Newspoll and Nielsen: 54-46; Morgan: 53.5-46.5

Three more big-sample polls for those of you still wondering what the next three years might have in store. Alternatively, you could just wait a couple of hours.

The last of the major polls go as follows:

• A Newspoll survey conducted on Wednesday and Thursday from over 2500 respondents has Labor on 33%, the Coalition on 46% and the Greens on 9%, for a commanding Coalition lead of 54-46 on two-party preferred. Full breakdowns here.

• Nielsen concurs with Newspoll on both major parties’ primary votes in its poll of 1431 respondents conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, but has the Greens two points higher at 11%. Both The Age and the Sydney Morning Herald have exasperatingly declined to provide breakdowns, but from what I can gather from the printed copy, the poll has the Coalition ahead 56-44 in New South Wales and behind 51-49 in Victoria, while in Queensland Labor’s primary vote is on just 27% (under two Senate quotas, for those of you with an eye on that kind of thing).

• Morgan has a poll of 4937 respondents conducted by SMS, online and live interview phone polling which has Labor at just 31.5%, with the Coalition on 44%, the Greens on 10.5% and the Palmer United Party on 6.5%. This pans out to 53.5-46.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, but to 54.5-45.5 on the previous election preferences method used by Nielsen and Newspoll.

BludgerTrack has been updated with all of the above, and it continues to offer a rosier assessment for Labor than the betting markets in particular would suggest (though note that I’ve knocked on the head my idea of revising the preference model to grant Labor a bigger share of the Palmer United Party vote in Queensland, which has made two seats’ difference). As I’ve noted a number of times, this is mostly down to the consistent tendency of electorate-level polling to produce worse results for Labor than that national and statewide polling that are the bread and butter of BludgerTrack. To illustrate this point, and also for your general convenience, I offer below a complete listing to all such polls published during the campaign. Averages are also provided for the swings in each state, and by each pollster. What this suggests is that the automated phone polling by Galaxy, which has generally produced highly plausible results, has not been too far out of line with national polling, and it has generally offered highly plausible results. The live interview phone polling of Newspoll looks to have performed similarly, but that’s because its sample includes the unusual cases of New England and Lyne. Beyond that three automated phone pollsters who are relatively new to the game, and whose consistent findings of huge Coalition swings should accordingly be treated with caution.

Key: NP=Newspoll, RT=ReachTEL, Gal.=Galaxy, Lon.=Lonergan, JWS=JWS Research.

NEW SOUTH WALES
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Dobell/RobertsonNP	13/8	505	35	50	8	46	-7
Lindsay		Lon.	14/8	1038	32	60	3	36	-15
Lyne		NP	14/8	504	26	51	7	41	+3
New England	NP	14/8	504	24	53	5	34	+1
Kingsford Smith	RT	15/8	610	38	47	10	48	-7
McMahon		RT	15/8	631	45	50	2	47	-11
Blaxland	RT	15/8	636	50	47	3	52	-10
Bennelong	RT	15/8	631	28	64	8	35	-12
Macquarie	JWS	15/8	710	35	51	8	45	-4
Lindsay		JWS	15/8	578	35	57	3	39	-12
Greenway	JWS	15/8	570	44	46	1	51	0
Banks		JWS	15/8	542	43	50	4	47	-4
Werriwa		Gal.	20/8	548	41	48	5	48	-9
Reid		Gal.	20/8	557	38	50	9	47	-6
Parramatta	Gal.	20/8	561	44	45	4	50	-4
Lindsay		Gal.	20/8	566	41	50	3	46	-5
Greenway	Gal.	20/8	585	45	46	3	49	-2
Barton		Gal.	20/8	551	44	44	9	52	-5
Banks		Gal.	20/8	557	40	47	6	48	-3
Barton		Gal.	20/8	575	44	44	9	52	-5
Banks		Gal.	20/8	575	40	47	6	48	-3
K-S/Page/E-M	NP	26/8	601	37	47	11	48	-7
ALP marginals*	NP	26/8	800	34	52	7	43	-9
McMahon		JWS	28/8	482	44	52	3	47	-11

Average swing								-6.1

* Parramatta/Reid/Banks/Lindsay/Greenway.								

