Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll records a post-MH17 improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings, but no dividend on voting intention.

Stephen Murray tweets that the fortnightly Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian shows no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining its lead of 54-46, and next to no change on the primary vote, with the Coalition steady on 36%, Labor down one to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and others steady on 16%. However, Tony Abbott is up five on approval to 36% and down seven on disapproval to 53%, and has drawn level on preferred prime minister at 38-38 after Bill Shorten led 41-36 a fortnight ago. Bill Shorten’s personal ratings are also improved, his approval up four to 38% and disapproval down two to 41%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,361 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  4. K17

    [This Govt starts cracking down on internet piracy there are gonna be a lot of pissed off voters out there. Though I would be curious to know how many are Libs.]

    Piracy is the least of most users’ concern even if they may participate in it. It’s the increase of internet subscription that will be the major concern.

  6. Most action I’ve seen suggested on piracy has aimed at targetting the distributors, not the individual downloaders.

    Sons and I discussed this the other day, and agreed that piracy wouldn’t be as much of an issue if people had the option to pay a small amount.

    Instead, the choice is free, or pay $15 (2 years or so after the first release…).

    Apparently in the US you can pay a nominal fee each month ($10?) which allows you to then download practically anything you want, which seems perfectly reasonable.

  7. Mari, he had a dig at William. Consideration is that he dug himself a hole. Not serious. Doctors can fix anything…except the PM.

  10. @Raaraa/904

    Both adds cost to the Service Provider – the service provider will pass these costs down to the consumer, with addition to the FTTN Policy (Higher wholesale costs+Maintenance+Electricity costs).

    @zoomster/906

    That didn’t stop piracy back when John Howard signed the DMCA and started to deport pirates to the USA.

  16. Re 909: blasphemy only applies to bad-mouthing deities, so it would seem unlikely that that particular crime has been committed.

  19. [Attorney-General George Brandis confirms Government plans to make it illegal to promote or incite terrorism]

    Was Nelson Mandela a terrorist George?

  26. Terrorist act is defined in the Commonwealth Criminal Code as follows:

    [terrorist act means an action or threat of action where:

    (b) the action is done or the threat is made with the intention of advancing a political, religious or ideological cause; and

    (c) the action is done or the threat is made with the intention of:

    (i) coercing, or influencing by intimidation, the government of the Commonwealth or a State, Territory or foreign country, or of part of a State, Territory or foreign country; or

    (ii) intimidating the public or a section of the public.]

  27. Stories like this one explain why people like Julian Assange get sympathy. Australia has issued a gag order over all reporting of bribery allegations to avoid offending neighboring countries. How is that national security? Are they going to invade us? Nice work, AG Brandis.
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/30/wikileaks-australia-super-injunction-bribery-allegations?CMP=ema_632

    This sort of abuse of secrecy powers is why they should not be able to be decided by a politician.

  30. Hmmm….

    terrorist act means an action or threat of action where:

    “with the intention of advancing a political, religious or ideological cause”….”
    the action is done or the threat is made with the intention of: ..” intimidating the public or a section of the public.”…..

    Does the internet piracy crack down qualify?

  31. Sorry, it is our charming foreign minister Julie Bishop who is preventing the naming of foreign officials involved in bribery. Great. So good for democracy in the foreign countries too.

  32. Has our charming foreign minister Julie Bishop (hat tip to Soc), condemned the Ukrainian Govt for ignoring her UNSC resolution? Thought not.

  33. ABC portraying events in the Ukraine as “frustrating” for our brave plod. Too much small arms fire and shelling to concentrate on anything other than keeping your head down.

    Seriously, they should be leaving now. There is nothing to be gained by putting lives at risk and for what, “personal effects” says J Bishop.

  35. Ruawake

    No, Julie missed that one too. She is careful not to offend some people who do the wrong thing, while seemingly not worried about offending people who defend human rights. A curious mind, has our Julie. (I say “our Julie” in the sense that I am stuck with paying for her to represent me, not out of any sense of solidarity.)

  36. nappin@907

    Mari, he had a dig at William. Consideration is that he dug himself a hole. Not serious. Doctors can fix anything…except the PM.

