Roy Morgan and Ipsos Indigenous voice poll (open thread)

A bit more detail than usual from Roy Morgan this week, plus a small-sample Ipsos poll suggesting Indigeous Australians are overwhelmingly on board with the voice to parliament.

I note that the front page of the Roy Morgan website has some detail on the federal voting intention numbers in which its weekly update video typically provides on the two-party preferred, though I’m not sure if this is new or unusual. The latest result has Labor leading 57-43, in from 59-41 last week; the primary votes are Labor 37.5%, Coalition 33.5%, Greens 11.5% and others 17.5%; and the field work dates were January 23 to 29. However, no detail on sample size or survey method is provided.

Other than that, an Ipsos poll of 300 Indigenous Australians released by pro-Indigenous voice group Uluru Dialogue last week found 80% support for the proposal, including 57% who were very sure and 21% who were fairly sure, with only 10% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

912 comments on “Roy Morgan and Ipsos Indigenous voice poll (open thread)”

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  1. WeWantPaul,
    If you want that sort of ‘Detail’, then I advise you to search for the speech Senator Pat Dodson gave yesterday at the Chifley conference. It will probably be on his facebook page. He answers those Constitutional questions you seem to believe need answering before you will be able to make up your mind.

  2. “If you want that sort of ‘Detail’, then I advise you to search for the speech Senator Pat Dodson gave yesterday at the Chifley conference. It will probably be on his facebook page. He answers those Constitutional questions you seem to believe need answering before you will be able to make up your mind.”

    I made up my mind a long time ago, I’m still interested in the text of the question and the amendment to the Constitution.

    I don’t think it could be so bad I would change my mind but still it is the kind of detail people should know. The actual text of the constitutional amendment isn’t a detail for afterwards it is the essence of the process.

  3. So quick google there was some stuff July last year, but the Govt has said the question and the amendment is still to come.

    So we are ‘debating’ long before the start line.

  4. “ A-e why dont you talk about subs with c@t?

    I am not an expert or claim to be one but:

    Seems like she read that one better than you?”

    ______

    Haha, L’arse. Seems like you’re a bit cut by newspoll and feel the need to lash out. Why, just the other day you accused C@t of perpetuating a flame war against me and said that she didn’t bring any substantive argument to the table

    Given that my very first AUKUS post was simply “catastrophe”, and I then detailed all the various problems with the morrison marketing scam – ranging from sovereignty, our foreign policy settings and defence posture, capability gap and then – by no later than December 2021 concluded that the most likely subs outcome – were we to persist with AUKUS – would be Astute class subs used as a baseline, but with a new reactor and American combat and weapons systems – it seems my ‘read’ on this has been bang on all the way through.

    The fact that I had hoped, with the election of a new government for a return to normality and that other options – notably the Barracuda baseline design SSN – would be put back on the table for equal consideration – is beside the point. Marles is not for turning and Albo is happy for the AUKUS clustercuss to play out. Bipartisan clusterfuckery of the highest magnitude. In a word ‘catastrophe’. That was my ‘read’ then and remains my read, now.

  5. In discussing the Robodebt Royal Commission, I was asked how did they know it was 2000 suicides- I accepted what I’d read, but does anyone know the answer?

  6. And the ABC can get f**ked as well.
    This is a question that can be analysed by looking at comparisons of housing prices, wages, interest rates and savings, etc. An opportunity to discuss and explore how the economy and labour market might have changes over thirty years and what its challenges for now might be.
    But that would all be too hard. So instead we lead, and spend half an article on the “I reckons” feelocratic clickbait horsesh*t.
    Not journalism. Not analysis. Just lazy trope recycling: everyone gets to take sides on their their favourite generational pantomime villain: entitled karens or feckless millennials. All together now – I reckon I had/have it tougher so boooooooooooo.
    The only missing is an interview with a cafe owner on how he feels about smashed avo.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-02-06/baby-boomers-generation-x-millennials-housing-interest-rate-rise/101929468

  7. The greens are learning the pitfalls of being a protest party. If all you ever do is protest, and you get enough people together, you find that many of you wind up protesting against opposite things.

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