VICTORIA
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Deakin		RT	15/8	619	36	50	13	47	-4
Corangamite	RT	15/8	633	36	54	10	44	-6
Melbourne	RT	15/8	860	35	24	35
Indi		RT	15/8	611	18	47	6
Corangamite	JWS	15/8	587	36	48	10	47	-3
Aston		JWS	15/8	577	29	59	8	37	-12
La Trobe	Gal.	20/8	575	36	45	12	49	-3
Corangamite	Gal.	20/8	575	35	52	9	44	-6
Chisholm	Gal.	20/8	575	46	45	7	48	-8
ALP marginals*	NP	28/8	800	34	47	13	47	-4
McEwen		JWS	28/8	540	35	47	6	45	-14
Bendigo		JWS	28/8	588	40	40	9	51	-9

Average swing								-6.9

* La Trobe/Deakin/Corangamite								

QUEENSLAND
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Griffith	RT	05/8	702	48	43	8	46	-12
Forde		RT	08/8	725	40	48	4	46	-2
Forde		Lon.	15/8	1160	34	56	4	40	-8
Forde		JWS	15/8	568	33	54	4	40	-8
Brisbane	JWS	15/8	607	36	50	9	46	-3
LNP marginals*	NP	20/8	1382	32	54	5	40	-8
Forde		NP	20/8	502	38	48	5	46	-2
Griffith	Lon.	21/8	958	38	47	11	48	-10
Griffith	NP	22/8	500	37	48	12	48	-10
Lilley		JWS	28/8	757	40	48	5	46	-7
Griffith	JWS	28/8	551	48	40	7	57	-1
Blair		Gal.	29/8	604	39	40	8	50	-4
Dawson		Gal.	29/8	550	34	48	4	43	-5
Griffith	Gal.	29/8	655	41	37	12	54	-4
Herbert		Gal.	29/8	589	36	47	6	45	-3
ALP marginals**	NP	30/8	800	38	42	8	49	-4

Average swing								-5.9

* Brisbane/Forde/Longman/Herbert/Dawson/Bonner/Flynn/Fisher
** Moreton/Petrie/Lilley/Capricornia/Blair/Rankin/Oxley								

WESTERN AUSTRALIA
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Brand		Gal.	29/8	660	42	42	10	52	-1
Hasluck		Gal.	29/8	553	34	46	10	45	-4
Perth		Gal.	29/8	550	47	35	13	58	+2

Average swing								-1.2								

SOUTH AUSTRALIA
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Hindmarsh	Gal.	22/8	586	41	44	10	50	-6
Wakefield	Gal.	26/8	575	44	35	7	55	-6
Adelaide	Gal.	29/8	571	40	39	12	54	-4

Average swing								-5.0

TASMANIA
				N	ALP	L-NP	GRN	2PP	SWING
Bass		RT	22/8	541	30	52	8	42	-15
Braddon		RT	22/8	588	36	51	4	43	-14
Denison		RT	22/8	563	19	24	11	
Franklin	RT	22/8	544	30	39	16	51	-10
Lyons		RT	22/8	549	30	47	11	44	-18
Bass		RT	03/9	659	28	54	10	41	-16

Average swing								-14.7

AVERAGE SWING BY POLLSTER
				N	 	 	 	 	SWING
Galaxy				22					-4.3
Newspoll			10					-4.7
JWS Research			13					-6.8
ReachTEL			16					-8.6
Lonergan			3					-11.3

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

973 comments on “Newspoll and Nielsen: 54-46; Morgan: 53.5-46.5”

Comments Page 2 of 20
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  1. And I’d like to add my thanks to William, as always, for hosting this site, and particularly the hard work he puts in during election times.

  2. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    It’s going to be a long day and a short evening I fear.

    Peter Hartcher talks of the difficulties (self made) ahead for Abbott.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/abbotts-cage-of-commitments-20130906-2tai3.html

    ****MUST READ**** Mike Carleton says everything many of us have been thinking. He says a liar, infit for office will be our next PM.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/lies-damned-lies-and-australias-future-20130906-2taav.html

