Resolve Strategic: Labor 42, Coalition 30, Greens 12 (open thread)

Resolve Strategic brings the government very good news on voting intention, but rather less good news on the Indigenous Voice.

The Age/Herald reports that the Resolve Strategic poll, from which budget response numbers were published on Tuesday, had strong results for Labor on voting intention, all but replicating the resounding Labor lead in the prevous poll a month ago. Labor was steady on the primary vote at 42%, with the Coalition up two to 30%, the Greens steady on 12%, One Nation down one to 5% and the United Australia Party up one to 2%. Resolve Strategic does not publish two-party preferred numbers, but I make this to be about 61-39 in Labor’s favour based on previous election preference flows, compared with 62-38 last time.

There are some rather quirky results in the breakdowns, including a lurch in favour of Labor in Victoria (what I reckon to be a two-party lead of about 66.5-33.5, out from 58-42 last time) and against it in Queensland (a lead of at most 51-49, compared with 60-40 last time). The poll also finds Labor doing slightly better among men than women, which is in contrast to Essential Research’s findings of a consistent gender gap in the opposite direction, in keeping with the conventional wisdom. However, Resolve Strategic’s finding was supported by the most recent aggregated demographic breakdowns from Newspoll, which had Labor leading 55-45 among men and 54-46 among women. All concerned find the Greens doing better among women than men.

The poll’s personal ratings record no change for Anthony Albanese, who remains at 56% in his combined very good and good rating and 29% for combined very poor and poor. Peter Dutton is respectively up two to 28% and down five to 49%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 53-20, in from 55-21 last time.

Less happily for the government, the poll included a question on the Indigenous Voice that records the softest support of any credible poll to date, at odds with the near-simultaneous finding from Essential Research. It found 44% in favour (down two on a month ago), 39% opposed (up eight) and 18% undecided (down four), with a forced response follow-up recording 53% in favour and 47% opposed (58% and 42% last time). The poll was conducted from a sample of 1610 from Wednesday to Sunday.

The latest weekly Roy Morgan numbers suggest the slump it recorded in Labor support a fortnight ago to have been an anomaly – Labor now leads 57-43 on two-party preferred, compared with 54.5-45.5 last week and 53.5-46.5 the week before. The primary votes are Labor 36.5% (up one), Coalition 33.5% (down two) and Greens 13% (up half). The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,155 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Labor 42, Coalition 30, Greens 12 (open thread)”

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  1. If the voice yes votes, dont get enough states to pass the referendum , that may not be a political blessing for the corrupt lib/nats or their propaganda media units , it will be a political gift for Labor

    The Lib/nats will likely keep both of their leadership team longer than they normally would, by then it will be too late to change when the Lib/nats combined primary vote is still between 30-35%, end of next year and coming into the 2025 federal election

  2. Great election results in America yesterday for the Democrats. They took the Mayor’s job in previously Republican Districts of Colorado Springs, Colorado and Jacksonville, Florida.

    So, Nicholas, if you’re out there (and I know you will be, but I didn’t see you mention how old Bernie Sanders was 😉 ), can I just say to you,

    You have NFI! 😆

  3. The ACT’s director of public prosecutions, Shane Drumgold, has been temporarily stood aside amid an inquiry into the prosecution of Bruce Lehrmann. Surprise! Not.

