Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

What will presumably be one of the final results from the Newspoll organisation finds both major parties down on the primary vote, but with Labor’s two-party preferred lead slightly up on the previous result.

GhostWhoVotes tweets that Newspoll has come in with Labor’s lead at 52-48, up from 51-49 in the last result three weeks ago, and also the previous result a fortnight before that. Both major parties are down slightly on the primary vote, the Coalition by two to 39% and Labor by one to 35%, with the Greens up one to 12%. Tony Abbott’s personal ratings continue to recover, his approval rating up four to 37% and disapproval down three to 56%. Bill Shorten’s are stable after trending downwards for some time, with approval up a point to 34% and disapproval down one to 50%. Reflecting the primary vote, both leaders record lower this time on preferred prime minister, recording a 38-38 tie after Shorten led 41-40 last time out. It was also announced today by The Australian that Newspoll as we know it will shortly be coming to an end, with the company that has conducted it since 1985 to be wound up and the poll series hence forth to be conducted by Galaxy, albeit still under the Newspoll brand.

Also out today was the fortnightly Morgan face-to-face plus SMS poll, compiled over two weekends of polling from a sample of 3035. This put the Coalition’s primary vote at 40%, up 1.5% from a fortnight ago, with Labor and the Greens both down half a point, to 37.5% and 11.5% respectively, and Palmer United up half a point to 1.5%. A more favourable flow of preferences this time out nonetheless resulted in Labor gaining slightly on the respondent-allocated result, their lead up from 53-47 to 53.5-46.5, while the previous election preferences result had the lead subsiding from 54-46 to 53-47.

UPDATE (Essential Research): No change of any kind in Essential Research this week, unless you count a one point drop for Palmer United – the primary votes are Coalition 40%, Labor 39%, Greens 10%, Palmer United 1%, with Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred. Among the other questions are a finding that 40% approve and 42% disapprove of “some form of action” against Indonesia over the Bali nine executions, while 26% believe the government’s handling of relations with Indonesia has been good versus 42% for poor. The poll finds 35% indicating some or a lot of trust in the Abbott government’s handling of international relations, compared with 58% for little or no trust, which is respectively up two and down four since the question was last asked at a lower point in the Coalition’s polling fortunes in February. A question on the importance of close relations with various countries yields no significant change since February, with the United States, China and United Kingdom rated highest. The poll also finds 43% in support of subsidies for nannies, with 31% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,161 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

Comments Page 4 of 24
1 … 3 4 5 … 24

  3. Its interesting how a so called mature grown up government can lock the CPA, one of this countries leading professional bodies out of its budget development.

    Just when will we have a government that is grown up or at least has grown out of nappies.

  5. poroti@115

    confessions

    If they move there they better be able to afford to buy their own home. Checked out a real estate page and median rents in Port Hedland are….

    3 BR $1,200 PW

    4 BR $1,925 PW

    Whatever happened to the idea of company provided housing?

    When I spent some time at Weipa, the company had built the town lock stock and barrel and all the workforce and their families lived in company provided housing at a reasonable rent.

  6. [Its interesting how a so called mature grown up government can lock the CPA]

    This was reversed days ago. Said to be an oversight by Treasury. Not surprising as they are not a press organisation.

  7. [I am not a big fan of Shorten and I wonder whether this is the beginning of a fall in his numbers.]

    So who is your next prospect? Threatious Bowen ?

  9. “@ABCNews24: Jenny Macklin: Macklin: We call on Mr Abbott and Mr Hockey to take cuts to pension indexation out of the Budget #auspol #Budget2015”

  10. 155

    Fringe Benefit Tax?

    Employer stinginess?

    Lower employee bargaining power?

    Employer provided housing had been on a downward trend for many years.

  11. [More than $21 million worth of cocaine has turned up in boxes of bananas delivered to Aldi supermarkets in and around the German capital Berlin, police say.]

    Puts a different slant on Aldi’s motto + slogan “We buy the best for less, so you can too” , “Spend a little Live a lot”

  14. poroti

    [Puts a different slant on Aldi’s motto + slogan “We buy the best for less, so you can too” , “Spend a little Live a lot”]

    I often buy bananas for my nephews children.

    The last thing I need is for them to be more energetic!

  15. [ When I spent some time at Weipa, the company had built the town lock stock and barrel and all the workforce and their families lived in company provided housing at a reasonable rent. ]

    My understanding is that used to be pretty much the model applied to remote mining developments with quite a lot of the infrastructure provided by state govts.

    If any company has expectations that workers will relocate families at their own expense to places like Pt Hedland, and pay private rents or buy their own homes there in the current mining boom wound down climate (where employment is rather less secure than a couple of years ago) then they are dreaming.

  18. Alberici spoke to privacy Commissioner last night.

    He said that 50% of people DO read the privacy policy of sites they visit, AND 60% don’t go to the site if they disagree with the policy.

    Can anyone make sense of tis nonsense?

    Alberici had earlier said that most privacy policies were 3k-4K words long.

