Today’s Essential Research result reverts to its position a fortnight ago, with Labor up a point on both the primary vote and two-party preferred. That puts Labor on 34%, the Coalition on 48% and the Greens on 9%, with two-party preferred shifting back to 55-45. Monthly personal ratings show Tony Abbott in his strongest position since late 2011, his approval up three to 40% and disapproval down two to 50%. Julia Gillard has also recovered slightly, up four on approval to 38% with down two on disapproval to 54%, her best figures since January. Abbott maintains a two-point lead as preferred prime minister, which shifts from 39-37 to 41-39. There are also questions on the NDIS (57% approving of the levy increase and 30% disapproving) and paid parental leave (34% support the government’s scheme, 24% the opposition’s), as well as parliamentary majorities (49% would favour a government majority in the House, with an even spread of opinion for the Senate) and the independents (broadly neutral for Oakeshott, Windsor and Wilkie and negative for Katter, oddly enough).
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll likewise records little change on last week, with the Coalition up half a point to 46.5%, Labor steady on 32% and the Greens up one to 9.5%, leaving both respondent-allocated and previous election preferences unchanged at 56-44.
WeWantPaul @246
No, I provided a link to the IMF article to refute the crap propaganda that is perpetuated by the ALP drones… Please read it and make you own conclusions unless the party forbids personal advancement.
Ged and Larissa.
Are they breeders, Tone?
gee these qlder s don’t like each other it appears’
I wonder what tones and minders are thinking now
lol
morpheus since you like the IMF
ECONOMIC HEALTH CHECK
Strong Commodity Demand, Sound Policies Support Australia
IMF Survey online
November 15, 2012
The Australian economy has demonstrated considerable resilience in the face of the global financial crisis, and is in a strong position to respond to any external shocks, says the IMF in its annual assessment of the country’s economy.
The country’s economy has been growing faster than most advanced countries, and is expected to grow by around 3¼ percent this year—broadly in line with trend—and by about 3 percent next year, as new natural resources-related investment reached record levels.
Prudent macroeconomic policy management has supported Australia’s strong economic performance and contributed to its resilience in the face of the global financial crisis.
Indonesia’s plan is to have its own beef industry based around palm oil residue.
There is nothing that Australia can do about that.
The notion that the live trade can be replaced with domestic slaughter is a pipe dream.
With Australian slaughtering costs, including in particular high wage costs and high employment on-costs, the products are, quite simply, uncompetitive. The high dollar, bolstered by the mining boom, is doing the rest.
This is an industry that is desperate long-term trouble.
Nicholls just announced that cattle will be allowed into national parks in Queensland.
Another victory for the Greens. After all, Liberal and Labor are the same, are they not?
morpheus
AUSTRALIA’S FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Australia’s Banks Sturdy, Closely Connected
IMF Survey online
November 15, 2012
■Four major banks dominate the financial system
■Oversight and supervision of risks is effective
■Reforms needed to improve supervision of banks’ liquidity risk management, stress testing
Five years after the global economic crisis, Australia’s financial sector continues to outperform most of its peers, but the country will need to manage risks from a combination of high household debt and house prices, reliance on funding from overseas, and a highly concentrated and interconnected banking system.
Australia is a member of the Group of Twenty advanced and emerging economies and among the world’s largest commodities exporters. Australia takes over the rotating presidency of the Group of Twenty in 2014.
The country was one of the few advanced economies to avoid a recession during the global crisis, and stress tests by the government and the IMF show the banking system is likely to withstand severe shocks.
The IMF said the financial system is sound, resilient and well managed.
“The government’s timely response to the fallout from the global crisis, their prudent economic management, and strong supervision of the financial sector has kept Australia on the dwindling list of AAA rated countries,” said Cheng Hoon Lim, a division chief in the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department and head of the team that conducted the assessment.
The IMF assessment said the global outlook remains uncertain and Australia’s financial sector is not immune to volatile global markets. The country’s financial system has assets more than three times the size of GDP.
bw
Doing it ourselves is for worldwide not just Indonesia.
Morpheus
Why don’t you summarise the IMF piece for us, explain its relationship with monopoly capitalism and Southern European cottage industry economy.
News poll prediction 60/40
Nichols is your perfect IPA person, the apotheosis of capitalism and the market economy.
The environment is infinite source and infinite sump. Extinctions do not matter.
guytaur
‘bw
Doing it ourselves is for worldwide not just Indonesia.’
That was the context I was using. Australian-slaughtered beef is not globally competitive.
Well, judging from the lack of criticim of the Gillard government and the large amount of criticism of the Campbell Newman government, I think I know who Clive and Bob think their worst enemy is.
morpheus the IMF link I get…the other two would fit with your own comment
So please, don’t turn into a predictable LNP drone like the rest of the dregs who just regurgitate the LNP party line and cheat notes.
Oh goodie… some Live Cattle Ban questions.
Shame Labor, Shame
Turns out that Palmer is busy destroying a whole lot of bimble box woodland. More extinctions. But it is all good.
Interesting point, BB.
“@timhollo: To hear @GedKACTU say “no jobs on a dead planet” warms the cockles of my heart. #qanda”
Who’s paying $10,000 a year for electricity?
tweet on Q&A – self doubt is sexy.
In its current crisis, the cattle industry will kill cattlemen. It will destroy waterholes and riparian vegetation. It will eat out national parks at a time when native ecosystems themselves are under maximum stress. It will cause extinctions. It will use its clout to suck capital out of the rest of the economy. All this is in the context of increasingly anomalous weather patterns.
