Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll records a post-MH17 improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings, but no dividend on voting intention.

Stephen Murray tweets that the fortnightly Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian shows no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining its lead of 54-46, and next to no change on the primary vote, with the Coalition steady on 36%, Labor down one to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and others steady on 16%. However, Tony Abbott is up five on approval to 36% and down seven on disapproval to 53%, and has drawn level on preferred prime minister at 38-38 after Bill Shorten led 41-36 a fortnight ago. Bill Shorten’s personal ratings are also improved, his approval up four to 38% and disapproval down two to 41%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,361 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. Here is the good news for the NEOCON warmongers who wanted us to start fighting against Assad.

    We didn’t follow their toxic advice.

    This means that we are not now fighting side-by-side with ISIS

  2. Yesterday a Bludger (capital ‘B’) suggested that Eric Abetz would look natural stroking a white Persian cat, like that well-known supervillian: ?format=original

    George Brandis would also look the part.

    What about Scott Morrison? I would suggest a military uniform with large gold epaulets, lots of gold braid, dark sunglasses, a huge peaked cap and two chestfuls of medals.

  4. pedant

    There was a very good neurosurgeon in Italy who didn’t have a medical degree. He only got caught out when they tried to make him a professor.

  6. A PhD is just an apprenticeship for a research career.

    Bad pay, long hours, more work than the boss, and so on.

  7. A PhD is just an apprenticeship for a research career.

    Bad pay, long hours, more work than the boss, and so on.

  8. [1003
    shellbell
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 8:28 pm | PERMALINK
    Steve Price is a flexible thinker.
    ]

    Whenever I see Price, he has a Po Face on. Perhaps he could run as a candidate for QLD LNP like Bob ‘Grumpy’ Anderson?

  9. [The AFP have abandoned Day 4 of the Abbott Adventure.]

    What I find so amazing is how quickly we fitted up the rebels with the black hats and the non rebels as the good guys. And in relation to bringing the plane down it was more or less my view that rebels probably did the bringing down.

    But the bad guys at the moment seem clearly to be the non-rebels trying to take advantage of the situation and consequently there being no secure access to the site.

    Julie Bishop has done well until now, but shouldn’t someone tell her that she is talking to the wrong people and they are screwing her over.

  10. I hope that Abbott has warned Poroshenko that there are animals in the wheat fields, the sunflower fields and the woods.

    And, one presumes, fish in the Grabovo reservoir.

    It must have all seemed so easy when Abbott did his horse stunt. You just sit on the horse. How could running a country be more difficult than sitting on a horse?

    http://www.crikey.com.au/2011/07/27/abbotts-pic-opp-or-just-saddle-saw/

    There are at least three significant differences between Putin and Abbott:

    (1) Putin can actually ride a horse (as opposed to sitting on one while a flunkey holds the reins).
    (2) Putin goes bare-chested when he rides a horse.

    http://www.google.com.au/imgres?imgrefurl=http%3A%2F%2Fbeforeitsnews.com%2Finternational%2F2013%2F08%2Fmacho-man-putin-vs-sissy-obama-a-pictorial-essay-2465776.html&tbnid=H44GKZyfXBjYIM:&docid=BOXYhnqSJWWClM&h=298&w=300

    (3) Putin’s popularity rating is at least twice Abbott’s.

  11. Darren Laver
    Posted Monday, July 28, 2014 at 9:46 pm

    [Well Keating’s republicanism was thinly disguised Irish Catholic bigotry.]
    When I see a comment like that I want to…

  14. WWP

    Bottom line: Australia is utterly, utterly irrelevant to the on-ground matters relating to Operation Sovereign Borders in the Ukraine.

    In the circumstances, Australia is a gnat and Abbott is but the Gnat Who Bestrides the World.

    The real game is whether the Ukraine will be dismembered and how MH17 plays out in that context between Europe, the US, and Russia.

    The home truth for the day is that the Russians and the Chinese have (no doubt temporarily) set aside several centuries of bad blood to do some cross-border business and to support each other (tacitly at least) against all comers.

  15. [A PhD is just an apprenticeship for a research career.

    Bad pay, long hours, more work than the boss, and so on.]

    Why I got out of research. While I didn’t do more work than my boss (who used to have to front media, travel to Canberra for various committees all the time, as well as have to attend state govt stuff), I disliked the ego driven bullying and posturing of some of the senior researchers.

    My own view was we were doing what we were doing for the benefit of the community. When it became apparent we were supposed to be doing it for the benefit of ourselves and our research institute, I exited stage left pretty damn quick.

  18. [(1) Putin can actually ride a horse (as opposed to sitting on one while a flunkey holds the reins).]

    Yes, yes. But can he ride a quad bike in the Australia desert, get lost yet still manage to make it out alive to tell the story?