    Does anyone know anyone amongst the 50% who read every privacy policy!!!!!!

  22. this is from the House of reps inquiry into FIFO

    Explains a bit why FIFO is more attractive than the old practice of building towns

    Old style pro development Tories like Charles Court would be appalled by FIFO

    [5.7 Broadly, the following tax benefits are available to companies utilising a FIFO workforce:
     costs associated with providing a FIFO workforce, including flights and accommodation are able to be ‘written off’ as cost of production;
     where flights and accommodation are paid by the employer rather than increased salary to fund these individually, the employee does not pay income tax or goods and services tax (GST);
     FIFO workers may be able to claim LAFHAs and remote area zone tax offsets; and
     housing subsidies paid to a permanent residential workforce attract FBT. In those communities where companies provide residential housing, to avoid FBT implications, companies can rent housing for a 50 per cent FBT concession, which contributes to the high residential rental market.]

  25. imacca

    [My understanding is that used to be pretty much the model applied to remote mining developments]

    Not only remote mining. Two hundred portable houses put up in S-W NSW Ardlethan for the tin miners in the 60’s.

    When the tin mine closed they were all sold off.

    Half of Ardlethen gone.

  29. CTar1

    Give him time! I would like to see a Dreyfuss Husic leadership team.

    Neither have a lot of baggage and both are smart and engaged.

  32. Ctar1

    I think Husic has a gentle way about him which would go down well with voters who are sick of being screamed at.

  33. A Good Laugh :

    Scientists at the Parkes telescope in central west New South Wales have discovered that strange signals first believed to be from space were actually coming from the facility’s kitchen microwave.

    Scientists at the radio telescope facility detected radio signals described as “fast radio bursts” which they thought could be intergalactic messages.

    PhD student Emily Petroff was one of those investigating.

    “We were getting some strange signals that appeared to be coming from very nearby,” she said.

    Ms Petroff said the source of these strange signals had now been identified as coming from the facility’s kitchen.

    “We were actually able to trace them back to the microwave at the Parkes radio telescope site.”

    She said the signals were sent when someone opened the microwave door before the heating process was finished.

    “It turns out that you can generate these particular local signals by opening the door of the microwave to stop the microwave, and that produces these weird bursts that we’re seeing at Parkes,” she said.

    “It was kind of a surprise to all of us.”

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-05-05/scientists-discover-signals-being-sent-by-kitchen-microwave/6445570

  34. MTBW

    [Give him time! I would like to see a Dreyfuss Husic leadership team.]

    A Jew and a Muslim! At least the RWNJs will probably all die of fright!

  37. I know this is a state issue and people here don’t really like talking about state issues generally unless there’s an election nearby, but the Herald Sun today has a small bit on the proposed station near Southland Shopping Centre and a naming dispute surrounding it.

    My focus more is on the people who complain about the loss of 30 parking spots for station infrastructure, which I think is rather miniscule compared to how many people will start coming by train and leaving their cars at home. Not to mention the increased number of people who would never have driven to Southland anyway.

  38. phoenix

    [have discovered that strange signals first believed to be from space were actually coming from the facility’s kitchen microwave.]

    😀

  39. MTBW

    [with voters who are sick of being screamed at.]

    Speaking of ‘yellers’ ex-SBS reporter Yelda Hakim now on BBC.

    Someones tamed her a bit – half an BBC accent and not yelling now.

  46. DFAT doesn’t want you to know the truth about TPP:

    Erin Turner ‏@ErinLTurner 11m11 minutes ago

    DFAT ask stakeholders to comment on broad ideas, not details, for treaty negotiations. Absurd to comment on text you haven’t seen #TPP

  48. Raaraa

    Re new Southland station

    This issue has been very much in the news and the feeling I am getting from the locals (I work and live in the area) is that it is long overdue. The Council is also very keen and supportive of this project as well.

    I regularly travel past the site of the new station by train and the carpark these people are referring to is basically an ‘overflow’ carpark and is rarely full so there will be little if any impact on the loss of a few spaces.

    The Herald Sun (now that Labour is in government) will no doubt try and make some mileage out of this project along the lines of cost overruns, delays, and other nonsense given their typically anti-public transport stance. The Leader local papers of which there are two in the area will be interesting to watch to see how they support this valuable project.

  49. UK now needs fiber internet or risk energy issues in the future:

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/britain-may-be-forced-to-ration-the-internet-expert-warns-as-web-use-could-consume-100-of-nations-power-supply-by-2035-10222638.html

    “Prof Ellis said the major telecom operators alone account for national energy consumption equivalent to the output of three nuclear power stations, and rising internet demand could consume the nation’s entire power supply by approximately 2035.”

  50. MTBW@179

    CTar1

    Give him time! I would like to see a Dreyfuss Husic leadership team.

    Neither have a lot of baggage and both are smart and engaged.

    Both from the right of the party. Interesting.

Comments Page 4 of 24
1 … 3 4 5 … 24

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *