We’re now five weeks without a Newspoll, which is unfortunate from my perspective as it’s time for a new post and I’ve been too busy working on my Victorian election guide (which should be up later this week) to have put much thought into how one might look. There’s always the regular Roy Morgan two-party figures from its weekly update video, which have lately found it moving to the rest of the pack by recording growth in Labor’s leads, the latest result putting it at 55-45 after a 54.5-45.5 result the previous week.
Elsewhere:
• Shaun Ratcliff at YouGov offers findings from its Australian Cooperative Election Survey, conducted during the May election campaign, that appear to suggest the age effect for the Coalition primary vote doesn’t amount to much up to the age of about 40, but accelerates dramatically thereafter. The implication that support for the Coalition is heavily concentrated among the very oldest voters would not appear to bode well for them in the short to medium term.
• Antony Green and Adrian Beaumont at The Conversation both sound off against Victoria’s retention of group voting tickets for the Legislative Council, making the state the last bastion of preference harvesting following recent reforms in Western Australia.
• The turnout for the recent state by-election for North West Central in Western Australia, which has the state’s second highest indigenous population share, came in at just 47.7%, or 5335 out of an enrolment of 11,189. The Nationals have blamed the Western Australian Electoral Commission for insufficient advertising. Merome Beard of the Nationals won the seat with 3071 votes after preferences (60.5%) to 2008 for Liberal candidate Kim Baston (39.5%).
• Rod Culleton, who ran at the May election as the lead Senate candidate of the Great Australian Party in Western Australia, has been charged with providing false information on his nomination form. This included a declaration that he was not an undischarged bankrupt when the National Personal Insolvency Index identified him as such, although Culleton insists this was not the case. Culleton was elected as a One Nation Senator in Western Australia in 2016 but subsequently disqualified after being declared bankrupt by the Federal Court.
Another point of difference between the voting population now and in the 1990s is that things that were once widespread/the norm/acceptable, such as open homophobia, racism/negative comments about immigrants, overt sexism etc. are much less palatable to each younger generation. The conservative movement relies on irrational fear of the ‘other’.
We live in a much different world, now. While people may get lost in their bubble of people who think like them, it’s likely that they were exposed to a much more diverse group of people growing up – that they went to school with, who they know online.
It’s harder to dog-whistle about ‘boat people’ or Muslims to someone who went to school in a class where 25% or more of the students are from families who do not speak English at home, with some of those being refugees. Seeing same-sex-attracted people/couples, or gender non-conforming people on TV shows also normalises it and neutralises attempts to instill homophobic and transphobic attitudes.
I’m a late Gen X-er, but all but one of the students in my form in high school in a large regional city were white. There were probably fewer than 10 students of colour in my year level out of about 150; although one of them was voted vice school captain (in the mid 90s).
I follow/am online friends with people in e.g. Ukraine and Russia now. So the war there would once have just been something I thought little of, but now I ‘know’ (in an online sense) people in those countries, and that kind of thing is probably common among the younger generations.
All of these things humanise people from other countries/cultures/social groups and makes it more difficult to foment hatred about them. Hopefully this means that conservatives face an increasingly uphill battle to win elections as societal attitudes change.
Shock UK rumour: It has been rumoured former transport secretary Grant Shapps, who backed Rishi Sunak for the Tory leadership, is offering to volunteer as a caretaker prime minister if Truss resigns.
From last night
Upnorth
says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 1:28 am
Dandy Murray-Honeydew says: Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:26 am “Looked like the Wet is building out west. There are some fish traps out near Birdsville that are about 15,000 years old. Catch fish only during big rain events from overland flow.
The local Station lessee worked with Traditional Owners about 15 years ago to allow land access and a fix up of the traps.
Yellow Belly and from memory Perch the main catch.
They might get a run this year!”
That is awesome. Please tell us more, if you can. 中华人民共和国 I will tomorrow cobber. Going to start my Digital Detox! It’s a great story!
Hope to sleep well.
中华人民共和国
DMH – most of Queensland is owned by the people (the Government) and has not been subject to freehold (about 65%). The majority is of this is National Park, Grazing and Mining Leases. Casting my mind way back this made the Queensland Government the third largest landlord in the world behind Russia and China (I could be corrected).
