% and down two on disapproval to 57%; Bill Shorten is down one to 29% and up one to 57%; and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has improved from 40-33 to 43-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1819. Report from The Australian.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

925 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

Comments Page 18 of 19
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  5. Australia’s laws against industrial action are not only in breach of international law, they are without peer among advanced economies with a tradition of civil liberty in oppressing the right to strike.

    “Not only are we flagrantly in breach but our laws are also so restrictive on the right to strike that they are way out of step with the laws of just about every other developed country,” Professor Stewart said.

    How does Australia stack up against the rest of the world?

    Few realise it, but the United Kingdom and even the US afford more liberty to workers to take industrial action.

    …Wages are stagnating, with the lowest wages growth in the history of the current index undermining consumption and economic growth.

    Leaving aside the argument the right to strike is a fundamental human right, there may be an economic case for making it easier for workers to take industrial action in pursuit of higher pay and better conditions.

    One thing is certain — there is a new broom at the ACTU, and it will be pursuing sweeping reforms.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-03-21/have-the-right-to-strike-laws-gone-too-far/8370980?pfmredir=sm

  6. The Guardian’s style guide editor writes about “Grauniad” and gives this shocker as an example.

    In my job, fan mail arrives about as frequently as Lib Dem election leaflets in Kabul, so it was gratifying to receive the following from a reader (and not just any reader, but one of 50 years’ standing) last week: “Years ago you were a laughing-stock for your spelling mistakes (Grauniad). You have improved vastly in this area.”.
    ……………………………….How about this 45-year-old cutting from the paper:

    “The Republican National Comittee decided in the spring that its chances of the White House in 1964 would be very slim indeed if it did not capture California, the second largest state, in 1962. Nobody less than its strongest possible vote-getter would do to defeat the incumbent Governor, Edmund (Pat) Brown. When it said this, Mr Nion was looking towards Washington, but the committee was liiking at Mr Nixon. He would have to oick the candidate, and if he oicked another man, eho lost, the party would be loth to nominate for the Preidency a national leader whose influence could not carry his own state in a state election. Yet, if Mr Noxon ran himself and won, he would practiclly forsweat the presidency; for, like allaspiring governors, he has been bocal and bitter about men who use the governor’s mansion as a springboard int the White House.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2009/aug/24/grauniad-spelling-grammar-subeditors

  7. But the nub of the article Lizzie linked to…

    “The ILO for the past 20 to 30 years has told governments of both political persuasions that we are in breach of international labour standards.”

    Australia is regularly warned by the ILO our laws are out of step.

    Just as regularly, that advice is quietly ignored — by Labor and Coalition governments.

  8. @Pegasus,

    At least they getting on top of the issue, how about LNP? Registering their interests? Or how about Greens Leader is he still paying for cheap wages? Still failing to declare investment/property?

  10. My understanding is that the Guardian`s reputation for bad spelling was because it was originally a Manchester paper and so its London edition had to go out early and thus had reduced checking.

  11. Every time Greenies attack Labor they help LNP, sometimes I wonder if they that stupid or they think they get better deals if they sleep with the enemy?

  13. After two consecutive days without rain (the shortest drought on record), we’re getting our second thunderstorn for the afternoon.

  14. The Essential Poll found 68% support for the SA Government package of energy changes and 11% disapproval. I suppose you could approve of the measures but still think the SA Government was not very good – but the Turnbull “government” seems to be seriously out of touch in keeping up the attack.

  16. On Kennett and Beyond Blue, I am reminded on an anecdote from Andrew Denton about his interview with Kennett on Enough Rope.

    He said they spoke off stage before taping stated and Kennett was in good humour, open, funny and showing a different side. Denton said he thought “this is going to be good”

    Then Kennett walked on stage, sat down and “turned into Jeff Kennett”. No matter the line of questions he just diverted to Beyond Blue. Not a good result.

    It is no doubt a worthy cause but Kennett will always be a pain in the arse.

  17. Zoid, C@t, OL et al (Boerwar and others). Good debate is good debate. There is no more sense in saying that any Greens criticism of the Labor Party helps the LNP than saying that any criticism of Labor Government actions or Labor policies from Labor Party members helps the LNP. By all means criticise particular statements or actions but when you say criticism of Labor always helps the LNP you just sound like people who don’t cope with debate.

  18. @wakefield,

    Criticism is fine for me. Nick, Peg, Rex however is not helping the debate.

    I regularly see them like today attacking Bill Shortens PPM ratings, or wa labor reshuffle.

    But they not offering any debate.

    Post and leave that’s what they do.

  19. One issues seriously worth a debate is current legal restrictions on rights pf workers to take industrial action. The Stephen Long article Lizzie highlighted is a good start. Same issue for the Shorten critics. Don’t just criticise Shorten’s comments on McManus statement. Find out what Labor is prepared to do to deal with the current legal restrictions?

  20. rossmcg @ #866 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 6:49 pm

    On Kennett and Beyond Blue, I am reminded on an anecdote from Andrew Denton about his interview with Kennett on Enough Rope.
    He said they spoke off stage before taping stated and Kennett was in good humour, open, funny and showing a different side. Denton said he thought “this is going to be good”
    Then Kennett walked on stage, sat down and “turned into Jeff Kennett”. No matter the line of questions he just diverted to Beyond Blue. Not a good result.
    It is no doubt a worthy cause but Kennett will always be a pain in the arse.

    You are much too kind to Kennett.

  22. C@Tmomma
    Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 5:32 pm
    Mari,
    Could you cut and paste Tingle’s Tweet? She Blocked me when I called her Fruit Tingle back in the day.

