Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition (open thread)

Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings bounce back, but not much change on voting intention from the latest Newspoll.

The Australian reports Newspoll has the Coalition with an unchanged two-party lead of 51-49, from primary votes of Labor 32% (up one), Coalition 39% (up one), Greens 12% (steady) and One Nation 7% (steady). Despite the stable voting intention results, Anthony Albanese records much improved personal ratings, up four on approval to 41% and down five on disapproval to 53%, and increases his lead as preferred prime minister from 45-40 to 47-38. Peter Dutton is down two on approval to 39% and up two on approval to 53%. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1255.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,563 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition (open thread)”

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  1. FUBAR

    “The failure of Universities to protect Jewish students and staff from the attacks and harassment enabled antisemitism.”

    What failure, what harassment?

    Put it out there for all to see.

    Not some link to a Murdoch rag.

    You are anti Muslim and will use whatever avenues it takes to promote that cause.

    It’s obvious now.

  3. FUBAR says Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 11:55 pm

    Only one Federal Government has lost power after one term since Federation. If Dutton loses this election he is hardly a terrible failure. He’s pushed Albo into being close to losing and probably minority government. How you think that means the end of Dutton as leader is beyond me.

    Howard came close to losing in 1998, getting a TPP of 49.02% compared to 50.98% for Labor. ditto Gillard in 2010 with 50.12% compared to the Coalition on 49.88%. Then Turnbull only achieved 50.36% vs labor’s 49.64% in 2016. So, the last three elections for first term governments have been pretty dicey. Any of those could easily have been a loss.

    On the other hand you could argue that the margin has been trending upwards.

  4. Diogenes says Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 12:08 am

    I read that Trump can’t actually drive. Hasn’t driven in decades.

    He can pretend though, at least in firetrucks.

  5. The overwhelming majority of university protesters are focused in their criticism of the Israeli government. Indeed, many of the protesters are Jewish themselves. The right and the Murdoch media have sensationalised the poor behaviour of a small minority and are attempting to paint all protesters with the same brush. The Murdoch media have also been complicit in botched attempts to generate racial hatred for the nefarious purpose of promoting the myth that anti-Semitism is rife. It’s a playbook the Murdoch media used in the UK against labour under Corbyn and it is a cynical and well-worn trope.

  7. Golf Foxtrot Yankee, and of course irrefutable evidence of Murdoch bastardry is the disgraceful attempt to instigate a blue at that Egyptian Cafe.

    I now also wonder at the true magnitude of university antisemitism following revelations about the criminals carrying out hoax acts elsewhere. I accept that Jewish people would have been alarmed at theses activities even though they were hoaxes.

    The true aim of most of it was to harm the Federal Government.

  8. In his first meeting with top executives from PepsiCo, W.K. Kellogg, General Mills and other large companies, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the health secretary, bluntly told them that a top priority would be eliminating artificial dyes from the nation’s food supply… Later on Monday, Mr. Kennedy issued a directive that would also affect food companies nationwide. He ordered the Food and Drug Administration to revise a longstanding policy that allowed companies — independent of any regulatory review — to decide that a new ingredient in the food supply was safe. Put in place decades ago, the policy was aimed at ingredients like vinegar or salt that are widely considered to be well-understood, and benign. But the designation, known as GRAS, or “generally recognized as safe,” has since grown to include a far broader array of natural and synthetic additives.

    Crazy Bobby Kennedy at it again!

  9. “I read that Trump can’t actually drive. Hasn’t driven in decades.”

    That may be true, but he had a license until 2020 at least:

    Trump’s driver’s license casts doubt on height claims
    https://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/trump-drivers-license-height-232948

    It doesn’t matter, though: Peeps and Veeps are not allowed to drive on public roads:

    The Reason U.S. Presidents Aren’t Allowed to Drive Cars

    “President or vice president, current or former: it doesn’t matter. None is allowed to drive a car on a public road.

    https://www.mentalfloss.com/posts/why-us-presidents-cant-drive-cars

  10. Breaking: Elon Musk becomes President after Tesla auto-drive accident in the White House grounds, and JD Vance “very sadly, accidentally, brutally cut his head off while combing his hair.”
    #blackadder

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