Today’s Essential Research result reverts to its position a fortnight ago, with Labor up a point on both the primary vote and two-party preferred. That puts Labor on 34%, the Coalition on 48% and the Greens on 9%, with two-party preferred shifting back to 55-45. Monthly personal ratings show Tony Abbott in his strongest position since late 2011, his approval up three to 40% and disapproval down two to 50%. Julia Gillard has also recovered slightly, up four on approval to 38% with down two on disapproval to 54%, her best figures since January. Abbott maintains a two-point lead as preferred prime minister, which shifts from 39-37 to 41-39. There are also questions on the NDIS (57% approving of the levy increase and 30% disapproving) and paid parental leave (34% support the government’s scheme, 24% the opposition’s), as well as parliamentary majorities (49% would favour a government majority in the House, with an even spread of opinion for the Senate) and the independents (broadly neutral for Oakeshott, Windsor and Wilkie and negative for Katter, oddly enough).
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll likewise records little change on last week, with the Coalition up half a point to 46.5%, Labor steady on 32% and the Greens up one to 9.5%, leaving both respondent-allocated and previous election preferences unchanged at 56-44.
It’s nice to see rightwing nutjobs arguing with rightwing nutjobs for a change.
BK
True.
My Says Palmer come back wank is all over.
Love it. The Party isn’t even registered for christ sakes, Clive is all talk no action.
BB
It is a delight to see Bob and Clive chortling and hooting at the Queensland Treasurer.
Howard introduced the gun laws in response to Port Arthur massacre. No other reason. Idiotic for anyone to claim otherwise.
And lets remember it was paid for with a levy, one of the many Howard used. Ansett Levy, Sugar Levy etc
[Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 16s
Don’t worry #qanda watchers, Qld doesn’t believe Tim Nicholls either]
Love seeing Clive raining shit on the Qld LNP govt.
This man knows where the bodies are buried.
Vote Clive 🙂
These guys are chopping Nicholls to pieces.
Achmed @163
Why don’t you do your OWN research on the subject rather than automatically believing the shit you read. The IMF study (and that is a very very loose term) handpick and excluded statistics to suit its conclusions. The article that you linked drew its own conclusions based on the tables in the article. There wasn’t one mention of Howard/Costello and if you don’t believe here is the article
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1305.pdf
If you want to read a bit further on the IMF study please look here…
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/columnists/deceptive-attack-on-howards-record/story-fn7078da-1226553110377
“That said, the paper does develop three specific tests to pinpoint periods where significant shifts in fiscal policy occur. One of those tests selects 2003 and 2005-07 as years of Australian “fiscal imprudence”.
That is the result Martin’s story emphasises. But what Martin doesn’t note is that the paper’s other tests did not confirm that finding, and that the test he privileges is statistically unproven and, on the authors’ own admission, unconventional. Indeed, that test gives many bizarre results. For example, it not only finds Italian governments to be consistent models of fiscal rectitude, but also singles out 2002-05 as years of fiscal prudence in Britain, even though that was when the Labour government’s budget deficit blew out of control.
Precisely because of the difficulties of placing much weight on any such measure, the paper provides a table that combines its tests – and which does not identify any fiscal imprudence in the Howard years.
You wouldn’t know that, however, from Martin’s reporting. Nor would you know that the test he privileges uses data on gross, not net, debt (that is, gross debt minus gross financial assets).
Usually that will not matter, as the two vary together. But the distinction does matter, possibly substantially, for the Howard government.
That is because as net debt fell to zero, the Howard government faced a situation where it would not be issuing government bonds; but the interest rate on those bonds plays an important role as a reference point for financial markets, for example, in setting prices for bonds issued by corporations.
The government therefore continued to issue bonds, thus retaining gross debt, but offset those issues with purchases of other financial assets, so that net debt kept falling.
With gross and net debt thus moving separately, a test that only examines gross debt would incorrectly conclude the government imprudently failed to push fiscal consolidation as much as it could and should have done.
To make matters worse, the estimates on which Martin relies do not actually relate to the commonwealth government alone. Although you wouldn’t know it from Martin’s reporting, they combine the commonwealth and the states. And the years covered by the test were a period in which the Labor states were amassing debt, with rising debt in Queensland and NSW exceeding the increase in commonwealth gross debt.”
And here.
http://catallaxyfiles.com/2013/01/11/howard-was-a-big-spender-who-knew/#more-38712
So please, don’t turn into a predictable ALP drone like the rest of the dregs who just regurgitate the ALP party line and cheat notes.
Would have happy for ANYONE here to refute the statistics ….
And now Palmer skewers Can-do to great rounds of applause. Now he’s on fire.
Wow! Palmer tearing the Queensland LNP to pieces…Hilarious..
Finally Qld LNP madness exposed on a national platform.
[Clive isn’t doing any deals with the major parties.
Popcorn time.]
Clive doesn’t have a registered party.
Reality Time.
