The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has One Nation widening a primary vote lead by holding steady on 30% while Labor falls two to 27%, and the Coalition and the Greens remain unchanged at 19% and 13% respectively. Anthony Albanese is down two on disapproval to 35% and up three on disapproval to 62%. The one indication Pauline Hanson has been harmed by recent bad press is her personal ratings, with approval down three to 44% and disapproval up three to 51%. Of Angus Taylor we are told only that his net rating has improved from minus 17 to minus 15, but he has almost closed the gap on head-to-head preferred prime minister, on which Albanese’s lead has narrowed from to 44-35 to 42-41. The three-way measure has Albanese down two to 44%, Hanson up one to 32% and Taylor up one to 24%. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1244.
Golf Foxtrot Yankeesays:
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 11:22 pm
You can’t blame the RBA chairperson for fulfilling her mandate of maintaining sustainable inflation.
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Why the hell not?
First she ain’t maintaining shit, second, she openly said last year the unemployment rate was ‘stubbornly low’. Trump started a war, rich old people have way to much money and won’t ever stop spending it, so working class people with mortgages cop it in the neck and waitresses and labourers get to lose their jobs?
Fucking brilliant way to run a country.
Oh I get it now.
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/6c57922a-206c-4a37-860f-997a3ae54578
OMG so many headless chooks on here. Hit the panic button. Do leadershit!
Using Rhys Muldoon or some crap about Albo or whatever other harebrained theories to explain a bad poll, Jesus Christ. Fuel prices are through the roof so renewed punishment beatings from the RBA are expected and the government takes the blame, simple as that. But the 2% they lost went to others, and much would come back on prefs, given all the RWNJs have decamped to ON.
There are 2 budgets before an election. Who cares if Albanese is charismatic, FFS, Howard won multiple elections and he was just as poor a public speaker, and a whole lot less likable. Both are methodical politicians, and prepared to take advantage of opportunities to advance their agendas, eg with the S3 tax changes. That makes them a bit slippery, but voters will accept that if they approve of the outcome, once the election rolls around
SF what do you think would happen to inflation if rates went down? Less people would save, more people would borrow and more people would spend, driving prices even higher.
There are two main causes of inflation at the moment: the cost of energy due the Iran War and the cost of borrowing due to the AI boom. The RBA can’t control these but it can attempt to reduce overall demand in our economy to try slow inflation. It’s blunt and it’s painful but it’s the only tool they have. Ultimately, short term pain of high inflation is better than the long term pain of an extended downturn that would inevitably follow rapid rises in prices.
If you have any other suggestions…
Asha
I think you are seriously misunderstanding what is driving lower income Australians to the populist right. I feel like the less well-off people leaning towards One Nation are largely the working poor struggling under rising rents, fuel prices, and cost of living، not those on JobSeeker.
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It’s very easy to understand why lower income people are leaning to ON.
What about people on a pension, the government cannot allow growing grievances about falling living standards by this group, many retirees own their home meaning they will not be bothered by rising interest rates and rents but that isn’t true for many retirees and disabled people, they are not immune to rising COL.
Bizzcan is right that raising pensions will be inflationary but the government supports other policies that are inflationary.
Any welfare reform has to be part of wider economic and labour market reform, this should include how to incorporate AI into the economy and how to transition people and businesses to the new economy, and how to deal with people that won’t be the winners.
Marh (last page): Canada had their One Nation equivalent in the early 90s, when the PCs crashed out from government to two seats in parliament. Reform replaced them in western Canada, and after about a decade the two parties merged into the current Conservatives (with PM Stephen Harper, pretty similar to Tony Abbott). They’re not immune to that sort of thing, it’s just that it’s already happened and it’s old news.
Carney was kissed on the dick by a fairy due to Trump’s anti-Canada idiocy. Some people are just lucky. Before that the polling had him on the way to being wiped out.
Golf Foxtrot Yankeesays:
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 11:41 pm
SF what do you think would happen to inflation if rates went down? Less people would save, more people would borrow and more people would spend, driving prices even higher.
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Thanks for the lecture, but go ask anyone affected and see how much they care about modern economic theory. What we effectively now have is austerity for the people doing all the productive work, and extravagance for all of the useless people.
Everyone who actually works for a living sees this injustice for what it is. They need pay rises not punishment.
Stimulate the economy and damn the consequences.
@Bird of paradox, I wouldn’t say Reform (or later Canadian Alliance) is exactly equivalent to One Nation. It is politically positions is a hybrid of the Nationals and Right Flank of the Liberal Party and the rise was due to Western Canadian province viewing Ottawa as having polices favoring Ontario/Quebec/Atlantic Canada (which was why Reform only won one seat east of Manitoba) not exactly due to multiculturalism (although Reform does oppose multiculturalism as position albeit not heavily discussed unlike ONP). Australia not have the same kind of regional differences that Canada has for their political faultline.
Polling had Trudeau on the way to being wiped out. This was never true of Carney.
SF says: ‘Stimulate the economy and damn the consequences.’
I really don’t think that’s a good idea…