The regular weekly Essential Research is the only new national poll this week following last week’s post-budget deluge, and true to the pollster’s form it fails to reflect a big shift evident elsewhere. Labor’s two-party preferred lead is at 52-48 for a fourth consecutive week, and it is fact down a point on the primary vote to 39%, with the Coalition steady on 40%, the Greens up one to 9% and Palmer United steady on 5%. Also featured are semi-regular questions on leaders’ attributes, finding a sharp decline in Tony Abbott’s standing since six weeks ago, including an 11 point rise on “out of touch with ordinary people” to 67%, a 10-point drop on “good in a crisis” to 35% and an 11-point drop on “trustworthy” to 29%, while Bill Shorten has gone up in respondents’ estimations, enjoying nine-point lifts on “understands the problems facing Australia” (to 53%) and “a capable leader” (to 51%).
The poll also canvassed sources of influence on the major parties, finding the Coalition too influenced by property developers (53% too much to 18% not enough), mining companies (52% to 20%) and the media (44% to 24%). Labor’s worst ratings were for unions (47% to 24%) and the media (46% to 18%), and it too scored a net negative rating on property developers (39% to 21%). Both parties were deemed most insufficiently responsive to students, welfare groups and average citizens (in last place for both), with employer groups also in the mix for Labor. Other findings show strong opposition to increasing the GST to 12% (32% support to 58% oppose) or expanding it to cover fresh fruit and vegetables (18% support to 75% oppose); 51% concerned about Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations being closed to the public and the media against 37% not concerned; 37% supporting an agreement to resettle refugees in Cambodia versus 39% opposed; and only 5% thinking the government should be funding religious chaplains only, with 17% opting for secular social workers only and 37% opting for both.
Another poll nugget emerged yesterday courtesy of the Construction Mining Forestry and Energy Union, which produced a UMR Research poll of 1000 respondents in the marginal seats of La Trobe in Victoria, Forde in Queensland and Lindsay in New South Wales, respectively showing results of 60-40 to Labor (a swing of 14%), 58-42 to Labor (12.4%) and 50-50 (3%).
Bishop has a senior’s moment. Silence in the House while the Speaker figures out who is rostered for the next question.
Retweeted by sortius
UNCLE @UNCLE80075178 May 26
Astonishing, retail sector slumped 5.1% after budget. Went up 1.8% after Labor’s in 2012. #auspol pic.twitter.com/srnuWQV7m5
Oh dear!
v
yep.
BRIEFLY – I got into a cab in Sydney last night and the cabbie was complaining that he just couldn’t make a buck these days. He said that there are so many drivers on the roads cabs are being used 24 hours a day) so that for a 12 hour shift, after paying his hire and LPG (about $270) he took home about $170. He reckoned that a few years ago he would take home $300.
A good sign the economy is going pear-shaped?
Anyway, the driver loved it when I bitched about the way plate-owners were screwing drivers and customers. He thought it was Christmas.
It was a good question. The 70 year rule will apply to all equally. But life exptancy varies significantly.
It could have been shorter: Aboriginal male life expectancy is 69. Where is the justice in the 70 year rule?
Shorten gets a will desist.
Someone please throw Tones a bigger pair of budgie smugglers.
Let’s see how BBishop would handle this in parliament. Abbott would be scared out of his wits at what students can do:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1QL3v9QPegI
[Published on Mar 19, 2014
Several hundred opponents of a far-reaching trade pact with China occupied Taiwan’s legislature late on Tuesday, further delaying action on a measure that Beijing strongly favors. The protesters burst into the legislative chamber, knocking down a large metal gate in the process, and used chairs to block police from entering the building. ]
Abbot is referring a lot to shortens role in the Rudd-Gillard wars.
Clutching at straws in trying to defend budget.
[Anyway, the driver loved it when I bitched about the way plate-owners were screwing drivers and customers. He thought it was Christmas.]
Good stuff K17!
citizen,
Nothing to see!
It was just the lively overflow from the Liberal Party funder she was hosting!
Dutton talks!!!!!! But its shit, does that count?
“@JillHallMP: Hockey has resorted to form by hurling personal insults at Leader of Opposition #qt #auspol”
[65
Greensborough Growler
Today’s RP data housing price report shows house prices have dropped 0.9% in a week since the budget and 1.3% over the last month.]