This is why Clive and Kicking has the potential to do great damage to the Abbott opposition.
I hope he keeps up his vociferousness.
Tisme
Clive has stated otherwise so we will know when we see the list from the AEC. There will be no doubt.
of course he will say some crap like its needed
are
people leaving qld in droves
my cousin tells me its hell there u wake up every day wondering if today is your last day with a job
I like fired up billionaires 🙂
Where is Gina
Sean Tisme
Clive doesn’t have a registered party.
He does, you know. You do sound rightly worried about Mr Palmer. He is exposing the merciless nature of reactionary Queensland Government. You know the nostrum: trickle down, competition by the greed-is-good brigade, lying about selling off public goods, lying about sacking frontline staff, etc, etc…
Nicholls has just agreed with an aggrieved nurse that the situation in hospitals is ‘just unbelievable’. What a doofus.
Nichols sinking, sinking, sunk!
liberals blame evey one but themselves
typical conservative republican types
its never them
The Qld LNP is full of spivs! This Nicholls character is appalling. Is this the public face of the LNP? If so, FAIL!
[This is why Clive and Kicking has the potential to do great damage to the Abbott opposition.]
No one cares about clive.
On the last page you said he was going to be stealing votes from the LNP and he doesn’t even have a registered party.
Reality Time.
I like Ged.
SeanTisMe
You a fan of Nichols?
Christ, even I think the biggest arse on QandA is the liberal.
r
We are as one.
Who’d have thought that a senior LNPboke would be openly jeered so soon after such a landslide election win?
my say crap #221
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
hahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
This coming for a party shill where the party motos are “Protect the red headed clown at all cost” and “Its always someone else’s fault”…
Please point out ONE thing that GIllard has taken responsibility for in the last 3 years ???
By the way, did Gillard ever say sorry to the thousands of AWU workers for helping her lover in ripping them off ?
here here
wtte
if Australian want to know what life would be like
re abbott just look at qld,wtte
is that the best post of the night so far
========================================
Clive is kicking.
Go Clive.
Good point from Palmer. Stops the blame game. Health is State responsibility its up to them to fund it no the Feds.
“@justinbarbour: That guy is the President of the Young Liberal National Party. #qanda”
[of course he will say some crap like its needed
are
people leaving qld in droves ]
You are thinking about the socialist Labor/Greens utopia known as Tasmania which had a population growth of 820 people in the last 12 months.
Yes you read that correctly. 820 People increase in population. When you take into account natural growth from births you wonder how many people are flying out every week to get away from their Socialist Labor/Greens 10% unemployment utopia.
[Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 2m
Tim totally believes there’s a role for government – as brokers selling public services infrastructure to mates #qanda]
funny thing about the conservaties here
they actually think we read their posts
lol
but they must read our
delicious
Morpheus
You nearly had me until the Henry Ergas citation. He is not nearly as credible as that other economic heavyweight Judith Soan.
Note the way Jones responds to Katter and Clive, and how he responds to the Prime Minister.
Young Lib question right there.
“@MartinGHodgson: From the Greens to Katter & Clive all agree Newman is an epic failure! #QandA”
Sean Tisme
It is unfair to attack Tasmania in this fashion.
Tasmania has pretty well dug out all its minerals, chopped down most of its useable forests, polluted most of its major waterways, whaled out the whales, blubbered the seals, and fished its fisheries to their limits. The long-term drying in the prime midlands farming area is decimating agriculture there.
The current Tasmanian government has inherited the Liberal dream – there is nothing much left to gouge. The environment, it seems, is neither infinite source nor infinite sump. It is, therefore, the future of Western Australia and Queensland writ small.
Lots of lies about the live cattle trade being thrown around.
Has Oakeshott been on Qanda?
How about Wilkie?
I am going to down load the text of this q and a
and bottle it
sprocket_ @237
Please feel free to check the data and interpretations and provide your own summary… The IMF article did NOT mention Australia/Howard/Costello once in the discussion.
Its no good dismissing two links I have provided outright because you don’t like the politics. Awaiting your assessment …
Morpheus you seriously cite the Australian to refute the IMF. All I can guess is you are trying to make the NRA look smart and reasonable.
Jones reminding Katter that Katter once blamed the live industry for shocking risk management vis-a-vis cruelty.
Well done, Jones.
[By the way, did Gillard ever say sorry to the thousands of AWU workers for helping her lover in ripping them off ?]
It is bad enough being a troll and stupid, did you need to be disgusting and contemptible too. I’m out of here you scum.
Morpheus – stop talking crap and stop attacking other posters. Try putting the case for ‘IR Reform’ (reduced wages and conditions), parental leave for corporate executives, ‘Direct Inaction’ to fix a problem our putative PM doesn’t believe exists, tell us what government spending is wasteful, what level of unemployment is acceptable, etc etc.
@Pollytics: Roflol RT @geoffderrick: Tim Nichols has recovered much needed ground by shutting up in the past 5 minutes #qanda