Morgan: 61-39

The latest Morgan face-to-face poll gives Labor its best result since April: a 61-39 two-party lead, up from 58-42 last week. Labor is up three points on the primary vote to 50.5 per cent, the Coalition down one to 33.5 per cent, the Greens steady on 9.5 per cent and “others” back down to 4.5 per cent after a spike to 6 per cent last week. Some quick ones while I’m away:

• The New South Wales ALP has taken a possibly unprecedented move in banning state MPs from seeking federal preselection. Nathan Rees claims this is to prevent unnecessary by-elections – a believable motive for the state government – but is also being interpreted as a move to “stop state MP’s tarnishing the Rudd government”. Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports “rumours that the state ministers Joe Tripodi and Paul Lynch have been eyeing off the western suburbs seat of Fowler, while the former police minister Matt Brown has been linked with Gilmore”.

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports a “growing sentiment” in the New South Wales Labor Party that Belinda Neal should retain preselection for Robertson, due to sympathy over her husband’s misbehaviour together with the fact that she has “worked hard” and “kept her head down” since the Iguana’s incident.

Andrew Landeryou of VexNews reports Victorian Liberal chatter that “controversial Baillieu faction honcho” Bruce Atkinson faces a preselection threat in his Eastern Metropolitan upper house region. This threatens to boil over into an “open slather” that could equally threaten Atkinson’s first-term Eastern Metropolitan colleague Jan Kronberg.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

862 comments on “Morgan: 61-39”

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  1. [Not a bad summation considering Barren Wong has all the meat in Environment.]
    Wow, I thought you realised your sexist and misogynistic remarks were wrong the first time you made them.

  2. Diogenes,

    That McGurk went a bit kooky, there is little doubt. What interests me are the alleged links between McGurk and Labor and the fact that a short time after ICAC was handed evidence by the police they decided to initiate an investigation.

  3. Hey Frank, I went to school in Fremantle and grew up in the area.

    My real name is Clinton Skywalker, but I decided to de-Anglicise it to Fulvio Sammut.

    Cool, isn’t it?

  4. [You should learn to spell before talking about my cognition.]
    Why should we take advice from a sexist. misogynistic. cognitively deficient. conservative mummy boy wanker?

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