The latest weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate features the latest results from Newspoll and Essential Research, with a stronger performance for Labor in the former driving a shift in the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead from 53.6-46.4 as recorded last week to 52.7-47.3. Both polls were strong for the Greens, who are in double figures for the first time in quite a while, although you would want to see more evidence for that before concluding the improvement to be meaningful. The solid shift on two-party preferred has yielded Labor only one gain on the seat projection, that being from South Australia. This foreshadows a certain stickiness that will be evident in the BludgerTrack model with respect to the Coalition’s seat share, as the model accounts for a “sophomore surge” bonus in the seats the Coalition won from Labor. Full details as always on the sidebar.
In other news, a by-election looms in Kevin Rudd’s seat of Griffith, which you can read all about in the post directly below.
GG @ 2320: You should need more than salacious gossip to haul anyone before any inquiry.
You’re right of course. It’s something the Liberals should take on board. However, after the last 3 years, if any Liberal or any of their major backers so much as farted in class, I want to see them crucified for it.
@CC/2348
Spoke person for the WA Goverment.
So how is this project going to solve WA unemployment levels at 5.6% ?
Compact Crank@2342
Think that you are telling porkies there….
You have previously said here that they were your employer.
Not that I give a damn. You’re on the opposite side of the country to me, which suits me fine.
dave – I assure you I am not an employee of Chevron.
zoidy – if you want a job in WA you can get one. Only job snobs are long-term unemployed here.
The false accusation thing worked so well for Anna Bligh – not suprised McGowan is going down the same path.
[zoidy – if you want a job in WA you can get one. Only job snobs are long-term unemployed here.]
I am certain that isn’t at all true, but we are doing very well here.
[The false accusation thing worked so well for Anna Bligh – not suprised McGowan is going down the same path.]
The only false accusations are from you and Barnett, Johnson asked a perfectly reasonable and fair question, the exact kind of question an opposition should ask about legislation of the kind the WA parliament was considering last week.
@CC/2355
Now it’s attacking the unemployed, I’m guessing you like bashing them too?
Compact Crank@2354
I really don’t care.
BUT, you said you were. Said it here before and even stated the plant where you were going to work.
I have no intention of posting that information.
WWP @2358 – McGowan asking loaded questions is not reasonable and fair.
No wonder the ALP got caned on 9 March 2013.
I went off the computer for a while because of the storm, in the space of 5 minutes a street full of cars outside my house went to Zero, storm still rumbling around. But the main thing is Cranky trying set a record for comments when I left he was approaching top speed? when I came back still in full throttle! Wonder what the record is? :devil: Anyway off for a while now as PB no longer interesting with almost a uninteresting monologue in progress.
dave – no, I have never on this forum stated precisely where I work or who I work for.
[No wonder the ALP got caned on 9 March 2013.]
We lost in March because Barnett lied about almost everything he was going to do, we would have won if he’d been honest about his budget position. It is a perfectly obvious and fair question, that Barnett has such thin skin and threw such a tanty says a lot about how unfit he is for the office he holds. It says nothing about McGowan or Johnson (who I loath but if he was smart enough to work out the question it is pretty damn obvious a question).
zoidlord – if you think stating the fact that in WA there are plenty of jobs and that if you want a job you can get one is an atack on the unemployed then even using the term unemployed appears to be an attack on the unemployed. I can’t se ewhy anyone would accept living on NewStart allwoance for an extended period – I understnad there are sometimes structural adjustments and lack of demand causing unemployment but that isn’t the case at the moment and hasn’t been for many a year in WA.
Hmmm
meltdown: Rudd revisited
WWP @2364 – if the ALP won they’d be faced with the same budget issues as the Coalition (unless you know how they wer goign to magic up some extra revenue – do share). They’d be delaying Metronet and looking for efficiencies, too. And you’d be defending their broken promises with statements like “if the facts change then my position changes” etc.
[The false accusation thing worked so well for Anna Bligh – not suprised McGowan is going down the same path.]
It didn’t work so well the second time she tried it against Newman, who somehow seems not to be in prison.
Those kind of accusations are a two-edged sword.
<a href="Compact Crank@2363
“>Compact Crank@2363
Compact Crank@2363
My final word on this.
It just took me under 30 secs to find that post.
@CC/2365
There are more Unemployed Jobs then there are Jobs available.
That is a fact that you need to get through your head.
This is what happens with overseas workers come into our country and companies (large ones) cut their work force.
Secondly, not every one has the ability to move to a different state, usually cost or family reasons.
Especially when the goverment does not compensate them for moving to get employment (such as upfront costs of renting or buying house, tools, equipment and any new certificates required).
Thirdly, many rental properties are over-priced in alot of area’s – not suitable if someone has a family.
You can bang on about why people are unemployed, and attack them on the internet, but these are facts of life.
Deal with it.
It will be surprising if Barnett is still there at the next election.
However, such is the dearth of talent that Dick Turpin Buswell – is still their next best option.
Only when there is a bit of a down turn in mining will we hear tears of anguish and a call for Labor to save the day.
We have a Federal election before we have another State election by which time all the freeways in Perth will be at a total standstill and electricity charges, including Abbott’s 22 cents a day from the CT refund (joke), will not outdo the probable increase in power by another 60% (Problem: Who to blame this time? Abbott? Labor? Gillard? Anybody else?) and water costs go up say, another 20%.
I tell you, Conservative Paradise.
@2369 ?????