  4. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    The left seems to think Albanese should take a big swing, ditch the stage three tax cuts, spend super-big on housing, ditch negative gearing. But Labor won with a mere two-seat majority, writes Shaun Carney who suggests the Albanese honeymoon might be over, at least in the eyes of progressives.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-honeymoon-is-over-at-least-in-the-eyes-of-progressives-20230517-p5d8z8.html
    “Negative gearing isn’t the problem – it’s NIMBYs like me”, writes Chris Richardson who says we can’t get better housing outcomes for younger Australians until we stop doing dumb stuff in planning.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/negative-gearing-isn-t-the-problem-it-s-nimbys-like-me-20230516-p5d8v2.html
    Wages are growing (good news!) but they’re still playing catch-up with inflation, explains Greg Jericho.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2023/may/18/wages-are-growing-good-news-but-theyre-still-playing-catch-up-with-inflation
    The Australian’s Cameron Milner writes, “Labor is firmly on track for a general election as early as August next year. This would be before its first full term is due, but the preconditions for such a call are being methodically laid out by Jim Chalmers and Anthony Albanese.”
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/why-labor-is-primed-for-an-early-election/news-story/2541ea2c8f5ae98e0dfffeb1aba9c9d2?amp
    The last-minute cancellation of US President Joe Biden’s trip to Australia has thrown efforts to entrench the Quad grouping as a powerful democratic alternative to China into disarray, with former prime minister Scott Morrison warning against any watering down of the four-nation partnership, write Matthew Knott and Farrah Tomazin.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/quad-cancellation-a-self-inflicted-wound-on-the-us-experts-20230517-p5d96o.html
    Joe Biden’s decision to cancel his visit to Australia for the Quad meeting comes across as a calculated snub to a friend and a gift to a rival (China) that regrettably raises doubts about the United States as a reliable partner, says the SMH editorial.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/biden-s-no-show-a-snub-to-a-friend-and-a-gift-to-a-foe-20230517-p5d8zo.html
    Workers have experienced the strongest annual wage growth in a decade, but it remains within Reserve Bank forecasts, tempering fears the larger pay packets will fuel an interest rate rise next month, reports Rachel Clun.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/wages-growth-hits-10-year-high-but-buying-power-still-down-20230517-p5d8yg.html
    The Age reports that legal heavyweights are lining up for Deeming’s battle with Pesutto.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/legal-heavyweights-line-up-for-deeming-s-battle-with-pesutto-20230517-p5d94e.html
    Lisa Visentin tells us that Pauline Hanson will push to write the No case in the official Voice referendum pamphlet sent to every Australian household, setting up a potential stoush with the Coalition over who will have control over the wording. This says a lot.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/i-want-a-say-pauline-hanson-pushes-to-write-voice-referendum-no-pamphlet-sent-to-12-million-homes-20230517-p5d8xr.html
    Alexandra Smith tells us what the first Resolve poll in the Minns government era has found. Unsurprisingly rental prices are the top concern.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/rise-in-voters-worried-about-skyrocketing-rental-prices-adds-to-minns-cost-of-living-challenge-20230516-p5d8qi.html
    “As the penny drops, so does support for the Indigenous voice to parliament”, boasts Peta Credlin.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/as-the-penny-drops-so-does-support-for-the-indigenous-voice-to-parliament/news-story/c2098a36cb0191748cd04246e7325ca5?amp
    According to Rosie Lewis, The Liberal Party will nominate a number of its MPs – including potentially shadow cabinet ministers – to vote against the Constitution alteration bill that establishes the Indigenous voice to parliament and executive government so they can help write the No pamphlet.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/liberals-to-name-mps-to-lead-indigenous-voice-to-parliament-no-vote-push/news-story/b27548d98be8e233452b1c2d7a998196?amp
    The construction of thousands of new Sydney homes has been shelved despite a worsening rental crunch as surging building costs and rising interest rates put residential projects on hold. Matt Wade reports that almost 16,400 dwellings in NSW were approved but not yet commenced at the end of March, as analysis by KPMG shows, the highest number in over four years. Around three-quarters of the not-yet-commenced dwellings are slated to be apartments or townhouses, mostly in Sydney.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/shelved-unprecedented-shock-halts-work-on-16-400-new-homes-20230517-p5d92r.html
    The New South Wales government will explore converting empty offices and unused government buildings into much-needed social housing, as commercial building owners grapple with a surge in vacancies. The NSW housing minister, Rose Jackson, has told the Guardian that providing incentives to developers to convert surplus office space presented a “good opportunity” for the state as it struggles with a spiralling social housing waitlist.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/may/18/nsw-labor-eyes-vacant-offices-as-option-to-boost-social-housing-stock
    Alan Kohler explains the confusing, ridiculous state of economic forecasting.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/05/18/confusing-interest-rates-rba-kohler/