    The Libs infer that if you can afford good child care then go for it, if not, stiff shit – cram them in to some under staffed, in ept outfit.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/late-coalition-policy-seeks-to-reduce-childcare-staff-numbers-20130906-2taix.html
    Will the pipers get paid?
    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/business-groups-push-liberals-to-axe-penalty-rates-20130906-2tau7.html
    Mike Seccombe seems to think they will.
    http://www.theglobalmail.org/feature/the-abbott-election-legend-robin-hood-in-reverse/695/
    It’s paywalled but worth a look at the header in this AFR article. It gives Mesma some sage advice.
    http://www.afr.com/p/opinion/about_face_risks_world_of_trouble_mbq71Ypxrf1nqgbqHJDuYJ
    Liberal cybertricks?
    http://www.theage.com.au/technology/technology-news/liberals-accused-of-data-harvesting-operation-20130906-2tant.html
    Laurie Oakes is less than enthusiastic about Abbott’s Prime Ministerial ability.
    http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/opinion/laurie-oakes-if-tony-abbott-remains-a-weather-vane-he-will-not-succeed-as-pm/story-fni6unxq-1226713602119
    And it’s a sad farewell to a fine MP, Greg Combet.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/greg-combet-slams-tony-abbotts-climate-change-workplace-policies-20130906-2t8zm.html

  3. And of course the comments about the ALP’s problems I think apply just as much to the Libs if not more so.

    The Libs are not in rude health – they can carry on for now because they are in power, but when the wheel turns they will be in just as much doo-doo as the ALP is now.

  4. The ALP is resilient, win lose or draw today it will continue. And remember how bad it was in 1966 ALP got a tick over 43% TPP and guess what it’s still here.

  5. liberal VOTERS PARENTS AND GRANPARENTS,,,,

    IF EVER U HAVE A CHILD BORN BLIND REMEBER ABBOTT
    ====================================================================47pm AEST

    Related Story: Scientists reveal bionic eye prototype

    Map: Australia
    The Coalition has revealed if it wins government it will slash funding for one of Australia’s top technology research institutions.

    NICTA (formerly National ICT Australia) is one of the key partners of the bionic eye project, building the electronics and developing vision processing techniques.

    It also developed the crash-proof operating system that is in 1.5 billion mobile phones around the world.

    Earlier this year the institution received a $42 million funding boost to secure its future through to mid-2016.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-06/coalition-to-slash-funding-for-top-tech-institute-nicta/4941838

    may this SIN BE EVER ON THE HEAD OF ALL LIBERAL VOTER AND THOSE

    THAT PROMOTE THEM THE NEWLITD LOT

    GOD BYE AND GOOD RIDENCE

  6. The reason Labor needs to shift a little to the left IMO is not because this will be inherently popular – it can’t be in such a conservative nation – but because they need to re-establish their “brand” in terms of standing for something. Jumping around all over the place on a policy issue like climate change (for which both Rudd and Julia must take some blame) dilutes the force of the issue and plays into the hands of opponents. Think back to 1983 when Labor took a strong and principled stand on the Franklin Dam. This meant that they pissed off some of their union base and won 0 out of 5 seats in Tassie. But they presented themselves as standing for something, with a strong “narrative” (to use the cliche du jour).

    Even with boat people, I think they would have done better sticking consistently to the “regional solution or nothing” line. (Incidentally, one often wonders about how the East Timor solution came to collapse suddenly in 2010 and whether any influences external to East Timor might have played a role: one for the history books, methinks.).

    Instead, they re-opened Nauru and Manus which made them look like they were dancing to Abbott’s tune. And this was after they had achieved quite a good wedge with the Malaysian Agreement, which was also a good (and more humane) policy IMO.

    Finally we got Rudd’s jerry-built PNG extravaganza, which is also probably ok policy (but far less humane than the Malaysian solution) but looks like a con job to most people.

    On boat people, as on climate change, Labor gave the appearance of constantly shifting ground. Maybe even sticking to a line of “onshore processing and nothing else and the Coalition are a bunch of heartless sadists” might have done better for them.

    Abbott has stayed on message for 4 years and has bored it up Labor good and proper, especially boat people and surpluses. Abbott’s “message” is basically a few slogans, but most swinging voters dont pay much attention to politics and slogans are therefore fine. Abbott’s one major slip was the PPL, and it hasn’t hurt him.

  7. Well, just time to walk the dog, have a bite of breakfast and then hand out HTVs for the great Labor cause, with Mike Carleton’s words ringing in my ears.

    Good morning, and good luck!

  8. AN WHERE IS THE ESS POLL B O W E
    THAT HAS US 4 POINTS BEHIND\\

    DID HE NOT POST THE LONGER GAN POLL GO TO THE

    the guardian site and read it done by only mobie

    then read how blind children are denied site

    you that vote for him are truly blind and evil

    may the karma come to you all and it will

    dole ques u are lucky to have pll like me
    I WILL VOLUNTEER TO GIVE U SOUP ABBOTT WILLGIVE CCAKE

    ENJOY YOU NASTY LIFE

  9. [The reason Labor needs to shift a little to the left IMO is not because this will be inherently popular – it can’t be in such a conservative nation – but because they need to re-establish their “brand” in terms of standing for something]

    Agreed Meher, have been arguing this since day 1 on PNG solution.
    Great posts from you this morning!

