BludgerTrack: 50-50

Essential Research corroborates Newspoll in recording Labor retaining its 51-49 lead, but there’s nothing in it so far as the BludgerTrack poll aggregate is concerned.

The addition of Newspoll and yesterday’s Essential Research result to BludgerTrack leave nothing between the two parties to the first decimal place. Observers of BludgerTrack’s form will know that actually translates into a small Coalition majority on the seat projection, which has the Coalition up one on the seat projection in New South Wales and down one in Queensland. I haven’t updated it with Newspoll’s leadership ratings yet, but will get around to doing so tomorrow. I haven’t yet covered the Essential Research result, which was once again unchanged in having Labor leading 51-49 on two-party preferred. On the primary vote, both parties were down a point – the Coalition to 41%, Labor to 37% – while the Greens and Nick Xenophon Team steady on 9% and 3%.

bludgertrack-2016-05-25

The Australian has also been treating us to a series of supplementary results from the weekend Newspoll over the past few days that echo the further questions posed by Essential Research this week, to wit:

• The latest in Essential’s occasional series on leadership attributes finds Malcolm Turnbull deteriorating between five and seven points over the past three weeks on “out of touch”, “arrogant” and “understands the problems facing Australia”, without suffering much change with respect to capacities such as “intelligent” and “good in a crisis” (although “hard-working” is down five). Bill Shorten’s numbers are little changed, leaving him rated lower than Turnbull on most attributes, with the singular exception of being out of touch with ordinary people, which is the largest point of difference between the two. Similarly, The Australian today has Turnbull ahead on a series of measures, but with Shorten leading on “cares for people” and “in touch with voters”, while Turnbull has lost all but two points of a ten-point lead on “understands the major issues” from February.

• There has been a whole bunch of “best party to handle” results in the past few days. Amid an overall predictable set of results, Essential Research finds Labor increasing leads from 4% to 11% on health, 6% to 13% on protecting local jobs and industries, and 4% to 10% on housing affordability, the latter of which has only recently emerged as an area of Labor advantage. The Seven Network last night had further results from Friday’s ReachTEL poll showing the Coalition favoured 55-45 on economic management, Labor favoured 61-39 on health. Newspoll framed the questions in terms of the leaders rather than the parties, and had Malcolm Turnbull favoured 55-29 over Bill Shorten on the economy, 48-25 on asylum seekers and 43-38 on the cost of living, 46-33 on tax reform, 50-27 on interest rates and 42-38 on unemployment, while Shorten led 47-40 on health, 47-41 on education and 41-36 on climate change.

• When it asked if respondents expected Labor to keep or change the government’s asylum seeker policies, Essential Research found 28% opting for keep, 38% for change, and 34% for don’t know.

• As recorded in the chart below, the three betting agencies have been consistent in offering odds on the Coalition to form government that imply a probability of between 70% and 80%, although the one most immediately responsive to the actions of punters, Betfair, seems to have recorded a bit of a dip over the past few days.

2016-05-25-betting-markets

• In further horse race news, Phillip Coorey of the Financial Review reports Labor is having trouble landing the swing where it needs it, with Labor margins that were cut fine in western Sydney over the past two elections set to blow out again. Coorey had earlier reported one Liberal strategist saying the election was “genuinely close, but at this stage, the retention of the government is more likely”, while a Labor counterpart concedes they were behind, but concluded: “We haven’t put our cue in the rack.”

Local matters:

• Labor is scrambling for a new Senate candidate in the Northern Territory after Nova Peris today confirmed she would not be seeking re-election, with widespread reports she is to take up the position of senior adviser for indigenous and multicultural affairs with the Australian Football League. Trish Crossin, whom Julia Gillard forced out of the seat to make way for Peris at the 2013 election, told ABC Radio yesterday that Peris had presented Labor with a “selfish distraction”, and called on Gillard to admit she made a mistake. There are as yet no indications as to who Labor might preselect to replace her.

• Both major parties have now lost their first choice candidates for the seat of Fremantle, after Sherry Sufi resigned as Liberal candidate, after local newspaper the Fremantle Herald reported he had been recorded in 2013 doing an unflattering and profanity-laden impersonation of his then boss, state Mount Lawley MP Michael Sutherland. There had been news reports in the preceding days about articles Sufi had written in opposition to same-sex marriage and an apology to the stolen generations, which had actually been in the public domain for some time, and rather technical allegations he had provided an inaccurate account of his employment record on his candidate nomination form. The Liberals have rushed to endorse previously unsuccessful preselection candidate Pierette Kelly, an electorate officer to Senator Chris Back.