    Michael Pascoe writes, “It is one of the great policy contradictions that standard economic advice on the tax system endlessly repeated in our national press tends to stress – income tax rates of 40-something per cent are a disincentive for the well paid to work while vastly higher effective marginal tax rates are somehow supposed to create an incentive for the poor to work more. Carrots for the rich, a stick for the poor.”
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/05/17/michael-pascoe-jobseeker-higher-than-minimum-wage/
    With tax time fast approaching, cryptocurrency traders and holders should be aware of some important developments in the tax space, with the Australian Tax Office putting its laser eyes on crypto trades this year, writes Nicole Buckler.
    https://www.theage.com.au/money/tax/what-to-know-about-the-ato-s-coming-crackdown-on-crypto-20230517-p5d8z2.html
    A Danish renewable energy giant has unveiled a bold $30bn plan to make South Australia’s Eyre Peninsula a global wind, solar and green hydrogen powerhouse.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/renewable-energy-economy/danish-firm-copenhagen-infrastructure-partners-unveils-30bn-green-energy-plan-in-sa/news-story/d61f5af2e40f313aa24e5386505c448c?amp
    Federal authorities should investigate PwC for possible criminal breaches for alleged breaches of confidentiality and look at imposing a US-style deferred prosecution agreement on the accounting and consulting giant, according to corporate law expert Brent Fisse, reports Tom Burton.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/pwc-should-be-investigated-by-afp-for-tax-leak-20230517-p5d94n
    The scandal engulfing global consulting giant PwC has deepened, with an Australian senator accusing its proposed internal inquiry of “continuing a cover-up” amid calls by a Greens senator for an investigation by the Australian federal police, reports Henty Belot.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/may/17/pwc-internal-review-of-tax-leak-continues-the-cover-up-australian-senator-says
    The PwC scandal shows consultants, like church officials, are best kept out of state affairs, writes Professor Carl Rhodes.
    https://theconversation.com/pwc-scandal-shows-consultants-like-church-officials-are-best-kept-out-of-state-affairs-205560
    Rupert Murdoch has done incalculable harm to the democratic experiment throughout the AUKUS nations and beyond. In Victoria, his propaganda campaigns have made him the magnate who cried wolf. The state’s integrity infrastructure is in perilous condition but Newscorp’s constant invective against Labor governments, and Premier Dan Andrew’s government in particular, has made it more, opines Lucy Hamilton.
    https://johnmenadue.com/dan-andrews-and-murdoch-crying-wolf/
    Christopher Knaus writes that abuse survivors are maintaining a push for Peter Hollingworth to be defrocked despite the former archbishop’s decision to cease practising as a priest, urging the church to “finally do the right thing”.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/may/18/peter-hollingworths-decision-to-cease-practising-as-a-priest-not-enough-abuse-survivors-say
    The credibility of witnesses was tested severely in ASIC’s case against bank victim advocate Geoff Shannon yesterday, and case evidence was brought to an abrupt close amid talk of perjury. Lisa-Jane Roberts reports from Southport.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/hi-babe-case-asic-witnesses-mauled-in-court-commbank-embarrassed-evidence-ends-abruptly/
    The New Daily tells us about an upcoming SBS documentary which sees Walkley Award-winning journalist Marc Fennell return to the world of Pentecostalism – 17 years after he ran away from the religious movement. In the show, the self-professed “dirty heathen” investigates how Australia produced one of the world’s most successful and scandal-plagued megachurches, Hillsong.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/entertainment/2023/05/17/hillsong-pentacostalism-sbs-documentary/
    Jetstar customers will be required to check into flights and arrive at the boarding gate earlier as part of changes aimed at improving the airline’s recent poor punctuality rates. And who is accountable for the length of check-in queues?
    https://www.smh.com.au/traveller/travel-news/jetstar-to-make-passengers-check-in-board-earlier-to-prevent-delays-20230517-p5d95a.html
    Prince Harry, his wife Meghan and her mother were involved in a car chase while being followed by paparazzi through the busy streets of New York, a spokesperson for the couple said on Wednesday. A statement issued by the Duke and Duchess of Sussex described the “relentless pursuit” after they attended an awards ceremony in New York on Tuesday evening as “near catastrophic”. Why are their photos so valuable as to cause this sort of behaviour?
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/harry-and-meghan-in-near-catastrophic-car-chase-with-paparazzi-20230518-p5d98z.html
    Here are five things to know about the US debt ceiling.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/five-things-to-know-about-the-us-debt-ceiling-20230517-p5d915.html
    Convening war rooms, planning speedy bailouts and raising house-on-fire alarm bells: Those are a few of the ways the biggest banks and financial regulators are preparing for a potential default on U.S. debt, explains John W Diamond.
    https://theconversation.com/war-rooms-and-bailouts-how-banks-and-the-fed-are-preparing-for-a-us-default-and-the-chaos-expected-to-follow-205537
    US Senator Marco Rubio reckons China’s long game is to topple the US dollar.
    https://www.theage.com.au/world/north-america/china-s-long-game-topple-the-us-dollar-20230517-p5d8wl.html
    The fall of Rudy Giuliani, once the toast of New York, continues unabated, writes Lloyd Green.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/may/17/rudy-giuliani-new-york-fall-lloyd-green

