The Essential Research fortnight rolling average moves a point back to the Coalition for the second week in a row, reducing Labor’s lead to 52-48. Labor is down two points on the primary vote to 35%, with the Coalition steady on 36%, One Nation steady on 10% and the Greens up a point to 9%. The monthly leaders ratings find Bill Shorten taking a big hit, down seven points on approval to 30% and up three on disapproval to 47%, and Malcolm Turnbull a smaller one, down three on approval to 34% and up one on disapproval to 49%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is out from 39-28 last month to 39-25.
The survey also asked respondents if they would be likely to vote for Cory Bernardi’s Conservative Party, to which 14% said yes – which, as is always the case when questions like this are asked, is well above the party’s plausible vote share. Sixty-two per cent say they would be unlikely to, which is on the high side as these things go. The poll also has 17% saying Bernardi’s defection is good for the Liberal Party, 26% bad, 29% neither, and 28% don’t know. As of next week, the Essential Research poll will be published in conjunction with The Guardian.
We’ve also had federal voting intention results from the weekend’s Queensland poll by Galaxy for the Courier-Mail, which has One Nation on 18% (up six since November), the Coalition on 35% (down four), Labor on 29% (down one) and the Greens on 8% (steady), with the Coalition down a point on two-party preferred to lead 51-49. The poll was conducted last Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 867.
As a woman I share your lack of understanding!
When I was 13 my scallywag uncle bought me the December 1994 issue of Playboy. Black cover, Pamela Anderson featured.
At the time it was a most prized possession. Until then, I had not seen something so unbelievably sexy as that figure.
She may not have aged perfectly gracefully, but you’ll not here a bad word from me about Pam.
P1,
Get your head out of your ass and you might be able to read.
What I’m advocating is going out and building TODAY stuff that we already know how to build. Some gas. Lots of solar and wind.
What is YOUR plan?
Edit: From your above post it seems a fair reading that your plan is just to replace every coal fired power station with gas, and gas alone. No renewables. Do I hear you right?
The ex intelligence agency office on Real Time said pretty much the same thing, only likening what Trump is doing to the media with what Putin did to Russian media when he came to prominence: divide and conquer.
I just hope the American media has its wits about it enough to see and resist this, and that they bandy about their peers to form a collective which has the power to resist this.
I’ve posted it before here but I’ll say it again. The whole climate change thing brings to mind the old Chinese truism.
When’s the best time to plant a tree?
Thirty years ago.
Next best time?
Now.
We (collectively) have been stuffing around for 30 years. Our Governments have been fart arsing about, insisting everything was OK, defending the status quo, cultivating moral panic over cost increases or pretending to take action (honourable exception in Australia – the Rudd / Gillard Governments).
So we do what we can from here. As far as energy policy goes, I am no ‘tech head’ like some here are or appear to be. I go for what works best to get us where we need to be, ultimately 100% renewable if our advanced civilisation is to endure beyond the 22nd century.
So Renewables as far as / as soon as technology allows, it seems to be rapidly developing and needs Government support, nit wrecking. Gas is better than coal, looks like a good transitional option. I am open to nuclear. It is big and dirty so right wingers will love it. But it has serious problems. Canonly be acteansitional option at best.
But whatever, we need to get going.
…can only act as a transitional option at best.
Fat clumsy fingers on an iPad.
kind of like after your head has been filled with fairy stories about the wonders of atomic power but then reality sets in
briefly @ #1845 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:29 pm
Yep. From way back.
Assange appears to have much the same attitude to women that Trump has….
Lets go through each one:
taylormade
Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:10 pm
Confessions @ Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 7:04 pm
The Andrews Govt is not that great, in fact it is a pretty ordinary once you see through all the spin. Issues i have with this govt.
Port privatisation and asset sales,
Also liberal policy and how the development of our road and rail is being funded.
Transurban citylink toll extension,
Paying for the Tula windening.
firefighters dispute,
Not willing to comment; miss information from the left and the right
juvenile crime,
And that is Andrews fault how? He is dealing with a youth center being trashed.
heavy reliance on pokie revenue,
And he introduced pokies?
poor state of regional road network,
The state of regional roads happened since the election?
election rorting cover up?
