GhostWhoVotes tweets that the Abbott government’s second Newspoll result has the Coalition leading Labor 53-47, down from 56-44 a fortnight ago. The Coalition is down two points on the primary vote to 45%, with Labor up one to 32% and the Greens up two to 12%. Newspoll thereby returns to the pack after its previous result, which was unique out of the 15 polls published since the election in showing a significant rise in support for the Coalition. Tony Abbott’s personal ratings are still much better than any he enjoyed as Opposition Leader, although he is down two on approval to 45% and up four on disapproval to 38%. Bill Shorten has made a handy five-point gain on approval to 37%, with disapproval steady at 24%. Preferred prime minister changes only slightly, Abbott’s lead of 47-28 a fortnight ago narrowing to 46-30.
Stay tuned for the weekly Essential Research, which should be out later today.
UPDATE: Essential Research remains at 53-47, with both Coalition and Labor down a point on the primary vote, to 44% and 35% respectively, and the Greens up one to 9%. Monthly personal ratings find Tony Abbott’s disapproval on the upswing after a post-election improvement, up five points to 40%, while his approval is down one to 45% off his personal best result of a month ago. Bill Shorten’s debut ratings are 31% approval and 27% disapproval, and he trails Abbott as preferred prime minister 42-27. The poll also throws in personal ratings for Joe Hockey as Treasurer, in what looks like it might become a regular series, and it shows him viewed very favourably with 45% approval and 28% disapproval.
Further questions find 48% approving Labor’s position of dumping the carbon tax if it is replaced with an emissions trading scheme versus 26% disapproving; strongly favourable response to dumping fringe benefit tax on cars, weakly favourable response to dumping the mining tax, super tax increase and cap on education expenses, and strongly negative responses to dumping subsidies for low super contributions; and 25% opposition to live sheep and cattle exports, 16% unqualified support, and 52% support for the qualification that the receiving country should guarantee humane treatment.
Disunity is death. Sociopathy is not much help.
ru,
I compliment you on your reading of the tea leaves on Sunday.
Oh gawd, please tell me that Rudd’s family won’t be lining up to contest Griffith!
😮
As far as whether Labor holds or loses Rudd’s old seat I don’t think it matters very much.
Pity PMJG did not have the padding of a 6 seat majority.
On the one hand, and I don’t know enough about Rudd’s electorate, if it is a ‘safe’ Labor seat and people vote for the party as much as the candidate, Labor should hold it.
On the other, there might be a kind of “get with the strength feeling in the electorate” which favours Abbott.
But then, Abbott has made such a poor start and has not exactly had any kind of real honeymoon, why would the electorate opt for him?
In any event, and I guess Rudd has already sorted this out, any by-election will be weeks into 2014.
On the basis of Day 1/2 in parliament, I do not sense anyone will suddenly think Abbott is some kind of preferred option.
But then…………this is Queensland we are talking about …………the Deep North even today.
(Sorry to our Queensland PBers who are not party to the oddity which is that State as seen by the rest of us in the civilized world….joking, joking before you get stuck into me!)
Tim dumps Ali on the Bachelor.
Worst. Decision. Ever.
And don’t bother telling me you are surprised I watch The Bachelor.
Psephos
[It’s a standard idiomatic expression, not to be taken literally. I expect the Ruddite leaders, Albo, Bowen, Faulkner etc, told him the jig was up]
And your proof for that is?
Kevin Rudd was always going to do the right thing for the party and resign.
I knew he would!
So are the Rudd haters here going to apologise to Rudd for accusing him of wanting to stick around for yet another tilt at the leadership?
Noooo SHAME on you all!
Rudd has again proved all his haters here wrong.
[Griffith bi-election]
I gather straights and gays are eligible too.
The ending of the Rudd experience is certainly not the end of the issues. The main one being how on earth the Labor caucus allowed the position to get so bad.
Unless Labor can regain some democratic processes without leaders attempting to shangai policy and quite a few MPs and wannabes such as Paul Howes running personal agendas via whatever microphone is nearest, rather than representing the people who need things to change, then expect more trouble?
Diogs,
JUst further proof that the more you read, the dumber you get.
Tim dumps Ali on the Bachelor.
For a moment I thought that you were about to say ‘Tim dumps Julia’…
What Psephos said @1978.
Abbott’s had a bad couple of days and look who pops up to take attention from him.
Centre @ 2057
Absolutely agree with you and Albo looked pained by what has happened.
I wonder whether the Indonesians jump on Abbott’s loose lips on 7.30?
GG:
If Fitzgibbon and KCarr are among the other green bottles to fall, then I will be similarly cheering. 🙂
Boerwar,
When two ABC journos of good reputation agree I’ll go with their version. Tagalog and English are the formal languages. Hell of a lot of Spanish around, by the looks, and about 150 indigenous languages.
Tricot
[(Sorry to our Queensland PBers who are not party to the oddity which is that State as seen by the rest of us in the civilized world….joking, joking before you get stuck into me!)]
Tricot, you southerners, you can hardly throw stones, ‘civilized’ is hardly civilised!
As I said a bit earlier, I think it’s a very real possibility the Liberals won’t take the risk of running a candidate in Griffith. Actually be quite interesting – I’m sure Palmer, Katter, Greens et al will have a go – could be real popcorn time.
BH
You surprise me with that comment.
My hope is that Swan will now retire.
BH,
Abbott will have more bad days.
Rudd gone means the regular opportunity for sunshine, lolly pops and rainbows returns for Labor and maybe even Government in this decade.
I wonder whether the Indonesians jump on Abbott’s loose lips on 7.30?
That is what will be interesting following tonight’s interview.
Minerals Council of Australia chief Mitch Hooke said the MRRT was an unnecessary impost on industry.
“Its repeal is all the more important when the industry is facing pressing challenges to improve productivity and cost competitiveness to encourage continued investment and growth,” he said.
==================================================
and yet – Australia’s third largest iron ore miner, Fortescue Metals Group has again moved to pay off debt ahead of schedule.
MTBW,
You closet Libs always want Swanny to go.
MTBW
Albo and WOW Turnbull.
They both acknowledged just what a shocking decision it was to remove Rudd in 2010.
Egg all over the faces of the Rudd haters here 😉
Dio:
I had a critical kitchen moment a couple of weeks ago and happened upon the Bachelor when I couldn’t change channels. My view was Australia had embraced mainstream commercial prostitution.
WTF are you doing watching that stuff?
Why Climate Change action is needed, CCTV camera’s become useless in Fog:
http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20131112/07173025210/chinese-cctv-surveillance-defeated-chinese-smog.shtml
“But with smoggy days becoming more frequent, the effectiveness of the system has been greatly compromised. Some fear terrorists may choose a smoggy day to launch attacks.”
ajm
Glasson is really cashed up it would surprise me if he did run again.
POROTI 1784
Just come in, yes indeed you can play it I just did, but only at no 8 sound full blast is reserved when old rupe bites the dust 😀
“didn’t run again.
By the way – message to right-wing hacks – most here don’t give a stuff what you think about Rudd or anything to do with the Labor side of politics.
How long and hard some of you crowed after the recent elections about ‘Rudd all set to white-ant blah, blah”
Suddenly, the emphasis will shift to who will replace Abbott as he stumbles and falls.
Early days yet, but it is coming.
Tricot
[(Sorry to our Queensland PBers who are not party to the oddity which is that State as seen by the rest of us in the civilized world….joking, joking before you get stuck into me!)]
What states do Abbott, Hockey, Pyne, Hunt etc come from again?
GG
You talk absolute rubbish!
[Actually be quite interesting – I’m sure Palmer, Katter, Greens et al will have a go – could be real popcorn time.]
If the LNP don’t field a candidate, then what does this do to the reactionary minor party vote? I’m thinking PUP would be the major beneficiary, yes?
I wouldn’t want too many Reps resignations. The voters are not very tolerant of unnecessary by-elections these days.
fess
It’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion.
@ajm/2081
Abbott – NSW
Hockey – NSW
Pyne – SA
Hunt – Victoria
I Believe.
Centre
Absolutely! Some of us on here knew that from the very beginning.
Hawker now saying it is the right thing for Rudd to do – FFS – does anyone believe a word that plonker says.
zoidloid
[“But with smoggy days becoming more frequent, the effectiveness of the system has been greatly compromised. Some fear terrorists may choose a smoggy day to launch attacks.”]
You may have stumbled on the only evidence for Climate Change being a real issue for the irrational right.
swaprat@2067
I have succumbed to American Imperialistic power over our spelling.
Tricot
[Suddenly, the emphasis will shift to who will replace Abbott as he stumbles and falls.]
Just go back and watch Turnbull playing the strong and compassionate role speaking on Rudd’s retirement. If it’s not on it soon will be.
Scrap cat,
The trend has been that, the more lies The Idiot and Scoot tell, the more open are the Indonesians. Bound to escalate from tonight’s little sociopathic episode.
Swan could do us all a favor and follow Rudd out the door.
Tricot@2080
Hear hear!
Psephos,
If it is to be done, best it is done quickly.
Although I suspect a few swinging dicks may not realise they are political carcasses for awhile yet.
TLBD
Tagalog is a national language but they have a major challenge getting everyone in the Philippines to use it. Most Pinoys are not native tagalog speakers. Not only are people hanging onto to the other native languages, there is a fair bit of looking down on the tagalog language by tagalog speakers who think that it is more sophisticated to speak, read and write english.
The spanish had a policy of not allowing most filipinos to learn spanish. The friars in particular went to some lengths to learn the local languages but to prevent the locals from learning spanish. That way the friars maintained an important gate keeper function as well as kept locals from competing for friar positions.
The americans, OTOH, made a determined attempt to teach everyone to speak, read and write english and were fairly successful.
The ABC journalists are highly likely to be right, I agree.
But they appear to be based in Cebu City, and if they have been talking mainly to locals rather than to national representatives of the Philippines Government based in Cebu, it is highly likely that they would mostly be hearing the word ‘Tacloban’ the way the Tacloban people say it. It is, IMHO, far from unlikely in any case that tagalog speakers, when saying ‘Tacloban’ have simply adopted the way in which the inhabitants of Tacloban say the word.
I knew I would cop it.
I live in Sandgropia which is also not in the real world and gives Queensland a run for Queen of the Red Neck States.
I know what it means to be part of a minority group.
Some of our northern suburbs are better named as South Johannesburg rather than Trigg or whatever.
Dio
[Swan could do us all a favor and follow Rudd out the door.]
A little birdie told me that the reason Swan was sticking round was to ensure that Rudd did go out of the door. That done, Swan may well go.
[vanOnselenP Nov 13, 9:00pm via Echofon
This Sunday on #AustralianAgenda @howespaul gives a frank & fearless account of Kevin Rudd. We also talk NSW politics with Premier O’Farrell]
Oh no! Spare us!
The trend has been that, the more lies The Idiot and Scoot tell, the more open are the Indonesians. Bound to escalate from tonight’s little sociopathic episode.
tlbd,
Peta Credlin mus be worn out from looking after her two children – her newly born and the one called Tony.