    Cartoon Corner

    David Pope

    Matt Golding




    Andrew Dyson

    Fiona Katauskas

    John Shakespeare

    Mark Knight

    Spooner

    From the US












  5. Okay, I’m going to make the booking today for The Whiskey Bar for

    Upnorth,
    C@tmomma
    Griff
    Confessions (only staying for a drink)
    Itza + 1
    Andrew_Earlwood

    If anyone else still wants to come, put your hand up today and I will amend the booking.

    See you at Noon on Sunday, outside 93 Macquarie St, Sydney at The Sir Stamford Hotel 🙂

  6. its not suprising snoey 2.0 is a failure the ceo the coalition appointed paul broad hates renewables thats whiy chris bowen sacked him if broard does not want renewables to replace coal whiy was he in charge of a hydro skeme

  7. what happind to sky news faverite jacinta price seems ever since dutton appointed her as spokesman he has silensed her now she cant insult the people of alice springs as much

  8. Great election results in America yesterday for the Democrats. They took the Mayor’s job in previously Republican Districts of Colorado Springs, Colorado and Jacksonville, Florida
    ———————————
    C@t, you know I just have to…..

    Very few city Mayors are GOP. Jacksonville was a bizarre holdout and good to see it fall.

    I posted yesterday about the abortion law governors veto in Nth Carolina being overturned by both houses. This is important news. It bodes poorly for the GOP wrt popular vote come 2024. But it highlights that the GOP have twisted democracy and will keep doing it to win power. That Nth C GOP can have a supermajority in both houses when they only won the popular vote by any 3pts shows the mountain the DNC have to climb in many states. And…. with all the usual caveats, latest poll for 2024 Biden v Trump by a quality pollster has Trump well ahead.

    Yes, indeedeedoo, at this stage these real world polls you mention in the various elections this year are a better guide to the Democrats fortunes. But dodgy electoral tricks can and do have a large impact on results.

    Such early days but I suspect the DNC are going to shore up the rust belt wins from 2020 which should see them over the line – these states are looking solid. But damn, that makes it close if Arizona and Ga fall. Nevada?

    I said it in 2020, Biden’s hardest but most important job was to fix the corrupt electoral systems in various states. Without that, they will always be fighting from the lower ground.

  9. Posted from previous thread because it was posted very late

    Vensays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 12:32 am
    Mavis, A-E, Shellbell, WWP and other legal PBers
    Article by Sydney Criminal Lawyer
    AUKUS Powers Are Militarising Papua New Guinea in Preparation for War with China
    16/05/2023 BY PAUL GREGOIRE

    https://www.sydneycriminallawyers.com.au/blog/aukus-powers-are-militarising-papua-new-guinea-in-preparation-for-war-with-china/

    “Journalist John Pilger’s 2017 documentary “The Coming War With China” warned that the US had established a “perfect noose” of 400-odd military bases surrounding China, while former Australian PM Paul Keating recently asserted that the AUKUS deal makes us part of this “containment policy”.

    Indeed, the AUKUS, local US force posture initiatives and increasing interoperability between US and Australian forces have heightened the premise that this relationship has relegated our nation to the status of a vassal state: independent domestically but ever-compliant with US foreign policy.

    However, the increasing deployment of US troops and arsenal to Australian shores doesn’t complete Washington’s agenda, as there is an island nation to the north of this one, that being Papua New Guinea, which the White House is interested in incorporating into its ring around Beijing’s neck.

    This process involves AUKUS power Australia acting in a similar manner to that of the US in regard to us, when it comes to accessing and periodically obtaining control over certain
    Australian military facilities, as Canberra is taking a similar path at PNG’s Lombrum Naval Base in Manus province.

