The Australian reports Newspoll finds very little change on last week, with Labor continuing to lead 52-48 on two-party preferred and the primary vote remaining at 34% for Labor and 35% for the Coalition. The Greens are down a point to 11% and One Nation is up one to 8%. The only detail offered on leaders’ ratings at this stage is that Anthony Albanese’s net approval is unchanged at minus 9 while Peter Dutton is down two to minus 24. Albanese led Dutton by 51-35 as better PM (52-36 previously). The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1254.
UPDATE: Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings are unchanged at 43% approval and 52% disapproval, while Peter Dutton is steady on 35% approval and up two on disapproval to 59%. Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister shifts from 52-36 to 51-35. The poll also finds 39% holding Labor deserving of re-election, up five since February, with 48% favouring the alternative option of “it’s time to give someone else a go”, down five. Thirty-eight per cent rate themselves “confident the Coalition is ready to govern”, down seven, with 62% not confident, up seven.
Charts of the Day: today we take a three-part look at the gender gap with one chart showing a trend of male-minus-female Labor two-party preferred (converted from the primary vote using my own preference estimates) going back to early 2020, as measured by Essential Research (the most data-rich source available on this point); and two showing how Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns have tracked net approval for Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton among men and women going back to the start of the term. The first of these suggests an existing gap of around three points blew out to upwards of seven in early 2021, before settling in at around five points thereafter. Albanese’s ratings are notable for their lack of a gender gap, outside of the reliable tendency of women to rate themselves uncommitted in higher numbers. In contrast to Scott Morrison towards the end of his reign, there was no consistent gap for Peter Dutton in the first half of the term, but one emerged in 2024 (ranging from two to six points), and it’s widened since the start of the year (seven points in the January-to-March aggregation, ten in last week’s aggregation of polling since the budget).
Albanese sent condolences message to Modi regarding Kashmir terrorist attack as per Chris Bowen facebook page.
I did not find any condolence message from Dutton
https://www.newsonair.gov.in/global-leaders-condemn-jk-terror-attack/
Trump helping out the Canadians with their election, maybe Dutton should request some help here too
_______________________________
U.S. President Donald Trump injected himself into the federal election on Monday, appearing to suggest Canadians vote for him when they go to the polls.
“Good luck to the Great people of Canada,'” Trump wrote on his social media site Truth Social.
“Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power, for free, to the highest level in the World, have your Car, Steel, Aluminum, Lumber, Energy, and all other businesses, QUADRUPLE in size, WITH ZERO TARIFFS OR TAXES, if Canada becomes the cherished 51st. State of the United States of America.”
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/donald-trump-election-canada-truth-social-1.7520212
And that’s three polls now with the same outcome; 52 ALP and 48 LNP
Greens at 13 and ON at 10 based on the latest Essential!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/apr/29/guardian-essential-poll-labor-leads-coalition-in-final-pre-election-poll-as-duttons-approval-rating-slips-further
Morgan 52/48
Newspoll 52/48
Essential 52/48
Expect to see LNP stunts in SA today. If my sighting of Jacinta Price is right.
Price coming out to whine about her fellow Aboriginals, to attack woke ceremonies and call for a Royal Commission into Aboriginal Crime or something like that.
@SA Voter
You mean two polls at ALP 52-48 LNP, Morgan was ALP 53-47 LNP.
Slip-slidin’ away …
“Albanese’s approval ratings have ticked up slightly since the last ]Essential] poll two weeks ago, but Peter Dutton’s has slipped for the fourth poll in a row, with the Liberal leader’s public standing dropping as the campaign has progressed.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/apr/29/guardian-essential-poll-labor-leads-coalition-in-final-pre-election-poll-as-duttons-approval-rating-slips-further
Eston Kohver says:
“Expect to see LNP stunts in SA today. If my sighting of Jacinta Price is right.”
Make Adelaide Great Again?
During the Howard years Kingston, Wakefield/Spence, Makin and Adelaide were all Coalition seats. Even Elizabeth and Salisbury had a Coalition federal MP.
What went wrong?
Why Adelaide, even with far fewer people of sociolinguistic minorities?
What happened to the City of Churches and Light? Why did the darkness of wokeness and Labor descend on it?
Absolutely appalling ScromoII, reminds me of the time I stumbled out of the Crazy Horse and vomited my pie floater up on to a Stobie pole.
And don’t try and tell me that the power on Hindley St is underground, I aint tryna hear that see.
New thread.