Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll records a post-MH17 improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings, but no dividend on voting intention.

Stephen Murray tweets that the fortnightly Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian shows no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining its lead of 54-46, and next to no change on the primary vote, with the Coalition steady on 36%, Labor down one to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and others steady on 16%. However, Tony Abbott is up five on approval to 36% and down seven on disapproval to 53%, and has drawn level on preferred prime minister at 38-38 after Bill Shorten led 41-36 a fortnight ago. Bill Shorten’s personal ratings are also improved, his approval up four to 38% and disapproval down two to 41%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,361 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. [Without checking, the incitement of violence is probably only a state offence]

    If the incitement to violence is by, say, a radio announcer broadcasting in N.S.W but syndicated nationally via the host network does it remain a state offence?

  2. “@latikambourke: Immigration Min. Scott Morrison says Australia tried to take the asylum seekers back to India. #abc730”

  3. boomy1

    I don’t think there is an incitement to violence offence at the Commonwealth level.

    It could be a state offence in each state

  4. mari

    I made a dig at the time it’s taken for William to finish his PhD. It was meant to be ironic as I also took ages to finish my PhD, a fact i have mentioned before. If people didn’t know the context, it was open to be interpreted in a less flattering light than it was intended, which was as a backhanded ironical compliment.

    It’s sorted.

  5. @Neil_Wilby: BREAKING: Neil Wallis & Jules Stenson, senior News of World journalists are charged with phone hacking by @metpoliceuk’s Operation Pinetree.

  6. g

    Over 600 (counted) deaths in this outbreak thus far.

    Perhaps, with a 90%+ mortality rate, the bugs are a bit too efficient for their own good.

  7. [Scott Morrison would have to be the worst of a pathetically bad bunch.]

    He’s arguably the most efficient at delivering on the govt’s election platform.

  8. b

    [It’s reminiscent of a US mobster going the fifth (amendment).]

    Maybe. But their pleading the fifth had some integrity to it.

  9. [guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 7:57 pm | Permalink

    bw

    Yeah its a small consolation.]

    Not to worry. Regardless of what is happening, in fact the worse things are happening, the ONLY winners out of ANY asylum seeker news are Morrison and the Greens.

  10. Boerwar

    Re Dio making it worse. As the script went in the stoning scene.

    [Diogenes: Look. I don’t think it ought to be blasphemy, just saying “William has taken his time to do a PhD”

    (Sensation!!!! The blog posters gasp.)

    Blog posters: (high voices) He said it again.
    (low voices) He said it again.

    Boerwar: (to Diogenes) You’re only making it worse for yourself.

    Diogenes: Making it worse? How can it be worse? Bilbo, Bilbo, Bilbo.]

  11. An extraordinary 3 trials for this particular case. I didn’t even know a person could face 3 trials for the same offence.

    [The third trial of an 85-year-old man accused of killing Cariad Anderson-Slater has been aborted today after a juror ignored a judge’s warning not to investigate the circumstances surrounding the case.

    Supreme Court Justice Michael Corboy said he was “almost speechless with rage” but had no option but to discharge the jury after one juror said he knew the reason for two previous trials falling over and another juror’s girlfriend researched the history of the case and shared the information with her boyfriend before he also passed on the background to other members of the panel.]
    https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/24588342/judge-fury-after-third-murder-trial-aborted/

  12. Mr Morrission is doing as he was elected.

    Whatever concerns you might have with his policies, they were well known in the campaign and are not at all surprising.

    These 157 are very brazen and it seems nothing will stop some from using boats, so you can’t blame the government for trying to keep this latest illegal boat’s MO silent.

    Next you’ll be whinging they are in Nauru.

    Arriving by a criminally arranged boat is simply not appropriate and not the way to seek settlement in Australia. Time for the advocates and the SHYs to understand this and start supporting the offshore humanitarian programmes, rather than those who bought passage here.

  13. [An extraordinary 3 trials for this particular case. I didn’t even know a person could face 3 trials for the same offence.
    The third trial of an 85-year-old man accused of killing Cariad Anderson-Slater has been aborted today after a juror ignored a judge’s warning not to investigate the circumstances surrounding the case.
    Supreme Court Justice Michael Corboy said he was “almost speechless with rage” but had no option but to discharge the jury after one juror said he knew the reason for two previous trials falling over and another juror’s girlfriend researched the history of the case and shared the information with her boyfriend before he also passed on the background to other members of the panel.
    ]

    These brain-dead jurors should be either charged and gaoled for contempt of court or otherwise billed for wasting taxpayers’ dollars by refusing to follow the court’s jury guidelines.