    And while most Australians are aware that Joe Biden is coming to our country next week as part of the China-focused Quad alliance leaders meeting, many are unaware that the US president will also be paying a visit to our northern neighbour on his way, seeking to establish defence agreements.

    Of strategic importance
    In USA, Australia Militarizing PNG, a paper released last month, journalist and ex-PNG foreign affairs officer Dominic Navue Sengi describes the AUKUS pact as “a case of vassals”, specifically our country and the United Kingdom, “lining up together under US leadership”.

    Sengi outlines that he’d predicted in 2006 that PNG would be of increasing importance to the western alliance, when it began targeting China in the South China Sea, as PNG sits squarely in “an island chain”, commencing in Tokyo to Saipan and onto Guam: “the US’ so-called ‘big spearhead’ looking into China”.


  10. Pueosays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 6:42 am
    Snowy 2.0 project making no progress on a number of environmental requirements, report says

    Ten of 16 management plans for multibillion-dollar pumped hydro project overdue by up to 31 months, says National Parks Association

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/may/17/snowy-20-project-making-no-progress-on-a-number-of-environmental-requirements-report-says

    I always felt Snowy 2.0 is an expensive renewable, environmental and electoral stunt by Turnbull government to show its renewable and environmental credentials but it was doing stuff all when it came to actual renewable energy space.

    I thought it would be an expensive albatross around the government neck, which will ditched surreptitiously under compliant media cover.


  11. The left seems to think Albanese should take a big swing, ditch the stage three tax cuts, spend super-big on housing, ditch negative gearing. But Labor won with a mere two-seat majority, writes Shaun Carney who suggests the Albanese honeymoon might be over, at least in the eyes of progressives.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-honeymoon-is-over-at-least-in-the-eyes-of-progressives-20230517-p5d8z8.html

    That is what Rex, south and P1 post.
    south even mentioned that Albanese government should progress like Abbott government but with progressive agenda.
    And the 2 seat majority ALP has is because of safe Liberal seats of Bennelong and Higgins before they added Aston in by-election.

  12. Ven,
    And I wanted to say on the previous thread,
    Would you rather China militarises PNG!?!
    Because that was going to happen if Australia and the Western Powers didn’t step in. Do you want me to provide the proof? However, I think you actually know it but just want to carry on your Anti AUKUS jihad. Can I ask why you want to favour China’s military build-up in this way?

  13. Individual net wealth to be in the top 1%

    Monaco: $12.4 million
    Switzerland: $6.6 million
    Australia: $5.5 million
    NZ: $5.2 million
    US: $5.1 million
    Ireland: $4.3 million
    Singapore: $3.5 million
    France: $3.5 million
    Hong Kong: $3.4 million
    UK: $3.3 million
    Italy: $2.6 million
    Spain: $2.5 million
    Japan: $1.7 million
    UAE: $1.6 million
    China: $0.9 million

    (Source: Knight Frank)


  14. Wages are growing (good news!) but they’re still playing catch-up with inflation, explains Greg Jericho.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2023/may/18/wages-are-growing-good-news-but-theyre-still-playing-catch-up-with-inflation

    So Jericho,
    you want Albanese government to do miracles i.e. have wage growth rate of 6% in 1 year or inflation to come down between 3-4 % band in 1 year when world inflation is going gangbusters.
    They are all fantastic objectives to achieve but can you achieve.
    You have seen what happened when RBA took sledgehammer of increasing interest rates for 10 consecutive months to bring inflation under control.
    Don’t talk like The Greens political party even though you writing articles for The Guardian. I have some respect for graphs and analysis. Try to keep it that way.

  15. That clown Owen Jones in the Guardian giving voice to the dream of the far left of the horseshoe – wishing for UK Labor to not win the next election because gosh darn it he hates Starmer more than he hates the Tories (this is not precisely how he expressed it himself). Truly losing track of reality here.

    Now, he might say wishing for a hung parliament is not precisely the same as wishing for Labor to lose, but have you met the Liberal Democrats over there?

  16. Now I’m more critical of Albo than most here, but an article that Albo’s honeymoon with progressives is over.

    Any real progressives ‘honeymoon’ with Albo ended well before his election victory, as day after day he promised to be little more than Morrison light.

    Secondly the major fundamentals of the election haven’t changed for progressives, the greens are not a serious or viable alternative and the LNP is corrupt and worse than Albo on all fronts, bad as Albo is.