• Pauline Hanson’s prospects for a Senate seat is the topic of the hour, having been canvassed by me in Crikey last week, Jamie Walker in The Australian on Saturday and a Courier-Mail front page yesterday. Antony Green told ABC Radio’s World Today program yesterday had “some realistic chance”. Kevin Bonham is a little more skeptical, but doesn’t rule it out.

• Phillip Hudson of The Australian reported on Monday that Labor is seeking to exploit talk of a preference deal between the Liberals and the Greens in Victoria to shore up working class support in two low-income regional seats: Bass in northern Tasmania, and Dawson in northern Queensland.

• Matthew Denholm of The Australian reports that Jacqui Lambie is advocating that her voters give their second preference to the Nick Xenophon Team, and put Labor ahead of the Liberals.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,123 comments on “BludgerTrack: 50-50”

Comments Page 18 of 23
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  1. “Best thing I have found is a mesh cage with a door that hinges inwards. Put food in it. Rats get in but can’t get out. Then take them a few kilometres away and release them. Clean, safe and very effective. All my attempts at poisons, baits and other gizmos failed dismally.”

    I can think of a few ideal places a few kilometres away. Even more so if I lived in Canberra…

  2. Off topic but the forums at http://www.sensational-adelaide.com show the kind of features a high functioning site can offer. Stickies, multiple topics,can “thank” a user for a comment, user data next to comments showing their length as member of the forum and strength of contribution as per the number of posts, the ability to click on a user and view their history of comments – it works really well. Don’t know the technical details or why this sort of functionality is not achievable for Crikey but it really gives a good idea of what’s possible.

  3. The rollout was always scheduled to accelerate in later years.

    Herald Sun columnist Terry McCrann has published an article praising Malcolm Turnbull’s stewardship of the NBN project as his “greatest and unqualified achievement in Government”, but has based his argument on a number of inaccurate statements regarding the project.

    McCrann has been a long-time columnist for News Limited newspapers, especially the Herald-Sun in Victoria. He primarily commentates on economic matters. In this role, McCrann has been a long-term critic of Labor’s Fibre to the Premises version of the NBN.
    …
    McCrann’s central argument appears to be that, by switching the NBN’s model away from Labor’s FTTP approach and to a ‘Multi-Technology Mix’ model which re-uses the copper and HFC cable networks owned by Telstra and Optus, Turnbull has been able to successfully reform the project.

    However, the columnist appears to have made a number of basic factual errors in his article.

    The most glaring problem is that McCrann appears to attribute much of the progress which the NBN rollout has made over the past two and a half years since the Coalition has been in power to Turnbull’s NBN strategy, noting that the NBN announced this week that it has about a million customers, compared to about 100,000 when the Coalition took power.

    However, the columnist does not appear to have informed readers that the vast majority of those customers are connected to Labor’s original FTTP model. The Coalition has made little progress so far connecting customers to its MTM technologies.

    In addition, this ‘ramp-up’ was predicted by both the NBN company and Labor. It took a number of years for the setup of the NBN company to take place from 2009; the rollout was always scheduled to accelerate in later years.

    For both of these reasons, most of the NBN’s current success can be directly attributed to Labor, not the Coalition.

    https://delimiter.com.au/2016/05/26/herald-sun-columnist-mccrann-gets-key-facts-wrong-nbn-attack/

  5. Citizen

    Poor old Marvelous Mal is spending a lot of time in his pressers ‘explaining’ what his ministers really meant to say.

  6. SA Senate candidates’ debate on at the moment.

    Vacuous journo asks why the focus is on minutae, and what are the politicians going to do about it?

    They’re all too polite to say ‘stop reporting cr*p’.

  7. Christine Milne on political donations from the fossil fuel companies and the revolving door between those companies and ex-politicians from the Coalition and Labor:

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/26/our-democracy-has-been-bought-to-win-on-climate-we-have-to-take-it-back

    But then we no longer live in a democracy. We have morphed into a plutocracy: government by the wealthy for the wealthy greased by political donations. You don’t need to be in parliament to secure your interests, you only need to buy or exert enough influence through cash or concentrated media ownership to make sure things don’t change regardless of whether the LNP or Labor is in government.

