BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor

Not much movement in the weekly federal poll aggregate, although what little change there has been is consistent with a recent trend to Labor.

Only one new federal poll this week, that being the always reliable Essential Research, and it has made only the most negligible of differences to the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate numbers. Nonetheless, the 0.2% shift to Labor on two-party preferred is sufficient to score them an extra seat in Queensland on the seat projection. Essential also provided its once-monthly new data point for the leadership ratings, and while Bill Shorten is up a little on net approval, here too there is no real change worth writing home about.

If you’re after a meatier read than this post has been able to offer, you may enjoy my paywalled article in Crikey yesterday on the apparent leftward drift in voter sentiment over the past two decades, and the absence of the growing polarisation so widely noted in the United States. I also have a rather extensive new post on developments in the Victorian election campaign.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,867 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor”

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  1. [
    Posted Monday, November 17, 2014 at 10:17 pm | PERMALINK
    Qanda is the Turnbull Hour.
    Why am I watching this crap?]

    I stopped watching that “Punch and Judy” shit years ago.

    I am always shocked PBers keep going back for more.

  2. BW,

    There’s a rumour going around that Lambie and Bob Katter may unite as team. They’ll be known as the “Lamb Katletts”.

  3. BW

    I imagine that Deb has gone the way I am aboput to
    Sick of ignorant bullies and not enough people of decency to make it worthwhile.


  4. [LOL the Daily Telegraph doesn’t push a particular political agenda, but campaigns for the interests of its readers!]
    Must mean Rupert is the only reader.

  5. 1855

    Funny. However I do think that Lambie and Katter might work, for a while at least. They recently agreed over defence pay.

    I am also going to repost this on the new thread.

  6. [1793

    The daily transmission rate in the 22 days until 10-11 November was 0.8%. Allowing that projections are not very meaningful, if the growth rate does not change the number of cases will rise from 14383 on 11 November to 18134 by the end of December in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

    Though the scale of transmission is a lot lower than was forecast in August/September, and there has been a persistent decline in the rate of transmission in Liberia, there’s obviously a long way to go to suppress the outbreak.

  7. Rabbott is ferking up this speech to MPM Modi. He had to mention Britain, and imply that both countries benefited from democracy from England WTTE. Lead balloon.

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