[WWP @2364 – if the ALP won they’d be faced with the same budget issues as the Coalition (unless you know how they wer goign to magic up some extra revenue – do share). They’d be delaying Metronet and looking for efficiencies, too. And you’d be defending their broken promises with statements like “if the facts change then my position changes” etc.]
You are right, it would have been a bad election to win. hopefully Barnett carries the full electoral punishment for his deliberate deceit and hiding of budget position during the election.
Tricot @2371 …. and the ALP will coming riding in and fix everything and save everyone in 2017.
Yay!
Can’t wait.
dave@2369
Well post it then.
Fish or cut bait.
Bad for us to win, obviously the people of WA would have benefited from getting a competent government would could manage a budget.
WWP @2373 – that would be the terrible budget position delivering a +$300 million surplus that every other state and territory would give their left ovary to have – despite the ridiculous GST distribution system.
I hope y’all won’t mind me breaking into the Saturday edition of THE CRANK REPORT ( sponsored by Chevron and the WA LP ) but someone might be interested in :
Undercover journalists publish firsthand account of asylum seeker journey to Australia
An undercover journalist has detailed how he and a photographer posed as asylum seekers and took an epic journey from Afghanistan’s shady currency markets to Jakarta and on to a flimsy, open-decked wooden boat that delivered 57 desperate people to Christmas Island.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/undercover-journalists-publish-firsthand-account-of-asylum-seeker-journey-to-australia-20131116-2xnd6.html#ixzz2kmPawC9R
[WWP @2373 – that would be the terrible budget position delivering a +$300 million surplus that every other state and territory would give their left ovary to have – despite the ridiculous GST distribution system.]
That would be the terrible position where they can’t honor their promises, are putting up fees and charges and reducing services, where the stupid government invests in a pointless future fund while they can’t even catchup on the infrastructure backlog let alone the infrastructure needed now and for the future. It is terrible management and probably because it was designed not to help WA but for partisan political rubbish like your post.
[the ridiculous GST distribution system.]
Barnett and Court signed up to it, karma that it is biting Barnett on the bum. No vision Barnett.
Hero of the left Garnaut says get rid of the Deb Ceiling:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-11-15/economist-ross-garnaut-urges-government-to-abolish-debt-ceiling/5095020?section=business
What would he know.
I do hope Shorten keeps opposing the $500 Billion Limit and Terminating the Tax – because that’s what Oppositons do – they oppose – carry on.
Found this:
[Compact Crank
Posted Thursday, August 2, 2012 at 4:42 pm | PERMALINK
@4209 – just on a break until I start in the pay of Big Oil building the Wheatstone LNG Plant for Chevron.]
@Cranky Pants/2381
So what is Hockey doing with $500 billion when they critised labor during GFC for the second lot of stimulus Package?
[Crank
There you go. Calling them unionists to imply they cam’t think for themselves.]
I thought the point of being in a Union was to let the Union Heavies do your thinking for you, let them decide your wage and spend all your union fee’s on hookers and long lunches?
@sean/2384
And I thought the point of being business is to rule the world?
That seems to be happening now under Abbott Gov:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-11-12/maurice-newman-slams-rudd-gillard-governments/5084760
don – I am not employed by Chevron – Chevron doesn’t build – they operate – I work for someone building the plant.
zoidy @2383 – a large lump of that is buffer that is not proposed to be used and the rest is the forecast debt aslaid out in the election that will be run up as the Coalition transitions the economic policy settings from the ALP spendfest to Coalition prudential settings. The Coalition are demonstrating prudent financial management.
Good luck to the ALP trying to look like white knights on debt – no one believes them.
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2013/10/senate-reform-change-this-system-but-to.html
I’ve updated my Senate reform article with a consideration of whether the Sainte-Lague system (currently being considered for SA upper house) would help solve the problems with the Senate electoral system.
I suspect S-L would unfairly favour ALP+Greens.
Sean – you should read the CFMEU shit sheets they put out against the AWU up here in the Pilbara – you can’t make this shit up.
Kevin @2388
Just get rid of them – no voting – no problems.
@CC/2387
What an excuse, used as a buffer, my foot can tell better lies.
My guess is that all that money is going towards big companies that Maurice Newman keeps mentioning, coal power stations etc.
And the wasteful Direct Action measure.
@CC
I can tell you are trying really hard today, your on turbo.
zoidlord – when the ALP went for $300 Billion the APS recommendation was to have a $30 to $60 billion buffer. The APS advice is unlikely to have changed except the quantum will have increased.
I think the Coalition should stick to the $400 Bill ceiling and then use it as an excuse to cut hard and fast, sack mass amounts of workers QLD style and then blame it all on Labor and the Greens for being Teabaggers.
@CC/2393
And yet, Hockey wants $500 billion debt, instead of being recommended by the ALP to have $400 billion debt.
@Sean/2394
Sorry Sean, Coalition already done that.
So Cranky is in the pay of Big Oil?
They obviously pay by the post.
Zoidy – Hockey doesn’t want $500 billion of debt – he wants a debt ceiling that includes a buffer as recommended by the APS.
Shouldn’t Hockey take APS advice?
Cranky
Now you may have to put your learning hat on, I know it isn’t your strongest attribute but please try, as I am posting you some preliminary estimates of the strength of Typhoon Haiyan.
Now try and ignore your politics and just observe the data…
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2580&page=4#commenttop
[Chevron Lawyer Tapes Himself Offering A Bribe In Ecuador]
Nice company being sued all over the world would never do anything wrong in WA. 😛