Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

The Coalition drops a point on the Essential Research rolling average, while further questions record an across-the-board drop in confidence in a range of public institutions since last year.

The latest Essential Research fortnightly rolling aggregate result has Labor’s lead back to 52-48 after two weeks at 51-49, with the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens steady on 10% and the Nick Xenophon Team down one to 3%. Other questions find an across-the-board decline in trust towards a range of institutions since the question was last posed in October. At the top of the list are state and federal police, followed by the High Court and the ABC, while political parties take the wooden spoon, followed by business groups, state and federal parliaments, religious organisations and trade unions. A series of indicators involving personal wellbeing were reported as having improved over the past 50 years, while job security and political leadership had become much worse. A question on trust in handling personal information found either a lot of trust or some trust for security agencies (51%), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (46%) and banks (45%), compared with 20% for social media sites.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,806 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”

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  3. Massola truly is unbelievable. Criticises Dastyari for “only” speaking for 25 minutes. I’ve never heard Massola criticise a lib for cutting and running; and basically keeps saying that Dastyari should resign. One of them is a creep. The other is a politician.

    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/embattled-sam-dastyari-breaks-silence-but-fails-to-answer-one-key-question-on-chinese-donation-20160906-gr9v1c.html

  6. As I said earlier Labor CANNOT let the media scum to dictate what happens to Dastyari as it will show weakness and will vindicate their hassling of him.

  7. Seems her grasp of legal matters is about the same as her grasp on scientific ones. Another ABC chronic under achiever that should be sacked.

    Controversial ABC science reporter Dr Maryanne Demasi won’t be compensated for breaking her hip during a run while working from her Sydney home, after losing an appeal.
    She had argued that, as she worked from home about 30 per cent of the time, it was a “place of work” and the run was part of a work break and she was therefore entitled to an insurance payout from Comcare.

    http://www.9news.com.au/national/2016/09/06/14/24/abc-presenter-loses-hip-compo-appeal

  8. CUPIDSTUNT – Totally right. They will use Sam D going as a precedent when they try to pick off other Labor politicians. You can see how pissed off Massola is that he hasn’t got his scalp.

  9. So Abbott gets a free pass from the media on a $60,000 gift from the Whitehouse Institute, which was followed by Abbott expanding VET-HELP for private providers, while Dastyari gets the hostile treatment over $1400… that’s the “fair and balanced” Australian media for you.

  13. I have come to pretty simple conclusion re Senator Dastyari.

    He did everything according to the rule book. If people don’t like what he did, then they have to change the rule book. Terrible political judgement? Yes.

    But breaking any rules or procedures? Nobody has shown a single thing he did that was in any way a breach of any law or procedural requirement.

    Apart from Lenore and Katharine at the Guardian (and, belatedly, Stephanie Peatling at Fairfax) the press gallery is ignoring this issue as though they will turn into pumpkins should they dare to get beyond the personal to go to the issue.

  14. The same calls were made for Bill Shorten to stand down in a previous MSM frenzy led by Fairfax.

    Bill Shorten is doing the right thing standing by Sam D.

    Cheers.

  15. jimmydoyle @ #59 Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 4:08 pm

    So Abbott gets a free pass from the media on a $60,000 gift from the Whitehouse Institute, which was followed by Abbott expanding VET-HELP for private providers, while Dastyari gets the hostile treatment over $1400… that’s the “fair and balanced” Australian media for you.

    You have to remember that Abbott was only the Leader of the Opposition at the time. It’s not as if he had the levers of power in his hands. Sam Dastyari, on the other hand, occupies the position of an unpaid Labor opposition frontbencher, whose every word dictates the future of this nation.

  16. doyley @ #64 Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 4:15 pm

    The same calls were made for Bill Shorten to stand down in a previous MSM frenzy led by Fairfax.
    Bill Shorten is doing the right thing standing by Sam D.
    Cheers.

    Absolutely. And people making comparisons with Bronwyn Bishop miss the point that it was OUR money she blew on a non-parliamentary exercise. Not to mention the millions that have flowed into Coalition coffers from Chinese and other foreign interests.

  17. TPOF

    “Only” spoke for 25 minutes. Sometimes our Marvellous Malcolm only makes it to five.

    Sam Dastyari, on the other hand, occupies the position of an unpaid Labor opposition frontbencher, whose every word dictates the future of this nation.

    😆

  18. Mr Denmore ‏@MrDenmore · 13m13 minutes ago

    Tony Jones of @qanda fame affects a “radical chic”, according to Chris Mitchell. Mark this as the day The Australian left the solar system.