GG, the RP report is based on transactions agreed in April, so they presage the budget shock. If anything, they reflect the accumulated pressure of poor income growth, now persistent for several years, and the effects on prices of speculative demand.
Demand for housing by owner-occupiers, especially new home buyers, has been receding for some time.
This all stems from recessed real per capita income growth. In all, since mid 2011, real per capita incomes have declined by around 7%. Partly this reflects stagnation in hours worked (down by 3.8% in per-worker terms); and partly it reflects growth in nominal incomes that has lagged inflation. The LNP are now saying to households that their incomes are going to be further cut as a matter of ideological preference.
They are absolute idiots. When incomes are already in recession, the LNP has had the loudhailer turned up full: incomes are going to be trashed into the foreseeable future.
We are at a very dangerous juncture for this economy. If the exchange rate starts to weaken, there will be immediate consequences for fuel prices which will rapidly cut further into real per capita disposable incomes. This real-money effect will easily translate into reduced consumption spending and, from there, to jobs, investment and fiscal collections.
The exchange rate hasn’t moved today (it’s up a little), but this is now the key space for the economy imo.
None of the Medicare rebate goes to cut spending you turnip Dutton.
rossmcg,
Now would leadership coups be on Abbott’s mind at the moment?
Dutton’s lips are moving.
Fredex @ 41
Now we know why Dutton never said anything in Opposition. He was learning to count to seven.
Immunization rates/GP tax nexus.
[If ‘Essential’ were a race horse, they’d be swabbed, and there’d be a Steward’s Inquiry into their slowness to react.]
I certainly wouldn’t use them to carry out market research for me. How could you trust the results.
Abbott stumbling again.
Abbott now saying AMA etc liars
A couple more desists.
Bishop has been instructed by Pyne not to issue reds.
A ‘will desist’ followed with ‘or is warned’. A conditional yellow? New class of warning?
Abbott has nothing left, he is relying on unicorns.
Immunisations at community health care centres would still attract the rebate, you parsnip Abbott.
Pyne, you farking muppet, a bank can’t force you to pay back your loans through the tax system.
I’ve had enough of this crap at QT!
Essential can’t be all bad. It records 29% of people regarding Abbott as trustworty.
That would be the rusted ons who know perfectly well that he is not trustworthy but are barracking from the home team.
Speaker just called the Manager for Opposition Business the Member for Watson.
What’s this new “mantra” rubbish that Bronny has been going on about today?
Unicorn
Boerwar
She’s been doing it all week to Burke.
Why hasn’t Labor walked out and called a press conference yet?
Ms Bishop looks like she is reading intercepted Indonesian comments about her character and capabilities.
Ah Mr broadbent friend of thr mafioso elite, asks a question of truffles
Mr Turnbull is up and enjoying himself.
He is probably the only Government member who is truly happy to see Abbott stumblebumming his way through the prime ministership.
Boerwar
She finally cracked a smile when truffles was doing his comedy routine
Oh gawd, Govt losing it in QT so Comedy Central Turnbull is brought on.
A message for Malcolm Turnbull: Martin Hamilton-Smith says hi…
Also the first time that those behind a Liberal are actually laughing.
RD
Very funny.
Another yellow.
Abbott be very, very worried. Turnbull shines while you stumble. The knives are a-sharpening.
Rex D
Good one
[104
KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
BRIEFLY – I got into a cab in Sydney last night and the cabbie was complaining that he just couldn’t make a buck these days. He said that there are so many drivers on the roads cabs are being used 24 hours a day) so that for a 12 hour shift, after paying his hire and LPG (about $270) he took home about $170. He reckoned that a few years ago he would take home $300.
A good sign the economy is going pear-shaped?
Anyway, the driver loved it when I bitched about the way plate-owners were screwing drivers and customers. He thought it was Christmas.]
K17, this is an excellent example of how inflated asset prices (the price of plates) result in lower wages – in this case the reduction is not only real, but also nominal. The drivers are being shafted.
18% of people think that the Libs aren’t close enough to property developers? WTF?
Another string of will desists.
If this keeps up this will be a historic QT: it will be the first time that more Government members were tossed out than Opposition members.
Abbott doesn’t know the answer to this question so he is crapping on.
Comes up with some crap unicorn about breast cancer.
Just as Turnbull gets up.
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