The policy discussion from the Liberals and the Nationals on this set of interlocking issues is simply degraded into a bit of politicking about the view that Labor should never have stopped the cruelty to Australian-sourced stock in Indonesia.
Sigh.
“@SigneWesterberg: 2women looking to the future of the planet 3 men looking to the future of the pocket #qanda”
I’m still not getting Goneskis.
From what I understand if your school teachers and principal are useless the school gets more money.
If you however have very good teachers with great educational outcomes you get less money because they are too effective.
Am I on the mark here?
Brendan Brooks @HyperBrendan 1m
Tony Abbott is not sure if he has self doubt, he’ll check with Peta Credlin and the #IPA and get back to you #qanda
Sean Tisme
‘Am I on the mark here?’
Who cares?
Next week on qanda is one of the Writers Festival job.
BUT Mike Carlton is one of them.
Abbott has self doubt in spades
@psychamuse: Abbott frightened to put motion: Windsor – Yahoo!7 http://t.co/IdBdp8Cd1w via @Y7News
Well this Qld QandA was great compared to the wake they held in Tasmania the other week.
AussieAchmed @multiple
Thanks for completely ignoring the response to your IMF study.. The summation of the article by the SMH was completely wrong not only in assumptions but also because it game the impression that the study specifically discussed the years you have mentioned. It was all a fabrication not based on what the study actually showed. The SMH article is taken as gospel and summary of the IMF study. IT ISNT. You don’t have to believe me or anyone but read the IMF study and look at the discussion of the assumptions. Then make YOUR OWN MIND about it.
Sproket_ @ whatever
I didn’t regurgitate the SMH as a form of propaganda. I replied with FACTUAL assessment of the IMF information but of course it will not make an ounce of difference because it isn’t in the interest of the party line.
so will MR abbott be seen on
question and answers
next week???????????????
SeanT
Who should get more taxpayers money? Geelong Grammer for their $17m equestrian centre? Or a Sydney Western suburbs school with demountable classrooms?
This is not a trick question.
I actually found the Greens chick tolerable on this Q&A
Queensland Greens seem to have dumped all the socialist-alliance types it seems
I just realised it’s Queensland… they are Conservative Greens 🙂
Howard in his last 5 years $20 billion in tax cuts…$130 billion in “middle income” welfare like the baby bonus when he should have been future proofing Australia with a Norwegian style Future Fund
Scoresheet for Q&A:
Kearney did well. Katter and Palmer did loose cannon well. (Loose cannon, BTW, ended up either being tied securely or they smashed their way overboard, often after they had smashed up some of the crew.) Nichols did IPA well. In doing so he reminded everyone that the human and environmental wreckage counts for nought. Waters did OK but is pushing policy shite uphill. Jones was better than usual because it was not so much about Jones, for a change.
I just saw Julie Bishop on TV for the first time in ages – criticising the rollback in Foreign Aid to pay for asylum seekers. That’s a bit rich given that Liberal base does not believe in Foreign aid. Regarding Asylum Seekers, the Coalition are pushing policies they must know won’t work, having hypocritically blocking one that might. No problem – once Abbott becomes PM, expect the media to go silent on the issue.
Morpheus
There are no FACTUALs in the Murdoch press, so you can’t quote them to support your position.
This is not a party line.
Well, My Say, apparently next week’s Q&A is dedicated to a Writers’ Festival, and we all know Tony Abbott is known for his copious output of fiction, so he might be on.
William
Did you censor a post of mine? Just checking.
As soon as Clive flashes his wallet there’ll be so many
QLD liberals nuzzling his crotch they’ll probably give him an std.
“@PRIME7SthCoast: #Throsby MP Stephen Jones has urged the sports codes to negotiate a ban on sports betting ads during televised and live games”
Good on Mr Jones. He may be making some headway on this issue
Good night all.
at 284 that should read $120 billion in tax cuts
http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/latest/17125437/abbott-frightened-to-put-motion-windsor/
A no-confidence motion is an expression of the view of the members of parliament in the parliament, not an expression of the view of a few independents or others, including Tony Abbott and Christopher Pyne outside the parliament in the press,” Mr Windsor said.
“I think it is a chance for the opposition leader to get off the potty a bit here, and actually put the thing up,” Mr Windsor said.
Earlier on Monday the manager of opposition business, Christopher Pyne, said the no-confidence motion would be moved “at the right time”.
=========================================================
READ all
BW@285 – pythonesque!
Doesn’t Palmer belong to Labor now? He is the great hope according to many here. He will split the LNP vote and lead Labor to victory in September. I don’t think Clive was ever a Liberal as he is a true blue National of the Joe variety.
No, BW.
Howard assett sales
Telstra: $50.24 billion
Australian airports: $8.5 billion
Commonwealth Bank: $5.15 billion received
Reserve Bank gold assets: 167 tonnes sold for $2.4 billion,
National Rail Corporation and Freightcorp: $1.05 bn received,
Broadcast Australia: $650 million received,
DASFLEET: $407 million,
Telecommunications spectrum: $1.3 billion received,
Radio licence spectrum: about $1 billion received,
Property portfolio 59 sites: $1 billion,
Total value from sales: $71.7 billion
Goodnight
Don’t forget you have to offset against the asset sales the $40 billion investment in the Future Fund.