Roy Morgan has performed its occasional trick of confusing the hell out of people who don’t follow its activities closely, by releasing two sets of opinion poll results at the same time. One is a phone poll from a solid sample of 882 respondents with a margin of error of a bit under 3.5 per cent, and it shows what we have come to expect from polls of this kind regardless of who conducts them: the Coalition leads 53.5-46.5 on two-party preferred and by 46 per cent to 34 per cent on the primary vote, with the Greens on 11 per cent. The two-party result is much the same if you use respondent-allocated preferences rather than preferences from the 2010 election result: 54-46.
The other poll covers Morgan’s last two weekends of regular face-to-face surveying, and has the Coalition lead at 52-48 using 2010 election preferences and 53.5-46.5 using respondent-allocated preferences. It should be noted that the consistent discrepancy in these results, with the former proving more favourable to Labor, has been a recent phenomenon, resulting from a decline in the share of non-major party voters indicating a preference for Labor. The primary votes are at 37 per cent for Labor, 46 per cent for the Coalition and 10.5 per cent for the Greens.
We also had earlier this week Newspoll results on climate change and the carbon tax, with even worse results for the government than usual: only 30 per cent are in favour of its policy, with 60 per cent opposed. It has of course been shown the the government gets much kinder results if it is put to respondents that most of the money raised will be used for compensation: this particular question asked respondents for an opinion “based on what you may know about it”, which is highly reasonable methodologically but possibly obscures some of the issue’s political complexity. Beyond that, 78 per cent “believe in climate change”, and 72 per cent (58 partly, 14 per cent entirely) believe it to be caused by human activity. However, only 39 per cent are in favour of paying more for energy as a result: 30 per cent are opposed despite believing human activity to be a cause, with 28 per cent either not believing or not committed.
deblonay
There is a rumour that John Singleton has been offered to purchase 3aw which is owned by Fairfax. Singleton does not want to pay amount being sought.
Oh and SenX is with him! How surprisement. Look for the camera and you’ll invariably find SenX.
[UNHCR welcomes Malaysia refugee deal]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/05/09/3211708.htm?section=justin
Dont know Victoria because I am in Sydney, but from my little knowledge he was discredited by seeming to admit to a leak of tapped call:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/investigations/simon-overlands-role-in-aborted-murder-probe/story-fn6tcs23-1225877244469
Police Commissioner is one of those positions where you need to be unimpeachable.
I agree with BG’s earlier post – too often these people want to be front and centre with media. Best do the job quietly rather than getting the media unti to organise press opportunities.
I also hate that Victorian police thing of announcing that a police shooting was justified while the body is still warm and when an coronial investigation is obviously going to happen.
shellbell
Apologies. I thought you were from the State of Vic.
shellbell
It is safe to say that the OZ have been gunning for Overland for ages.
THEBURGERMAN | 1 minute ago
[Live media conference with Vic Premier Ted Baillieu re: Simon Overland coming up on #SkyNews Local.]
[UNHCR welcomes Malaysia refugee deal]
Another gun spiked.
That about as much of an endorsement as you could get from the UN body.
The Vanishing US footprint in the Middle East
_____________________________________
A very interesting comment on one of the great issues of our day
http://www.amconmag.com/blog/2011/05/05/vanishing-american-footprint/comment-page-1/#comment-52508
From that UNHCR article on abc, Mr Towle is the UNHCR regional rep:
[Mr Towle says the Howard government’s push to house asylum seekers in countries without a refugee problem was about shifting responsibility.
“Australia was obviously looking at ways to divest itself of some of the responsibilities of dealing with refugees,” he said.
“The countries that were negotiated, Nauru and PNG at that time, did not have a refugee issue of their own and largely became places were Australia was able to manage its own protection responsibilities under the convention.
“So it was not a regional burden-sharing arrangement at all. It was much more of a responsibility-shifting arrangement. And that’s why we think they are not only philosophically but also in the way they were implemented they’re quite different types of arrangements.”]
The Fiberals will not like this. 🙂 Rest of the article is worth a read.
