Easter followed by the Anzac Day long weekend has resulted in a lean period for polling, with Newspoll very unusually having gone three weeks without. In an off week for Morgan’s fortnightly publication schedule, that just leaves Essential Research for this week, which I have so far neglected to cover. The poll has Labor’s lead up from 51-49 to 52-48, which is Labor’s best result from Essential since two weeks out from the 2010 election. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down a point to 40% and Labor up one to 38%, while the Greens are on 10%, losing the point that brought them to a temporary peak last week. Palmer United is steady on 5%, which is two points higher than four weeks ago. Other questions in this week’s Essential survey were to do with political party membership (26% say Bill Shorten’s proposed Labor membership rules would make them more likely to vote for the party versus 6% less likely and 59% make no difference; 72% say they would never consider joining a party versus 15% who say they would; 60% won’t confess to having ever engaged in party political activity), the fighter jets purchase (30% approve, 52% disapprove), republicanism (33% for and 42% against, compared with 39% and 35% in June 2012; 46% think a republic likely one day versus 37% for unlikely; 54% approve of the idea of Prince William being King of Australia versus only 26% who don’t).
As for BludgerTrack, Essential Research has had next to no effect on two-party preferred, and none at all on the seat projection, either nationally or any particular state. However, there is movement on the primary vote as the effects of Nielsen’s Greens outlier of three weeks ago fade off. That still leaves the Greens at an historically high 12.0%, but it still remains to be seen if they are trending back to the 9% territory they have tended to occupy for the past few years, or if they find a new equilibrium at a higher level. The Coalition is also down on the primary vote, which is beginning to look like a trend (it is only by the grace of rounding that its score still has a four in front of it). This cancels out the effect of the Greens’ drop on the two-party preferred vote for Labor, whose primary vote has little changed. Palmer United’s slight gain to 4.6% puts them at their highest level so far this year. There haven’t been any new leadership ratings since Nielsen, so the results displayed are as they were a fortnight ago.
BK
Most definitely. What a jerk
“@paulkidd: Commission of audit recommends grinding up homeless people to make fertiliser for Gina Reinhart’s lawn.”
They’re starting to talk about Australia as if it’s some kind of military set-up…”Everyone will have to do their bit” etc.
Gee Matthias Cormann wouldn’t make it on the Central Coast… too woggy-sounding.
Andrew Probyn looking similarly unimpressed. Now asks another question.
Your country needs you! (To be shafted)
This is all based on a concept of deficit that seems unique to the government – most economists are saying that its not a big problem…in fact this govt had contributed to it…
And their conviction on the deficit results in talking down the economy, loss of confidence, and subsequent recession…craziness..
Just read the recommendations from the CoA, bet Hockey implements very few in full.
No Journo challenged the Labor Mess mantra. Cowards ignoring AAA ratings agencies etc.
This should be a slam dunk for Labor Greens Pup Katter and anyone else I missed.
I am out the back yard right now doing me training.
Sloppy Joe and Boxhead Corrman want me to do the heavy liftin’ and a lot of hard yards, plus I will be in the run on side until I am 78 years old.
Just did half a chin up and three pushups….. I focussed.
What we need is a Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy solution. Cook up a story about the earth ending, build 2 ginormous space ships & tell the right wing nut jobs one is for them, you go first & we’ll follow in the other. See ya later!
@political_alert: We’ve got a summary of all 64 recommendations in the Commission of #Audit report up here: http://t.co/n7Iz3Sei0y #auspol
Mike
I think you are onto something there 😀
What an utter waste of taxpayers money this CoA process is.
“@bsadams25: Pensioners, health, family payments face cuts under Abbott government’s Commission of Audit report http://t.co/RlhzHtt5oV “Cuts to the Bone””
Um, haven’t the Coalition laid a trap for themselves here?
Even if they vehemently deny and reject all the recommendations, won’t there be a sneaking suspicion now in voters’ minds that they really want to do them all?
Expert John Buchanan on 24 describes it as a list of 18th century homilies
Zoomster – thats the beauty of it, from a Labor viewpoint.
Putting a political noose around their own necks.
“@TheKouk: Surely there’s some debris in the ocean somewhere the PM can talk about?”
A new election required right now!
This seems a “where did that come from ?” suggestion.
[The Commission recommends that the Government increase its adoption of cloud computing by:
a. introducing a mandatory ‘cloud first’ policy for all low risk, generic information and communication technology services; and
b. establishing a whole-of-government cloud computing provider panel. ]
This is just a PR scare tactic using tea party ideology to soften people up for ‘lesser’ new taxes and cuts to social spending.
Don’t anyone be conned… again.
So far ABC experts slamming. What are Sky experts saying?
@abcnews: Have your say: Commission of Audit recommends cradle-to-grave cuts in report released by Federal Government http://t.co/7BX2uZCwz4 #auspol
Australians are very lowly taxed, and Australian business even lower (especially those mendicant handout-receivers in mining).
It must be obvious to blind Freddie that we hve a revenue problem rather than a spending problem.
Just an opportunity for more class war from the LNP, as others have noted.
Wow Chris Uhlmann slamming it.
Bill Shorten and Chris Bowen will be doing a presser shortly
“@AdamBandt: Commission of Audit report just released: a recipe for a divided Australia where the poor & low-paid workers are thrown to the wolves.”
Even Uhlmann thinks its a dud.