  17. Joe Biden’s decision to cancel his visit to Australia for the Quad meeting comes across as a calculated snub to a friend and a gift to a rival (China) that regrettably raises doubts about the United States as a reliable partner, says the SMH editorial.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/biden-s-no-show-a-snub-to-a-friend-and-a-gift-to-a-foe-20230517-p5d8zo.html

    I know someone shouting down someone yesterday for pointing this out.
    This is so obvious as soon as it happened.
    But nooo. Biden is the greatest POTUS America ever produced. He is to attend an urgent domestic matter. Well that bloody domestic matter did not become urgent overnight but it was urgent for last 6 months.
    All Labor’s previous Labor heroes like Carr and Keating were shouted down for pointing the obvious. Ah well! It is no big deal. But it is a big deal. That is what American journalistic contributor American Sarah James said today on ABC TV. And she is a big supporter of Biden.

  18. Team Katich,
    And I think YOU know that the North Carolina Super Majority was gained by the Repugs enticing a Dem to cross the floor to their side of the aisle (wonder how much it cost them?)

    Of course the Dems need to win big, but they have seen a massive increase in the number of women registering for their party and they tend to live in the suburbs that the Repugs previously had gerrymandered in their favour, so it points to interesting outcomes, sure, but it also points to the fact that the Repugs are now having to work out ways to appeal to the voters in the ungerrymandered electorates, such as African Americans and Hispanics and that’s not as easy a way to get to the winner’s circle.

    Plus, there’s that anchor on the party called Donald J.Trump. And their policies. Oh boy, their policies.
    That’s the bind that the Repugs are in, they have to keep feeding red meat to their base with extreme policies, but they’re alienating Middle America and the Millennials and Gen Z, who are the greater demographic and increasingly so every day, and they are moving into the areas that the Repugs have long thought they had a lock on. Hence the increasingly ridiculous gerrymandered districts. But they can’t keep doing that forever. So I reckon this is the high water mark for the Republicans and it’s only downhill from here (and don’t get me started on Texas!!).

    The Democrats are better organised now and are keeping the campaign ball rolling at all times and in every election, no matter how small, whenever one comes up.

    Oh, and did I mention that Republican Failures like Mark Finchem, Doug Mastriano, Kari Lake, Tudor Dixon and Blake Masters are all seriously considering running again in 2024? That should really help the Republicans. Not.

  19. @Ven: Biden cancelling his visit is the sort of thing journalists think is a big deal. Neither regular voters nor heads of state care.

    In general any take which Canberra press gallery lifers like Matthew Knott nod along with is more likely to be wrong than not.

  20. Ven,
    It’s the Republicans in America that have caused President Biden to cancel his trip to Australia due to their Debt Ceiling shenanigans. Why don’t you mention that? Oh, that’s right, you’re Anti Biden.

  21. Im enjoying watching. Fox news attempting to get back on course. Good luck I say. Lol

    —————

    Drudge is reporting that in a major shakeup, the right-wing propaganda network has shifted its schedule, moving Hannity to Tucker’s former 8p timeslot, Jesse Watters to 9p, and Greg Gutfeld to 10p.

    There is no word as to how Ingraham fits in with the new purported primetime lineup — and the news could mean that she is following Tucker out the door.

    Fox has responded to the report, stating, “No decision has been made on a new primetime lineup and there are multiple scenarios under consideration.”

    Story developing…

  22. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Biden will turn out to be one of the most consequential Presidents of the past century. Whilst people can’t see it now,it will become evident as time goes by.


  23. The construction of thousands of new Sydney homes has been shelved despite a worsening rental crunch as surging building costs and rising interest rates put residential projects on hold. Matt Wade reports that almost 16,400 dwellings in NSW were approved but not yet commenced at the end of March, as analysis by KPMG shows, the highest number in over four years. Around three-quarters of the not-yet-commenced dwellings are slated to be apartments or townhouses, mostly in Sydney.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/shelved-unprecedented-shock-halts-work-on-16-400-new-homes-20230517-p5d92r.html

    According to ABC News 2500 construction companies went bust in last 2 years.

  24. Out of all the current investigations pending.

    Jan 6 attempted coup.
    Fulton county fake electors
    Classified documents

    I’m thinking the classified documents will get Trump the most.
    Considering the word is that he sold them to adversaries.


