Resolve Strategic: 55-45 to Labor (open thread)

Labor remains well on top in the final Resolve Strategic poll for the year, despite concerns about the immigration rate.

What is presumably the year’s final monthly Resolve Strategic poll for Nine Newspapers reverses a movement in the Coalition’s favour in the last result, with Labor’s two-party lead out from 53-47 to 55-45. Labor is up two on the primary vote to 35% and the Coalition down three to 26%, with the Greens down one to 11% and One Nation up two to 14%. Sussan Ley nonetheless records improved personal ratings, her combined very good and good rating on the question of performance in recent weeks up six to 39% (albeit that the improvement is entirely from “good” rather than “very good”) and combined poor and very poor down four to 37%. Anthony Albanese is up four on very good plus good to 48% and down one on poor plus very poor to 43%, and his lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 39-25 to 41-26.

Also featured are questions on immigration that tell a now familiar story: after being told of a system that features “net migration intake of 316,000 per year and grants permanent visas to 185,000 people per year”, 53% rated the level too high, 4% too low and 33% about right, compared with 49%, 5% and 27% when the question was last asked in September. The 53% were then asked about six possible reasons for holding that view, with 81% ticking the box for pressure on housing prices and 52% doing so for “a loss of Australian culture and identity”. Four further questions on potential immigration policies found the most restrictive most favoured, peaking at 64% support and 13% opposition for “pausing any immigration until our housing situation has caught up”. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1800.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,321 thoughts on “Resolve Strategic: 55-45 to Labor (open thread)”

Comments Page 26 of 27
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  1. Freedom,

    Freedomsays:
    Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 6:54 pm
    [Boerwar – the truth hurts you useless demented old fuckwit. Go suck on your solar panels and stick your lithium ion batteries up your useless sagging old arse.

    That was very funny in a strange way!

    Just remember to use protection!

  2. I must say I never had a mental image of what BW actually looks like in RL, now however I need to book in a session with my psychologist to remove the image that has lodged itself in my brain.

  3. Ven:
    What do you expect from a One Nation supporter other than abuse?

    Racism, xenophobia, and ignorance.

    Or was yours a rhetorical question?

  4. ‘William Bowe says:
    Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 7:16 pm

    Paul Kelly has an article with a headline, ‘Trump has one virtue alone – he may prevent a World War 111’.

    It has been interesting watching the Oz worms wriggle on the Trump hook.

    Perhaps, but the headline is a direct quote from Paul Keating.’
    =====================
    Thanks for that. When the Oz quotes Keating…

    IMO, Trump is just as likely to trigger World War 111 by encouraging Putin and Xi to take their chances as Trump is to prevent it. OTOH, he routinely takes strategic ambiguity to a whole new level. So who really knows?

  5. ‘Mostly Interested says:
    Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 8:16 pm

    I must say I never had a mental image of what BW actually looks like in RL, now however I need to book in a session with my psychologist to remove the image that has lodged itself in my brain.’
    ————————-
    Haha. It is alright for you…

  6. I’m not too confident about Trump’s ability to prevent a third world war, but I do agree that the one-hundred-and-eleventh world war is unlikely to happen on his watch.

  7. AFR 10/12
    The same judge, Michael Lee, dismissed claims by Higgins and some in the media about a cover-up, which were repeated by Labor.
    In August, the West Australian Supreme Court also debunked the cover-up claim when finding in favour of Reynolds, who had launched a defamation case against Higgins.
    _______________________
    Dismissed, debunked.
    Get your dictionary out William.

  8. Two separate judges have blown the “cover-up” claims out of the water: Federal Court judge Michael Lee last year and Western Australian Supreme Court judge Paul Tottle this year. Lee said:

    “when examined properly and without partiality, the cover-up allegation was objectively short on facts, but long on speculation and internal inconsistencies – trying to particularise it during the evidence was like trying to grab a column of smoke”
    _______________________
    Looks pretty clear cut to me Ven.
    The defence rests.

  9. Ven:

    Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 8:07 pm

    ‘Mavis
    What do you expect from a One Nation supporter other than abuse?’

    I can’t see him lasting long on here if the bile he posted at 6:54 is his normal response.

  10. “Biggest rule change ever and Brit teen – what’s new in F1 in 2026?”
    https://www.bbc.com/sport/formula1/articles/cj38l751k4xo

    The new rules being brought in for 2026 are the biggest change in F1 for years – if not ever.

    Cars will be smaller, nimbler and more environmentally friendly.