  14. Darren L:

    There is the possibility the case could proceed to a fourth trial! Just astounding. At this rate the accused will die before we get a final verdict in the case.

  15. Post-grad degrees in research can take a long time to complete, and you cannot assume that they’re doing nothing but twiddling their thumbs until they are awarded their Masters or PhD.

  16. The AFP have abandoned Day 4 of the Abbott Adventure.

    Julie Bishop is still waving her piece of paper, and arranging more urgent talks with Ukrainian officials. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians army is going for broke as the Russians quietly move more force to and across the border to counteract.

    Even the 200+ Australians sheltering in Donetsk and Khavirk are in serious danger of collateral damage.

    Bring them home, Mr Abbott.

  17. thingy at 979 “Mr Morrission [do you mean Morrison] is doing as he was elected”
    Really?? that’s all the federal election was fought on? Far right crap – piss off.

  18. [Can’t help thinking that Mr Morrison and Mr Putin are very much kindred spirits.]

    Oh wow! I didn’t realise Russia had a humanitarian resettlement program!

    You’ll have to update wikipedia’s table and include the Russian figures.

    [Resettlement

    Country 2010 resettlements
    United States 54,077
    Canada 6,706
    Australia 5,636
    Sweden 1,789
    Norway 1,088
    United Kingdom 695
    Finland 543
    New Zealand 535
    Germany 457
    Netherlands 430
    All Others 958
    Total 72,914]

  19. Even Steve Price is disagreeing vehemently with Abbott on the 40 applications and the six months off the dole. It’s bad when even the shock jock mainstream conservatives think you have gone too far.

  20. PhD’s are over-rated anyway: Freeman Dyson is scathing about them, and G H Hardy described the PhD as “a German invention, suitable for foreigners and second-rate mathematicians”. When I was an undergraduate, it was seen as a mark of distinction in a professor that he or she didn’t have a PhD. And in a discussion here long ago, Psephos and I identified at least two distinguished professors at Australian universities who didn’t even have undergraduate degrees.

  21. Media release from AFP. The Lying Friar appears to have vanished from the breathless daily update cycle.

    [Media Statement: Update on AFP access to MH17 crash site
    Release Date: Wednesday, July 30 2014, 05:51 PM

    The joint team of Australian and Dutch investigators, accompanied by independent monitors from the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) have again suspended any attempt today to visit the MH17 wreckage whilst negotiations continue to secure safe access to the site.

    The mission will again attempt to enter the crash site when suitable arrangements are in place to provide an appropriately secure area for officers to begin the search for the remains and belongings of victims.

    Media enquiries:
    AFP National Media (02) 6131 6333
    ]

  22. [thingy at 979 “Mr Morrission [do you mean Morrison] is doing as he was elected”
    Really?? that’s all the federal election was fought on? Far right crap – piss off.]

    I am anything but “far right” thanks very much, but there was huge coverage of the Coalition’s policies during the campaign. Indeed, many, myself included, asserted that boat turn backs would not work.

    Well they have.

    The people wanted the boats stopped with even tougher measures and voted accordingly.

    It is one of the few Coalitions policies that a) the electorate knew about and b) actually supported.

  23. [993
    pedant
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 8:23 pm | PERMALINK
    Darren Laver @ 990: I wasn’t referring to their policies, but to their disordered personalities.
    ]

    Ah ok, thanks for clarifying.

  24. DL

    Turn backs have not worked. The boats are still coming there are some AS sitting in Curtin detention now to prove the point

  25. [poroti
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 8:10 pm | Permalink

    😀 Richo talking about MH17 and Ukraine says “Apparently we don’t talk about The Ukraine any more”]

    Wasn’t it only yesterday that Abbott realized that the rebels were actually fighting something called the Ukraine Government?

  26. pedant

    You’d have to be a brilliant mathematician to be a professor without a PhD.

    I doubt many Field Medals have gone to someone without a PhD.

  27. Back in 2001, Steve Price took a very hostile attitude towards the Howard government over the Tampa episode, and would spend his entire program on 3AW castigating talkback callers over the attitudes they held towards asylum seekers from their sheltered middle-class perspectives. A few years down the track, I noted, he had changed his tune considerably (as indeed could be said of The Australian).

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