    Big corporations call these donations “diversifying their investment”, and when you look at the donation records of fossil fuel companies, they donate to both major parties, capturing them both within their destructive and pervasive web of influence.

    To make sense of this election and to understand why certain issues are buried and others promoted as open to debate, it is necessary to follow the money, and the electoral objectives of those who have it.
    :::
    How did the fossil fuel industry get away with all their subsidies intact in this year’s budget when hospitals and schools are defunded? This includes keeping their lucrative fuel tax rebate, which is worth $2bn a year while single parents and community legal centres are done over. Why didn’t Labor raise the roof about this and why didn’t they reject utterly the LNP’s billion dollar Arena cut?

    Because it is not just the Liberal party that is captured by dirty money. Labor, Liberals and National parties have proven that they are utterly captured by this pervasive and polluting industry, that is rapidly condemning our planet to burn. And they are getting away with it because politicians on both sides of the aisle – with the exception the Greens – are unwilling to stand up to the big miners.

    There is an unspoken bipartisan agreement supported by the mainstream media that the continuation of the coal, gas and oil industries is a given and will not be debated. The approval of Adani’s Carmichael mega coal mine still stands.

    To win on the climate we have to take our democracy back from the corporates who have bought it. That means making the urgency of the climate emergency, the need to keep coal, gas and oil in the ground, political donations reform, fossil fuel subsidies and a national Icac, red hot issues in this election.

  8. The community is mobilising with environmental organisations coming together to door knock and phone bank.

    http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/may/24/climate-groups-join-forces-for-election-campaign-blitz

    A coalition of organisations have entered into unprecedented joint action to ensure climate change is in the minds of voters on 2 July
    :::::
    Polling commissioned by the groups suggested their campaigns could have a significant impact on the election, with the majority of swinging voters saying they were likely to be influenced by parties’ policies on climate change.

    Behind the scenes, the groups’ tactics were being coordinated through a peak body, the Climate Action Network Australia (Cana), which liaises between the groups and coordinates their actions.

    Climate Action Network Australia (CANA): http://www.cana.net.au

  9. darn @ #842 Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 1:59 pm

    I am having some trouble with rats and a mob called Pestrol is advertising some electronic gizzmo on 3aw at the moment. I thought I might give it a try.
    Does anyone here have any knowledge of these things and whether they are effective or not?

    Quack product.
    Have a lot of bush @ where I live and bush rats. Previous bull terriers I’ve owned have controlled them, but my current girl is scared of anything larger than a fly, consequently had a rat problem recently. Being a home brewer the large sacks of malted grains proved too tempting and the buggers ate through the heavy duty containers to get at it.
    The wax poison blocks are OK, but dead rats get their revenge by croaking it in wall/floor/roof cavities. The plastic rat traps are the best, fill the bait well with some peanut paste with an almond/nut stuck in it, irresistible to rats. Need at least 4 traps set every night, and no food sources for them.

  13. I do not wish to turn this blog into a discussion of products but, from personal experience, I understand the difficulty of getting rid of rat infestations.
    I have used spring traps in the past, and recognise the merits of Vogon Poet’s methods, especially when you do not want them dying inside walls. I used to throw away the wooden traps after one use because the dead-rat smell then made them useless.
    I have also used Rat Blitz (https://www.ratblitz.com.au) and found it to be very effective.

  14. [Edward Boyce
    Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 2:11 pm
    Citizen @ 1:27pm

    I saw a print copy in Sydney today and it had the Feeney story taking up most of the front page. Canberra must get a different edition – maybe there’s one for Sydney and another for the rest of NSW/ACT?]

    Canberra and country NSW would get the early printing to allow time for transporting the papers. So it seems the front page was changed and (inadvertently?) gives Labor more favourable treatment for readers in “western Sydney”. It’s interesting.

