Crikey reports the latest Essential Research poll has the Coalition lead at 53-47, up from 52-48 last week – which managing director Peter Lewis indicated Labor was lucky to get to because of rounding. On the primary vote, Labor is down two points to 34 per cent, with the Coalition and the Greens up a point each to 47 per cent and 12 per cent. I should have the full report shortly, but in the meantime Bernard Keane of Crikey summarises the other findings thus:
Voters strongly support Labor’s moves to trim middle-class welfare, according to today’s Essential Report.
Fifty-two per cent of voters back Wayne Swan’s budget night measure to continue the pause in indexation of the thresholds at which family payments are phased out, to 28% who oppose them. Even Liberal voters back them, 47-38%. Voters were strongly of the view that households earning more than $150,000 a year don’t need family payments — 67% of voters agreed with that, and only 27% disagreed.
Only 35% agreed that all taxpayers should be eligible for some form of payment, regardless of income, compared to 57% disagreeing. However, most voters distinguished between family payments and welfare, with 61% agreeing that family payments to middle-income earners were different to welfare payments to low income earners (we’ll discuss Essential’s results on views toward middle class welfare in more detail tomorrow).
There has also been a further rise in support for the Government’s plan to impose a price on carbon. After reaching the nadir of support at the end of March, when support was just 34% and opposition 51%, support grew in April and last week was at 41% support and 44% opposition, with Greens voters now strongly in favour of it after initially being lukewarm.
The poll also revealed a quite remarkable ignorance of one of the government’s key reforms, its scheduled increase in the compulsory superannuation rate to 12%. Around 53% of voters said they had not heard of the proposal and a further 27% saying they had heard little — a damning indictment of Labor’s efforts to sell what began as a key part of its mining tax package, particularly given there was strong support for the proposal across voters of different stripes.
UPDATE: Full report here.
Newspoll hasn’t changed since the election. This poll is statistically unchanged. The Greens up 4, lol. Shave two points off that and share one each between Labor and Liberal. The poll and more importantly the trend is unchanged.
Professionals working for the Labor Party would be extremely worried, even if the “side line supporters” aren’t. I think the introduction of a carbon tax could see the Labor primary down to around 25%. The tax is a regressive tax, and it will hit Labor voters much more directly. Compensation can’t solve this situation and the Treasury would be telling Labor this. One day there’ll be a book on it. “The things you never ever do in politics”.
Compensation unfortunately for Labor will only help those who would already vote for them. Lets call them the welfare types. The type that mostly live in stitched up Labor seats. It’s out in those marginals were this disaster for Labor is about to play out. Why would a party suppossed of the left bring in a flat, regressive, tax? I’m thinking mandatory drug testing wouldn’t hurt the policy meetings.
I’m doubt in the next twenty years the Labor Party has a future in Australia as a major party. It certainly has little hope of winning the next election irrespective of the “rusted on learned views” here. Professional campaigners would take little to no interest of the comments on this site, however this site itself deals extremely well with polling. The premium poll site in Australia without doubt.
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strawman
Posted Monday, May 30, 2011 at 11:04 pm | Permalink
Newspoll hasn’t changed since the election. This poll is statistically unchanged. The Greens up 4, lol. Shave two points off that and share one each between Labor and Liberal. The poll and more importantly the trend is unchanged.
Professionals working for the Labor Party would be extremely worried, even if the “side line supporters” aren’t. I think the introduction of a carbon tax could see the Labor primary down to around 25%. The tax is a regressive tax, and it will hit Labor voters much more directly. Compensation can’t solve this situation and the Treasury would be telling Labor this. One day there’ll be a book on it. “The things you never ever do in politics”.
Compensation unfortunately for Labor will only help those who would already vote for them. Lets call them the welfare types. The type that mostly live in stitched up Labor seats. It’s out in those marginals were this disaster for Labor is about to play out. Why would a party suppossed of the left bring in a flat, regressive, tax? I’m thinking mandatory drug testing wouldn’t hurt the policy meetings.
I’m doubt in the next twenty years the Labor Party has a future in Australia as a major party. It certainly has little hope of winning the next election irrespective of the “rusted on learned views” here. Professional campaigners would take little to no interest of the comments on this site, however this site itself deals extremely well with polling. The premium poll site in Australia without doubt
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Boo Hoo.
As Kevin Reynolds and the CFMEU once said:
“We’re Coming Back.
Peak Abbott has passed.
Darren and others
You some times behave like two bit bullies.
HOW DARE YOU USE INSULTING, SEXIST, HOMPOPHOBIC TERMS LIKE SHRINKING VIOLET or RUN to MUMMY.
HOW DARE YOU USE INSULTING NICK NAMES for TP and MTBW.
Sorry for shouting but I never see other posters using rude nick names to you.
Try using intelligent argument rather than primary school shouting.
This is EXACTLY the sort of bullying and ganging up that william and others have raised in the past
If you cannot see it then you are insensitive and thick.
The fact that Evan and others do not regard Julia as the best thing since sliced bread does not make them liberals or pro Abbott.
What scares me is that many of the senior labor figures may think like you. I that is the case then the labor party is doomed. Subtlety of thought and an understanding of human motivation and emotions is essential for successful politiciand and parties. Abusive nick names and juvenile “dare games” do not fit this requirement.
Calm down, DTT. And with that I’ll finally close the thread.