Those tickers on ABC95 are so out of date. At least the time is working today.
Short of re-regulating the dairy industry, I can’t see what the opposition want the govt to do about milk prices.
[confessions
Posted Monday, May 9, 2011 at 3:30 pm | Permalink
Short of re-regulating the dairy industry, I can’t see what the opposition want the govt to do about milk prices.]
its easy to keep gate prices high and cost of living down 😉
VP
I know, but don’t they have cafes in Amsterdam selling a vegetarian form of relaxation? Or do all the young people really go there for the windmills?
I wonder if the fed govt will go all populist on foreign ownership of farms.
Seems like a burning issue in ra-ra land. (That is unless of course you want to sell your property 😉 )
Why does ABC95 spend 10 per cent of its time promoting itself? it isn’t as if the world is a news free zone.
[Short of re-regulating the dairy industry, I can’t see what the opposition want the govt to do about milk prices.]
How about a 2c a litre levy to pay for restructuring? Oh sorry been there done that. 😉
Puff,
I just go to check out the Dutch dykes.
bg:
That press conference was more about showing their constituents they are actually trying to do something, even though everyone knows there isn’t much they can effectively do except protest about how unfair it all is for farmers.
vp
rofl
[How about a 2c a litre levy to pay for restructuring? Oh sorry been there done that. ;)]
Easy Peasy. Reregulate, unrestructure, then re-deregulate and re-restructure.
bg
has been a mixed start for Robertson
http://m.news.com.au/NSWACT/pg/0/fi724566.htm
Confessions
I do admit that Heffernan is a superior representative of farmers and rural people compared to 9/10 Nats. He is engaged in issues and seeks works hard to seek policy solutions through the committee system.
GG
And nothing since? Not that I can find anyway.
Poor journos
[alisavage? Radio journos v. Stressed waiting for #overland press conf… Deadlines, people!!! #springst
Twitter – 32 seconds ago]
[Or do all the young people really go there for the windmills?]
A lot to be said for, ahem, windmills Puffy.
🙂
[Space Kidette
Posted Monday, May 9, 2011 at 11:53 am | Permalink
SHY saying the JG holding hands with TA on AS issue. Says this is just the trading of Women and children. Says show us your legal advice. Dismisses UN supervision in process.]
That’s the same SHY who ‘scooped’ the government on the ‘good news’ Inverbrackie announcement, thereby allowing redneck radio and the Liberals to get organised.
She’s not a great help, least of all to asylum-seekers.
bg:
Yes, Heffernan is a way better representative for farmers than most Nats in Federal Parliament.
[I just go to check out the Dutch dykes.]
Am passing through Kinderdijk, VP. Here the opposition would assume it is a refuge for paedophiles.
shellbell @ 2654
The term “coronial investigation” is highly misleading. Coroners seldom investigate anything. They conduct a hearing at which the material collected by police is presented. So usually the police do the investigation. See the problem?
BG – what can Robertson do in the parliament?
I suppose he could try and get a rapport with Christians, Shooters and Fishers to allow a bit of styming in the Upper House but I can think of much the Upper House has done of note for years in the way of holding back a government and that is unlikely now.
His greatest work would be outside parliament in being front and centre of NSW Labor reform. Not much chance of that when he appears, in my personal opinion, to have got well above his political station in life as a legacy of the old ways.
[Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Posted Monday, May 9, 2011 at 3:32 pm | Permalink
VP
I know, but don’t they have cafes in Amsterdam selling a vegetarian form of relaxation? Or do all the young people really go there for the windmills?]
If, I went to Amsterdam, it would be for the Vermeers and Rembrandts.
[She’s not a great help, least of all to asylum-seekers.]
She’s the Greens equivalent of Scott Morrison: a shrill, bleating hysteric. They’d do way better on the issue of AS with Scott Ludlum as their spokesperson. At least he isn’t prone to immature outbursts of hyper-bowl.
having said that, there are bugger all Vermeers in Amsterdam.
