Essential Research has opened its account for 2016 with a poll that records a one-point shift away from the Coalition off what was already a very low base for them, relative to the other pollsters. Compared with the last poll in mid-December, the Coalition is down a point to 44%, while Labor and the Greens are steady on 35% and 10%. This being the first result of the year, the result encompasses 1011 respondents polled from Friday to Monday, rather than Essential’s usual two-week rolling average. Also featured are the monthly personal ratings for the leaders, which find Malcolm Turnbull down five on approval to 51% and up two on disapproval to 25%, while Bill Shorten is exactly unchanged at 27% and 47% respectively. Turnbull’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 54-15 to 51-18.
The poll also has a straightforward question on favoured candidate to win the US presidential elections, offering four named options: Hillary Clinton on 40%, Donald Trump on 12%, Bernie Sanders on 6% and Ted Cruz on 2%, leaving 8% for “someone else” and 32% for “don’t know”. Remarkably, breakdowns by party support show statistically identical results for Labor and Coalition supporters (but nearly ten times as much support for Sanders among Greens voters). Further questions find consistent agreement that sexism and discrimination against women exists to at least some extent in workplaces, media, politics, advertising and sport (from 58% to 62% opting for a lot or some), but less so in schools, where 44% opted for a lot or some, and 41% for a little or none.
zoid
[the article also lists some companies (inc Woolworths) of “successful” use of metadata,]
No, it doesn’t. It lists some companies who measured goods improperly. Woolworths, to use your example, were prosecuted for shortfalls of up to 41% in prepackaged cakes – nothing to do with metadata at all.
[95
En quiry
Labor will do better in direct relation to the worsening of the economy. Australians want a safety net; they don’t want to diversify out of unproductive real estate, and innovate and take on risk and extra work in productive business, order to get the country out of trouble. Hence Turnbull could, if he wants to be sure of winning, head to the polls sooner rather than later. If wants expectations to fall, he could go later. But if employment and house prices stall, he may find himself in trouble. Heaven forbid. We haven’t yet quashed the colonials and it would be a return to son of Abbott.]
I honestly cannot see how Turnbull and the LNP can survive the next 12-18 months. If China goes into a recession or even just experiences a correction away from investment-driven growth thus killing coal and iron ore demand), then Australian mining and housing will go into freefall.
With renewable energy and manufacturing dead, buried, and cremated, and science/technology innovation a pipe-dream for our small-minded and cowardly country, Australia is officially a banana republic and Labor is going to be in charge of am economic basket case.
The article is a bit twee and seems to be purposefully vague. It ends, for example, with this —
[“The government’s data retention legislation reduced access to telecommunications data under the Telecommunications (Interception and Access) Act 1979 from those agencies performing enforcement and related functions down to 21 specified core criminal law enforcement and security agencies.”
He listed the 21 agencies specified in the act.
“The attorney general has not temporarily declared any additional enforcement agencies,” he said.]
…which makes it clear that (at least so far) none of the 61 applications for access to metadata have been successful – yet you wouldn’t know that from reading the article, which seems to go out of its way to obscure that point.
So the number of agencies who can access metadata has been reduced. Quite fairly, agencies who think they have a case to access metadata can apply (I would assume that that was really intended for future, as yet unforseeable, uses, and that an company applying now was considered during the course of the legislation, and thus have little chance of being allowed access). None of the 61 who have applied have been successful (so far), and some have been rejected.
victoria@199
Yes, he did. But what did you think of Cooper’s performance?
For those having trouble spelling the current Premier of Queensland’s name:
[How to Spell Annastacia Palaszczuk’s name off-by-heart:
First Name:
Anna + Stacia
Second Name:
P A L A
Sydney Zoo
Canberra Zoo
U K]
Kudos to the Bludger who first created this mnemonic.
Milennial
I taught at a school once where the DP had a very complicated Polish surname, yet all the kids could spell it with ease. I found out they had set it to the ‘Micky Mouse’ song!
Bemused:
To me, Cooper came across as being biased against Bowen and not interested in a discussion about policy.
victoria:
Thanks for the link to 730, I missed it.
Why the hell is the host (whoever he is) seemingly positioning a GST increase as the mainstream response to declining revenue?
Nick@207
I am still trying to work him out.
He no doubt had a list of questions he wanted to ask and was determined to do so. It is also his job to put some pressure on the interviewee and that person should be able to handle it if they are any good at all. Bowen was.
I find Cooper a bit flat in his delivery and he needs to put more life into it.