    They will be 30kg lighter, 10cm narrower and have engines with a near 50-50 split between electric and internal combustion power – and use fully sustainable fuels…

    … The chassis and engine rules have never both been changed at the same time to this extent.

    There will be new aerodynamic rules, and the power-units, while of similar architecture to the past 12 years, have been significantly modified in terms of technology.

    The engines remain 1.6-litre V6 turbo hybrids but the MGU-H, which recovers energy from the exhaust and turbo, has been removed, while the proportion of power produced by the hybrid part of the engine has been more or less doubled to about 50%.

    This has required major changes to aerodynamics. Not only has the venturi-underbody ground effect philosophy introduced in 2022 been abandoned, but movable front and rear wings have been introduced. That’s to increase straight-line speed to enable more energy harvesting under braking.

  11. The Conversation 28/11 . Grattan
    But many are reluctant to acknowledge the two women have been, on what’s on the record, badly done by.
    Many players have vested interests, including Labor and some in the media.
    _______________________
    and many on Pollbludger.

  12. At the rate their brains are turning into soup, the ratbag right will declare that basic acts of hygeine like wiping your arse and washing your hands after using the toilet is “woke”.

    It’s really pitiful watching them lean so far into the culcha wars that “woke” overlaps with “basic acts of social decency and empathy”.

    It may get to the point that they start doing criminal things like “stopping if you hit someone with your car because checking to see if they’re okay is “woke”” or “testing school playgrounds for asbestos is “woke””.

  13. Based on what we knew when this all came out in 2021, the actions of both the PM’s office and Reynolds’ sure screamed cover up to me. I can’t blame anyone else for coming to the same conclusion at the time.

    Perhaps if you don’t want to be mistakenly accused of covering up a sexual assault, don’t do a bunch of dodgy stuff that makes it look like you are trying to orchestrate a cover up.

    Why exactly are we singling out Wong and Gallagher on this anyway? They didn’t do or say anything a Coalition frontbencher tasked with persuing this wouldn’t have done if a staffer was raped in a Labor minister’s office.

  14. Kirksdale, they are only keyboard anti woke, in reality I’m sure they are all very helpful IT guys (probably on performance improvement plans hence the rage)

  15. Kirsdarke:

    At the rate their brains are turning into soup, the ratbag right will declare that basic acts of hygeine like wiping your arse and washing your hands after using the toilet is “woke”.

    Oh, lunatics like that already exist. Its common to see periodic posts on advice/relationship subreddits from some poor woman whose partner won’t wash his ass properly because he thinks touching it will make him gay.

  16. Asha @ #1266 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 8:37 pm

    Why exactly are we singling out Wong and Gallagher on this anyway? They didn’t do or say anything a Coalition frontbencher tasked with persuong this wouldn’t have done if a staffer was raped in a Labor minister’s office.

    Because they’re part of the “Labor Mean Girls” trio that were ruthlessly targeted by the right wing media and they had the audacity to survive that with their political careers intact, unlike Kristina Kenneally. So the right wing ratbags spitefully launch potshots at them in revenge.

  17. Asha @ #1268 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 8:40 pm

    Kirsdarke:

    At the rate their brains are turning into soup, the ratbag right will declare that basic acts of hygeine like wiping your arse and washing your hands after using the toilet is “woke”.

    Oh, lunatics like that already exist. Its common to see periodic posts on advice/relationship subreddits from some poor woman whose partner won’t wash his ass properly because he thinks touching it will make him gay.

    Oh god that’s sad/hilarious.

  18. I think it’s fair to say the two trial findings were that there was no cover-up.

    Reynolds had her career wrecked, as did her COS. That isn’t a good thing. So many victims of this. And some was unnecessary.

  19. In August, the West Australian Supreme Court also debunked the cover-up claim when finding in favour of Reynolds, who had launched a defamation case against Higgins.

    Another thing the WASC did was bend over backwards not to accuse Wong and Gallagher of lying. You can do that if you like, but so assert that the WASC did so is an ironic exercise in falsity, malice and reckless disregard for facts.