Keeping the presscorp waiting for several hours, then setting a time and being late again. Will they be feral?
[She’s not a great help, least of all to asylum-seekers.]
Like I said yesterday — a lot of so-called refugee advocates are doing a lot more harm than good. Greens can’t be pragmatic unless they are pushed into a very small corner. They never think beyond the next step … would be worth playning chess with them, they’d lose EVERY time.
jen,
They’d jump your pieces every time.
shellbell
Posted Monday, May 9, 2011 at 3:43 pm | Permalink
[BG – what can Robertson do in the parliament?
I suppose he could try and get a rapport with Christians, Shooters and Fishers to allow a bit of styming in the Upper House but I can think of much the Upper House has done of note for years in the way of holding back a government and that is unlikely now.
His greatest work would be outside parliament in being front and centre of NSW Labor reform. Not much chance of that when he appears, in my personal opinion, to have got well above his political station in life as a legacy of the old ways.]
The point of QT at this stage is to lock in promises and ask for committments on things.
The Vic ALP had scored points by now.
if you want reform. Robbo is not your man.
[If, I went to Amsterdam, it would be for the Vermeers and Rembrandts.]
Ahhh — the Rijksmuseum! — am staying one street away! A great way to fill a few hours (before the abovementioned coffee-shops!) 😀
[
Keeping the presscorp waiting for several hours, then setting a time and being late again. Will they be feral?
]
By the sounds of it, they may not be feral, but frozen!
[They’d jump your pieces every time.]
Probably GG. Or they’d cut your pieces in half and add the extra to their own side. And then complain about them being too heavy for the board!
Following on in my own conversation with myself about Dutch Art. There are six Vermeers on show between Amsterdam and the Hague, but 12 on show between New York and DC.
So if you like Vermeer, dont go to Amsterdam, go to the East Coast of the US.
—time to stop talking to myself—
Bemused
Coronial inquiry is what we call them in NSW. Strictly their function is to inquire into cause of death although they have a recommendation function as well.
True the police prepare the brief and sometimes in a straightforward case Counsel assisting will be a police prosecutor. Often private legal practitioners get involved as Counsel assisting.
I cant think of any instances off the top of my head where Coroners have been duped by those assisting them in NSW although we have had notorious police shootings, David Gundy is one that comes to mind
We have good coroners here who are not afraid to voice stong views including against police. We also have a Police Integrity Commission, ICAC, Crime Commission and other sundry bodies to keep the lawyers busy.
An example of a coroner referring a police shooting to the DPP is here and quite recent:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/10/29/3052230.htm
[Ahhh — the Rijksmuseum! — am staying one street away! A great way to fill a few hours (before the abovementioned coffee-shops!) :grin:]
You’re a very fortunate sod, Jenauthor.
RE NSW opposition and Robertson…
______________
Opposition leaders like Robertson who get power soon after a landslide defeat never survive the long dark glacial winter of opposition.
Look at Brenden Nelson !
Who even remembers Billy Sneddon ? or John Hewson.?..Arthus Calwell..?…or Kerry Chicka..whatwashername ?
How many years will Labor face opposition in NSW 4….? 12…? 20…?
So the next Labor Premier of NSW may not even be in Parliament yet!!
(or even born?)
so don’t worry about Robertson …he’s a dead man walking …though that may be appropriate for the NSW ALP…leadership[…
[Kinderdijk]
Checked it out on the web (I won a free lesson from A Robb in a raffle). Looks very attractive.
Lots of great artists other than Vermeer and Rembrandt, though, B-G. I just love immersing myself in ALL European art and architecture. Will be spending some time in Milan also (where Ive never been) and can’t wait.
Overland was within his rights. Looks like he’s staying.
[‘The term “coronial investigation” is highly misleading. Coroners seldom investigate anything. They conduct a hearing at which the material collected by police is presented. So usually the police do the investigation. See the problem?’]
Coroners Courts do have contempt powers, so perhaps they should use them.
Any other witness or party making such statements in relation to potentially serious criminal proceedings would be soundly rapped by the relevant court.