Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

After a career-threatening result for Malcolm Turnbull three weeks ago, Newspoll records the Coalition bouncing back to near-competitiveness.

Newspoll records a much improved result for the Coalition, with Labor’s two-party lead cut from 55-45 to 52-48. The Coalition is up three on the primary vote to 37%, Labor is down two to 35%, One Nation are steady on 10%, and the Greens are down one to 9%. Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 30% and down two on disapproval to 57%; Bill Shorten is down one to 29% and up one to 57%; and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has improved from 40-33 to 43-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1819. Report from The Australian.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

925 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

  1. Re. The Darwin Award nominee from Queensland.
    The Pythons covered this in an excellent skit years ago
    http://www.montypython.net/scripts/croc.php

    An excerpt

    ‘Loothesom: (Eric Idle) Here at Lughtborrow are the five young men chosen last week to be eaten by a crocodile for Britain this summer. Obviously, the most important part of the event is the opening 60 yard sprint towards the crocs. And twenty-two year old Nottingham schoolteacher Gavin Watterlow is rated by some pundits not only the fastest but also the tastiest British morsel since Barry Gordon got a bronze at Helsinki. In charge of the team is Sergeant Major Harold Duke.’

  2. Up until a few years ago, I travelled several times on Rex Saab aircraft of the type that lost the propeller. I’ve also used Qantas propeller aircraft and have occasionally been seated right beside the spinning prop on both airlines.

    Sometimes I wondered what would happen if a piece of the spinning blade broke off and pierced the fuselage and embedded itself in a passenger. Then I thought “this can never happen”.

    It seems that the prop headed away from the aircraft without impacting the fuselage, wings or tail. If the prop had headed in another direction there may have been material for an episode of ‘Air Crash Investigation’.

  3. Perhaps PHON will make some adjustments to their voting pattern following the WA election.
    But I agree , Hanson is the Evita Peron of the Liberals.

  4. In fact, Wakefield, now that I think about it, I tried to debate an issue with Pegasus just yesterday (I don’t know if you were around). I put some legitimate questions to Pegasus after she did her usual schtick of attempting to alert us Labor heathens here on PB to some wonderful new legislation Jamie Parker wanted to introduce to the NSW Parliament, plus incorporated a put down of Labor and added to it with some dodgy figures from Lee Rhiannon’s ‘Democracy’ blog so as to paint Labor in the worst light possible.

    So I questioned it.

    What reply did I get? What ‘debate’ did I get?

    *crickets*

    What do we get today?

    More cutting and pasting of Anti Labor claptrap and Pro Greens propaganda.

    Frankly it’s beyond tiresome.

    Maybe it would be better next time to direct your criticism to Pegasus and the other Greens’ fans. They are the ones who don’t observe common blog etiquette.

  5. Tony Burke’s speech was smashing.

    The government’s and Turnbull’s decline has been gradual as people have started to wake up to them…I think today they jumped the shark, not because 18c is a burning issue but because they confirmed how crazy and irrelevant they are

  6. Is it strange that Essential’s 55-45 result isn’t reported on PB yet?

    The general media seem to be running completely dead on the story, but that’s definitely not strange.

  7. Citizen

    It seems that the prop headed away from the aircraft without impacting the fuselage

    It’s an unusual event and deserves some looking in to.

    Me, also a frequent user in the past of turbo prop a/c for work.

  8. Pauline Hanson shares most of the Liberals’ small Government / anti welfare agenda. She just says out loud what much of the Liberal base (including some in Parliament) actually think.

  9. Alice Workman‏Verified account @workmanalice 13h13 hours ago
    Labor has helpfully put out a list of all the times (pre and post election) Turnbull as ruled out changes to 18C.

  10. Would I be right in saying that most of the polling for Essential would have been done before the snowjob (Tuesday to Thursday) and most of the polling for newspoll afterwards (Thursday to Sunday)?

  11. steve777 @ #884 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 7:51 pm

    Yes, it was good luck that the propeller didn’t fall in a populated area, although it was close. Life is full of dangers, but bits of aircraft dropping out of the sky don’t really feature in most peoples’ worries.

    On the other hand aircraft bits dropping out of the sky have probably killed more people in Australia than terrorism, and look at the money we waste on that.

  12. [Antonbruckner11
    Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:03 pm
    Would I be right in saying that most of the polling for Essential would have been done before the snowjob (Tuesday to Thursday) and most of the polling for newspoll afterwards (Thursday to Sunday)?]

    Peter Lewis’ article in the Guardian today says the snowjob happened too late to be included in the Essential mix.

  13. Copied from last thread:

    [Antonbruckner11
    Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:03 pm
    Would I be right in saying that most of the polling for Essential would have been done before the snowjob (Tuesday to Thursday) and most of the polling for newspoll afterwards (Thursday to Sunday)?]

    Peter Lewis’ article in the Guardian today says the snowjob happened too late to be included in the Essential mix.

  14. sirgitofsmeg @ #906 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 8:55 pm

    Tony Burke’s speech was smashing.
    The government’s and Turnbull’s decline has been gradual as people have started to wake up to them…I think today they jumped the shark, not because 18c is a burning issue but because they confirmed how crazy and irrelevant they are

    Is there a video of the speech anywhere, its not on YouTube atm/yet?

  15. grimace @ #921 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:58 pm

    sirgitofsmeg @ #906 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 8:55 pm

    Tony Burke’s speech was smashing.
    The government’s and Turnbull’s decline has been gradual as people have started to wake up to them…I think today they jumped the shark, not because 18c is a burning issue but because they confirmed how crazy and irrelevant they are

    Is there a video of the speech anywhere, its not on YouTube atm/yet?

    Nevermind, I’ve seen the link.

  16. Citizen – Thanks. So it looks like Newspoll would have been a disaster too, except for the Snowjob sugar hit, which Malcolm has now dissolved with his 18C fiasco. I suspect then that newspoll will now resume normal operation and voters will be even more pissed off when they realise that the Snowy scheme was just a thought bubble.

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