The latest fortnightly Newspoll is an especially bad one for Labor, coming in at 58-42 for the Coalition from primary votes of 30% for Labor and 49% for the Coalition. Julia Gillard is down three on approval to 28% and up three on disapproval to 62%, while Tony Abbott is steady on 37% and down one to 53%. Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister has widened from 40-39 to 43-35.
Also:
• JWS Research has conducted automated phone polls in the Melbourne seats of Isaacs, Chisholm and Melbourne Ports, each with a sample of around 500 respondents and a margin of error of slightly below 4.5%. These point to a huge swing in Isaacs, a small swing in Melbourne Ports, and no swing in Chisholm, with an improbably large gap separating the first from the last. Isaacs: Liberal 45%, Labor 35%, Greens 8%, 55-45 to Liberal (15.4% swing to Liberal). Melbourne Ports: Labor 49%, Liberal 41%, Greens 6%, 55.2-44.8 to Labor (2.7% swing to Liberal). Chisholm: Labor 51%, Liberal 42%, Greens 3%, 55.6-44.4 to Labor (0.2% swing to Liberal).
• Essential Research has Labor regaining the primary vote point they lost last week, now at 35%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8% and two-party preferred steady at 55-45. Other findings suggest support for higher renewable energy targets (11% think the current 20% target by 2020 too high, 33% about right, and 40% not high enough), wind farms (76% support, 11% oppose), compulsory vaccination (87% support, 7% oppose), the right of childcare centres to refuse children who have not been vaccinated (78% support, 11% oppose), and a ban on advertising of sports betting (78% support, 12% oppose), and opposition to privatisation of the ABC and SBS (15% support, 57% oppose). Fifty-two per cent think it important that Australia have a car manufacturing industry against 35% not important; 61% favoured a proposition that “with government support, Australia can have a successful manufacturing industry” against 22% for “there is no future for manufacturing in Australia and government support would be a waste of money”.
• Morgan has Labor down two points on the primary vote to 31.5%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 45.5% and 9.5%. The move against Labor is softened by preferences on the respondent-allocated two-party preferred measure, on which the Coalition lead shifts from 54.5-45.5 to 55-45. On previous election preferences, the change is from 54.5-45.5 to 55.5-44.5.
As a QLD’er i think it’s time we let Victoria play in State of Origin.
We need someone new to beat.
In breaking rugger bugger news the British and Irish Lions just snuck in against Sandgropia 60 odd vs 17. Bananabenders are next in the firing line.
[2346
daretotread
Briefly
Those great matters???
GFC – er no Rudd managed that
AS – lurch to the right. Hmmm not sure it is great matter of state
Mining tax backdown to jump to the beck and call of Gina and the AWU. Matter of money not state.]
My lips are sealed.
Out of interest, had the Henry Tax become law, and, as now seems likely, Forrest’s Fortescue iron mines and Rhinehart’s Roy Hill iron mine were to become unprofitable (along with half the coal mines in QLD, including those owned by Palmer), taxpayers would have to shell out to the cover 40% of the capital losses. Fixing up the Henry Tax was absolutely essential.
@Sean/2351
For once I agree with you…
It Ain’t State of Origin if others are not in.
I think everyone should get behind the state of origami.
referee dodgy / wrong calls MVP for NSW who won but shouldn’t have.
If RL was popular on the west coast of the US we could have the State of Oregon
ive been reading large books on democracy history and rights and think what has happened is that june 2010 violated some basic sense of electoral representations and also personal fair play – am veeerrrry surprised all the opinion surveys and public research of alp has not found out source of problem and done something about it.
arbib at melbourne airport today, not a pretty site, the cassius of australian democracy and alp.
some of us here have been stoically foreseeing this result for three years. all the talk of bisons and improving polls – by now we were supposed to be 55%.
rudd 1.5 to 1 by end of month – hint of it in age today and he didn’t rule it out again yesterday
courage comrades
Bugger 🙁
This guy from Radio Australia on the Drum is always doing the bidding for Labor.
What happened to independence at My ABC?
Look Geoffrey, I hear what you say but the reality is that the continuing leadership tension has made the government look like a rabble to many in the electorate. Their doom isn’t about Rudd it’s about disunity and everyday even at this late stage some Ruddista clown makes the divisions more obvious.
Gallen should have been sent off, the first try was from a knock on that wasn’t a knock on at all, worst refereeing i have seen since italy was awarded a penalty for the worst dive ever in soccer.
OC,
Leaks. And that’s it!