Not sure yet how I rank him in comparison with Sales.
bemused
I concur with nick and fess re Coopet
victoria@210
They didn’t say much.
Millenial:
Not sure it was a Bludger who originated the helpful reminder on how to spell Palaszczuk? Annastacia herself and colleagues were circulating it pre election for one thing
If she got it from PollBludger thats truly impressive , but …
Marrickville Mauler@212
I don’t think it was made up by anyone here, just passed on.
Interesting perspective.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/jeremy-corbyn-has-finally-brought-left-wing-ideas-in-from-the-cold-a6818031.html
Night all
Night vic. Hope you don’t feel you were bullied off the blog.
[Scott Morrison: “More importantly, the IMF statement rightly points to the need for important structural reforms to drive economic growth. Failure to make these important changes puts jobs at risk. This is why the government is looking at ways we can make our tax system more growth friendly, in particular by reducing personal income taxes.”]
http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/global-growth-could-be-derailed-over-the-next-two-years-warns-imf-20160119-gm9bo1.html
The gall of Morrison, claiming that increasing the GST is going to save our economy from China’s collapsing growth!
confessions@216
Moronic statement.
Another great article. I am liking this journalist.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/shaker-aamer-is-right-jihadis-should-leave-or-be-expelled-from-the-uk-and-its-up-to-muslims-to-say-a6771626.html
[victoria@210
bemused
I concur with nick and fess re Coopet
They didn’t say much]
This is the patronising sniping we have come to expect from bemused. I wish he would keep his gratuitous bitchiness to himself.
I am glad Victoria did not respond and give bemused the attention he so desperately craves. He has a serious problem with women — he would be well advised to limit his comments to substantive matters and leave his meta-commentary out of it. At best it is tiresome, at worst it is willful and targeted bullying.
Darren Laver@220
Simply a statement of fact. They said nothing of substance about the performance of the interviewer. I stated my opinion at some length and I am curious what others think of him.
It really is that simple.
Re Cooper and Bowen
Yes, I though Bowen came across very well and was pretty direct. I don’t think Cooper was biased against Bowen, but I think he was a very ordinary journalist. He crafted a couple of gotcha questions which were quite terrible and persisted with them.
The first was to blatantly misrepresent Jay Weatherill’s position by saying Weatherill ‘supported’ a GST increase when at best his position is being prepared to consider it.
The second was to trumpet how much easy revenue would come from a GST increase, forgetting the necessary compensation (as Bowen pointed out) and the fact that the GST is still a tax and not a magic money well where nobody feels pain while their pockets are picked.
Not biased, but very ordinary quality.
TPOF@222
Pretty much agree with that.
Lacks any animation and I could imagine him as a speaker putting the audience to sleep.
A pity, I was hoping some new talent would emerge to replace Sales and Uhlmann.
bemused @ 219
Thanks for that article. It was very good.
The attitude of the extremist Muslims is one where they are not aggrieved by denial of human rights or even Western intervention in the Middle East per se, but obsessed about the superiority of the culture and precepts of Islam over all other beliefs and cultures – specifically their particular extremely narrow version of Islam.
It reminds me of the ‘Pilgrim Fathers’ who came to America on the Mayflower. They are often portrayed as fleeing persecution, but actually wanted to somewhere where nobody else could live differently from their beliefs – they wanted to where they could do the persecuting.
[ Re Cooper and Bowen
Yes, I though Bowen came across very well and was pretty direct. ]
Yup. Bowen did do well. He actually had things of substance to say about policy and said them. Cooper not so bad. Frankly, came across as inexperienced to me. I would think that the Libs will be clamoring to do a 7:30 spot asap just on that basis.
And then….if the ABC really wanted to assert their independence….once those interviews are booked…they substitute Sara Ferguson without warning. 🙂
imacca@225
Yes, my opinion of Cooper could be driven by his inexperience at least partly.
There are also times when I thought his voice sounded a little like Kerry O’Brien. 😮
Nostalgia and wishful thinking?
There is no place for a “red” in today’s cowered and spineless ABC!
Kerry would be spinning in his TV grave at its current state.
Darren Laver@227
He’s not dead yet, so don’t bury him.
Bemused @ 219
Also appreciated the article.
He notes that close minded ‘Saudi’ led Muslim doctrine has become more prevalent in the last 15 years. Undoubtedly owing to two gulf wars and other invasions over that time.
Regardless of who caused it however (I do not think we should forget our responsibility) it needs to be dealt with. The other side – that no-one should ever have a problem with Muslim’s who have found compatibility between what they feel their faith tells them and the ideals of modern Western society is sound. (Like a modern lay Christian they no doubt have to leave large parts of their religious books behind to do so but that is fine).