  23. C@Tmomma
    Check your dm done a back way let me know….don’t know why this was truncated last message
    Not sure why my other comment was truncated

  24. Bemused

    I’ll tell you what I really think of Kennett after the kiddies have gone to bed.

    Obviously I am from another place so I didn’t see him up close or be affected by his policies but I think I can understand your feelings.

    Victoria’s Thatcher perhaps?

  25. That BOM rainfall outlook estimating Sydney only a 40% chance of above median rainfall in autumn is looking a bit ropey.

  26. @wakefield

    Workers need better protection and better income right now every dollar is getting squeezed out of them due to far right politics.

    My family now is part of those workers, people a my work won’t do weekend work because it’s not penalty rates level, FWC AND the government has shown no care in the world about the decreasing of wages and the ability to pay for things.

    Morrisson said the other week about people delaying to have babies, to buy a house?

    Well you cannot live in shared accommodation and have kids hey? Or live at Mum’s and Dads place all your life?

    House prices gone up 4.1% and Who is at fault there?

  27. In other news, the propeller that fell off the Rex airline the other day has been found in bushland near Revesby (Bankstown area).

  30. rossmcg @ #874 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 7:33 pm

    Bemused
    I’ll tell you what I really think of Kennett after the kiddies have gone to bed.
    Obviously I am from another place so I didn’t see him up close or be affected by his policies but I think I can understand your feelings.
    Victoria’s Thatcher perhaps?

    He led a corrupt, evil government. Sold off our railways, trams, gas, electricity and just about anything not nailed down.
    Relatives of at least one of his ministers profited handsomely out of this betrayal of the Victorian people.
    You dodged a bullet in WA.

  31. steve777 @ #877 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 7:36 pm

    In other news, the propeller that fell off the Rex airline the other day has been found in bushland near Revesby (Bankstown area).

    It was just over someones back fence in Georges River National Park! My brother lives there and my parents used to.
    It travelled quite a distance from Camden area where it was lost.

  33. When people talk about legendary parliamentary speakers, Tony Burke will definitely be among their number. And unlike that (brilliant) man Malcolm Turnbull, he doesn’t have to read it.

  34. Yes, it was good luck that the propeller didn’t fall in a populated area, although it was close. Life is full of dangers, but bits of aircraft dropping out of the sky don’t really feature in most peoples’ worries.

  36. I see that the Au Pairs are still at it.
    I wonder how they went in Western Australia?
    I wonder how they went in the last Federal election?

  37. steve777 @ #884 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 7:51 pm

    Yes, it was good luck that the propeller didn’t fall in a populated area, although it was close. Life is full of dangers, but bits of aircraft dropping out of the sky don’t really feature in most peoples’ worries.

    Look on Google Maps. Between Camden and where it landed is mainly bushland, very sparsely populated. But another few hundred meters and it was right into suburbia.

  38. I can remember Richard Court and the WA Libs campaigning from opposition in 1993 with ads that said something along the lines of “This isn’t Victoria, and I’m not Jeff Kennett!”

  41. Great news that Gillard will chair Beyond Blue. I wonder if this means she will now be spending most of her time in Oz, having spent a lot of time overseas working on projects associated with young women’s education.

  43. Boerwar:

    They are suffering relevance deprivation syndrome, evidenced by the fact that their federal leader squibbed an opportunity to talk about a supposedly flagship Greens issue (renewable energy), right, smack, bang in the middle of a national debate about energy security to instead talk about a 4 day working week.

  44. How sad:

    Pauline Hanson has killed off the federal government’s hopes of the Senate passing controversial changes to welfare payments tied to childcare reforms.

    The Turnbull government has bundled together 16 welfare cuts, including a reduction to family tax benefits, in an omnibus bill, designed to save billions of dollars that would be redirected into childcare subsidies and disability funding.

    The votes of Senator Hanson and her three One Nation colleagues in the Senate were critical to the passage of the legislation.

    But the One Nation leader said the cuts were too hard, too broad and too deep for Australian families.

    She urged the government to turn its attention to tax-dodging multinational corporations.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/latest-news/welfare-groups-warn-senators-against-cuts/news-story/4f00c438e5e844507608833182338a02

  45. confessions @ #893 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 8:13 pm

    They are suffering relevance deprivation syndrome, evidenced by the fact that their federal leader squibbed an opportunity to talk about a supposedly flagship Greens issue (renewable energy), right, smack, bang in the middle of a national debate about energy security to instead talk about a 4 day working week.

    Amazing, isn’t it? As far as I know they still haven’t commented on the energy issue, which in one form or another has been top of the political agenda for weeks.

    Or did I blink and miss it?

  46. P1:

    Di Natale speaking at the NPC was the first I’ve heard from the Greens in yonks. In fact I haven’t seen them comment on the WA election, although I preface that by saying that I haven’t exactly been tuned into WA news this past week. Labor won in a landslide, that’s all that matters. 😀

  48. Pauline Hanson has killed off the federal government’s hopes of the Senate passing controversial changes to welfare payments tied to childcare reforms.

    For all the flak the microparties take basically for just existing (justified, in PHON’s case, for existing and having some genuinely horrendous views), they sure seem to pay good dividends in terms of keeping the government’s worst overreaches in check.

  49. Sorry, been out of the loop as the storm passed our way and we turned off our electrics. 🙂

    In reply to Wakefield’s admonishment, let me just say that if The Greens’ Gestetner didn’t simply come to PB to cut and paste the Anti Labor articles du jour of the day, and, maybe, like, debated with us, as you suggest we do, then maybe we may not be so dismissive.

  50. And in other Pauline Hanson news, just so you don’t go completely soft and gooey over her
    😉 she has advocated that SBS be killed off to save money.

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