Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

The Coalition drops a point on the Essential Research rolling average, while further questions record an across-the-board drop in confidence in a range of public institutions since last year.

The latest Essential Research fortnightly rolling aggregate result has Labor’s lead back to 52-48 after two weeks at 51-49, with the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens steady on 10% and the Nick Xenophon Team down one to 3%. Other questions find an across-the-board decline in trust towards a range of institutions since the question was last posed in October. At the top of the list are state and federal police, followed by the High Court and the ABC, while political parties take the wooden spoon, followed by business groups, state and federal parliaments, religious organisations and trade unions. A series of indicators involving personal wellbeing were reported as having improved over the past 50 years, while job security and political leadership had become much worse. A question on trust in handling personal information found either a lot of trust or some trust for security agencies (51%), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (46%) and banks (45%), compared with 20% for social media sites.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,806 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. Zoomster:

    Equal public funding to the fundies simply gives them more money for their campaign.

    True, but the question of public funding should never arise. Our parliament should simply do its job and legislate and get on with other things that are actually meaningful.

    This whole plebiscite bullshit and all “questions” arising from it is all about internal Liberal / National politicking, absolutely nothing more.

  2. Breaking: cabinet proposal is for each side of the #SSM marriage plebiscite – the yes and no campaigns – to receive $7.5million each

    Seriously?? The Libs are vicious dogs led by a cowardly cur.

  3. Don
    I cannot find the camera. Come now my friend, why tell the neighbours about my activities nocturnal. I am really glad to be able to get up at all. Assisting others is commendable. Meetings excellent.
    One of the things I learned when recovering from a serious illness is that there are no prizes for performing simple everyday activities.
    There has been some great information posted during the last day or so and I am well pleased.
    Complainers see Dons suggestion. Put forth your own hobby horse. Others will probably want a ride.
    Excuse please. Camera off. I need to use the hotel “facilities”. 🙂

  4. nicholas @ #2800 Monday, September 12, 2016 at 11:57 pm

    This is an excellent initiative that Labor should support:

    The Greens’ Scott Ludlam, NXT Senator Nick Xenophon and independent Senator Jacqui Lambie are putting a motion to the Senate today to call on the ABS to ditch the fines for people who have refused to complete the census.

    Labor should oppose this piece of vandalism aimed at destroying the census.

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