    Off to HTV…

  10. well as I don’t read this place is the LONERGAN POLL HERE

    A MODERN WAY OF DOING POLLS JUST WITH MOBILES THE OWNER OF THE PPOLL COMPANY READ WHAT HE SAY ON THE MODERN OUTLET THE GUARDIAN

    vote I READ IN THE USA BAD POLLS SMILE FACE
    STOPPED PEOPLE VOTING

    SO NOW IF U GO BLIND U ARE NOT WANTED

    WELL THAT FITS WITH THE POST ON A LIBERAL SITE\\\

    IT SAID

    THE BABY BOOMER ARE A DRAIN ON THE YOUNG PEOPLE OF THIS COUNTRY,,,, WE SHOULD FIND WAY TO CUT THEIR PENSION

    —————- I HAVE A COPY SO NOT MAKING IT UP

    THEN THE POSTER SAID TONY LIKES MY IDEAS,,,, THE POSTER COULD OF BEEN BOASTING\
    \WHY TAKE THE RISK

    YOUR CHOICE, hope bits u to like nothing on earth

  11. stan speaker
    Posted Saturday, September 7, 2013 at 5:18 am | Permalink
    Welcome back to tHe dark ages Australia.
    ——————————————————-

    Spencer Tracy – “Inherit The Wind”

    Because fanaticism and ignorance is forever busy, and needs feeding. And soon, with banners flying and with drums beating we’ll be marching backward, BACKWARD, through the glorious ages of that Sixteenth Century when bigots burned the man who dared bring enlightenment and intelligence to the human mind!

  12. RUMMEL I HOPE YOUR NEXT CHILD IS NOT born blind

    just a thought

    join us in the south kitchen

    SO EVERY TIME U SEE A BLIND PERSON RUMMELL REMEBER TONY ABBOTT AND YOU R VOTE\

    AND WILL U SLEEP AT NIGHT AT THE TOHOUGHT OF A PERSON WHO WILL STOP THE BIONIC EYE

    WITH 25 TH JOBS GOING IN CANBERRA MATE THERE WILL BEE NO PLUMBING JOBS FOR YOU

  13. THER HAS BEEN A NEXT ROUND OF POLLS ESS AND

    LONGERGAN BUT WHY ARE THEY NOT HERE

    ]\\\

    PEOPPE VOTE NOT MATTER THEY DONT WANT U TO VOTE

    THIS ELECTION IS a vote for tony abbott is a vote for Rupert Murdoch will he be pulling the string from NEW YORK

    I CAN LIVE WITH ABBOTT WE HAVE PUT OUR MONEY UNDER THE BED\

    took it our of the bank and super fund this week

    but what I cannot live with is children allowed to be blind

    SO WHEN YOUR GRANDCHILD IS BORN BLIND REMEEMBER WHO U VOTED FOR

  14. Morning bludgers

    I agree with much of what Meher Baba said above. But the really damaging bleed-out of Labor voters has not been of the progressive middle-class to the Greens. That is regrettable, but most Green votes either (a) come back to Labor as preferences or (b) elect Green members/Senators who will support Labor governments. The really damaging loss has been of blue-collar or ex-blue-collar votes to the Liberals. If Labor loses seats like McMahon and Werriwa today, it won’t be because of university lecturers voting Green. It will because of working-class or recently-ex-working-class people voting Liberal.

    And why are they doing that? Partly economic/aspirational issues. Partly corruption in NSW state Labor. But mainly I’m afraid because of Labor’s massive policy failure on border protection. The Liberals have been quite right in their relentless focus on “stop the boats.” Their position on this is both objectively correct and electorally potent in all working-class areas except perhaps Melbourne. Both Rudd and Gillard lacked the nerve to defy the Greens, the Labor Left and the intelligentsia on this, and Labor will pay the price for that failure today.

    In the short-term, the wrath of the labour movement will fall on Rudd and his backers. His refusal to accept the party’s verdict and leave politics in 2010, and his three-year campaign of sabotage, have in the end saved very little furniture, delivered no bounce in Qld, and served solely to gratify his massive ego. He has driven not only Gillard but also Combet (a great loss I agree) out of politics, and will today cost the seats of valuable members like Rowland, Bradbury, D’Ath and Thistlethwaite. (And also Bowen, but if he loses he will be the architect of his own demise.)

  15. All of Abbott’s PPL fans should know this before they vote.

    [The Coalition posted its childcare policy on its website late on Thursday, without issuing a press release or making an announcement.

    In a shift from the Coalition’s previous public position, the document says it would work with state and territory governments to slow down implementation of changes which require centres to lift the ratio of staff to children. It would also seek state and territory agreement to pause requirements for higher staff qualifications.]

    Read more: http://www.canberratimes.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/late-coalition-policy-seeks-to-reduce-childcare-staff-numbers-20130906-2taix.html#ixzz2e9OqtTLA

  16. Just voted at embassy in Lisbon. No sausage sizzle.

    The Portuguese man on staff said they have had lots of voters. Many more than in 2010.

  17. Fran@44: I agree, Albo is a bit of an inner-city trendy at heart. But his support base within the party is the hard, industrial left.

  18. Psephos@70

    I agree. The Green lefties in here pontificating about Asylum seekers don’t really have a clue what moves working class Australia. Hint: It’s not being more generous to Asylum seekers.

    As for the election, even earlier this year, forgetting the headline grabbing outliers, Labor was sitting on 46-54, which is basically the margin now. I can’t imagine what it would be if Rudd and his supporters hadn’t been destabilizing and leaking against the party for 3 years.

    I suspect the likes of Thomas Paine and co, will be hiding for a few weeks.

  19. @mysay – Can you please stop talking in all caps, it’s not easy on the eyes.

    The Lonergan poll was posted in the previous thread. I assume nobody is taking it seriously because people realise only a small percentage of Australians are ‘mobile-only’.

    The NICTA thing is a little worrying but Turnbull says they will be able to apply for funding through the ARC. We’ll see what happens.

  20. [my say
    Posted Saturday, September 7, 2013 at 7:25 am | PERMALINK
    RUMMEL I HOPE YOUR NEXT CHILD IS NOT born blind]

    ok then!

    Looks like Tasmania is going to see the Liberal light Mysay.

  21. this was with mobile phones the new Guardian poll is showing 50.8 LNP to 49.2 ALP. plse let it be

    Expand Reply
    GO AND VOTE RUPERT MURDOCH OUT OF OUR POLICITS

  22. I was just looking at the twenty inch analog tv in our front room on which we watched Labor’s win in 2007 (well, the start, until the kids changed the channel to watch “The Empire Strikes Back”). Isn’t it amazing to have so upgraded tv’s in these apparently (according to a flyer I got in the mailbox about Tony Abbott’s “Contract on Australia”) disastrous six years of economic management by Labor?

  23. William – Thank you for the daily blogging during this election. I have been reading everyone’s comments with great interest, but not contributing.

    I’ll be doing HTV cards during the day for a minor party that has won my support in the seat of Higgins. I will relate anything of interest, but I don’t expect much to happen.

    As to tipping a result,…. well…its a bit like choosing the high water mark for an incoming tsunami. Why bother when so many are going to take a bath?

  24. [my say
    Posted Saturday, September 7, 2013 at 7:45 am | PERMALINK
    this was with mobile phones the new Guardian poll is showing 50.8 LNP to 49.2 ALP. plse let it be]

    I don’t have a land line, being a mobile only house hold. So the pollsters are not polling me, would that help mysay?

  25. I won’t post them all, but Keating is already past #10 in his series this morning.
    [Paul Keating Ex-PM ‏@PmPaulKeating 15m
    Reason to vote LNP #7: Wife earns $150k and $75k PPL would really make a difference on the cost of 457 for live-in nanny #auspol #ausvotes ]

  26. Morning all

    The sun has come up today, it well come up again tomorrow no matter what happens tonight

    My hopes

    Green vote in the teens
    Palmer to win his seat + the brick with eyes
    Labor stays at above 60 seats
    Indi goes independent
    Rudd losses his seat, save us some pain

    The Labor party members here should remember one thing after today, your party gave us Tony Abbott PM, I hope you’re proud