    Oh I don’t know. Perhaps Dio could attempt a pioneering brain transplant operation. 👿

  37. I just caught up with the news of Brandis proposing to broaden terrorist powers. Why??? We can already secretly bug anyone on the suspicion of terrorism, then get courts to prevent even that being reported. What more powers do we need?

    If this Aussie Patriot Act is passed, we will have taken one more step down the road to being a clone of America but with no Bill of Rights. Sad indeed. The only step left for Tony Abbott to perfectly resemble George W Bush is for him to crash the economy. I’m sure Tony can do it.

    Evening all.

  38. See the CSIRO is heading up research into the current ebola outbreak.

    I hope all those government cutbacks haven’t effected quarantine at the Geelong center.

  39. One more thing on Brandis’ nutty terrorism powers proposal. He uses this logic:
    [“At the moment our criminal code, which was rewritten after 9/11, is quite narrow in the proscriptions that it provides against encouraging terrorism. You have to identify a particular terrorist act,” he said.

    Senator Brandis says that should be broadened to cover the promotion of terrorism generally.

    “If it’s a crime to incite violence, surely it ought to be a crime to promote or incite terrorism,” he said.]
    Terrorism is violence towards a political end. Surely powers to stop the incitement of violence also work against inciting terrorism? This logic is unusually stupid, even by Liberal standards.

  41. @zoidlord/934

    “Or does the Coalition Party and their backers qualify?”

    I was thinking the the anti wind farm movement?

  43. A current DFAT staffer really putting the boot in to his/her Minister. From today’s Crikey newsletter

    [But descriptions of Bishop as “tireless” are getting quite tiresome, particularly for those who have read the two-page resolution and are wondering what all the fuss is about. Resolution 2166 is largely facile, couched in language that is evasive and non-committal, and has little substantive effect beyond the UN Security Council chamber in New York. The resolution has not stopped fighting around the crash site, it has not established the framework for an international investigation, and it has not facilitated the hasty return of the remains of victims. Those who have hailed Resolution 2166 as a victory against Russian revanchism and, by extension, the separatists of Donetsk, fail to understand the relative insignificance of the recovery of the bodies of victims. While this is an important symbolic act for grieving families, it is an irrelevant detail for Russian President Vladimir Putin/the pro-Russian separatists, and hardly demonstrates a sign of contrition that they are permitting the corpses be returned.

    Resolution 2166 is a Pyrrhic victory, permitting Western leaders and the international community to be seen as doing “something” for grieving families. But the rest of the world doesn’t really care about the treatment of corpses in a sunflower field in the Ukraine. Even a cursory analysis of some of the non-permanent members of the UNSC (Rwanda, Nigeria, Jordan, Chad, Argentina, Chile) that voted unanimously for “Julie Bishop’s momentous resolution” reveals a recent history of violence and displacement where the value of life is vastly different to their Western counterparts. Do you think Rwanda, whose experiences with UNSC dithering resulted in the deaths of 80,000 men, women and children, is really that concerned with the repatriation of 30-odd Australian corpses? Or Nigeria, with its own troubles with Boko Haram and kidnapped schoolgirls? Resolution 2166 is possibly the best compromise that could have been achieved based on the politicised nature of the UNSC, but ultimately insignificant and ineffective.

    The operative paragraphs of the resolution can arguably be broken into three distinct sections. The first grouping is an uncontroversial repetition of what has already been said by most world leaders, condemning the downing of MH17 and reiterating deepest sympathy for the victims. None of this is new.

    The next grouping registers broad support and concern, with no additional obligations to what is already occurring. It “supports efforts to establish a full, thorough and independent international investigation into the incident”; “recognizes the efforts under way … to institute an international investigation … and calls on all states to provide any requested assistance to civil and criminal investigations”; and “expresses grave concern at reports of insufficient and limited access to the crash site”.]

  44. “@oliverlaughland: Nauru asylum seekers begin peaceful protests as discontent grows http://t.co/megIZXVDcf via @GuardianAus”

    Also related I have seen suggestions on 24 today the the Child Abuse Royal Commission could look at children in detention.

  47. Josh Taylor ‏@joshgnosis 2m

    “I don’t think any of us want to go through two years of discussions again” Comms Alliance CEO John Stanton says re copyright infringement.

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