    Is there any value in CM’s opinion? What does he mean?

  19. This’ll definitely be lead story on 7.30 tonight. They’ll be positively salivating, the hypocritical bastards.
    Not that I’ll be watching!

  20. Sprocket_
    Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 3:40 pm
    BB

    Menshen Zhu, the CEO of Top Education is a go getting entrepreneur of the Chinese state enterprise variety, with a degree from ANU. The private tertiary education industry relies on friendly government policies, so he has a ‘grease the wheels’ fund to do sponsorships, . . .

    Hope that’s not Smart Sam’s excuse. Stupid Sam, Silly Sam, Dumb Ass Sam comes to mind. And duh, I didn’t think it’d matter Sam, has got another think coming.

    Fair the F Dinkum, stoopid and CHEAP.

  22. Nicole – yep the lot of them are a pack of bums if you ask me. There’s only two or three good journos in our entire media.

    TPOF – I know you’re joking but it really does seem as if there is one standard for the Coalition and another for Labor.

  24. NewsRadio Reports:

    Sam Daytyari REFUSES to say why “a company with links to the Chinese Government . . .”

    Say what!!

    What Chinese company HASN’T got links to the Chinese Govt.

    As Fess says, “We are poorly served . . . “

  25. KayJay

    If you’re about. Remember I’m reading through the “V”‘s in my libe-rary (See I can be just like Malcollum and pronounce every letter).

    Umm, and I thought I’d let you know what I thought of Virginia Woolf’s “To the Lighthouse.”

    Sad to say, it appears to me, the main message is this: ‘Blokes cannot survive without the injection of the sympathy of women.”

    Now, I understand my own failing: my refusal to sympathise with men who won’t change their headwear.

  26. kezza2 Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 4:57 pm

    Now, I understand my own failing: my refusal to sympathise with men who won’t change their headwear.
    ******************************

    Peg Bundy in “Married With Children” to husband AL :

    Besides me, who would point out that your teeth have turned the same color of yellow as your underwear and that you have more hair in your nose than on your head?

  27. [Adrian
    Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 4:26 pm
    This’ll definitely be lead story on 7.30 tonight. They’ll be positively salivating, the hypocritical bastards.
    Not that I’ll be watching!]
    How heroic! 😆
    You tosser.

  28. Rex

    “The likes of Stuart Robert and Sam Dastyari acting as lawmakers in the Australian parliament should terrify voters.”

    But you forgot to include Bill Shorten.

  30. Here’s the start of Shadow Game, the latest Lewis / Uhlmann tome. Once again, they start where novelists who don’t know what they’re doing always start: with a description of the weather. Betchya that their next novel starts with someone waking up with a hang-over.

    Sydney
    Once more, he turned to the east where the sky was tumbling and growling, demanding to be heard. Thick mutinous clouds were rolling in from the coast, stalking a city tormented by crushing humidity.
    Summer’s fury had wilted the people’s spirit; now, on narrow Sydney streets, they scurried for cover, pampered suits and preening hipsters alike, anxiously glancing at a sky preparing to explode.

  32. Remember this in May 2016?

    Companies linked to Chinese conglomerate Yuhu Group made a donation to then trade minister Andrew Robb’s fundraising entity the day the trade deal was clinched.

    Chinese money has become so important to Australian political parties that, at a recent glitzy fundraiser, Victorian Liberal president Michael Kroger made sure there was an interpreter to translate the auction.

    Donors with strong links to China contributed $555,000 to the two major parties and fundraising entities in Victoria, a Fairfax Media analysis of Australian Electoral Commission data for 2014-15 reveals.

    At least three donors failed to disclose their contributions to the Australian Electoral Commission.

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016/chinese-interests-play-an-increasing-role-in-australian-and-political-donations-20160517-goxl8b.html

  33. Hmmmm…

    Matthew Knott
    @KnottMatthew
    “Greens spokeswoman says the party does not support banning union donations as suggested by Richard Di Natale on radio this morning”

    4:32pm · 6 Sep 2016 · TweetDeck

  34. PhoenixRED

    Peg Bundy in “Married With Children” to husband AL :

    Besides me, who would point out that your teeth have turned the same color of yellow as your underwear and that you have more hair in your nose than on your head?

    Oh, you should have posted a warning! Like, incoming . . .

    Sips of water aren’t particularly nice when they extrude from nostrils . . .