The Beattie Government instituted a series of reforms called the Delbessie Agreement (named after the Station where it was signed) as the majority of Grazing leases where coming up for renewal (30,40 and 50 years).
Delbessie instituted a series of reforms for lease renewal including improving country and preserving native old and regrowth wood and grass lands. Preservation of the Stock Routes and funding for improvement by the Queensland Government also played its role.
However one of the unique parts of the agreement, which leases had to meet for renewal, was access to Country by Traditional Owners.
In the are around Birdsville flooding is very very irregular. Maybe once a decade maybe two years in a row. It fans out from rivers and creeks into what is called overland flow.
25% of the Murray Darling basin is in Queensland but Queensland takes less than 6% of the water consumed system wide.
This overland flow allows fish that may have been in rivers, billabongs etc to move to new systems keeping populations healthy.
About 15-20,0000 years ago Aboriginal people built fish traps from stone to take advantage of this overland flow. Again they might only harvest once a decade.
This continued until the Traditional Owners were dispossessed in the mid 1800’s and the traps fell into disrepair.
Delbessie encouraged the lessee to work with Traditional to allow them access, camping and use of country. The fish traps were repaired using stone that may have been put in place 15,000 years ago!
If there is a big wet and overland flow takes place. There might be a feed of Yellow Belly and Perch just as there was thousands of years ago.
As I haven’t lived in Oz for over ten years I haven’t had the chance to follow up this story. But it truly was wonderful to see and to think 15,000 years! Wow.
Anna Coren as many will remember ex Anchor in Oz now CNN did something very stupid and insensitive in Thailand. She and her cameraman about to be deported.
“Thai immigration officials have withdrawn the visas of two CNN reporters who entered the crime scene of Thursday’s mass killings at the child care centre in Nong Bua Lam Phu province, Pol Gen Surachate Hakparn, deputy national police chief said.
He said that the two reporters, 47-year-old Anna Coren, an Australian, and 34-year-old Daniel Hodge, a Briton, were escorted from their hotel in Udon Thani by police and taken to Na Klang police station in Nong Bua Lam Phu province for questioning.
He said that police want to know from them which Thai officials had allowed them into the crime scene, as they had claimed, adding, that only the police have the authority to grant such permission.”
https://aseannow.com/topic/1274229-thai-immigration-withdraw-tourist-visas-of-two-cnn-reporters/
What a superb story, Upnorth. If you ever feel bored, this could make a wonderful tale to tell in detail. The scale of the planning and the endurance it represents over 15 millennia makes those pyramids look like blowies. (And selfish indulgences besides.) Thank you for passing it on.
Some journalists can be real heartless, vultures. I’d say Anna Coren’s access was granted after handing over a lot of Thai baht.
TPOF @ #65 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 10:49 am
And the Academy Award for Overacting and Overegging the Pudding goes to….
Adam Bandt
Holdenhillbilly @ #102 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 12:38 pm
Oh, THAT Grant Shapps:
SHAPPS OUT: Tory minister quits after pressure over a Conservative party bullying scandal
https://www.businessinsider.com/grant-shapps-resigns-2015-11
I’d rather the Tories were led by an incompetent female than a male that tried to sweep bullying under the carpet.
I thought that was pretty good from Bandt. Flat tax nightmare. That’s quality.
Late Riser says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:48 pm
What a superb story, Upnorth. If you ever feel bored, this could make a wonderful tale to tell in detail. The scale of the planning and the endurance it represents over 15 millennia makes those pyramids look like blowies. (And selfish indulgences besides.) Thank you for passing it on.
中华人民共和国
As I have noted before I have many relatives by marriage and of course friends who still live on traditional lands. To gain a small part of their knowledge and culture is blessing.
When we have our PB get together next year I can add to the above and note a few more.
Upnorth,
I think we better find somewhere that doesn’t close. You’ll be telling us stories for hours! 😀
C@tmomma says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 1:17 pm
Upnorth,
I think we better find somewhere that doesn’t close. You’ll be telling us stories for hours!