  16. Peg

    Points re your 857:
    1. Nothing will happen regarding donations until Lib and Labor agree to move, because they can’t afford to let the other have the advantage.
    2. However, the 4Corners revelations have apparently brought a response from Uncle Arfur, so there’s some hope. I think the ground is shifting.
    3. With the retirement of some of the climate/coal dinosaurs such as Marn Farson and possibly “coal is good for humanity” Abbott, and the increased financial pressure on coal miners, their influence is waning.
    4. I’m not sure that Adani’s Carmichael mega coal mine will still proceed.
    5. Support for mining is definitely last century and old habits die hard in politics.

  18. shorten needs to get back on the ‘don’t let turnbull distract you’ theme – the government is winning the media cycle with bullshit distractions that the goldfish attention span media are only too happy to run with. shorten and all candidates need to say “Turnbull wants to distract us because they know they do not stand up to scrutiny…”, or “Turnbull wants to distract us because he wants to hide….” and “That’s a distraction – what IS important is …..”

  19. Someone asked earlier about the election odds before Captain Sir Plus was defenestrated.

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/money-swings-behind-malcolm-turnbull-as-punters-back-in-coalition-to-win-next-election-20150915-gjmv3p.html

    William Hill paid out early probably to get some cheap publicity.
    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/the-2016-federal-election-is-over-for-one-bookmaker-now-turnbull-is-pm-2015-9

    Today, online bookie William Hill declared the race over for the 2016 election, paying out on a Coalition win.

    “Yesterday morning we had Bill Shorten as favourite to be Prime Minister after the next election,” William Hill spokesman Tim Ashworth said.

    “But now punters believe a Turnbull-led Coalition will guide the government to success when we next go to the polls.”

  20. I still can’t work out what went wrong with Peris but she clearly wasn’t the right person for the job. She wasn’t even a member of the ALP when she was chosen.As much as we like people from a diverse background, there is a lot to be said for professional staffers/unionists/lawyers.

  21. I know a few people lucky enough to get FTTH under labors NBN. they have done away with their old phone and the net cost of the ‘gold plated’ NBN is less than ADSL + a phone bill – by quite a bit some months. why isn’t that plugged when the libs do the ‘too expensive’ line – labors system would have been much cheaper in the medium and longer term. I hope shorten goes turnbull on this and climate change in a big way in the debate. every time turnbull tries to do ‘boats’ – shorten needs to say ‘Is that all you’ve got? our border protection policies show we’re as big C@#$s as you so why don’t we talk about….?”

  22. Turnbull said this morning that the “best” agricultural was always in irrigation areas.

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/26/coalitions-queensland-dam-bonanza-threatens-great-barrier-reef

    Turnbull said: “As the economy transitions and diversifies, agricultural exports are playing a more important role than ever before.”

    But an analysis by WWF warned that six of the proposed dams are in rivers that run into the embattled Great Barrier Reef and would increase pollution there.

    The news comes a day after the Queensland government announced a plan for how it would spend $90m to improve water quality on the reef, and after more than $500m has been spent on reducing pollution between 2009 and 2016.

    On Wednesday, announcing recommendations to the Queensland government for how to improve water quality, the state’s chief scientist, Geoff Garrett, said: “If we carry on as we are with poor water quality we are stuffed with a capital ‘S’ underlined, bold.”

    On Thursday, a WWF spokesman, Nick Heath, said: “To borrow a phrase from the chief scientist – if these dams go ahead the reef will be even more stuffed with a capital S.”

    WWF said if the six proposed dams in the Great Barrier Reef catchment were built, nitrogen pollution on the reef would increase by more than 2,500 tonnes each year as a result of increased fertiliser use.

    http://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2016/may/18/great-barrier-reef-whos-profiting-from-the-destruction-and-devastation
    It’s time to go coal free.

    Who’s to blame for this destruction? And which businesses are profiting from the activities that are causing this havoc?

    The coal industry is the single worst culprit. Climate change is the single greatest threat to the Great Barrier Reef and the burning of coal is the biggest driver of climate change. The recent catastrophic mass bleaching of the reef was made 175 times likelier by human-caused climate change, according to a study from the University of Melbourne.

    So, every dollar that the coal bosses make ultimately comes at the cost of dying coral. And the same applies to every part of the fossil fuel industry – coal, oil and gas – everywhere in the world.

    Then there are the businesses that service the fossil fuel industry. As Guy Pearse pointed out in his book Greenwash “the carbon lobby’s hired help”, including accountants, lawyers and consultants, are too often overlooked. Fee-hungry lawyers, for example, are happy to advertise their experience in advising reef-destroying fossil-fuel miners. “Our knowledge of the Australian mining, electricity, minerals, gas and coal industries is extensive,” boasts one Queensland law firm.