Trump would be so proud of you.
desalination plant,
It got build fora drought that ended; Liberals did their best to turn it into a white elephant; Andrews is getting it going again so if we need it, it works. The Liberals playing politics with this significant asset serves to highlight how pathetic the Liberals are. Liberals really are beyond a joke
poor regional train network,
As it is Labor that has brought back the lines and brought the trains and is now expanding the network; this highlights just how pathetic your comment is.
very secretive on use of taxpayers funds – especially public sector pay increases.
Oh someone got a pay increase; Liberals sad; money should have gone to Craymend island.
dave @ #1857 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:45 pm
A particularly dumb one too.
Gawd please don’t mention old cows!
If you didn’t appreciate Pamela Anderson in Baywatch you either had to be dead or gay and that’s probably an inappropriate comment 🙁
cud chewer @ #1852 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:35 pm
I read very well, thanks.
There’s certainly lots of gas and wind around here. What are you using to replace baseload? Thermal? Pumped Hydro? Batteries? Perhaps a mix of all three? And in what time frame, given that none of these are practical at the required scale yet (even just here in Australia)?
I laid out my plan. Did you not read it? I even have modelling to back it up. And my plan relies only on existing technologies – yours (at least as far as I can understand it) relies largely on unproven technologies, extrapolation, supposition and wishful thinking.
No you don’t. Now who can’t read?
P1
When the press coverage has moved past where your at you really are in the past.
davidwh @ #1861 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:52 pm
No, the bar got lowered tonight. 😀
Psyclaw has chronicled it.
Comrade all us Liberal Trolls are dumb or else we wouldn’t be trolls 🙂
steve777 @ #1854 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:38 pm
Most sensible post on the subject I’ve seen today … possibly including mine!
davidwh @ #1865 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:53 pm
Or Libs.
Comrade I guess gays could have appreciated Pamela for her acting talents? But then maybe not.
frednk @ #1863 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:52 pm
Damn! The modelling I was using only came out two month ago. Is it out of date already?
Thanks Bemused I just knew you would say that
davidwh @ #1861 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:52 pm
Nice try at look over there ?
The discussion was more about the passage of time, gravity and associated weighty matters. 🙂
Dave sadly time does that to all of us even us blokes. Bits just don’t remain exactly where they started from. Some bits of the hair variety just disappear. Haven’t seen any evidence that medical science can successfully remedy that.
“Comrade all us Liberal Trolls are dumb or else we wouldn’t be trolls ”
stop spending 36 billion dollars on 100 year old technology then lol
Briefly
Re – Liberal Troll
How about you just concentrate on giving us Eastern Staters a realistic and unbiased view of what is happening in WA state and federal politics as i tried to do with Confessions on Vic State politics.
I used to read all your posts and i had you down as a bit of an expert on WA politics with all your door knocking adventures, but the past few elections and by-elections in WA your observations and predictions have always proven to be widely over optimistic.
As a Victorian interested in the upcoming WA election, could i request less barracking and more analysis from poll bludgers in WA please.
Paaptsef this Liberal Troll is only spending $79 a month on 100 year old technology.
davidwh @ #1872 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:04 pm
So you are back on topic.
P1,
What’s you fcking plan? You still don’t tell us.
P1,
All you’ve said is that you want to replace every existing coal fired power station with gas. Then what? And when?
taylormade @ #1874 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:06 pm
The irony. The irony.
yeah nah David don’t mind me as long as you’re with it
taylormade @ #1874 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:06 pm
Go to the WA thread.
All my door knocking adventures? I think you’re confusing me with someone else.
My only door knocking adventures come when the bloody mormons or jehovahs witness mob come knocking on my door.
William offers dedicated WA election threads. Please don’t let me stand in your way of commenting over on those posts. 🙂
maybe 36 billion will be spent on my sidewalk and one of those nice musical toilets one day and yay for me
cud chewer @ #1878 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:10 pm
Jeez, why don’t you read what I actually wrote? Try this bit …
This is not only practical (since it depends only on existing technologies, and also a market with the same characteristics as the one we currently have – not the one we might wish we had), but the modelling posted by Trog earlier today shows it is also the cheapest option (I don’t think he realized that, but then he often doesn’t seem to read past the headlines of what he posts).