中华人民共和国
Yes please 🙂
This article (2011) may be of interest:
Indigenous fish traps and weirs of Queensland
https://journals.jcu.edu.au/qar/article/view/219
Headline in the Oz:
Power prices to skyrocket ‘at least 35pc’ next year.
The QUAD really is a bit of a joke.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KT6Vsb_9FjI&ab_channel=TheWire
Mr. Newbie says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:34 pm
Another point of difference between the voting population now and in the 1990s is that things that were once widespread/the norm/acceptable, such as open homophobia, racism/negative comments about immigrants, overt sexism etc. are much less palatable to each younger generation. The conservative movement relies on irrational fear of the ‘other’.
————————–
Another difference between then and now was that the then ALP Government didn’t do a good job of handling the recession and its aftermath and that opened the door to reactionary politics and that played out in the 1996 election but the Liberals mistakenly took that to be a sign that they had a base of people that were always going to be reactionary when for many of them they simply wanted to punish Keating and wanted their problems to be looked after and that’s why Howard’s handouts were so successful because they were well targeted to the people that had suffered under Keating and we are now seeing this in reverse with the Liberals being seen as not doing enough on climate change and for being stale and nasty.
Come to saudi they said, visit the cold bloody murder city, they said 😯
https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/tribesmen-sentenced-to-death-for-resisting-futuristic-saudi-megacity-20221010-p5bofn.html
‘Snappy Tom says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:27 pm
Boerwar says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:16 pm
One source for defence failures goes waaaaaaaaaaaaaaay back, IMO.
Oz military were sent into WW2 with not enough equipment and equipment that was quite often out of date and/or substandard. A lot good people of died as a consequence. This was cheap.
One result is an abiding wish to have the best quality equipment. This is expensive.
It seems to me that there is insufficient risk management between choosing between enough stuff, good enough stuff and best of the best stuff.
____________
I know we’ve disagreed on defence spending previously – such as my concern that this country spends almost as much as Italy but with significantly less aggregate capability, which you disputed.
….’
———————
I disputed it for air. We have more JSFs than Italy now and will have more when purchases are finalized. The net result is that our air force is considerably more capable than Italy’s air force and will be so into the forseeable future.
@Steve Davis
Are you able to read the article and is it credible? You’d have to take anything about power prices in the Oz with a huge grain of salt. The excerpt under the headline mentioned coal plant closures, but AFAIK the only one due next year is Liddell and there should have been more than enough renewables & storage come online since that was announced to offset it. High gas prices could be a factor in that figure, which would cement my view that the Gas ‘deal’ announced by minister King is a complete dud
Has Bandt acknowledged that 88% of Australians voted against him and his political party and that his political party was the ONLY political party that opposed the S3 tax cuts AND proposed swingeing new taxes?
Bandt/Rex@DisposableIntegrity.
Jaeger says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 1:30 pm
This article (2011) may be of interest:
Indigenous fish traps and weirs of Queensland
https://journals.jcu.edu.au/qar/article/view/219
中华人民共和国
Thanks Jaeger. I shall have a look.
JCU is my old stomping ground. Henry Reynolds and Kett Kennedy my lecturers. I was fortunate to be taught by giants and I include my parents and Grandparents in that statement.
steve davis @ #114 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 1:38 pm
But what I want to know is how much will profits skyrocket by next year?
Wholesale Electricity Prices
United Kingdom GBP/MWh 495.29 ($AU863.83/MWh)
Queensland $AU151.40/MWh
C@tmomma says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 7:48 am
Cronus,
You might be interested in watching this powerful video from the Ukrainian Minister of Defence, a highly qualified individual:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1579151499086761989
———————————————————————————————-
Interesting video C@T. I’d like to know how many Russians (military and civilian) get to view this and what their responses might be. In one sense it is typical Psy Ops but on the other hand, it’s of course factual so nothing has been made up. It really plays well to the fact that the Russian soldiers are just unimportant pawns in the delusional game of a dictator and the logic is difficult to argue with. There is nothing at all in this war for Russian soldiers, not even a moral victory, and yet most of them will sacrifice so much.
