The Guardian has a report on the fortnightly Essential Research poll, from which I assume we will get voting intention numbers later today. The fact that The Age has a Resolve Strategic state poll from Victoria suggests a federal poll from that outfit should be with us shortly. For now, I can relate that the Essential poll has Anthony Albanese at 53% approval (down two on a month ago) and 34% disapproval (up three). The poll also finds 69% believe the Reserve Bank has overreacted with its interest rate increases, and 71% believe the federal government is largely or partly culpable, though it’s unclear if the question specified the current government. An even 29% believe Labor or the Coalition would do a better job managing interest rates, with 42% opting for no difference. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1044.
In other news, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Milton Dick, announced yesterday that the Aston by-election will be held on the inauspicious date of April 1, which is one week after the New South Wales state election (and two after the Arafura by-election in the Northern Territory). Labor has announced that it will again field its candidate from last year’s federal election, Mary Doyle, a finance worker and former organiser for the National Tertiary Education Union, who was the only candidate to nominate. The Age reports the Liberals are taking the preselection out of the hands of their unreliable rank-and-file, which presumably shortens the odds on barrister Roshena Campbell and lengthens them on Emanuele Cicchiello, deputy prinicipal of Lighthouse Christian College.
Wonder how many times will Peter Dutton or even Alan tudge be seen campaigning with Roshena Campbell
Gods, the Santos story is a beatup and I’m marking down Monique Ryan for the crass insinuation of bribery. Twitter isn’t covered by parliamentary privilege, Monique.
Anyway, it’s a beatup because Labor did not promise to discontinue gas approvals, in fact has actively refused to make that promise, so spare me the fake outrage that Labor then went ahead and did a gas approval that you knew they were going to do.
The Greens just like to yell “STOP” at everything without needing to worry about the consequences of immediately stopping everything they want to stop. I don’t know how they keep a straight face when talking about families in poverty when they are hell bent on driving more families there and sinking a shrinking economy to the altar of STOP.
Putin ‘State of the Nation’ speech – check the audience!
https://www.youtube.com/embed/AjjQkaKMoTE
Speaking of a different Santos, I wouldn’t normally link to an interview by Piers Morgan, but wow! It is compelling to watch an unvarnished sociopath explain his lies. Alien even.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7p-6HHUgl4
Oh its just a Morgan Poll Sprocket. No need to get too excited either way. Still maybe 35% voting non two party duopoly is the new normal.
Arky at 8:12 pm
No matter how many warehouses of lipstick you put on a CSG pig it is still a pig. Labor owns it.
When I posted about the greens opposing it because they weren’t in on the graft I meant because they’d want the sweet sweet oil graft money rolling in too. Which was probably a little cynical of me.
Least I’m not a fucking obsessed moron who froths insanely and inanely about the greens every f*cking chance they get and about 1000 other times a day as well. FMD was a stupid c*nt.
Can someone name any policy decision by Costello/Howard which is actually sustainable?
Maybe 4 Pillars from 6 Pillars – but wait, the so called Royal Commission into the banking sector says that was another monumental mistake, the banks forced to exit the fund’s management business
So back to the drawing board
No wonder Costello left politics – and instead is Chair of a media conglomerate reporting the “news” (with his mates on the Board)
They do not report the failures of Costello, failures which continue to resonate today, the disasters compounding starting with house prices from the time of the GST (and our home mortgage debt)
Then you have Murdoch and Stokes
Now pushing the line that the Albanese “honeymoon” is over
Well they have been trying for that headline for 9 months
Once the Voice to the Parliament is resoundingly supported and global inflation moderates courtesy of Central Banks, interest rates then stabilising and being reduced from tightening levels to neutral, what will the response of our media magnates then focus on?
The Government is doing exactly what its election manifesto described
And SANTOS is a listed public Company
You can buy Shares in the Company on the ASX
What does SANTOS stand for again
Bonython went to Dunstan to force Bond off the Register
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/02/poll-roundup-no-labors-honeymoon-is-not.html
No Labor’s Honeymoon Is Not Over Or Anything Like It
Already mentioned here, just a link to my debunking of the Age’s bizarre poll interpretation.
Rossmcg
Yes I understand re paper subscriptions and the number of journalists employed. That is why I subscribe to a few. We used to get The Age but after they gutted it we switched. There seemed no point to subscribing to news outlets that are mere propaganda outlets for causes I despise.
I think AWU boss and fossil fuel cartel scammer Dan Walton is a bludger in disguise for sure.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/vacuous-moral-purity-union-boss-slams-greens-approach-to-gas-20230215-p5ckpl
Here we go again
LOL, nothing to do with the fall in the price of energy eh ? A fall that had 1/30th of SFA to do with Central Banks.
Here we go againsays:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 8:31 pm
The Government is doing exactly what its election manifesto described.
_____________________
What did the manifesto have to say about the skyrocketing cost of living ?
Rex Douglas says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 7:23 pm
Give it a rest Rex.. you don’t put forward an intellectual or rational discussion just mindless Green’s crap ( aha propaganda to shore up a diminishing vote)
You keep wanting to perpetuate 2009 year after year.
Bernie Finn in a skirt
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/new-liberal-mp-uses-maiden-speech-to-slam-equality-taken-to-extremes-20230221-p5cmam.html
where do the Liberals get them? Is there an academy where they learn this shit?
So the local Libs in Aston didn’t even get a look in? I wonder how many are pleased with Roshena Campbell and whether that effects the amount of effort they put in? Letter boxes don’t leaflet themselves, doors don’t knock on their own and Korfulte’s might fail to be erected
There is a fair risk that running someone who’s profile on the City of Melbourne’s website brags about having “put down deep roots since moving to Melbourne as a 20 year old and has lived, worked and studied in the City of Melbourne” might not appeal that well in the outer east of Melbourne. There is a bit of local pride in that area (as there is in most areas), so she might be seen as being imposed.
Apr 16, 2022
Mike Carlton
@MikeCarlton01
This fabulist drivel from The Human Meatball, the small and globular James Campbell, stains the Murdochracy tabloids today. It’s the NSW Liberals who are actually fighting like ferrets in a sack, but not a mention
—————————————————————————–
Should Mr Campbell excuse himself from writing/campaigning for his wife? Serious question. I don’t have an issue if he does as long as he declares the relationship in his articles.
S. Simpson says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 8:45 pm
Apr 16, 2022
Mike Carlton
@MikeCarlton01
This fabulist drivel from The Human Meatball, the small and globular James Campbell, stains the Murdochracy tabloids today. It’s the NSW Liberals who are actually fighting like ferrets in a sack, but not a mention
—————————————————————————–
Should Mr Campbell excuse himself from writing/campaigning for his wife? Serious question. I don’t have an issue if he does as long as he declares the relationship in his articles.
————————————————-
No newsltd hack does declare they are political propaganda arm of the lib/nats, examples Simon Benson (Bridget McKenzie), Vicky Campion (Barnaby Joyce)
”So the local Libs in Aston didn’t even get a look in? ”
No doubt those who were banging on about Fowler in the lead-up to last year’s Federal election will be on the case…
“where do the Liberals get them? Is there an academy where they learn this shit?”
4chan?
There is an inescapable consequence to the Greens’ stated absolute views on climate: they MUST block.
They can’t talk as if Labor’s 43/30, and its promised way of getting there, is irredeemably evil and then meekly go along with it.
The Greens cannot have it both ways.
They MUST block.
ASIO boss Mike Burgess has warned Australians to be vigilant as he revealed the nation is experiencing the highest level of foreign interference and espionage in its history, surpassing the Cold War, September 11 and the height of the Islamic State caliphate.
In his latest annual threat assessment – the first since the federal election in May 2022 – Burgess also revealed his agency had disrupted and deported a “hive of spies” in the past 12 months who had recruited proxies and agents as part of a broader goal to steal sensitive information.
ASIO director-general Mike Burgess says the level of foreign interference and espionage targeted at Australians is at its highest-ever level.
He said the hive was bigger and more dangerous than a nest of spies dismantled several years ago and reported by ASIO, saying he had decided to highlight the case to “dispel any sense that espionage is some romantic Cold War notion”.
“Based on what ASIO is seeing, more Australians are being targeted for espionage and foreign interference than at any time in Australia’s history – more hostile foreign intelligence services, more spies, more targeting, more harm, more ASIO investigations, more ASIO disruptions,” Burgess, the agency’s director-general, said in a speech on Tuesday night. “From where I sit, it feels like hand-to-hand combat.”
Burgess also detailed a sensational plot by an overseas intelligence service to covertly recruit senior Australian journalists using the offer of an all-expenses-paid study tour of the foreign country, where spies posing as local officials were expected to steal information and contacts.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/it-feels-like-hand-to-hand-combat-asio-boss-warns-on-spy-hives-foreign-interference-20230221-p5cm9t.html
Insight is interesting. A pretty good discussion around ‘PC’ and ‘Woke’.
Pueo at 8:55 pm
‘Sky After Dark’ has squads of them ready to go.
‘Holdenhillbilly says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 8:58 pm
ASIO boss Mike Burgess has warned Australians to be vigilant….’
——————————————
He has a sea of deaf ears on Bludger, I am afraid.
And just to add, DJIA Futures are coming under pressure as Yields and the USD rise on the expectation that further Federal Reserve Cash Rate increases will be the requirement to address inflation
Inflation, for the raft of reasons given coverage from the Pandemic, to the conflict in Europe to logistic costs and to the impact of floods and droughts etc etc is Global
Hence the Market commentary coming out of the USA right now
I would suggest (and hope) that the Australian public are aware of what is driving inflation and recognise that media has an agenda with their coverage of cost of living pressures and the interviews they court (so people who present that interest rates and cost of living pressures means they can not afford to put tomato sauce on their snag and mashed spuds)
Mind you, if inflation is left to run rampant that may well be the outcome and for the foreseeable future
But that is never reported by anyone our media barons
A public service they are not
Boerwar
You’ll love this movie
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FA0wfhL6y9w
Arky at 8.05 pm, B.S. Fairman at 8.41 pm et. al. re Aston
Arky you claim “the margin in Aston is artificially low due to Tudge’s scandals and now he’s gone”, but that assumption is dubious. Read:
“Something interesting happened in the seat in 2022. There was a large 2PP swing to Labor of 7.32%. This was somewhat larger than the swing in adjacent Chisholm, and significantly larger than other nearby divisions. However, the 2PP swing in the Senate was almost exactly the same, and the primary vote swing in the Reps was mainly larger just because there were more parties running that did not run in 2019. Rather than being caused by Tudge’s personal life, the exaggerated swing seems to have been down to Aston’s large cohort of Chinese-Australian voters (14%).”
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/02/aston-by-election-2023.html
Those voters remain. Dutton won’t reassure them at all. Mrs Roshena Campbell, a commercial lawyer from inner Melbourne, may not either.
A lot of businesses are raising prices because they can. It’s not as if wages are surging.
‘poroti says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:09 pm
Boerwar
You’ll love this movie
THE COMMIES ARE COMING, THE COMMIES ARE COMING / RED NIGHTMARE (1962)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FA0wfhL6y9w‘
—————————————
QED all over again.
Is it about Hong Kong, Xingiang, Tibet, Taiwan, India, Pakistan, Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia?
The commies have come, or are coming, for part or all of all of their territories.
Whoops. Left out Bhutan.
Mike Burgess. Solution. More more more funding and surveillance of course (after we rip out the current cameras installed and in use on his watch). The bloke probably claims that as a victory.
Did anyone else see Putin’s speech to the Russian Parliament? It was 100% agitprop. An intentional, vigorous promulgation of ideas that suited Putin’s ‘It was NATO wot done it!’ narrative. No one outside of Russia believes it, and by the looks on the faces of the dragooned goons in the audience, they don’t believe it either. However, the looks on their faces said what they knew their mouths could not. They were terrified of the madman speaking in front of them. But they dare not let the cameras, which were filming every twitch of every facial muscle and every eye movement and every shuffle in their seats, see what they really thought. Though I could tell by looking at them.
What an invidious position to be in. I don’t feel too sorry for them, however. They bought the ticket and they went along for the ride. I’m sure they only thought about how it would make them rich and not about how this madman would be churning their fellow countrymen through a meat grinder war, without a second thought. Because psychopaths don’t care.
In the light of this afternoon’s testimony by Jeannie-Marie Blake, it is, I think, worthwhile to recall an earlier interview of another front line worker, in The Guardian. She emailed the Campbell person directly, with accurate observations, and was actually given the opportunity to present her points to senior staff who flew to Brisbane, but she was given a pat on the head and ignored by Malice Goolitely and Campbell. Campbell’s reappearance will be good theatre.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/dec/03/you-are-being-misled-the-centrelink-worker-who-tried-to-stop-robodebt-as-it-started
‘wranslide says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:22 pm
Mike Burgess. Solution. More more more funding and surveillance of course (after we rip out the current cameras installed and in use on his watch). The bloke probably claims that as a victory.’
——————————————————
Might the solution be for China to stop threatening Chinese Australians? Or are you seriously trying to tell us that this does not happen?