Now, to be fair, I did say I preferred a simple carbon price to an EIS (because it has been proven to be effective, and also because it better encourages behaviour change) but nowhere do I rule out renewables. If they can compete, they’re in – if not, then not.
P1,
What is “an open market on energy intensity”? Genuine question.
Well said Frednk. I am a train driver in Melbourne and all across the network there is a huge amount of investment and works ongoing. I have never seen anything like this. Monash, M80, Tulla are all getting upgrades. New paramedics, firefighters and police are funded for. Large number of new schools being built. All of these make me proud to be Labor.
Many of this get lost during the news cycle and both Herald Sun and The Age hates Andrews’s guts. Maybe the law and order problems will cause big hurt, who knows, maybe Andrews will fail politically and lose the next election, I don’t know but thanks partially to Andrews Labor government (Also Abbott’s 2014 budget) I am a strong believer that elections matter and Labor’s platform is worth fighting for.
I think Vic gov. is as good a government that can be in this day and age with hostile media environment, corporate influences, social media fuelled outrage and general anti-incumbent/anti-politician wave.
gorkay king @ #1887 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:28 pm
Hmmm I may have ridden in trains you drove. 😀
There is such an enormous backlog of stuff that needs doing on the rail system.
I was shocked recently to learn that Caroline Springs is V-Line. I had assumed suburban rail went as far as Melton.
Taylormade
Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:06 pm
Briefly
Re – Liberal Troll
How about you just concentrate ….the past few elections and by-elections in WA your observations and predictions have always proven to be widely over optimistic.
Canning….precipitated the ejection from office of the worst PM in Australian history
Cowan…campaign to remove a thoroughly useless Lib with an excellent Labor candidate….won that.
State Election…working hard to remove the most indolent and incompetent Government once Ray O’Connor…will win
Talking about Pamela Anderson makes as much sense as most of the conversations on here. I can honestly say I never watched an episode of Baywatch, but I did enjoy her as the voice of Stripperella. SBS used to show it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stripperella
since Ray O’Connor’s….
libertarian unionist @ #1886 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:24 pm
A fair question – I mean an energy intensity scheme plus a proper national energy market, where generators get paid according to what they actually bid – i.e. no pooling. Their bids would have to be made taking into account their expected energy intensity debits or credits. So a supplier that has higher C02 emissions per MW would have to bid higher to break even, knowing they will have to pay EIS credits. A supplier that generates less C02 per MW could potentially even bid below cost, knowing they will get credits from the other suppliers.
This would make a change from the system we have at the moment, which it seems to me encourages precisely the opposite!
“I was shocked recently to learn that Caroline Springs is V-Line. I had assumed suburban rail went as far as Melton.”
Crazy isn’t it? It just opened last month. First, proposed in 2008, put on hold by LNP gov after election. After 4 wasted years finally delivered.
Line is on track to be duplicated, as single track section between Melton-Deer Park makes it hard to run frequent trains. Staffer of local MP advised me that works on that line should start very soon. I believe eventual plan is to electrify the line in conjuction with Metro Tunnel.
Does anyone know if the reported 36 billion dollar cost of the Coalition’s fraudband is largely due to massive insurance premiums for likely failure of obsolete infrastructure?
gorkay king @ #1893 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 10:47 pm
Ahh, looked on Google maps and thought it was single track. That is just unbelievable.
Do you know much about the Sydney rail network?
They seem to build a lot more track there, with track quadruplication in places.
pamela anderson hey woohoo if that video with tommy whatsisname is anything to go by, Julian will be lucky to get a chance to hack anyones computer or influence any elections
Off to bed now. More “whack-a-mole” tomorrow, no doubt.
Donald Trump never made the claim that the American media was out of control when they repeated and reported on his Birther claims about President Obama. Now that he is President, different story:
http://www.smh.com.au/world/donald-trump-calls-the-media-the-enemy-of-the-american-people-20170218-gug3so.html
@Bemused
I have zero knowledge outside Melbourne. Though state LNP there seems to understand they need PT and railways. I feel a bit sad they are opting for driverless trains though, as it is my profession.