‘Upnorth says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 2:01 pm
Wholesale Electricity Prices
United Kingdom GBP/MWh 495.29 ($AU863.83/MWh)
Queensland $AU151.40/MWh’
————————————–
Yeah, but…
https://www.icrc.act.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/2013782/media-release-retail-electricity-price-recalibration-2022-23.pdf
I see Trump is ramping up the outrage.
Not surprising. He knows he cant get escape being exposed as the traitor he is.
Hopefully we will also find out who the pipe bomber on Jan 6 is. It is looking like it was a woman.
Interesting few weeks coming up.
Jeebus do we have a loooong way to go to re reducing our ‘carbon’ emissions . In an article on Uruguay and carbon footprints they mention this re CO2 …
within sight of two tons per capita — the estimated amount needed to limit the world to 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming.
Australia scores a mention. We are 1000% above the level required !
….and where people tend to drive long distances, such as Canada and Australia (around 20 tons).
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/05/magazine/uruguay-renewable-energy.html
“poroti says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 2:43 pm”
Yes, Uruguay is doing better than Australia in terms of lowering their CO2 emissions…. but at what social cost?
……………………………………………………Uruguay……………….Australia
Official unemployment…………………7.7%…………………….3.5%
Official Inflation……………………………9.9%…………………….2.10%
Public Debt/GDP…………………………….68%…………………….40.4%
Australia could transition to cheaper renewable energy must faster if Labor wasn’t so half-arsed about it.
Alpo
Seeing the headline about a future looking like Uruguay was a bit of an attention grabber. My immediate thought was it not making the prospect attractive 🙂
The big surprise though was how low the required level is at 2 tons per capita. That and seeing how far we are from it. To get a 90% reduction will require a massive change and I can’t see that level of change on the horizon.
Australia’s inflation 2.1% LOL. As for Uruguay’s financial position, how different does that look from the all other Sth American nations not following Uruguay’s example ?
Rex Douglas @ #129 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 3:06 pm
And Australia could have transitioned to cheaper renewable energy, over the past decade, if the LNP wasn’t so full-arsed about it.
FFS Rex, Labor have been in power for not quite 5 months, and you want everything you desire to be done pronto. Grow up.
Jaeger @ #114 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 12:30 pm
Thanks much. I’ll take a look later. 🙂
Gosh, what a no shit Sherlock discovery. Skills shortage my arse, it is a pay shortage and an exploitable workforce shortage.
Amazingly this article is in the beating heart of the Rupertarium , The Australian.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/higher-education/industries-which-ignored-training-are-reaping-what-they-sowed/news-story/f9b3cd61ba2a730df07ba80e7d33f0d6
Way to go in setting back the Palestinian cause a few millennium creeps, anyway now I’m going back to buying Israeli goods again, their gherkins are great!
https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/shock-questions-after-gruesome-killing-of-gay-palestinian-20221010-p5bofv.html
Optus owns a cyber business. I’m guessing its credentials are at risk right now, and that’s why Optus won’t say if it was minding the store. (Just speculating.)
Let’s take religion out of the Essendon imbroglio.
Let’s say Thorburn was selected to become CEO of the RSPCA. And it came to light that he was also chairman of the Punching Puppies Society.
Would there even be a discussion about his conflict of interest?
It must be stated that an Australian business makes most of its profit from Australian customers?
Boerwarsays:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 1:51 pm
Has Bandt acknowledged that 88% of Australians voted against him and his political party and that his political party was the ONLY political party that opposed the S3 tax cuts AND proposed swingeing new taxes?
Bandt/Rex@DisposableIntegrity.
___________________________________
Bandt’s “job” is to get to 13% then 14%…
Regarding energy price rises, we received our bill from Origin today.
Origin General Usage6 July and earlier: ... 18.817 c/kWh
7 July and later: ..... 24.770 c/kWh
increase: ............. 31.6%
Origin Controlled Load 2 Usage
6 July and earlier: ... 14.051 c/kWh
7 July and later: ..... 18.978 c/kWh
increase: ............. 35.1%
Origin Daily Supply
6 July and earlier: ... 93.710 c/Day c/kWh
7 July and later: .... 123.342 c/Day c/kWh
increase: ............. 31.6%
Origin Daily Supply - Controlled
6 July and earlier: .... 2.147 c/kWh
7 July and later: ...... 2.895 c/kWh
increase: ............. 34.8%
Taylormade
“ Corruption.