    I have referred to the fact questions were asked in the Commonwealth Parliament because they form part of the factual background and are relied on by the plaintiff as part of her pleaded case. For the avoidance of any doubt, I should record that no aspect of my reasoning involves questioning the motives, intentions, credibility or good faith of any of those asking questions.

    https://ecourts.justice.wa.gov.au/eCourtsPortal/Decisions/DownloadDecision/f7398222-6d16-457b-8a29-07b542803d35?unredactedVersion=False&fbclid=IwY2xjawOl7FJleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETEzb2p4TUs2ajVvekxNVDhyc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHuFYj7VmQOBOOJewl1vohwpTUH4j8-ieyQPVEmCWJkryFqvBzla7HAX4xdn2_aem_FoXOedn1KybyjOulnkzzyg

  20. Some record:

    ‘Australia has recorded the highest number of Indigenous deaths in custody since 1979

    New data shows 33 of the 113 people who died in police or prison custody in the last financial year were First Nations.

    New South Wales recorded the highest number of Indigenous deaths in prison custody of all states and territories.

    The NSW government said the increase was “largely driven by rising remand rates as a result of the government’s reforms targeting violent offending”.’

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-10/largest-number-of-indigenous-deaths-in-custody-since-1979/106121828

  21. Kirsdarke @ #1271 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 8:17 pm

    Asha @ #1268 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 8:40 pm

    Kirsdarke:

    At the rate their brains are turning into soup, the ratbag right will declare that basic acts of hygeine like wiping your arse and washing your hands after using the toilet is “woke”.

    Oh, lunatics like that already exist. Its common to see periodic posts on advice/relationship subreddits from some poor woman whose partner won’t wash his ass properly because he thinks touching it will make him gay.

    Oh god that’s sad/hilarious.

    I think one thing that has annoyed me over the last decade is how much Antisocial Personality Disorder has just become an identity.

    I used to know someone, years ago, who had APD and, yeah, he didn’t do personal hygiene because why should he? He doesn’t care. And he doesn’t care about your rules. I don’t know what happened to him but I reckon if he is around now, he’d probably buy one of the many different ideological justifications for such shittiness. Justifying it with the word salad of whatever thought leader appeals most to him (remembering him, probably someone in the incel space.)

  22. Ashton Hurn responds to Turbo

    “I’m not taking advice from Tom Koutsantonis on managing the economy,” she said.

    “I’d encourage Tom Koutsantonis just to focus on his own knitting and to make sure that the people of our state actually can have lower power bills and can afford Christmas this year.”

  23. Sceptic:
    Was the Thai Cambodian conflict one of the 60 wars Trump has brought to a peaceful end?

    The news gets worse. Armed skirmishes have resumed between Albania and Ababaijan.

  24. I am bemused that so much hot air and angst is being expended over two topics – one the “Higgins” affair and two the “Well’s” affair.
    In the former – a totally Liberal fiasco – the major participants (essentially Liberal adherents/representatives/employees) are either destroying/bankrupting one another or trying to play the victim card. The choice bit is an aim to somehow blame Labor (or Labor pollies) for this total Liberal disgrace.
    In the latter, somebodies/somewhere are making a lot of din about what seems a wayward expenditure on self and family by a Labor minister. Questions not answered are: (1) If the actions are within the existing rules what is the stuff about “would it pass the pub test” rubbish – especially after 9 solid years of large and minor rorts by members of the LNP back in the day? And, (2) Why almost deathly silence from anyone on the LNP side of politics about “allowances”?
    I would venture (other than the quaint notion of “pub test”) that most of the electorate would rate the above issues as kind of numbers 19 and 20 on a list of 20 “things that concern me at the moment”.

  25. Shogun @ #1278 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 9:26 pm

    Sceptic:
    Was the Thai Cambodian conflict one of the 60 wars Trump has brought to a peaceful end?

    The news gets worse. Armed skirmishes have resumed between Albania and Ababaijan.

    As Trump’s brain continues to melt I wouldn’t be surprised if he called one of them “Azkaban” or “Agrabah”, but he’s just so utterly incurious about art and literature or pretty much anything that enriches the human soul that I doubt he’d even register either of those references in his sad memory.

  26. Wow, not even fonts are exempt from being cancelled as woke-DEI

    Marco Rubio orders US State Department to revert to Times New Roman font, calling Calibri adoption ‘wasteful’

    Moving from woke Calibri to MAGA friendly Times New Roman is a bit tame though, thought perhaps a full on German Gothic would be better.

    Of course something more appropriate for the regime would be Comic Sans.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-10/us-state-department-reverts-times-new-roman-font/106127732

  27. he thinks touching it will make him gay.
    _______________
    remember that republican that Sasha Baron Cohen got hold of and made him bare his bum as part of some anti terror exercise. I’ve never laughed so hard.