[The Commission of Audit’s recommendations fall roughly into three categories: the brave, the crazy brave and the politically suicidal, writes Chris Uhlmann]
Shorten presser now
Shorten presser on now.
Proof that a corptocracy doesn’t work for anybody except those at the very top….
[#1 The homeownership rate in the United States has dropped to the lowest level in 19 years.
#2 Consumer spending for durable goods has dropped by 3.23 percent since November. This is a clear sign that an economic slowdown is ahead.
#3 Major retailers are closing stores at the fastest pace that we have seen since the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
#4 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 20 percent of all families in the United States do not have a single member that is employed. That means that one out of every five families in the entire country is completely unemployed.
#7 After adjusting for inflation, men who work full-time in America today make less money than men who worked full-time in America 40 years ago.
#8 It is hard to believe, but 62 percent of all Americans make $20 or less an hour at this point.
#11 According to one recent study, 40 percent of all Americans could not come up with $2000 right now even if there was a major emergency.
#13 An astounding 56 percent of all Americans have subprime credit in 2014.
#14 As I wrote about the other day, there are now 49 million Americans that are dealing with food insecurity.]
courtesy zerohedge…
victoria
Beat me my a short half head.
Don’t overreach now Bill…
poroti
😀
The COmmission of Audit is not some neutral body: its stacked with senior LNP figures, and is designed to give the government cover for the class war it wishes to visit upon ordinary australians who have the hide to expect decent public services from the taxes they pay: wheras the spivs of the LNP would rather parcel public funds out to their mates in the private sector, in return for donations, and run down the public sector to make the third-rate private alternatives look more appealing than they actually are.
The ALP should come out and so so. Ok, Maybe drop the class war bit, but otherwise thats wat we need to hear.
“@political_alert: “This report is a plan to ensure families get less while millionaires get more” – Bill Shorten #auspol #audit”
18-30 yr olds will be forcibly moved to areas of low unemployment after a year on newstart.
So when the area they moved to becomes an area of high unemployment do they move back again?
guytar 217
The problem with political discourse in Australia is … there isn’t any & there is no history of one.
Labor wasted the last 6 years by not talking about real policy & philosophy, now they have to challenge the Liberal ideologues mantra from opposition.
Labor needed the courage to ignore Murdoch & simpleton swing voters.Time now to tie corruption , big business, lobbyists , advisers & Liberals together in one neat bundle.
Liberals don’t believe in small government they believe in NO government.
The Commission of Audit was written 6 years ago, only published today.
“@latikambourke: OL Bill Shorten says PM ‘will turn most basic things in life’ – education, health, support for old, into a ‘massive every day struggle.’”
Bowen tearing Hockey a fresh one. Havent seen him this fired up before.
Short and sweet from Shorten and Bowen .
Shorto good here “This is a report that is prepared by big business for big business”
“@latikambourke: OL Bill Shorten ‘this is a report prepared by big business for big business.’ @abcnews #audit”
“@AustralianLabor: “Stop going after pensioners and carers and people who are battling to make ends meet.” @billshortenmp #auspol”
Commission of Audit: a bunch of Liberal mates handpicked to tell the Government what it wanted to hear.
On the National Committee of Audit —
http://www.scribd.com/doc/221324320/National-Commission-of-Audit-Summary
1. How is the States and the Feds all levying their own income taxes, with the Feds passing on to the States a proportion of their take, more efficient or cost effective than the Feds collecting it all and then dishing it out?
2. How is sending the States the GST money collected in their boundaries and topping this up for states who then don’t get enough money more efficient or cost effective than the Feds collecting it all and then dishing it out?
3. I refuse to take any changes to the pension mooted to take effect in the year 2027 at all seriously, or to see them as in any way relevant to tackling the ‘present Budget crisis.”
4. Cutting out the Medicare health rebate is crazy brave. I’m all for it – go, Dutton!!
5. Medical practitioners can’t waive the co-payment? Even if they pay it out of their own pockets, or offer the consultation for free? What kind of bureaucracy’s going to monitor that little gem?
6. Chuckle – recommends PPL be reduced to average weekly earnings (so capped at $57k).
7. I think their recommendations on wages – that they be linked to location – may be unConsitutional.
8. Interestingly, there is an implication that costs associated with asylum seekers have blown out since 2012.
LOL. Abbott seems to forget that Gillard’s CO2 tax was also temporary.
Is the commission of audit report called “Fightback”? – though it is probably well to the right of that document.
Do they ever look to the US and see what a 2-tier health and education system looks like? Insurance companies will raise premiums and cut services if the ‘wealthy’ have to be insured – especially if medibank private is sold (it should function as way of setting a reasonable profit ceiling – the same way the commonwealth bank did and keep a less competitive sector competitive). In the US, health costs more per patient because of the insurance and health industries, and the uninsured or poorly insured are screwed. In addition, even those with insurance often get a prescribed number of hours of service regardless of need. this means a stroke patient who would get fully rehabilitated and go home in Australia will not get rehabilitated – often ending up in ‘care’ facilities where they are medicated/sedated to ‘live’ out their days. I wish someobe would have the grace to say – “we’re a wealthy country and we can afford to look after our people” – look to scandinavia and northern Europe for a model society – not the US.
@vanbadham: The Commission of Audit will conclusively strengthen one industry – *crime*.
Bastards. Mean, cruel bastards. http://t.co/9aRSv4khmi