The Financial Review has the results of a large-sample poll from RedBridge Group, the second pollster to take the field post-election after Roy Morgan. The results are not far off Roy Morgan’s: Labor on 37%, compared with 34.6% at the election; the Coalition on 31%, compared with 31.8%; and the Greens on 11%, compared with 12.2%. Labor is credited with a 55.5-44.5 lead on two-party preferred, compared with an election result of 55.2-44.8 – lower than I might have expected based on preference flows from the recent election, but perhaps explicable by One Nation accounting for a larger share of “others”. Breakdowns are more balanced than you might expect with regard to gender, but results by age tell a familiar story of the Coalition vote descending from 44% among the 65+ cohort to 19% among 18-to-34, the Greens rising from 2% to 24%, and Labor fairly consistent across the board. The poll was conducted “late June” from a sample of 4036.
Another item of federally relating polling emerges from a report by Alexandra Smith of the Sydney Morning Herald on debate within the Liberal Party over whether to challenge independent Nicolette Boele’s 26-vote win in Bradfield in court. Local branch presidents are calling on the party to put up the money, but others consider this “a risk financially and politically”. The report cites polling conducted in mid-June for Climate 200 which suggests Boele would likely win a by-election resulting from a legal challenge, with her primary vote up from 27.0% at the election to 33.2%, with Gisele Kapterian’s 37.3% comparing with an election result of 38.0%.
newy boysays:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:22 pm
Can we finally inter the ‘Shy Tory’ fallacy once and for all?
—————————————————-
You mean for polling responses?
As there is a good argument it is real for posting on PB following a big Tory election loss.
The Albanese Labor Government has continued its record of hypocrisy in appointing Labor mates to Government Boards.
Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.
_____________________
Exhibit 1 Entropy.
Two new appointments have been made to the Fair Work Commission as the Albanese Government delivers on its promise to restore balance to the Commission.
Ms Terri Butler holds extensive industrial relations experience and has been appointed as Deputy President of the Commission, commencing on 9 September 2024.
_____________________
Exhibit 2 Entropy.
I can go all day if you want.
Don’t get me started on the Victorian ALP. I would be here for a week.
For today’s Bathsalt Addict Hour on Sky News they scolded the Liberal Party for not being close enough to the bloated Oompa-Loompa, video for those who have the stomach for it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yp5d-dOwqpg
They should keep it up, maybe Labor could get to 100 seats in 2028?
Never know what you’ll find…
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jul/06/viking-treasure-scottish-detectorist-archeology-south-australia
From the Guardian:
Markets price in a 25 basis point rate cut by RBA
Mortgage holders could receive their first back-to-back interest rate cuts in more than five years, with Australia’s Reserve Bank widely expected to lower rates on Tuesday.
The central bank’s monetary policy board meeting, which begins on Monday, tops the week’s economic agenda, although Donald Trump’s tariffs could once again roil markets, reports AAP.
The US president paused his sweeping “liberation day” tariffs for 90 days to allow extra time for individual countries to negotiate a better deal.
With only three agreements struck – with the UK, China and Vietnam – it’s unclear what the White House will decree when the tariff deadline expires on Wednesday, US time.
Given the backdrop of economic uncertainty and after a softer-than-expected start to the year for Australian consumers, markets have almost fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut from the Reserve Bank on Tuesday.
________________________________________________
I’m not a professional political commentator, but I just have this feeling that most Australian uncommitted voters will be far more interested in the above item than in whether Albanese has an arse-kissing session with Trump, as demanded by the various News Ltd hacks.
The jobs for Liberal mates and superannuated Liberal hacks have dried up. Maybe Newscorp or Queensland can provide some.
Stephen Jones gets his retirement bonus from his Labor mates.
Taylormadesays:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:50 pm
The Albanese Labor Government has continued its record of hypocrisy in appointing Labor mates to Government Boards.
Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.
_____________________
Exhibit 1 Entropy.
———————————————————–
Your argument was it was hypocrisy. How exactly is it that?
As Labor has tendency in opposition to support many of the LNP Governments appointment of their own. Like Cormann, Hockey and Brandis etc.
Something for the Elon Haters to digest:-).
For MAGA….. “may you live in interesting times”
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/musk-declares-new-america-party-is-formed-after-trump-s-bill-passes-20250706-p5mct4.html
“Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.”
Failed… what? Thats like saying John Howard was a failed PM.
Stephen Jones’ replacement, Carol Berry, has an impressive CV:
“Previous job: Chief executive, The Disability Trust, Illawarra Women’s Health Centre, New South Wales Council for Intellectual Disability; director of market development, National Disability Insurance Agency; principal project officer, NSW Ombudsman; solicitor, Public Interest Advocacy Centre”
The new member for Griffith, Renee Coffey, also:
“Previous job: Chief executive of a national youth mental health charity; deputy chief executive of a national charity providing scholarships to First Nations young people.”
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2025/07/05/class-2025-part-ii
Clearly the floods in Texas are Joe Biden’s fault.
The DOGE cuts to the NWS, NOAA and FEMA are going to come back to bite the Trump government.
B.S.Fairman
I wonder if Trump is playing golf this weekend..
“At a Greenpeace anti-whaling demonstration at Norway’s tourist office in London on 26 July 1993, I was the only one whose arms weren’t chained, so the inspector, looking for someone he could actually arrest, chose me – essentially for being portable.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/06/women-were-grabbed-and-dragged-away-like-sacks-a-history-of-british-protest-in-pictures
BK
Cheats only play at golf:-)
This is almost a week old, but still …
“I don’t pretend to understand the rules now prevailing in our political jungle. Far more than ever before in my life it seems an exercise in pure and corrupt power, but even that power is operating only half-logically. This new bill does everything it can to kill off solar and wind power, including by imposing a sweeping new tax on them that appeared out of nowhere over the weekend. In their place it adds yet more subsidies for that 18th century technology, coal. Sun and wind accounted for more than 90 percent of new electric generation last year in this country, and around the world. It’s the cheapest power on planet earth; it’s clearly where the planet is heading; it’s our only serious hope for fighting the spiking temperature of our planet.
I don’t really think those, or any, arguments matter at the moment. So it is more out of a sense of duty than of hope that I urge you to get on the phone this morning and make one last set of calls to your Senators. Here’s the link and the numbers we’ve been using for days at Third Act. Perhaps it will make a difference, but if it doesn’t then acting out of duty is a good thing nonetheless. I believe that—I’m not certain why, but I do.”
https://billmckibben.substack.com/p/more-from-a-sense-of-duty
Taylormade, Labor winning 94 out of 150 seats on 3 May means the Coalition and its backers can take a seat for three years. Elections have consequences. Live with it.
Vale Peter Russell-Clarke, dies aged 89.
B.S.Fairman
One thing I find incredible among thr climate and science denial lunatics is that they seem incapable of understanding the link between weather forecasting and climate forecasting.
The same scientific theory is the basis of both. The same scientists using the same models analyse and predict both. Yet they expect the weather forecasts to be corect, while rejecting the climate forecasts as witchcraft.
As a kid growing up in the 1980’s, Peter Russell-Clarke was a fixture on our family TV set. Vale, indeed, Peter.
“Butter tastes better!”
https://youtu.be/4Uf9QrtuDfU
Taylormade
“ Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.”
_____________________
How on earth is Anastasia Palaszczuk a failure? She won three elections as premier with increasing majorities, then resigned without being defeated. Her first election victory over Newman was in the category of miracle wins.
She has degrees in Arts and Law plus an MA from LSE. I’d say she is better qualified to be on a board than most political appointees.
Some appointments and jobs for former politicians, of both sides, may be questionable.
But nothing matches the appointment of Sophie mirabella to the Fair Work Commission.
Labor abolished the dysfunctional AAT, probably in part to get rid of the coalition hacks infesting it.
Pity they can’t do the same to the FWC.
Canadians are boycotting travel to the US and it is having a significant financial impact on the US economy. The city of Buffalo, just across the border near Niagara Falls, has created a website “Buffalo Still Loves Canada” pleading with Canadian tourists to return.
“Some appointments and jobs for former politicians, of both sides,”
At least Labor is willing to appoint people like Matt Kean and Keith Pitt to positions plus support Julie Bishop in her UN appointment. Something the LNP hypocrites would never do.
citizen @ #725 Sunday, July 6th, 2025 – 4:46 pm
Buffalo is in Erie County, NY which voted 54.1-44.5 to Harris in 2024.
Perhaps a P.S. should be added that says “Yes, we know 204,774 of us voted for Orange Hitler, just get over that will you?”
Socrates says:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 4:08 pm
Taylormade
“ Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.”
_____________________
How on earth is Anastasia Palaszczuk a failure? She won three elections as premier with increasing majorities, then resigned without being defeated. Her first election victory over Newman was in the category of miracle wins.
She has degrees in Arts and Law plus an MA from LSE. I’d say she is better qualified to be on a board than most political appointees.