    Did I ever tell you about the time I got onto Red Symons in the Mornings – and got cut off pretty quick smart – when he wanted country callers to tell him why the farmer couldnt get a wife – and I got cut off pretty quickly when I said:

  35. kezza2 @ #75 Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 4:57 pm

    KayJay
    If you’re about. Remember I’m reading through the “V”‘s in my libe-rary (See I can be just like Malcollum and pronounce every letter).
    Umm, and I thought I’d let you know what I thought of Virginia Woolf’s “To the Lighthouse.”
    Sad to say, it appears to me, the main message is this: ‘Blokes cannot survive without the injection of the sympathy of women.”
    Now, I understand my own failing: my refusal to sympathise with men who won’t change their headwear.

    phoenixRED
    #76 Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 5:06 pm
    How dare you read what passes for my mind.
    Ignoring interjections and hecklers wanting to see my t**s.
    Forget the headgear, change the underwear.
    Lady changes with gentleman.
    Gentleman changes with lady.
    All’s right with the world.
    Why should ladies have all the nice underwear, that is the question. Real good Q&A last night.
    Lets see what Mr Lawrence Mooney makes of all this. Very hard to say Bondi i BTW.
    ❤️ If response not satisfactory I plead not awake after nap.

  37. Duterte is a nut. Before he leaves the Philippines he says he doesn’t ‘give a shit’ what Obama thinks and then calls Obama a ‘son of a whore’.

    So Obama decides not to meet him. There’s no doubt that the main request to Obama would have been to have the USN protect the Philippines from the Chinese.

    Now Duterte expresses regret.

    FMD

  40. TEN News Sydney
    Medicare waste
    The Health Minister’s review into Medicare claims money is being wasted on tests and doctor visits that aren’t required

    Like the ones where you have to get a sickness certificate to show the boss?

  41. CT @ 5.25

    Duterte is exactly what the USA would get with Trump. People will cheer him until they realise they have gone to the top of his target list. Shades of Dietrich Bonhoeffer – first they came for the druggies……

  42. Hey, sorry guys,

    There seemed to be an hiatus in posts, so I thought was filling in the gap, sort of like “music to shop by”, when all of a sudden, other posts appeared. Disregard the rest.

  44. I’ve never heard Massola criticise a lib for cutting and running; and basically keeps saying that Dastyari should resign.

    Massola has made a career out of demanding that Labor politicians should resign, stand down, or otherwise give in to Massola’s representation of what Society’s norms and Rules should be. In Labor politics, no-one is anyone until James Massola has cried out for your public execution. This is Dastyari’s coming-of-age moment: at last a Massola pronouncement on his fitness for office had been uttered. Sam must have been wondering what he’d done so wrong for James to put off the thundering op-ed against him for so long. Reas teasy, Sam… you’re one of the big boys now.

    Massola is fuller of himself than Warragamba Dam. The man’s a tosser of the highest order, but I do get annoyed thinking that somewhere out there his judgmental, cynical and self-flattering view of his own importance can be allowed to exist in whatever malignant mindspace he inhabits.

  45. TPOF ‘Duterte is exactly what the USA would get with Trump.’

    Exactly, except the US led by a madman is a far more dangerous prospect than The Phillipines led by one, except for the people who live there of course.

  46. Zoomster
    Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 5:37 pm
    Kevin

    It was a dark and stormy night….

    Sounds more like a song.

    Oh, the night was dark and stormy / And the billy goat he was blind / He backed into a barbed fence / And hurt his never mind

    . . .

  47. Adrian
    Tuesday, September 6, 2016 at 5:27 pm
    ‘You tosser.’

    The feeling’s mutual sweetie-pie.
    Just can’t help yourself, can you?
    =======
    Please keep me advised on everything else you are not going to watch / do.
    I am enthralled. :kiss:

  48. ZOOMSTER – If only Lewis/Ulhlmann had confined themselves to that. It really s… me that the Australian publishing industry claims it should be protected. Why? So it can publish that sort of dreck. I read five pages of talentless rubbish before I gave up. There was a time when journalists could actually write good novels. Not anymore, obviously.

  49. Ch 10 news had story of Turnbull meeting Jack Ma, billionaire CEO of huge conglomerate Alibaba (sort of Chinese Amazon/eBay and much more). Alibaba will establish a Melbourne office soon and Turnbull apparently wants to associate his “innovation agenda” with this development.

    So according to Turnbull, there are “good” and “bad” Chinese companies – the Liberals are apparently associated with the “good” companies and Labor are associated with the “bad” companies.

    The government really should publish a list of who is good and who is bad.

  50. in other news today, a mob of halfwits with microphones harass a man they admit has followed the rules and are collectively incapable of succinctly saying exactly what he is supposed to have done wrong.

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