    Next come the banks and other lending institutions. Every time one of the banks lends to a coal-mining company, they are contributing to the damaging of the Great Barrier Reef. (Hey, Westpac bosses, rather than social media boasting about your corporate philanthropy to reef research, why not just stop lending to the fossil fuel industry?) Leading insurer QBE has also recently been targeted for its role in the perpetuation and expansion of the fossil fuel industry.

    At worst, what we are seeing is the political economy of extinction at work; the very real possibility that the Great Barrier Reef will be destroyed because it does not fit the business model to save it.

  23. I still can’t work out what went wrong with Peris…

    Becuase nothing went wrong. She served her term and retired from the job, nothing unusual. Is the new issue of New Idea out yet?

  24. Don’t get the drama over Peris. She was elected by the people of the NT to serve the prescribed period, and she has. If she doesn’t want to any more, that’s her business. She doesn’t own that spot on the Labor ticket any more than the last Gillard bumped off to get Peris in there.

    More turnover in politics is a good thing, stops people getting stale and complacent.

  25. LIZZIE – People like McCann have to humiliate themselves to stay on Rupe’s payroll. But you can’t expect any better from them.

  26. KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN

    Perhaps in order to work for these Murdoch type organisations they have to do an IQ test. Example
    What is black?
    Black is white.
    Good answer.
    Can Labor ever do anything right?
    Only the conservative parties can ever be trusted.
    Good answer………and so on.

  27. Craig Emerson ‏@DrCraigEmerson · 1h1 hour ago
    Government spokesman: Morning. Today’s investment figures prove we stopped the boats. We’ll balance the budget, keeping the boats stopped

    Emerson added an emoticon in tears.

  28. Cana is an umbrella networking and coordinating organisation so not surprising individuals can not join.

    Membership of the Network is open to any not for profit organisation or educational institution of any size and legal form. Membership contributions are progressive based on the size of your organisation and the level of involvement you want to have with the network.

  29. LIZZIE – I remember once a great exchange between Emerson and Tony Jones. Jones demanded a “Yes or No” answer. Emerson rolled his eyes and said: “You really love you’re little ‘yes or no’ games, don’t you?”

  30. Does anyone have a theory why the bookies are Lib $1.30, Labor $3.50 and steady despite a 50:50 Bludgertrack?
    Is it the sophomore surge or the likelihood of not winning back enough Qld seats or something else? Those odds look well out of kilter with the polling to me.

  31. Nothing will happen regarding donations until Lib and Labor agree to move, because they can’t afford to let the other have the advantage.

    And that’s why a viable third party such as the Greens needs to exist to keep these issues alive in the public arena and in parliament, as well as to exert the necessary pressure on the political duopoly to act in the best interests of the nation.

  32. lizzie Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 3:40 pm
    KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
    Perhaps in order to work for these Murdoch type organisations they have to do an IQ test.

    ***************************************************

    As long as their IQ results are negative – they get the job …..

  33. Diogenes,

    No big money flowing just yet.

    Punters still waiting for some definite movement in sentiment either way.

    Cheers.

  34. diogenes @ #880 Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 3:47 pm

    Does anyone have a theory why the bookies are Lib $1.30, Labor $3.50 and steady despite a 50:50 Bludgertrack?
    Is it the sophomore surge or the likelihood of not winning back enough Qld seats or something else? Those odds look well out of kilter with the polling to me.

    I’d guess it’s the assumption of a drift towards the incumbent during the campaign.

  35. Dio,
    People who bet on elections are probably cashed-up, middle aged white men, which is one of the political right’s core supporter groups. Perhaps they are not talking to the right people.

  36. WTR – I’ve always wondered if there might always be more bets on the coalition because coalition voters have, well, more money. IF that is the case then there may always be good odds on a labor win.

  37. SOHAR – You beat me to the punch. And if that is correct, there may be a LOT of money to be made plunking money down on Labor at every election. Someone should do an analysis.

  38. A 50/50 uniform result in the election returns the government. You’d want to see 52/48 to have Labor in a position to be evens, and higher than that to make them favourites.