They are still perhaps in the minority where global Islam is concerned but I applaud their efforts to be heard.
@Zoomster/201
You are incorrect.
They want to be classed as “criminal law-enforcement agency” so they can unlimited access to metadata, instead of applying via court order.
This is why you are incorrect, the company in question used metadata to, they don’t want to do any paper work (and thus less transparency).
Strong UnionsStrongCountry
“It’s a return to the Reith/Patrick’s dispute resolution system – Send in the thugs and dogs.”
Agree and the Andrews Govt will let then get away with it. Not sure how familiar you are with the dispute, but spent some time over christmas and new year at the tent embassy set up on the lee breakwater. Kudos to the MUA, but virtually no support from the AWU which covers Alcoa’s direct employees. (Seafarers on MV Portland employed by contractor).
My prediction is that the AWU will flex its muscle and the Andrews govt will cave and provide a new package of Govt support to one of the biggest polluters in the state all under the guise of supporting manufacturing. I also predict that the support will be ‘commercial in confidence’ especially the rate of electricity.
Huffington Post @HuffingtonPost 14h14 hours ago
Denmark just broke the world record for wind energy http://huff.to/1SsCV5W
Zoidlord @ 230
[They want to be classed as “criminal law-enforcement agency” so they can unlimited access to metadata, instead of applying via court order.]
‘They’ = The National Measurement Institute who are trying to show that they are a “criminal law-enforcement agency” in order to gain warrantless access to telecommunications data. Woolworths are an example of those they ‘prosecuted’ last year.
The article is poorly written. What Scott Ludlam says is ‘blown to pieces’ is not stated at all in the article.
[Denmark just broke the world record for wind energy http://huff.to/1SsCV5W%5D
But Malcolm Turnbull is working hard to get it back.
Eric Abetz out and about on Newsradio this morning discussing the ‘Civil War’ in the Liberal Party in NSW forming around getting rid of the dinosaurs. He’s casting it as Conservatives V Moderates.
This is a very rough transcript of what he just said to Marius Benson:
‘Branch Members defying PM’s call to leave sitting Members alone.
Eric Abetz saying NSW Division should ‘get it’s house in order’ for the sake of the nation. What we have is one way traffic by a certain group of people. They should not be putting pressure on certain people, esp Sen Fierravanti-Wells, who has performed well.
Branch Members should be the masters, not the Administrative Committee. I introduced a plebiscite 20 years ago in Tasmania & gives the branch members ownership of the endorsement. Gives them a sense of ownership of the endorsement.
PM Howard had to intervene. PM Abbott had to intervene. PM Turnbull had to intervene. That indicates a core problem.
Knowing the concern in NSW that is why I have intervened.
People playing power politics in NSW. They should raise the white flag and heed the PM’s admonition.
Re Bronwyn Bishop: Not commenting, except to say that if the process empowered the locals there wouldn’t be these problems.
The issue is, are these pre-selections truly the reflection of the will of their local electorates eg Angus Taylor, Craig Kelly?
Re Tony Abbott: still very young, has a genuine future in front of him, has contributed much to the national debate and he hopes he stays.’
So now we know where the Same Sex Marriage ‘Plebiscite’ idea came from! 😀
I would also add that enabling branch members to be the masters of the destiny of Sitting Members and wrt pre-selections may encourage branch stacking, especially in smaller jurisdictions such as Tasmania.
Craig Kelly sounding defiant and saying he will have to be blasted out of his seat, which he has turned from marginal Liberal to solid Liberal.
Popcorn time! 😀
Also, bemused. Do you think you could lay off calling other commenters ‘moronic’? Even if you believe their comment suggests the comment is to you?
You may argue that you simply mean this:
‘ 1. A person who is considered foolish or stupid.’
However, as you are probably well aware it also suggests this:
‘ 2. A person of mild mental retardation having a mental age of from 7 to 12 years and generally having communication and social skills enabling some degree of academic or vocational education. The term belongs to a classification system no longer in use and is now considered offensive.’
I certainly find the double entendre around the use of this word by you offensive, as I am sure do others. Can you please try and be less offensive in order to get your point across? It’s just simple blog etiquette.
“In the disaster of the detention of asylum seekers, the real cause of the problem is completely overlooked and can be traced to Australia’s High Court. ”
[The High Court has determined that imprisonment can only be imposed by a properly constituted court. How is it then that these people can be in the closest and awful detention when they have not had access to a court?