Here is one theory I will be happy to be wrong on
The reason Sara Samios accepted Annette Musolino assurance that everything was hunky- dory on legality of the unlawful scheme is… Sara felt an affinity for a fellow female lawyer with a possible ethnic diversity connection ( one Greek the other Italian heritage )..
I hope I’m wrong.
Boerwar @ #435 Tuesday, February 21st, 2023 – 9:25 pm
Remember that article you highlighted this afternoon, Boerwar? 😉
Boerwar. Did Burgess name China?
Nice of you to come out from behind the bushes c@tmomma. How is that 500 year invasion plan coming along? Are we close to d day on the document you have? Please let the Board know.
When Dutton speaks to the discontinuation of 5 major projects in Aston
Car parks anyone?
One of the proposed (rort) car parks is now to become community green space
Noting that it is not just rort spending in Aston which is not to proceed following the change of government
At least the rail crossing removals are also in Liberal seats, or what were Liberal seats
So spot the difference
Anyone game to call Dutton out, noting he speaks from Perth
‘wranslide says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:32 pm
Boerwar. Did Burgess name China?’
————————————
He did not name the names of countries. China knows what it is doing so there is no need to name it.
When offered an opportunity to snark at either China, which IS bullying Australians IN Australia, or Burgess, you chose to snark Burgess for belling a perfectly obvious cat.
Just think! You would have got yourself a tiny, tiny nod in the Chinese intelligence directorate that hoovers up domestic and foreign social media. Well done you!
https://www.9news.com.au/national/chinese-students-in-australia-threatened-by-beijing-human-rights-watch-report-finds/c126aa6b-dca9-4d5e-b531-4f27179f9a9a
‘Sceptic says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:25 pm
Here is one theory I will be happy to be wrong on
The reason Sara Samios accepted Annette Musolino assurance that everything was hunky- dory on legality of the unlawful scheme is… Sara felt an affinity for a fellow female lawyer with a possible ethnic diversity connection ( one Greek the other Italian heritage )..
I hope I’m wrong.’
——————-
I’ll give you this: it is a theory and it is creative.
Poroti
Have you seen this one? Good fun.
The Death of Stalin (2017)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9eAshaPvYw
I noticed this from the article reported from Holdenbilly
Burgess also detailed a sensational plot by an overseas intelligence service to covertly recruit senior Australian journalists using the offer of an all-expenses-paid study tour of the foreign country, where spies posing as local officials were expected to steal information and contacts.
Is he talking about the American Australian Leadership Dialogue. Shocking really. The description seems to fit exactly what they do. It is good to see Burgess onto it. Its been going on for years. ASIO busted it wide open it seems. Will Michael Rowland from the ABC be the last attendee?
‘Socrates says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:39 pm
Poroti
Have you seen this one? Good fun.
The Death of Stalin (2017)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9eAshaPvYw‘
——————————–
It is a cracker, IMO.
RC evidence on ‘historic use of averaging” was mentioned a few time including by Trudge, Musolino & possibly Morrison .. I think they said way back in 1997.. what was never asked was how many times & how often was it used.. & who the hell trawled the archives to find the likely single incident. Not to mention it was probably just as illegal in 1997 as 2014..14…15..16..17..18..19..
You can always tell the ideological running dogs.
They always run round the track the same way.
OTOH, we independent dogs can call out the evil and the good in both the US and China.
Boerwar
Rest easy, those ‘nods’ are overwhelmed by the ‘nods’ you will be earning from the ‘Mercan’ ones.
Boerwar
from what some underlings have hinted at in relation to Campbell, Golightly and Musolino I’d reckon Samios was told the decisions were being made by those in charge and to mind her own business.
Late in the day to emerged that nobody had thought Samios had anything to offer until today’s evidence (second hand) of her interaction with Musolino. Counsel for the commonwealth said Samios would be asked to make a statement.
Sceptic
I am curious to see how the Commissioner will go about framing her report.
It would, I anticipate, have some fairly frank assessments of a whole crowd of people who have never much been subject to frank assessments.
Then there will be the recommendations.
I assume these will centre around the problem of getting some spine and independence back into the APS.
‘Rossmcg says:
Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:46 pm
Boerwar
from what some underlings have hinted at in relation to Campbell, Golightly and Musolino I’d reckon Samios was told the decisions were being made by those in charge and to mind her own business.
Late in the day to emerged that nobody had thought Samios had anything to offer until today’s evidence (second hand) of her interaction with Musolino. Counsel for the commonwealth said Samios would be asked to make a statement.’
————————
I admire the fact that you are still on top of what has, for me, turned into a sort of half-digested mass of individual and group bad behaviours.