Secret backroom deals with the cross bench.
Our 3rd rate Health System
Condition of country roads”
———————————————
I think everyone would agree with you that those are very serious allegations and that if true, no state would re-elect such a government. Of course, if the government is re-elected, and strongly, then it would suggest that nobody believes such accusations and that those allegations are simply fictitious and delusional right?
SMH blog:
Electricity bills for Australian homes and businesses are set to rise by at least 35 per cent next year as suppliers warn the build-out of renewable energy and critical transmission infrastructure is failing to keep pace with coal-fired power station shutdowns. Alinta Energy, the nation’s fourth-biggest power generator, on Monday said it had conducted modelling that suggested current wholesale electricity prices would drive the significant 35 per cent jump in retail tariffs in 2023.
Wholesale electricity costs, which ultimately flow through to household power bills, reached their highest levels on record – an average of $265 per megawatt-hour – in the June quarter.
As more coal-fired power stations prepare to retire in coming years, authorities including Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) say the upheaval has underscored the urgent need to invest more heavily in more projects including large-scale renewables, big batteries, fast-start gas plants and thousands of kilometres of transmission lines required to ensure a “smooth” transition, in which power supplies remained reliable and affordable, especially at times when the wind isn’t blowing and the sun isn’t shining.
Dimery on Monday said he was deeply concerned about the level of investment needed to fill the gap left by coal plants closing and keep power prices in check. “We’re out of time,” he said. Origin Energy, the nation’s second-largest power generator, agreed that retail tariff increases of around 35 per cent next year were likely. “Based on current wholesale prices, those orders of magnitude sound familiar to me,” Origin chief executive Frank Calabria said.
Calabria said key challenge now for the Australian power market was no longer “ambition” to drive the shift to clean energy, but ensuring the existing system could continue to operate reliably until enough new clean energy and associated infrastructure was available to replace it. “We are already on the path of a rollercoaster right now, and we need to get going on it,” he told the conference.
”
frednksays:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 1:45 pm
The QUAD really is a bit of a joke.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KT6Vsb_9FjI&ab_channel=TheWire
”
Frednk
The Wire is a far-left publication published by an American citizen of Indian heritage. His sympathies are with far-left parties in India like Communists. I would not give much importance to his publication utterings.
I think not. Why?
1. India helped Australia in recent times just because it has better political connections due to QUAD. I will cover a bit later how Australia and India relations hit rock bottom during Howard and Rudd years. First the help by India in recent years
1. Remember what happened after Australia asked for investigation of COVID origins under the encouragement and instigation of USA. China blocked a lot of Australian farming and mining exports, which were grabbed by (surprise surprise) US. One of the exports blocked by China was/ is Barley. At the time (in 2020) Australian Barley growing farmers were hit hard by Barley ban. So Morrison had a Video conference with PM Modi and requested for the purchase of Barley. Modi helped Australia by facilitating the purchase of $130 million dollars worth of Barley. US or UK did not buy Barley out of ordinary as far as I know.
2. Currently, India is the chair of IAEA. China introduced a motion to condemn Australia in IAEA regarding purchase of Nuclear Subs via AUKUS deal because according to China Australia violated NNPT. But India as Chair convinced most of the IAEA members to vote against China motion. Knowing imminent defeat of its motion China withdraw the motion on 30th, September.
As far as I know when Albanese went to Shinjo Abe funeral he met Modi. You can join the dots.
You may ask what that has to do with QUAD. Why should India help Australia otherwise. In what way Australia helped India.
Now to the story of Australia-India relations hit rock bottom.
When India performed Nuclear Test in 1998, Alexander Downer as Australian Foreign Minister condemned India viciously for conducting the test. No other country including USA condemned India so viciously in open like Australia. India was subjected to sanctions by Western world at the behest of USA. Australia was one of those countries. India downgraded its relationship with Australia and few more countries but not with USA, because India was preparing Y2K code for many firms in USA. The relationship between India and Australia never really improved during Howard government time. After Rudd became PM he was keen on improving relationship with China. Soon after Rudd came to power, in January,2008 Harbajan Singh cricket scandal errupted. . The media in India went absolutely feral against Australia for anything that affected people of Indian origin in Australia.
