Newspoll: Labor 30, One Nation 31, Coalition 18 (open thread)

Another pollster finds One Nation surging to a primary vote lead, and Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings continuing to sag.

Newspoll in The Australian becomes the latest pollster to have One Nation leading on the primary vote, recording a four-point surge to 31% with Labor down one to 30%, the Coalition down two to 18% and the Greens down one to 11%. Anthony Albanese records his worst net leadership rating to date, with approval down four to 36% and disapproval up three to 60%, while Angus Taylor is down one on approval to 35% and down three on disapproval to 45%. Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister is in from 46-38 to 44-38. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1240.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,513 thoughts on “Newspoll: Labor 30, One Nation 31, Coalition 18 (open thread)”

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  1. Mostly Interested at 8.48 pm

    Not only did Shorten lose twice. If you discount a redistributed seat that had become notional Labor, he did not gain one seat for Labor in Victoria.

    As a resident of Victoria, the late John Clarke was being very mild when he ridiculed Shorten for running in 2016 a victory lap after a podium finish in what at the time was a two horse race.

  2. Socrates
    What can India do in these circumstances?

    ‘2 Hellfire Missiles’: US Admits Attack On 3rd Ship With Indian Crew In GulfIndia has strongly condemned the attacks on tankers manned by Indian seafarers in the Gulf in the last few days. Terming the attacks “deeply worrisome”, the External Affairs Ministry on Thursday called for an immediate end to such attacks.

    https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/2-hellfire-missiles-us-admits-attack-on-3rd-ship-with-indian-crew-in-gulf-11622960?pfrom=home-ndtv_topscroll

  3. Dr Doolittle @ #1501 Thursday, June 11th, 2026 – 10:20 pm

    Mostly Interested at 8.48 pm

    Not only did Shorten lose twice. If you discount a redistributed seat that had become notional Labor, he did not gain one seat for Labor in Victoria.

    As a resident of Victoria, the late John Clarke was being very mild when he ridiculed Shorten for running in 2016 a victory lap after a podium finish in what at the time was a two horse race.

    I will give Shorten a little credit. He and Labor exceeded expectations in that election and put themselves within striking distance of winning in the subsequent election (a classical two term opposition strategy at work), the problem is, however, he didn’t actually follow through.

    Hindsight is 20/20 and all that, but the fact his attacks hit like wet lettuce in the subsequent term, he couldn’t capitalise on a government that couldn’t even govern themselves and he spent the greater part of 2018 fighting for his own survival as leader. Once Morrison came in and, at least in the short term, seemed to have steadied the ship and could focus on attacking the opposition again, Shorten was caught like a deer in the headlights.

  4. Socratessays:
    Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 10:54 pm
    I take it all back. Everything is fine with AUKUS, obviously. UK defence ministers often quit hours before meetings with Australia’s defence minister.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/uk-defence-minister-quits-hours-before-meeting-with-marles-20260611-p6064j.html

    John Healy, Richard Marles and Pete Hegseth were very chummy at the Shangri-La dialogue last week.
    UK Defence Minister resigned because Starmer did not provide enough funds to Defence department

    AUKUS is so over

  5. It looks like Australia could win today’s one day match against Bangladesh, where they lost their first 3 wickets without scoring any runs

  6. “What can India do in these circumstances?”

    Not proceed through the SoH with only one side of the (not a war) agreeing to it.

    “Iran said it was okay.” Fine, does the opposition (i.e. US) agree too?

  7. meher baba at 12.34 pm

    “Tough times for the Coalition. I’m not sure how they get out of this one.”

    Start with what will make their plight worse, which is their current idiocy of preferencing the Hanson cult.

    Why? On current polling they would lose most of their seats.

    How do they avoid that outcome? It isn’t hard to find the answer, it’s just very hard for most LNP MPs to get it.

    They just need to venerate Mr Boswell (the Senator from QLD not the sniffer from Busselton) and put the Hanson cult last.

    Hanson couldn’t win Capricornia if the LNP followed Boswell’s advice.

  8. I have worked in Diability services for 23 years in senior management roles. I was part of the executive management team of an NFP that was invited to be part of an NDIS trial site in 2012. Everyone was excited with the potential of the scheme. That excitement pretty well dissipated with the election of the Coalition. It was the last group of politicians you really wanted to be given the job of rolling out the NDIS. From what Shorten has done and what Butler is proposing, there work is about bringing the NDIS back to its intended goals, including throwing out the snake oil merchants and carpetbaggers and keeping them out (the natural pilot fish that follow and ‘clean out’ any large government program).
    In short, Labor is having to renovate completely the two great national initiatives (the NDIS and the NBN) whose implementation was so totally and utterly stuffed by a incompetent and morally corrupt Coalition government over 9 years that it was in power – and to a massive cost to taxpayers. Along with Robodebt, I can’t think of any other post war government that created three greater financial and social scandals over a similar period of time.

  9. Wat Tyler at 11.30 pm

    Did you happen to visit a branch of the Commonwealth Bank on Monday 20th or Tuesday 21st May 2019?

    Behind the tellers they have these silly TV type screens with rolling promos or little news, weather etc .

    Well it must have been centralised to some degree, but some idiot decided on Friday that Shorten would be PM by early the next week so they wrote a fake news piece about Shorten’s rise, “from Beaconsfield to the Lodge”.

    It was meant to be true, not an ironic spoof about Shorten’s complacency.

    When the Labor caucus made an earlier mistake in choosing Latham by one vote, one MP was so confused they made their decision under water, i.e. when showering.

    John Clarke picked Shorten as a dud. He made it politely clear in more than one of his skits. The Labor caucus thought, wrongly, they knew better.

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