[Look Geoffrey, I hear what you say but the reality is that the continuing leadership tension has made the government look like a rabble to many in the electorate]
I completely disagree you have cause and effect back to front, the dreadful polling of this Government has constantly stirred leadership speculation, it was never the other way around.
About time.
NSW hasn’t won a series since Howard was PM 🙁
Finally they picked a team with the right cohesion 😛
Gallen,
That’s the way to do it.
If I was in parliament I’d belt the monkey just like that 😀
Suck it up, Princesses.The scoreline flattered Qld. Crap government, climate change taking it’s toll and you want to cut down more trees, pollute and destroy a once pristine environment, encourage the white shoe brigade and breed banal politicians? There is a simple [lol] answer, drink more 4x and blame JG
We will have to disagree but at this stage of the cycle the disunity makes them unelectable and no change in leadership is going to change that
I blame QLD goverment.
Speaking as someone from NSW with less than zero interest in football, I was hoping for a Queensland victory. I always hope for a Queensland victory. I’d like to see Queensland win every match until the series is abandoned as pointless.
Sadly, that hasn’t happened. 🙁
There is more chance of Tone being knifed than Julia.
Next!
Heh. Queenslanders whinging about a punch. Now that’s funny.
Thanks for that Fran. But why bother to comment? Weird.
Oakeshott Country
[
If RL was popular on the west coast of the US we could have the State of Oregon]
With cooking programs being so popular the State of Oregano should be a hit.
Gee Fran thanks, you’re right the people of the northern states should forget about League and concentrat on getting a good latte, do some yoga and join a book club.
I’m going to call it Bludgers.
Firstly anybody who’s read my posts know how I have felt about leadershit.
But I think it’s going to happen.
The Greens destroyed Julia really, Labor was unable to overcome the carbon tax and OLD MEDIA.
Rudd v Abbott 😎
We’ve gotta let NSW win a game here and there.
QLD will win the next 2 games. The trend is your friend… 🙂
Centre,
Earth calling.
Its far too late, the government is a shambles and after such acrimony bringing Rudd back will only make it worse.
@Centre/2376
*yawn*.
Fran
Your silliness is turning me on 😛
The only way Origin is ever going to be abandoned as pointless is if NSW win every game :kiss:
Hey I’m an expert punter and trader, I know when to salvage something 😛
If Rudd gets to win the leadership it may be the only thing QLD wins this year 🙁 the time they are a changing.
[There is more chance of Tone being knifed than Julia.]
Or Mothra beating Godzilla for that matter 🙂
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bhoWfC1L9k
Centre you are going to cop it big time from MB 🙂
[GFC – er no Rudd managed that
I shudder to think what Gillard and her backers would have got up to if they developed a GFC stimulus response. I think Australia was extremely lucky that Rudd was in the chair to both conceive and manage that.
And Swan at that time was nowhere….a nervous wreck in the parliament.
How much fun must it to be working in O’Connor’s Ministerial Office?
You’d be making sure you told him if the Tea Bags were running low.
[Its far too late, the government is a shambles and after such acrimony bringing Rudd back will only make it worse.]
Don’t bother applying reason and logic to your arguments. The Rudd fanboys don’t tolerate anything that isn’t outright worshipping of him, his omnipotence and infallibility.
Meguire Bob is going to have a Cadenza!
So TP where do you think it went so wrong for Rudd? Was it the indecision on Carbon? The attempt tp nationalise mining (gosh how much would we be paying the miners now if that got up) or was opening up the borders to anyone who had a boat fare?
Is that why you wanted Rudd gone, Thomas Paine?
Zoidlord, can you not comment please if you don’t actually have anything to say.
Spray:
[Thanks for that Fran. But why bother to comment? Weird.]
Had Queensland won I’d not have commented.
Contrary to msm popularly implanted memes, does anyone here think that the voters just might do a Sleeping Beauty come September?
Davidwh
MB?
It’s late 😛
I’d worry about the health impact of bringing Rudd back – so many Australians would die laughing.
But then again I’m keen to see just how SNAFU the polls would be.
dtt
[Simply wanting the job cos the other guy is a bit mean sometime is NOT leadership.]
Rudd wasn’t rolled because he was ‘a bit mean’. He was rolled because he made governing impossible.
we want paul
yes the old socialist mantra of disunity has been used time and again as rationale to keep on board the train wreck … i ask ask, where the hell have the professional internal pollsters been the past three years. do jigsaws of arbib’s small posture? if the airport bus driver can explain the problem but to 2010 in blink of eyelid why can’t they. unity in death – i’ll have none of it.
Has Zoidy been carded?
@William/2392
I did have a comment, move along I mean.