The answer is that the High Court, in a celebrated case involving a refugee named Ahmed al-Kateb (al-Kateb v Godwin), decided that detention requiring a determination of a court only applied when the detention is “punitive”. In other words, for the imprisonment to require the decision of a court, it had to amount to punishment.
The court decided in the al-Kateb case that the detention was “administrative” and therefore could be imposed by the legislature and implemented by the Executive without a court determination.
The result of this is that the High Court has licensed the Australian Parliament to pass laws empowering the executive branch of government to indefinitely imprison (let us scrap the euphemism of “detention”) people genuinely seeking asylum.
The Parliament and the Immigration Department have now taken advantage of this decision to embark upon a policy of inordinately delaying the processing of applications for asylum, resulting in the harshest of detention regimes.]
http://www.theage.com.au/comment/how-the-high-court-enabled-indefinite-detention-20160119-gm90kr.html
Worth reading
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/01/review-of-preferences-at-the-north-sydney-by-election.html
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/oil-spills-could-be-ecologically-disastrous-maritime-safety-qld-20160119-gm9c6s.html
[“And while the size of the spill is significant, sometimes it is the placement of the spill that is most damaging,” she said.
She said much more study was needed on the impact of spills on migratory shore birds and turtle rookeries.
“Because there, even a small spill can be ecologically disastrous,” she said.
“And it certainly calls into question the environmental impact of increasing shipping through the Great Barrier Reef.”]
[A fair go for all
@NELLOinOZ @geeksrulz @Samantha4777 relatives over from Scotland at the moment. Laughed out loud when they saw internet speed here. 150MBs there
A fair go for all @NELLOinOZ · 14h14 hours ago
@geeksrulz @Samantha4777 They have FTTP in case you were wondering]
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Peter Martin muses over China’s growth rate and the potential for the figures to be a bit suss. He sees a big bubble building up there.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/why-chinas-growth-rate-spells-trouble-even-if-its-right-20160115-gm6uis.html
This says it all about Woolworths’ Masters debacle.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/retail/is-this-masters-store-the-most-shortlived-retail-outlet-in-history-of-shopping-20160119-gm9bef.html
Lucky this guy wasn’t of “Middle Eastern appearance”
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/garden-island-naval-base-infiltrated-by-drunk-tourist-from-adelaide-20160118-gm8sr9.html
A call to arms from the outgoing Chief Scientist Ian Chubb.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/chief-scientist-ian-chubbs-parting-words-science-must-always-trump-makebelieve-20160119-gm99bi.html
What a charming lady. She looks to have used her own services a bit too much looking at her pictures in the article.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/notorious-banned-cosmetic-surgeon-charged-with-practicing-on-patients–again-20160119-gm8thm.html
The lid gets lifted on sexual abuse in the ADF and this is what happens.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/defence-hit-by-wave-of-compensation-claims-after-abuse-culture-revealed-20160118-gm85w0.html
How could the Liberal branch in Mackellar possibly contemplate having Bronwyn Bishop run again?
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/bronwyn-bishop-to-fight-on-but-abbott-ruddock-heffernan-futures-unclear-20160119-gm96e4.html
Glen Lazarus hits out at Clive Palmer and calls him a bully.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/clive-palmer-is-a-bully-glenn-lazarus-hits-back-after-pup-leaders-vote-for-sale-allegations-20160119-gm8x3i.html
Some disgruntled employees blow the whistle on practices at Spotless Cleaning. I suppose Michaelia Cash would say that reducing penalty rates would fix this!
http://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace-relations/laundry-workers-filthy-at-spotless-cleaning-20160115-gm6jjh.html
This survey on the concerns of small businesses in Australia has some interesting results. And there is praise for the Fair Work Commission.
http://www.smh.com.au/small-business/managing/australian-economy-a-major-concern-for-small-business-survey-20160119-gm8yim.html
Section 2 . . .