  25. C@tmommasays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 8:37 am
    Ven,
    And I wanted to say on the previous thread,
    Would you rather China militarises PNG!?!
    Because that was going to happen if Australia and the Western Powers didn’t step in. Do you want me to provide the proof? However, I think you actually know it but just want to carry on your Anti AUKUS jihad. Can I ask why you want to favour China’s military build-up in this way?

    I carry on”anti-AUKUS jihad ” as you put it because AUKUS deal is a fraud on Australian people, devised by Morrison to wedge ALP.

    And I posted that article because “Sydney Criminal Lawyers” org is a respectful org. Mavis generally post articles from that blog.

    I don’t want neither China nor USA to have military base in PNG.


  26. Arkysays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 8:47 am
    That clown Owen Jones in the Guardian giving voice to the dream of the far left of the horseshoe – wishing for UK Labor to not win the next election because gosh darn it he hates Starmer more than he hates the Tories (this is not precisely how he expressed it himself). Truly losing track of reality here.

    Now, he might say wishing for a hung parliament is not precisely the same as wishing for Labor to lose, but have you met the Liberal Democrats over there?

    Owen Jones is a la Rex of UK? 🙂

  27. I carry on”anti-AUKUS jihad ” as you put it because AUKUS deal is a fraud on Australian people, devised by Morrison to wedge ALP.

    No it’s not. Just like Howard did one good thing, the Gun Control laws, so did Scott Morrison, AUKUS. And Labor have improved on it.

    Now, Ven, you still didn’t answer my question. Why do you approve of the Chinese building a military base in PNG but not Australia and the Western powers? And don’t just say because Bob Carr and Paul Keating don’t like it. They’ve been captured by China long since.

  28. Morning all. Thanks for the roundup BK. The opinion polls are good for Labor but not so much the Voice. I think the idea is sound, but its proponents need to change tactics in promoting it.

    Also, the shameless dishonesty of the Voice’s careerist opponents needs to be caled out. For all some of them complain about an “Aboriginal industry”, as though people choose their race as a career move, some Australian politicians do make a career out of being part of the “anti-Aboriginal industry”, under the guise of “pro-farmer” or “pro-mining”.

    Racism needs to be called out for what it us, or it festers.


  29. C@tmommasays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 8:56 am
    Ven,
    It’s the Republicans in America that have caused President Biden to cancel his trip to Australia due to their Debt Ceiling shenanigans. Why don’t you mention that? Oh, that’s right, you’re Anti Biden.

    C@tmomma
    Replying to Shogun, I listed Biden’s achievements and involvements in the last 23 years as Senator, VP and not so much as POTUS because the post already very long by that stage. Did you have chance to read that?

  30. The PM of PNG was very clear and direct that China did not and has not requested to build a Military base in PNG.

    But c@tmomma must take her talking points from Sky News. Anyway, this one, will sit with other postings of the c@t where she claims to have proof of her latest anti china and ultimately anti australian prosperity stances.


  31. C@tmommasays:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 9:27 am
    I carry on”anti-AUKUS jihad ” as you put it because AUKUS deal is a fraud on Australian people, devised by Morrison to wedge ALP.

    No it’s not. Just like Howard did one good thing, the Gun Control laws, so did Scott Morrison, AUKUS. And Labor have improved on it.

    Now, Ven, you still didn’t answer my question. Why do you approve of the Chinese building a military base in PNG but not Australia and the Western powers? And don’t just say because Bob Carr and Paul Keating don’t like it. They’ve been captured by China long since.

    I already answered in that post. 🙂

  32. C@tmomma @ #8 Thursday, May 18th, 2023 – 7:37 am

    Okay, I’m going to make the booking today for The Whiskey Bar for

    Upnorth,
    C@tmomma
    Griff
    Confessions (only staying for a drink)
    Itza + 1
    Andrew_Earlwood

    If anyone else still wants to come, put your hand up today and I will amend the booking.

    I will join the elite company. May not stay long, depending on grandchild birthday arrangements, which have been disturbed by Covid interruption.

  33. The Yes campaign is either not running yet or not running well yet and does need to ensure they are not preaching to the converted.

    The No campaign has not waited for an official pamphlet or for the legislation to pass to get active spreading FUD.

