The regular weekly Essential Research is the only new national poll this week following last week’s post-budget deluge, and true to the pollster’s form it fails to reflect a big shift evident elsewhere. Labor’s two-party preferred lead is at 52-48 for a fourth consecutive week, and it is fact down a point on the primary vote to 39%, with the Coalition steady on 40%, the Greens up one to 9% and Palmer United steady on 5%. Also featured are semi-regular questions on leaders’ attributes, finding a sharp decline in Tony Abbott’s standing since six weeks ago, including an 11 point rise on “out of touch with ordinary people” to 67%, a 10-point drop on “good in a crisis” to 35% and an 11-point drop on “trustworthy” to 29%, while Bill Shorten has gone up in respondents’ estimations, enjoying nine-point lifts on “understands the problems facing Australia” (to 53%) and “a capable leader” (to 51%).
The poll also canvassed sources of influence on the major parties, finding the Coalition too influenced by property developers (53% too much to 18% not enough), mining companies (52% to 20%) and the media (44% to 24%). Labor’s worst ratings were for unions (47% to 24%) and the media (46% to 18%), and it too scored a net negative rating on property developers (39% to 21%). Both parties were deemed most insufficiently responsive to students, welfare groups and average citizens (in last place for both), with employer groups also in the mix for Labor. Other findings show strong opposition to increasing the GST to 12% (32% support to 58% oppose) or expanding it to cover fresh fruit and vegetables (18% support to 75% oppose); 51% concerned about Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations being closed to the public and the media against 37% not concerned; 37% supporting an agreement to resettle refugees in Cambodia versus 39% opposed; and only 5% thinking the government should be funding religious chaplains only, with 17% opting for secular social workers only and 37% opting for both.
Another poll nugget emerged yesterday courtesy of the Construction Mining Forestry and Energy Union, which produced a UMR Research poll of 1000 respondents in the marginal seats of La Trobe in Victoria, Forde in Queensland and Lindsay in New South Wales, respectively showing results of 60-40 to Labor (a swing of 14%), 58-42 to Labor (12.4%) and 50-50 (3%).
fredex (@1754):
[We are not at war.
It’s bullshit.]
I’ve been thinking that it would be great to build a campaign against the Budget and the LNP government more broadly around the simple two-word slogan “That’s Bullshit!”. It’s nicely versatile, because it can imply both “egregiously bad / unfair” or “misleading / lie” depending on the context.
Eg: “Retrospectively increase the interest payable on HECS loans? That’s Bullshit!”, or “A “budget emergency”? That’s Bullshit!”.
Bishop refers to those who are listening to QT on ‘the airwaves’
Bring back World War Two.
Boats.
@Briefly 20
It’s entertaining that if the Libs want to deny the budget caused the sharp drop in retail spending their next best argument is climate change.
The Member for Herbert has returned to the House in less than hour.
oooooh
Boerwar
Dammit! The cats whisker in my crystal set just packed up.
I do sense that perhaps Bill Shorten is getting under the PM’s skin.
Kevin-One-Seven
I’ve never met a happy cab driver. They’re like farmers.
Morrison is talking about the humanitarian dividend of stopping the boats and stopping the drowings.
Oh no he hasn’t. All’s well.
Morrison ratting on about a $2.5 billion boat-stopping dividend.
@sspencer_63: Reps Draft Minutes say Jones was booted at 15:05:51 http://t.co/KUM6hM5acw
Get on your feet Richard Marles !!!
Told youse!
McCleay held a fund raiser in the Speakers digs.
Burke with the killer line, ‘I note that Speaker McCleay resigned.’
Bruke
McCleay subsequently resigned
“@LatikaQT: Pyne is moving a motion to have the parliament force Tony Burke to apologise to Speaker Bronwyn Bishop.”
Take home message from today’s QT:
Abbott is a shell of his former self. Punch drunk. Doing it by the numbers. His face is drawn. He stumbled. His voice is creaky.
