Federal polling: DemosAU, Morgan, One Nation breakdowns (open thread)

The Coalition takes a big hit in one poll and a smaller one in another, while Roy Morgan offers detail on One Nation support by country of birth.

The monthly DemosAU federal poll for Capital Brief departs from the pack in recording a five-point drop in Coalition support to 20%, with Labor up two to 28%, One Nation up two to 26% and the Greens up one to 13%. Anthony Albanese is up a point on his positive rating to 29%, up one on neutral to 26% and down two on negative to 45%; Angus Taylor is entirely unchanged at 23%, 50% and 27%; and Pauline Hanson is up two to 32%, up one to 24% and down three to 44%. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Albanese up one to 36%, Taylor down two to 21% and Hanson up three to 25%.

The poll also finds 65% agreeing that social media platforms “should be legally required to reduce risks” compared with 22% for an alternative option of them being “free to decide”. It was conducted last Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1583; extensive breakdowns of the voting intention results are as usual featured in the report on the pollster’s website.

The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor down two to 25%, One Nation up one-and-a-half to 25%, the Coalition down two to 21.5%, and the Greens up one-and-a-half to 16%. Labor’s respondent-allocated two-party lead over One Nation is out from 53.5-46.5 to 54.5-45.5, and its leads over the Coalition are out from 53-47 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated preferences and 52.5-47.5 to 53-47 on previous election preference flows. The poll was conducted September 7 to 13 from a sample of 1583.

Also out from Morgan this week was data compiled from its polling throughout this year breaking out One Nation support by country of birth. While many of the sub-samples would have been exceedingly small, it paints an interesting overall picture, having support for the party at 36% among those born in South Africa, around 30% among continental Europeans, around 25% among those born in Australia, the UK and New Zealand, and lower elsewhere, although the party managed 17% among those born in the Middle East compared with around 10% among those born in eastern and southern Asia.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

202 thoughts on “Federal polling: DemosAU, Morgan, One Nation breakdowns (open thread)”

Comments Page 5 of 5
1 4 5
  1. Mavis
    There will be some who have been burdened with poor health & wages, or set back in other ways, and that’s unfortunate. But many complain about the cost of living and buy, for example, Crocs at $80, when you can get them for $8 from Aldi. Oh, I can’t be seen in them!

    =================
    An important distinction the media doesn’t make when covering COL, a two income family has options not open to a single person on a low wage or fixed income.

  2. Slate of US Key State polls released today, these from Emerson.

    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-poll-talarico-and-paxton-in-dead-heat-abbott-maintains-edge/

    Texas Senate:
    James Talarico (D): 47%
    Ken Paxton (R): 46%

    Texas Governor:
    Greg Abbott (R): 49%
    Gina Hinojosa (D): 46%

    https://emersoncollegepolling.com/michigan-2026-poll-el-sayed-and-rogers-locked-in-close-election/

    Michigan Senate:
    Abdul El-Sayed (D): 48%
    Mike Rogers (R): 46%

    Michigan Governor:
    Jocelyn Benson (D): 49%
    John James (R): 42%

    Approval ratings in the linked articles.

    I think I’ll ignore polling from Coefficient for the moment, they’re skewing Republican by about 5% compared to others. But you never know, maybe they’re the correct ones, considering how bad the poll herding was in 2024.

Comments Page 5 of 5
1 4 5

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *