Resolve Strategic: Labor 36, Coalition 34, Greens 12 (open thread)

Labor still well ahead on voting intention, but Resolve Strategic records prime ministerial approval in net negative territory and an ongoing decline in support for an Indigenous Voice.

Courtesy of the Age/Herald, the latest monthly federal voting intention numbers from Resolve Strategic have with Labor down a point to 36%, the Coalition up one to 34%, the Greens up one to 12% and One Nation steady on 5%. As ever, no two-party preferred result is provided, but I make it to be 55-45 to Labor based on 2022 election preferences compared with about 55.5-44.5 last time.

As with last week’s Newspoll, the poll gives Anthony Albanese his first net negative personal rating as prime minister, with approval down four to 40% and disapproval up five to 47%. Peter Dutton is up four to 35% and down one to 44%, with Albanese retaining a 43-28 lead as preferred prime minister, in from 46-25.

The worst news for the government comes once again from the Indigenous Voice, with a forced response question now putting no ahead 57-43, out from 54-46 a month ago. A question allowing for an uncommitted response has no leading 49% to 35%. Combining this month’s results with last month’s to get reasonable sub-samples, no leads 56-44 in New South Wales, 51-49 in Victoria, 61-39 in Queensland and Western Australia and 59-41 in South Australia, with yes leading only in Tasmania by 56-44 off a particularly small sample.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1604.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,113 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Labor 36, Coalition 34, Greens 12 (open thread)”

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  1. Yeah GWS won against Kochy’s team. fist pumping emoji

    So the 3rd and 4th placed AFL teams lost this weekend.

    14th and 15th Teams at the end of the Round 12 are now in Preminary finals

  2. Rex Mossop seems like the NRL version of our own Jack Dyer, at least for his malapropisms.

    It was Dyer who called the Richmond Ruckman Mark Lee in this manner:

    “Mark Lee’s long arms reaching up like giant testicles”

  3. From memory, Mavis started spelling it that way a few months ago because he was using Pepys and someone told him off for not knowing how to spell Pepsi and, in any case, couldn’t understand why he kept ending his posts with a name of a cola drink

  4. “Dyerisms”
    According to press obituaries, Dyer was responsible for malapropisms including:
    “Yes, we had an enjoyable time on the French Riverina” (The Riverina is a highly productive agricultural region of south-western New South Wales) and describing the problems with younger players by saying that “All they want to do is sit around and smoke marinara”.

    He also once asked players to pair up into threes.

  5. Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
    Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 10:20 pm
    @Been There:

    “ Pepsy means goodnight in Mavis’s world.”

    Mavis could at least honour the famous diarist by getting the spelling of his name right:


    That would help a lot A_E or did I spell it wrong, easy to do!

  6. Commentators on Fox were talking about Stephen Coniglio and Lachie Whitfield combination.
    Which made me think about

    What happened to Joel Selwood? Dangerfield seemed lost without him beside him in Geelong games.

  7. Andrew_Earlwood at 7.55 am

    Based on his interview with Senator Liddle (Lib SA) on 7.30, in which Speers tried to ask searching questions but missed the obvious one, there is little expectation that Speers can improve. And he may also lack ticker.

    The obvious Qn, as yet not posed to any of the No-hoping spruikers by any ABC (and probably any other) journo, is this:

    “You say you support Indigenous constitutional recognition without a substantive Voice that could not be abolished – how is this position any different from re-running the Preamble that John Howard presented to the 1999 referendum, which received only 39% support nationally?”

  8. Vensays:
    Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 10:38 pm
    Commentators on Fox were talking about Stephen Coniglio and Lachie Whitfield combination.
    Which made me think about

    What happened to Joel Selwood? Dangerfield seemed lost without him beside him in Geelong games.

    As I recall, Selwood retired after Geelong won the 2022 premiership.

  9. Anyone either running in the Sydney Marathon today, or doing the Walk for Yes, remember hydration and sun protection:

    “Marathon runners are expected to swelter on Sunday, with temperatures again set to hit 30C in Sydney on an unseasonably warm weekend across the east coast.

    More than 17,000 runners has registered for the Sydney Marathon, the most runners it has ever hosted and making it the largest marathon in the country. But the event coincides with a surge of heat that is expected to see temperatures between 10C and 12C above average in Sydney until Tuesday night.”

  10. ‘Lauren Boebert has issued an apology after being kicked out of a performance of the musical Beetlejuice in Denver for inappropriate behaviour.’

    ‘Boebert, a Republican representative for Colorado, and a male guest accompanying her were ejected … for vaping, recording video and disturbing other patrons …’

    ‘The CCTV video also shows Boebert’s guest fondling her breasts after they had taken their seats … Boebert is also seen petting her guest’s crotch …’

    Luckily for him, his date was Lauren Boebert, not Lorena Bobbitt …

  11. C@tmomma @ 8.57am Saturday
    It looks like someone is channeling their love of Skyhooks.
    Although, fifty years ago, Frank Zappa & The Mothers on their “Over-nite Sensation” album did have ‘I Am the Slime’, with a similar, very similar cartoon graphic as part of the cover art.

  12. World News round up:

    British media report rape and emotional abuse allegations against Russell Brand:
    Turkey could part ways with EU if necessary, Erdogan says:
    French ski resort closes permanently because there’s not enough snow:
    We can’t rely on Russia to protect us anymore, Armenian PM says:
    Visas-for-bribes scandal rocks Poland’s anti-immigrant government before election:
    Poland to ban entry of Russia-registered passenger cars from Sunday:
    The show must go on’: 35,000 ultra-Orthodox Jews travel to Ukraine for Rosh Hashanah:
    Russian-backed mercenary squad Wagner Group designated as terrorist organization by UK officials:
    Republican Texas AG Ken Paxton is acquitted of corruption charges at historic impeachment trial:
    California sues oil giants alleging ‘climate risks deception’:
    Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso sign Sahel security pact:
    The European Union said Saturday that its top official Ursula von der Leyen will head for the Italian island of Lampedusa, after Rome called on Brussels for help after a surge in migrant arrivals. :

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