Someone could tell that spending $2.5 billion on boats would be better spent on the economy, not for a pet project.
BW,
He’s seen the qualitative polling and it is not pretty!
The teachers pet in full stride.
Amazing! Bishop is barracking audibly as Prissy Pyne is speaking!
Pyne stunt to prop up bronnie.
Now we know why she has been referring to Burke as member for Watson
Poodle moves to keep donations in the News, well done.
But a senate estimates hearing in Canberra heard that the AFP gave no advice that the Prime Minister should not visit due to specific safety concerns.
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/senior-afp-officer-raises-questions-about-security-advice-given-to-tony-abbott-on-university-visit-20140527-391fh.html
I’m being strongly reminded of the show trial in ‘Blackadder Goes Forth’ where the judge agrees fervently with each point as the prosecutor raises it…
I like this one from Essential:
‘…only 5% thinking the government should be funding religious chaplains only…’
How out of touch is that?
Pyne is quoting Brian Toohey who can’t even say when the event took place.
GG
Sooner or later the rotten apple syndrome catches up with even the most ardent of egos.
$245 million expenditure supported by the 5% religious crackpot minority.
CSIRO gutted.
The barbarians are inside the gates.
[Bishop refers to those who are listening to QT on ‘the airwaves’]
How many kilocycles do I need to tune my wireless to?
Another wink!
Alex Ellinghausen @ellinghausen 12m
A wink from the PM in the direction of the Adviser’s box after responding to question from @StephenJonesMP pic.twitter.com/i3PaTJu3h2
Labor has very effectively got proceedings in the House to the point where the Speaker’s performance helps to detract from an message the government is seeking to send.
I bet they regret putting Bishop in the chair. It’s a massive distraction.
Bishop is making argument from The Chair, her pride is dented poor possum.
LU cited from my last post, which accidentally included unmarked a section composed by briefly
[Allowing that we agree to tax ourselves at some level, the main design criteria of the tax system should be it orders production and distribution in ways that maximise economic welfare.]
then continued:
[How do you measure economic welfare, which is an abstract concept, without resorting to utility or some other metaphysical construct?]
Just to set the record straight …
I’d put matters somewhat differently. The purpose of the tax/transfer system is to foster social justice, authentic community and of course meet people’s fundamental material needs. Authentic community is difficult when significant numbers of people are living in undignified circumstances, or else cannot, for one reason or another, participate alongside others in public policy.
In practice, this means that the tax/transfer system must play a part in very substantially narrowing the social gap between the most advantaged and the least advantaged.
We can measure progress towards that goal in health and housing stats, literacy and numeracy, contact with the criminal justice system, rates of domestic violence, household incomes and so forth.
An incredibly powerful speech by Tony Burke.
[Bishop refers to those who are listening to QT on ‘the airwaves’]
I’m pretty angry at the way B. Bishop is being treated. I was going to write an angry letter to the newspaper, but I need a new typewriter ribbon.
Now bronnie trying to shut Burke up
Struggling
BK
Somehow I don’t think he’s on Bishop’s xmas card list.
kakuru
I’d write one on your behalf, but my pigeon’s moulting.
Methinks Tony may have tomorrow off to go on lots of radio stations.
Pruneface talking about having respect for the office of Speaker. He is trying to do a Pyne.
As Pruneface steps up to second the motion someone yells “They’re bringing in the big guns!”
zoomster
😆
Retweeted by Stephen Koukoulas
Bernard Keane @BernardKeane 7m
Labor – the party of higher taxes? pic.twitter.com/ytwcw0IoxN
“@JillHallMP: Liberal party protection ranks closing ranks behind Speaker – trying to control what members say #auspol #qt”
This member currently speaking looks to be inebriated.
Bishop wonderingly, ‘WTF is that?’
https://www.flickr.com/photos/8699214@N08/3802282108
No respectful silence for this vote
I think i heard Albo say it was going to be a long night… he directed it to the Poodle
Hmmmmm let the games begin