Galaxy: 58-42 to federal Coalition in Queensland

A new Queensland-only poll of federal voting finds a nine-point reversal since Malcolm Turnbull deposed Tony Abbott.

Today’s Courier-Mail brings a Galaxy poll on federal voting intention in Queensland, which finds a dramatic reversal since the last such poll, which was conducted on Tony Abbott’s watch in late August. The Coalition is up nine on the primary vote to 50%, with Labor down eight to 29%. A 51-49 lead to Labor on two-party preferred has transformed into a 58-42 to the Coalition. The poll also finds 61% believe Malcolm Turnbull has the “best plan for Queensland”, compared with 14% for Bill Shorten. The poll was conducted by phone on Tuesday and Wednesday, from a sample of 800 respondents. It will presumably be followed shortly by a result on state voting intention from the same sample.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

934 comments on “Galaxy: 58-42 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

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  3. I haven’t seen enough QTs to really comment on Smith’s performance, but the two I have seen he is nowhere near as hopeless as BBishop was. She truly was appalling and should never have been elected to the role.

  5. Confessions

    Anna Burke was good as Speaker but she was not as good as Slipper because of the bias. Compare Burke to Smith and you see how Smith is of a lower standard.

    Slipper stands out because he was truly independent.

  6. Rex

    You mean I noted evidence of a Speaker willing to rule against the government of the day as readily as the opposition.

    Yeah you are right I do think that

  8. From the Oz:

    [After 20 months of fruitless search, the hunt for Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 has switched to an area identified by a British pilot who developed a different theory about what happened to the doomed passenger jet.

    Simon Hardy, who has made the prediction based on the ­assumption that the Malaysian jet’s captain made a controlled ditch into the sea, said he ­expected MH370 would be found within the several weeks allocated for the search of the area.

    The revelation came as Chin­ese media reports said that, at a meeting in Kuala Lumpur with Malcolm Turnbull at the weekend, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang had offered to commit $20 million to continue the search for the Boeing 777 that vanished in March last year with 239 passengers and crew.

    However, a spokesman for Deputy Prime Minister Warren Truss, whose portfolio covers the search effort for MH370, said “details of the funding contrib­ution have yet to be settled”.

    When Captain Hardy, a senior Boeing 777 captain with a commercial airline, revealed his analysis in The Sunday Times in March, the Australian search operat­ion was more than 100 nautical miles from the crash point he identified.

    Since producing that analysis, based on his knowledge of the aircraft and a mathematical technique to calculate the plane’s route, Captain Hardy has recreated the final moments of the flight on a simulator.

    “I am fairly confident that wreckage will be found within the next four to eight weeks,” he said.

    A spokeswoman for the Joint Agency Co-ordination Centre, Annette Clark, confirmed that two vessels — Discovery and Equator — had arrived in the area of Captain Hardy’s proposed ­location last week.]

  9. [LOL Turnbull calling coal relatively clean. An admission its dirty]

    did he say that? relative to what? “clean compared to low temperature and unfiltered incineration of chlorinated plastics”? I can’t think of dirtier fuel – unless he is implying our exported black coal is cleaner than the the brown coal we burn at home – and india and china have brown coal reserves too. he is a sell out. shorten is no better in coal.

  12. Kohler

    […The problem that Benoit Coeure is calling out is that policies focused on growing demand by lowering the price of credit are not enough, especially when debt is already high and firms and governments are not investing.

    More fundamentally, he’s saying that policymakers don’t actually know what to do any more.

    “More research is needed,” he said more than once. If monetary policy doesn’t work any more, what will?
    …]

  13. re: Adam Giles and his current CLP NT government.

    The most incompetent adolescent bunch of effwits I have ever seen in government. I have yet to speak to a single person who thinks handing over control of the port to the Chinese (or any other foreign power) is a good idea. Most of them are just stunned, can’t believe it happened.

    CLP will be lucky if they can claim formal party status after the next NT election.

  14. [Speaker Smith is acting just as ‘independently’ as Slipper ever did.]

    Rex, Slipper sat down government ministers regularly when they did not stick to answering the question. Smith’s definition of relevance, when it comes to answering the question, is almost as elastic as his immediate predecessor’s. Smith is an average party hack speaker. He is made to look much better that he is by his immediate predecessor, in the same way that Turnbull is made to look much better than he is by his immediate predecessor.

  16. [“@MrSimonTaylor: We’ll stop burning coal as soon as the Government works out how to tax sunlight.”]

    More a case that they will stop burning coal as soon as the spiv business people who back this government work out a way to make a motza from sunlight. And then the government will gift them a loophole or two to avoid paying tax.

  17. The Senate Amendment has opened the way to this question to be put to Mr Turnbull.

    Do you support child abuse or not?

    Should be an interesting week.

  22. @KerryOBrien: Tonight is my last hurrah on #4Corners. Too much to say in 140 characters. But thanks to @ABCTV audiences for years of shared experiences.

  25. MTBW

    Yes one of the last quality journalists even if we have not had many interviews from him lately.

    I remember the hate of the LNP over his hosting of political debates. Independent again not good enough for them.

  26. [Labor today successfully passed amendments to the Migration and Maritime Powers Amendment Bill 2015 in the Senate to ensure children and parents or guardians are removed from immigration detention within 30 days.]