As per reports Rudd was cursing India for bringing bad name to his government. At that time Gerard Henderson on Insiders said under Rudd watch India-Australia relationship went into disrepair. Maybe Rudd wanted to please China by sending relationship with India into disrepair. I don’t know.
It took Gillard, Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison to repair and nurture it back to good health.
“poroti says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 3:18 pm
Alpo
Seeing the headline about a future looking like Uruguay was a bit of an attention grabber. My immediate thought was it not making the prospect attractive
The big surprise though was how low the required level is at 2 tons per capita. That and seeing how far we are from it. To get a 90% reduction will require a massive change and I can’t see that level of change on the horizon.
Australia’s inflation 2.1% LOL. As for Uruguay’s financial position, how different does that look from the all other Sth American nations not following Uruguay’s example ?”
We have been fiddling around with CO2 emissions policies for the past 9 years. It will take some time to get back on track without wreaking the economy…. But I am optimistic.
Australian inflation 2.1%…. Official figures. Yes, LOL indeed, but LOL too to the official 9.9% of Uruguay.
The pricing of energy is just a mystery black box. The market mechanism seems to be deliberately opaque and exploited at every point in the process.
Consumers are held to ransom without any real understanding of what we are paying for.
”
kezza2says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 3:24 pm
Rex Douglas @ #129 Monday, October 10th, 2022 – 3:06 pm
Australia could transition to cheaper renewable energy must faster if Labor wasn’t so half-arsed about it.
And Australia could have transitioned to cheaper renewable energy, over the past decade, if the LNP wasn’t so full-arsed about it.
FFS Rex, Labor have been in power for not quite 5 months, and you want everything you desire to be done pronto. Grow up.
”
Kezza
Rex is in the realm of pure gibberish. 🙂
So it will be very difficult to do what you asked for. 🙂
”
porotisays:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 3:28 pm
Gosh, what a no shit Sherlock discovery. Skills shortage my arse, it is a pay shortage and an exploitable workforce shortage.
Amazingly this article is in the beating heart of the Rupertarium , The Australian.
Casualised industries reap what they sowed
Industries suffering most from skills shortages are those which pre-Covid, relied too heavily on casuals, underpaid staff, or offshored key functions.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/higher-education/industries-which-ignored-training-are-reaping-what-they-sowed/news-story/f9b3cd61ba2a730df07ba80e7d33f0d6
”
poroti
I get very angry when Murdoch rags attack from left.
poroti says:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 12:00 pm
Cronus at 11:55 am
Walking around the local neighborhood it would be depressing to know so many of the people you walk past are the sort of people who would vote for a Dutton.
———————————————
It truly makes me wonder. I know some very well and many more well enough to greet and chat to, and yet clearly a proportion of them vote for Dutton. They seem reasonable but ………?
If anyone noticed, my tables for “Daily Supply” should have been at c/Day, and not c/kWh. I fell into the Copy/Paste trap. In any case, here’s the summary. Very clearly, our prices have already been jacked up.
Percent Increases on July 7.
Origin General Usage ............... 31.6%
Origin Controlled Load 2 Usage ..... 35.1%
Origin Daily Supply ................ 31.6%
Origin Daily Supply - Controlled ... 34.8%
On the US Midterms – I fully expect spiking petrol prices will be the late sting hurting the Dems.
NV is the one current Dem Senate seat I’m concerned about. AZ and PA will be tighter than they’ve any right to be, but the Dems will win, meaning Dems remain 50-50 if NV falls. PA will have the Dems hold the Governorship, but AZ otherwise will not be great.
WI Senate still remains up for grabs, the Dem’s numbers had been improving, but recent polling has the incumbent GOPer crawling back into the lead.
The other live option is OH, I do think the Dem will just fall short in that one too.
As great as Val Demming is, this is not the year to win the FL seat.
My own expectation is the Senate remains 50-50, best case 51-49, with the GOP getting a small majority in the House.
Rex Douglassays:
Monday, October 10, 2022 at 3:06 pm
Yes Rex, if only the Government would press that magic button.