  39. I was of the understanding that territory senators get three year terms while state senators get six.

    If that is the case then Nova is not ” leaving early” she has completed her term and is moving on.

    I believe over 25(?) sitting members are not recontesting their seats or senate positions yet I have read or heard nothing about any of them ” Leaving early”.

    Cheers.

  40. Oh dear!
    From http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-05-26/nsw-greens-internal-war-over-party-control/7447340 …

    Mr Harris has written an explosive email to Greens members informing them he has resigned as treasurer over Ms Medcalf’s treatment, because he believes he has been “ethically compromised” by the actions of the party.

    He wrote that the Greens’ tactics toward the executive officer were “reminiscent of tactics used by major banks to shaft their customers”.
    …
    In his email, Mr Harris said the party’s treatment of Ms Medcalf had the potential to damage the federal party’s campaign on industrial relations, which federal Greens leader Richard Di Natale has been pushing.

    “The campaign to undermine, discredit and bully the executive officer flies in the face of our four principles, and makes a mockery of what we are saying to the electorate about our commitment to workers’ rights,” he said in the email.

    Seems it is not just the LNP that has the wheels falling off!

  43. Obviously $123 million is petty cash to Which Bank:

    [The Melbourne glazier awoke in November last year to find his phone telling him that a small personal bank balance had somehow risen overnight to the princely sum of $123,456,789.01.

    “It [his banking app] actually gave me the option to transfer the money and BPAY it, so I could actively transfer money into someone else’s account,” he told Channel Nine.

    “I was pretty shocked about it. I thought they’d actually paid me the money thinking I was someone else.”

    When he contacted CommBank, he says a customer service representative laughed at his story and said, “Oh, that’s great.”

    He told Channel Nine that “nothing was done” about his mystery windfall for two full weeks, when another bank representative called him to say there had been a “glitch in the system and it can happen sometimes”.

    His original bank balance has been restored. A spokesman for CommBank told Channel Nine the bank was investigating the glitch.]
    http://www.watoday.com.au/technology/technology-news/he-woke-to-find-123m-in-his-bank-account-it-happens-sometimes-commbank-says-20160524-gp31pw.html

  44. Re. The dams announced today, wasn’t it a week or two ago that Hunt announced a pile of money to improve, fix water flowing into the barrier reef.
    Now they want to dam those rivers.

  45. kevin-one-seven @ #886 Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 3:54 pm

    WTR – I’ve always wondered if there might always be more bets on the coalition because coalition voters have, well, more money. IF that is the case then there may always be good odds on a labor win.

    Possibly, although you could argue that if they would were using the betting markets to hedge their position they’d push the price the other way.

    I recall in the 2010 Victorian election the polls were ever so slightly favouring the Liberals but the bookies had incumbent ALP as a favorite. I think it’s more likely a bias to incumbency than a weight of money argument. I wonder if anyone has looked at this in detail – you’d probably need to use seat by seat markets to get enough observations.

  46. ruawake @ #873 Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 3:28 pm

    I still can’t work out what went wrong with Peris…

    Becuase nothing went wrong. She served her term and retired from the job, nothing unusual. Is the new issue of New Idea out yet?

    Exactly so. Why this talented lady needs the approval of anything other than her own is beyond me.

  47. pegasus @ #881 Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 3:50 pm

    Nothing will happen regarding donations until Lib and Labor agree to move, because they can’t afford to let the other have the advantage.

    And that’s why a viable third party such as the Greens needs to exist to keep these issues alive in the public arena and in parliament, as well as to exert the necessary pressure on the political duopoly to act in the best interests of the nation.

    The inference is that Labor and the LNP benefit equally from corporate support. This is completely false.

    Labor’s largest support comes from unions and public funding of elections. The Greens would not survive without public funding. The LNP receive substantial benefactions from private individuals, foundations and corporates as well as from the taxpayer.

  49. The largest ever private donation was to the Greens by the wotif guy, $10 Million they always try to ignore this fact.

  50. Does anyone have a theory why the bookies are Lib $1.30, Labor $3.50

    ———–

    You know it makes sense

    Liberal/ national partys will always bebookies default favourites
    no matter what the polling shows

    example 2015 QLD state election

    Galaxy exit poll showed Labor 54/46

    Bookies had LNP $1.10 Labor $7.00

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