    [Children should only be in detention for as long as it takes to undertake health, identity and security checks.

    It is also important that we keep family units together where ever possible.

    That is why Labor moved to see the legislation amended to ensure that the Minister is not required to make a determination in cases where one or both of the parents or guardians have received an adverse security assessment from ASIO.

    In such cases, the minor will be able to choose to stay with their parent or guardian in detention if they so choose.]

    [Legislation has also been amended to enshrine mandatory reporting of child abuse, including sexual abuse in Australian funded detention centres.

    Labor also voted to improve journalist access to detention facilities – both in Australia and within the Regional Processing network.]

    This should cheer ModLib up!

    Source: press release from Richard Marles, can’t link to it (I’m on the email stream).

  28. I don’t watch much TV And don’t watch Qn time, so tell me, it is early enough to say whether Mal has got the stamina for the job? How’s he bearing up?

  29. “@sarahinthesen8: The senate has voted for Greens amends to release children from detention, journalists access to detention camps & protect whistle-blowers”

    So zoomster whose amendments are they?

  30. [ whether Mal has got the stamina for the job? ]

    I reckon he is showing the strain. Internal sniping, and now the Brough / Ashby stuff coming up.

    WTF he was thinking promoting Brough to the front bench i dont know. Hopefully it will develop into a situation where he has to dump Brough who is not known as a “nice” player and who may not go quietly. Wonder if all this will drag Pyne through the mud as well??

  31. Greens media release:

    MEDIA RELEASE

    Monday, 23 November 2015

    Greens move today to remove children from detention by Christmas

    The Australia Greens will move amendments to a migration bill in the Senate today to bring about an end to the government’s practice of locking up children in immigration detention.

    “Children don’t belong behind bars and they should all be released by Christmas,” the Greens’ immigration spokesperson, Senator Sarah Hanson-Young said.

    “The Turnbull government must chart a new course and show that it is not willing to lock up innocent children indefinitely.”

    The Greens will move amendments to the ‘Migration and Maritime Powers Amendment Bill (No. 1) 2015’ in the Senate today that would, among other things;

    – See children removed from immigration detention in Australia and,

    – Make the reporting of abuse, including child abuse, within detention centres mandatory.
    “The Australian Government has failed these children and the sooner we can get them out, the better,” Senator Hanson-Young said.

    “We can no longer sit idly by while these children’s lives are destroyed.

    “It’s high time this Parliament made the reporting of child abuse in detention centres mandatory. The fact that the Labor and Liberal Parties have ganged up in the past to block this essential move is shameful. I urge them to make sure it doesn’t happen again today.”

  32. http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2015/nov/23/turnbull-convenes-national-security-body-as-parliament-focuses-on-dual-nationals-politics-live

    The Senate has passed Greens amendment to a migration bill that would see the removal of all children from immigration detention, and the mandatory reporting of abuse in offshore facilities.

    The migration and maritime powers amendment bill would stop people who have had their applications for protection visas knocked back from applying again.

    The Greens amended that bill to state that the immigration minister must find alternative accommodation for asylum seeker children, that all abuse must be reported and that journalists can be granted access to detention facilities.

    The government must decide whether or not to support the amendments when the bill goes back to the house of reps for approval.

  33. Also from The Guardian:

    Richard Di Natale is pretty excited about two big policy wins today:

    the water register for foreign investors

    the passage of senate amendments calling for the speedy release of children in detention.

  35. I have no idea whose amendments they are – I quoted Marles because that’s the first I’d heard they’d gone through.

    Obviously both Labor and the Greens had to support the amendments for them to go through.

    Good outcomes are good outcomes – they are rarely the work on one group or person.

    Let’s celebrate the outcome rather than fight over the naming rights.

    Ball’s now in Turnbull’s court, given these will have to go back to the Lower House for ratification.

  37. Imacca – I suspect that Mal is quite lazy. He’s never had a serious job in his life (Goldman Sachs doesn’t count) and he’s never had to fight an election campaign as leader. I think he’ll be happy to flounce around as leader but won’t do the hard yards on policy or bringing his party onside. In other words he’ll read whatever script Morrison gives him. I’ve seen some pics that suggest he’s aged a lot in the last two months (as you do)
    Anyway, we will see.

  39. Senate amendments mean SFA unless the Government is going to pass them on the House of Reps.

    A complete waste of the Parliament’s time if they aren’t going to be passed.

  40. [Senate amendments mean SFA unless the Government is going to pass them on the House of Reps.

    A complete waste of the Parliament’s time if they aren’t going to be passed.]

    It is not a waste of time it is very important for the Australian Senate to show that even if the Government and HoR is controlled by evil scum that is not representative of our great nation.

  43. [I have no idea whose amendments they are – I quoted Marles because that’s the first I’d heard they’d gone through.]
    And Marle’s email gives the impression the amendments were Labor’s when they were not.

  46. “@ASRC1: A big thanks to @sarahinthesen8 for introducing amendment & @GreensMPs @AustralianLabor & the Cross Bench Senators for voting for #KidsOut!”

  49. [“@TheKouk: Judith Sloan vs @yanisvaroufakis on Qanda tonight. Worth a look I reckon”]

    Doesn’t seem a very fair competition

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