  20. [confessions
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 8:46 pm | Permalink

    (1) Putin can actually ride a horse (as opposed to sitting on one while a flunkey holds the reins).

    Yes, yes. But can he ride a quad bike in the Australia desert, get lost yet still manage to make it out alive to tell the story?]

    I would be happy to arrange such a test for Mr Putin.

  21. Re Darren Laver @995: It is one of the few Coalitions policies that a) the electorate knew about and b) actually supported.

    Your point (a) is correct and, much as I wish it weren’t so, so is your point (b). In fact some people think we should be sinking the boats, not stopping them. They certainly aren’t concerned about our relationship with Indonesia, our obligations under the Refugee Convention or common humanity to people fleeing war and persecution. It doesn’t make it right.

  23. Was the invention of trousers linked to our ancestors learning to rise horses?

    And, if so, is wearing budgie smugglers are sign of civilizational retrogression?

  24. It is hardly surprising than unions are (often unfairly) despised.

    The abuse of HSU members and the pillaging of their funds is sickening.

    The fact that the major issue seems to be about the political wins for team ALP or team LNP is equally sickening.

    HSU members are generally lowly paid.

    I think anyone who has any commitment to social justice/socialism would be concerned more for the poor workers AND the condemnation of the failure of the labour movement.

    That to me is what should have priority over party positioning.

  26. BoerWar

    The likely way the Eastern Ukraine will unfold is like Georgia, Chechnya, Ingesetia in recent times. Russian proxies fighting well armed by HQ against nationalistic forces who have decided to challenge the Russian bear.

    This has been going on for centuries in one way or another, it’s just now that the mass and social media being it to our desktops in near real time. In the long run Russia will “win”. And gnats who get in the way will be sadly crushed.

  29. [KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
    Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    Does anyone get the impression that Jackson is several tiles short of a roof?]

    Dunno. Architecture was never my strong point.

  30. It’s a shame that this vignette about Rat Richo has not gotten the attention it deserves today. Richo seems to have a Teflon coat, perhaps an Asbestos coat which prevents him getting singed by the Alpine Offsett torching.

    [One million dollars which was transferred from a Swiss bank account operated by former Labor powerbroker Graham Richardson was likely to have been Eddie Obeid’s share of the mysterious Offset Alpine deal, a new book reveals.

    A fire, which destroyed the Offset Alpine printing plant on Christmas Eve 1993, remains one of the country’s enduring mysteries as those involved made a windfall out of the insurance payout.
    In a new book, He Who Must Be Obeid, journalists Kate McClymont and Linton Besser reveal that the corrupt former Labor MP Eddie Obeid had failed to pay for his share of the Offset Alpine business. Yet he continually pressed his business partners, stockbroker Rene Rivkin and Mr Richardson, who was a silent investor, for a share of the insurance payout.]

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/eddie-obeids-likely-1m-share-of-offset-alpine-payout-20140729-zxxai.html#ixzz38wqXC53S

  32. I don’t give a flying f**k if everyone who voted for this rancid govt did so because of their morally bankrupt asylum seeker policy. This policy and Morrison are simply wrong.

    It’s like trying to defend the Israeli govt murder of children becausethey were democratically elected. Doesn’t make it right.

  38. Love this, total typical Pyne being the utter plonker only he can be.

    RE K Jackson

    [Mr PYNE: See—they are already laughing. Come in spinner. Revolutionaries are not always perfect. Revolutionaries sometimes have to cut corners and do things in order to bring about a result. But she will be remembered as a transforming union leader.]

  39. So swamprat, tell us about Greek princess.

    Tell us how Greeks are different from other species of human kind.

    Then tell us how you’re not a racist because you have “a Greek friend”.

  40. Diogenes @ 999: These days, of course, you can’t get to far in academia with a PhD, and since the Fields Medals are limited to people under 40, you are probably right. That having been said, at lot of mathematicians do their best work when still very young, and if you did something worth a Fields Medal you could easily run it up as a PhD thesis just to get the piece of paper.

  41. Victoria

    from your link, have to give it to Clive, gives good summaries.

    ”There were about $17 billion in measures from the mining tax; we wanted to keep about $10 billion worth. They could have got rid of it and implemented about $7 billion in savings, but they decided to link it all together, take their marbles and go home.”

  42. But I go to the bookshops which specialise in remainders, and when you see something with a title like The Politics of Drycleaning in Third World Countries you know straight away that some poor sod must have spent three years researching that for a PhD.

  49. poroti@1037

    The equivalent Abbott video would be him leading the peloton in gorgeous body hugging lycra. I know you can see it. 😉

  50. Fulfil,

    I had a Greek boyfriend …. It was he who told me about Greek princesses ……..

    Damn, racism is so perfidious …… you can be a racist without realising it…….

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