  34. The comments today from the PM of PNG seem to be at odds with the earlier thoughts of the c@tmomma.

    The SMH records him as saying
    On Monday, PNG Prime Minister James Marape said that while the US had traditionally been a “silent” security partner to his nation, the countries would be signing two security pacts – one on defence co-operation and another on maritime surveillance – in a symbol that America was bolstering its efforts in the region.

    “The USA has been a strong security partner of us, but silent, almost deep at the back. Now for the first time they are stepping out, coming to the front, engaging with PNG like never before,

  35. C@tmomma says:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 7:37 am

    Okay, I’m going to make the booking today for The Whiskey Bar for

    Upnorth,
    C@tmomma
    Griff
    Confessions (only staying for a drink)
    Itza + 1
    Andrew_Earlwood

    If anyone else still wants to come, put your hand up today and I will amend the booking.

    See you at Noon on Sunday, outside 93 Macquarie St, Sydney at The Sir Stamford Hotel
    中华人民共和国
    “The True Believers Luncheon” – William can you dial in?

    As previously stated I shall (not necessarily in the correct order)

    1. Wear appropriate underwear
    2. Dress for the cold
    3. Put my election winnings on the bar
    4. Observe Australian social mores and norms

    I think we should avoid talking about religion – that can be controversial.

    Edit: Plus Mr Yabba

  36. Boerwar

    Catching up with your comments last night of Dutch background, collaborators, and the shadows of past wars on families. Thanks for sharing your past family story, which I sympathise with, and can in part empathise with.

    The more detailed history I read, the more convinced I am that there are some individuals likely to turn into collaborators in every race and nation confronted with armed conflict. This is true from the shepherd leading the Persians around the pass at Thermopylae, to Benedict Arnold, to Quisling in Norway and his like in WWII. In the modern day we had Morrison happy to sell out Australian national security for any short term political gain …

    Therefore I think it quite pointless to try to judge the virtue of any nation on the question of how many collaborators they did or did not have. In almost all cases the collaborators are the minority. You judge the nation by what the nation as a whole did in the conflict. There are Russian collaborators in Ukraine, but I would still judge that nations efforts to resist tyranny very highly.

    More often than not that is a question of leadership than some intrinsic quality in the people. WWII Italy was regarded as having one of the weakest armies, yet Italian soldiers reportedly fought bravely when led by German officers in North Africa. Compare the US Army in Gulf War I under Norman Schwartkof to the same army ten years later in Iraq. Lack of purpose leads to lack of morale, which leads to lack of strength.

    In this regard I can’t help wonder about the Australian military leadership in the two decades since Howard politicised the military during Tampa. Is our military leadership sufficiently independent of politics to remain credible?

    I don’t know the answer. Most of the people I knew in defence (army and navy) left during the course of the Afghanistan conflict. I have no insight into how it is now.

  37. “Another fantastic benefit of national service is that we Young Liberals will have a captive audience. Other people our age will be forced to hang out with us, especially some cute chicks from different parts of the country, like Victoria or even Western Australia. Just imagine what that would be like right after finishing school. You immediately get to socialize with people you would never have had any business hanging out with before, but you also get to shoot guns in a paddock,” he explained.

    https://www.betootaadvocate.com/uncategorized/young-libs-push-for-national-service-in-effort-to-force-people-their-own-age-to-hang-out-with-them/

  38. Thisis being done overseas. It makes sense.

    ———-

    Exclusive: The New South Wales government will explore converting empty offices and unused government buildings into much-needed social housing, as commercial building owners grapple with a surge in vacancies. #nswpol

  39. Dog’s Brunch says:
    Thursday, May 18, 2023 at 9:55 am

    “Another fantastic benefit of national service is that we Young Liberals will have a captive audience. Other people our age will be forced to hang out with us
    ______________
    🙂

  40. On AUKUS I still support Australia getting SSNs (putting aside the highly questionable manner the deal was done by Morrison), and strongly support the move towards more local naval shipbuilding, and more self sufficiency generally.

    There are lots of opportunities. I note Navantia has developed an Australian based design bureau in Melbourne., which has proposed a design for the planned new heavy lift ships. This could be built in WA, alongside a series of smaller corvette sized warships..
    https://www.navalnews.com/event-news/pacific-2019/2019/10/pacific-2019-navantia-australia-unveils-joint-support-ship-design/

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