From Taylormade it is the same old same old bullshit without thought. One day he will have a legitimate point and it will not be noticed, buried in all his other bullshit.
Mavissays:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 3:57 pm
Vale Peter Russell-Clarke, dies aged 89.
_______________
Where’s the cheese ??
“From Taylormade it is the same old same old bullshit without thought. One day he will have a legitimate point and it will not be noticed, buried in all his other bullshit.”
I don’t think anyone will go pearl diving in a sewerage farm.
I think it has to be said that people like Taylormade think of Labor politicians in a similar way to those of us on the “left” side of politics think of Trump.
But I don’t think he’s that completely evil, there was a point recently I remember when I was going through a bad moment and he reached out. That was nice. I won’t forget that.
Did I tell you the one about a guy who throws up the Nazi salute forming the America Party …?
Rex Douglas @ #732 Sunday, July 6th, 2025 – 5:26 pm
Musk is just some obscenely rich guy with a Ketamine addiction, he’ll probably be Ernst Röhm’ed at the first opportunity when he gets too annoying for Daddy Trump.
Ven, “if he’s muslim he’s a terrorist ” (or words to that effect) is a start.
Another pathetic far-left party that will go nowhere (UK Greens anyone?) Gaza, Gaza, Gaza,
Gaza, Gaza, Gaza, Gaza, Gaza, is all they will pathetically go on about: Nobody in Labour’s former red wall areas gives a flying f*k about Gaza, and imagine voting for that loser Corbyn??
All this will do is cement that awful “Bad British Teeth” Farage into Office.
“The time is right for Zarah Sultana’s new party – but it’s already facing its first test”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jul/04/zarah-sultana-new-party-britain-left-reform
“Nobody in Labours former red wall areas gives a flying f*k about Gazza,”
I suspect there are probably people there that do care about crimes against humanity. I doubt they all lack the level of empathy that you obviously do for the human suffering that is currently occurring in Gaza.
Probably the best thing that Starmer can do at this moment is bring in Australian-style preferential voting.
Even if Labor and the Greens here bitch against each other so much, at least their voters still preference each other 80-20.
If not, well, glory be to Prime Minister Farage I guess.
What’s the longest ever period of time between election day and the first sitting of the new parliament ?
Entropy, Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:46 pm:
LOL
Nick says:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 3:08 pm
“Today’s announcement that failed former Labor Premier Anastasia Palaszczuk would be appointed to the board of Australia Post is treating Australians like mugs.”
Failed… what? Thats like saying John Howard was a failed PM
——————//————/——
John Howard was a failed Prime Minister. He was a war criminal. He gifted us structural deficits, squandered the mining boom and introduced hyper partisan hate politics. He did do gun reform, but failed every other metric.
He even delivered stagflation as treasurer.
Palusczuc lost an election. Not same same.
Who is Gazza?
Of course, there is deep concern about Gaza within Labour circles in the UK. The problem is the British have little sway with the Israelis. So the best they can do is protest in a diplomatic way.
It is not a boxing match – there shouldn’t be cheering on sides – just trying to stop the fighting.
YYYYablett !!!!!
Confessionssays:
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 6:03 pm
Who is Gazza
—————————————–
If directed at me?
The spelling was obviously corrected after I cut and pasted it from that nasty post.
More power to the arm of Musk if he actually follows through on a threat for once and forms a party out of supreme egotism. Even a few percent of vote splitting in the US system would be pretty catastrophic for the Republicans. Without Trump on the ticket next time they’ll be in disarray anyway unless the cultists can be persuaded to go the full Kim Il Sung and vote for Eric Trump…
You know, assuming that they have an election at all.
On top of yesterday, and the day before, and the day before …
“Russian attacks across Ukraine kill 6, injure 22 over past day”
https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-across-ukraine-kill-6-injure-22-over-past-day-06-2025/
1,228 days, Russia has been killing Ukrainians.
3 years, 4 months, 12 days.
Entropy:
I was quoting Milo Tully who has repeatedly referred to a ‘Gazza’ in their comment.
If it was meant to refer to Gaza then I just wish people would learn how to spell.
Rex Douglas, Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 5:59 pm:
I haven’t done an exhaustive search, but the longest I’ve found recently was Nov 10, 2001 to Feb 12, 2002, totalling 94 days (3 months, 2 days).
MABwM, Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 6:03 pm:
John Howard also lost an election. Two, actually: 1987 and 2007. He also lost his own seat.
It’s hilarious that the choice for the next republican presidential candidate might be a third trump presidency or Musk.