The unifying force of far right resentment. Be warned.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jan/19/from-oregon-to-australia-the-unifying-force-of-far-right-resentment
Victoria’s Treasurer has a real crack at the emptiness of the words of the federal government with respect to infrastructure. (Copy and paste the following string into a Google search to get to the article).
news/opinion/canberras-empty-words-are-worthless-to-victoria-for-infrastructure/news-story/5c99c076ef3a5140f46eedeec4c24c51
Peter Wicks asks just who will lead Labor into the next NSW elections.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/time-for-nsw-labor-to-move-forward–with-a-new-leader,8592
The ATO’s Philippines frolic with outsourcing revealed.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/manila-calling-public-services-philippines-frolic-revealed-20160119-gm8y3r.html
Interesting. Three Tennis Australia board members resign without giving a reason.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/sport/2016/01/20/tennis-australia-board-members-quit/
Michelle Grattan writes on Truss’s intentions.
https://theconversation.com/campaigning-in-indi-warren-truss-was-the-country-boy-at-the-bands-ball-avoiding-sophie-mirabellas-toes-53392
Dave Donovan explores the relationship between Nick Ross, Malcolm Turnbull and the ABC.
https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/malcolm-turnbull-nick-ross-and-the-sad-story-of-a-broken-abc,8590
Baird’s war on trees is threatening our biodiversity says this environmentalist.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/mike-bairds-war-on-trees-is-threatening-our-biodiversity-20160118-gm82af.html
Is Ryan Crowley a good preconditioned addition to Essendon’s playing squad?
http://www.theage.com.au/afl/crowley-reax-20160119-gm9fp8.html
Chris Gayle’s got no idea. Bye bye.
http://www.theage.com.au/sport/cricket/chris-gayle-launches-stinging-attack-on-critics-on-instagram-as-bbl-season-finishes-20160119-gm9h87.html
It’s time for the High Court to revisit a judgement that has legitimised indefinite detention.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/how-the-high-court-enabled-indefinite-detention-20160119-gm90kr.html
Section 3 . . . with Cartoon Corner
Life as a sexual health professional.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jan/18/genitals-sexual-health-nurse-sex-toy
Alan Moir unravels Turnbull’s waffle over our Middle East involvement.
Cathy Wilcox has a beef about the representation of women in the ALP.
Matt Golding rebadges Masters.
Pat Campbell also has a crack at the emptiness of Turnbull’s waffle.
Macca on private banks.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/12f305f7b91afeeaf0b059d0f9d716d7?width=1024&api_key=zw4msefggf9wdvqswdfuqnr5
Jon Kudelka has some fun with what Turnbull describes as “non-existent factions” within the Liberal Party.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/38e47a2c634e0b61adb19d7c580e5dd2
David Rowe takes us into the White House with Obama and Turnbull.
Very amusing to read the ongoing daily campaigning by The Australian regarding Liberal preselections in NSW.
Hilariously, they are trying to cast the process as a test of Mr Turnbull’s leadership, the implication being that if the fossils they are trying to protect are cast aside, that would somehow be a setback for the PM.
In fact, the mere fact that such a campaign is running shows that the fossils must be in a bit of trouble; otherwise, they wouldn’t want to put themselves in a position of being beholden to Mr Turnbull.
For his part, the PM seems to be playing the game quite nicely: with minimalist formal endorsement of some sitting members, always with the qualification that it’s the party’s decision. He’s thereby made it quite clear that his support for them is about as heartfelt as Mr Morrison’s support for Mr Abbott back in September.
Of course, disendorsed members sometimes try to form their own parties. In 1974, Senator George Hannan in Victoria claimed to have formed the National Liberal Party. But the ones who look like being dumped are hardly the sort of world-beaters or household names who could lead a revolution.
[A call to arms from the outgoing Chief Scientist Ian Chubb.]
Thanks for that BK. He’s been a great Chief Scientist even though he’s been advising a numpty govt.
Tony is just like a spoilt child who thinks he can do whatever he likes and be forgiven.
[Mr Abbott was reportedly coaxed by his former chief-of-staff Peta Credlin to recontest the seat of Warringah, in Sydney, and hopes to make a similar comeback to past Liberal leaders John Howard and Sir Robert Menzies.
Mr Abbott is understood to be ‘in mourning’ over his leadership loss, but does not wish to accept a diplomatic posting as he is ‘quite bitter and resentful,’ according to The Daily Telegraph.]
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3406560/Tony-Abbott-urged-former-chief-staff-Peta-Credlin-recontest-seat-election-make-Prime-Minister-again.html#ixzz3xj6lDNkv
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fess
I would have liked Chubb to show a little more spirit in defending the CSIRO.
pedant@137
The British and Commonwealth practice when paying respect at Cenotaph’s, memorials to unknown soldiers etc is cover your medals (if you have them) with your hand when doing so – on the basis that the dead don’t need to be ‘impressed’ with your medals – so its an added measure of respect.
The US custom of hand on heart may have developed from the above practice. Seems like the US can over do the hand on heart though at times.
fess
I would have liked Chubb to show a little more spirit in defending the CSIRO.