  28. Wat Tyler @ #1276 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 9:19 pm

    I think one thing that has annoyed me over the last decade is how much Antisocial Personality Disorder has just become an identity.

    I used to know someone, years ago, who had APD and, yeah, he didn’t do personal hygiene because why should he? He doesn’t care. And he doesn’t care about your rules. I don’t know what happened to him but I reckon if he is around now, he’d probably buy one of the many different ideological justifications for such shittiness. Justifying it with the word salad of whatever thought leader appeals most to him (remembering him, probably someone in the incel space.)

    Ugh, I feel the same. MAGA truly doesn’t really believe in anything except being vicious assholes about everything.

    The type that delight in kicking down sandcastles because they hate that they’re not capable of creating anything worthy or decent, so they spitefully respond to the world by spraying everything with shit and simply laugh at their victims for being upset at the things they do and get off on it.

  29. NewsCorp got first bite at Travelgate, but they pulled it it from news.com.au after a few hours:

    ”News Corp’s free mass-market news site, news.com.au, was the first to publish details of Wells’ $100,000 trip to New York under the headline “Eye-watering cost to spruik social media ban” last Tuesday evening, before mysteriously sending the link dead shortly after.

    But sources with insight into the publishing decision have told On Background the story was pulled by editor-in-chief of Free News and Lifestyle Mick Carroll because it jarred with News Corp’s advocacy through its Let Them Be Kids campaign for the Albanese government’s social media ban for under-16s.”

    Thus a reverse ferret. By that time, however, everyone in the Press Gallery new about the story.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/vanishing-act-the-anika-wells-expenses-exclusive-pulled-by-news-corp-20251208-p5nlti.html

    There’s still the question of who leaked the story and why. It looks to me like a punishment.

  30. No good Newscorpse making Labor MPs scapegoats over travel rules. The whole lot of them in that parliament have done the same thing just to a different extent all within the rules.

  31. He introduced Pennsylvanians who he said had more take-home pay because of his policies.

    Could be true. They might be repo men. I hear these guys are making a killing in the Trump economy.

  32. Tricot

    “ I am bemused that so much hot air and angst is being expended over two topics – one the “Higgins” affair and two the “Well’s” affair.”
    ——————————————————————
    You are not the only one dismayed by both cases.

    The reporting of both is not news. It is becoming soap opera.

  33. Grattan again.
    From Labor’s point of view, the affair provided it with electoral fodder; some in Labor appear to have the attitude that if there were political opponents who unfairly became victims, so be it. Labor will do all it can to avoid being held to account retrospectively. It wants to throw a blanket over its part in the political aspects of the affair.
    _______________________
    Tricot and Socrates engaging in a bit of blanket throwing themselves.

  34. Yo Freedumb

    The latest Essential poll released today has another surge in One Nation’s primary vote up 2% to 17% with Labor down 2% to 34%, Greens down 1% to 10%, the Coalition down 1% to 26% and undecideds down 1% to 5%. This result implies Others/Independents were up 3% to 8%.

    All that shit is within the margin of error.

    I can see you crying salty tears when your copium projections don’t work out, but don’t worry about me, keep working the freedumb erection, we all need entertainment. What’s the Miami election result doing for you. In the inimitable words of the Mooch, your not TRYING to suck your own thing

  35. As an admitted Labor supporter I have no political motive in throwing a blanket over the Lehrmann case. It is series of Liberal v Liberal court battles.

    I am simply sick of it after four years.

    Likewise Wells has referred all her claims to an independent audit. That is scrutiny, not throwing a blanket over it. But it follows weeks of media drip feed.

  36. Socrates @ #1297 Wednesday, December 10th, 2025 – 10:40 pm

    As an admitted Labor supporter I have no political motive in throwing a blanket over the Lehrmann case. It is series of Liberal v Liberal court battles.

    I am simply sick of it after four years.

    Ugh, same, I’m honestly sick of seeing images of that entitled prick strutting around outside courtrooms for the same thing every time.

    Just have him ignored until he’s a miserable memory on page 13 that has been sent to prison at last.

  37. Trump’s measure of US economic performance can be be summarised as the Bribery Index. The Nvidia guy’s contribution must be Huge. And there’s Infantino’s gold turd uplifted by many tiny hands. So much winning. And 46 million student debtors can GAGF

  38. Ashasays:
    Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 10:15 pm
    This one is great too, equal parts hilarious and terrifying:
    ___________
    The Mossad character could really bring it out in them.

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