    As to Psephos

  27. SO those THAT WHANT RESEARCH STOPPED looking to find site for THE BLIND

    VOTE FOR TONY ABBOTT

    ENJOY YOUR DAY

    I am going to tell every one at the hand out 2 vote cards

    slot coming up later

    rummell I stood in the cold and been jeered at by liberal voters and

    now I find out the this morning a member sister had kniFE pulled on her

    and then some one followed another voter in the polling both

    not in this state else where

    so what do you expect to happen

    u have no idea mate,

    rummell good bye I still have no respect for liberal voter and less now than ever

    to vote to keep people blind from every thing is what they want INDERTNET FILER DID U MISS THAT ONE

    AND ON THE NET IS A STORY ABOUT HOW HARVETING PEOPLES REMARKS

    IS A STEP THAT COULD BE TAKEN I AM NOT JOKING IT IN THE FAIRFAX PRESS

    SO BLIND IS THE OPERATIVE WORD HERE,

    BUT TO with draw funding from a science discovery that is looking at bionic eyes words fail me

  28. WOMBLE I THINK THAT IS THE MOST UNEUCATED REMARK I HAVE SEEN THIS YEAR

    THE GREEN WITH DREW THEIR SUPPORT WOULD NOT VOTE FOR THE OFF SHORE

    AND TONY WILL WHAT EVER TELL THEM WOMBLE WHY ARE THE GREENS NOW DECIDING TO GIVE THERE PREFERENCES ONLY TO LABOR IN THIS STATE

    BECAUCE ABBOTT HAS TAKEN OUR HERITAGE LISTING AWAY

    WHAT MEAN SPRITED THING TO SAY

    U HAVE TUNED MR OFF GREENS FOR LIFE GOOD ONE

    I WAS GOING TO GIVE THEM MY SECOND VOTE AND IN THE SENATE

    BUT BECUASE OF U WOMBLE I WANT GOOD ONE

  29. WOMBLE I THINK THAT IS THE MOST UNEUCATED REMARK I HAVE SEEN THIS YEAR

    THE GREEN WITH DREW THEIR SUPPORT WOULD NOT VOTE FOR THE OFF SHORE

    AND TONY WILL WHAT EVER TELL THEM WOMBLE WHY ARE THE GREENS NOW DECIDING TO GIVE THERE PREFERENCES ONLY TO LABOR IN THIS STATE

    BECAUCE ABBOTT HAS TAKEN OUR HERITAGE LISTING AWAY

    WHAT MEAN SPRITED THING TO SAY

    U HAVE TUNED MR OFF GREENS FOR LIFE GOOD ONE

    I WAS GOING TO GIVE THEM MY SECOND VOTE AND IN THE SENATE

    BUT BECUASE OF U WOMBLE I WANT GOOD ONE

  30. My Say’s posts remind me of that Possum tweet someone posted here last night

    Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 22s
    Tonight we shall sleep, for tomorrow we shall YELL AT EACH OTHER IN CAPITALS!

  31. [quote]Reason to vote LNP #7: Wife earns $150k and $75k PPL would really make a difference on the cost of 457 for live-in nanny #auspol #ausvotes [/quote]

    LOL, I miss Keating 🙁

  32. Fran

    Like all Greens you paint the AS policy in the most stark terms. Anyone who does support the Greens is an evil brutal denier of refuge to the poor millions fleeing ….

    In actual fact they, overwhelmingly, have received refuge in a similar country. The next boats stage is not asylum but an understandable search for economic wealth.

    The Greens policy is a high immigration policy.

  33. [now I find out the this morning a member sister had kniFE pulled on her]

    That story has disappeared quick….. oh yes and it was a Stanley knife. Has there been any updates?.

  34. Today am safely ensconced deep in the heart of Paterson on NSW mid coast, where the only corflutes visible on the streets are for PUP.

    A reliablely informed that Bob Baldwin has been carpet bombing the local TV news, and not a single ALP ad for the local candidate has been aired.

    The sun is shining and 28 degrees predicted for today.

  35. LOVE IT!!!!

    We get all the way to polling day before someone expresses their reservations about Abbott because he said once you shouldn’t believe what he says.

    But it’s Laurie Oakes!

    Not someone from the Labor party!!!

    DUMB AS STUMPS!

    DUMB
    DUMB
    DUMB.

  36. [quote]That story has disappeared quick….. oh yes and it was a Stanley knife. Has there been any updates?.[/quote]

    Descended into ‘he said, she said’, each party painting themselves as the victims. It should be noted it occurred in Mt Druitt, really bad area.

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