Federal election live: day three

Ongoing coverage of Labor’s search for a path to 76 seats, which it may or may not reach.

Click here for full federal election results updated live.

There were two developments in counting yesterday, one of which was that batches of postal votes were counted in every seat. Taken in aggregate they recorded a bigger swing to Labor than booth and pre-poll votes, consistent with the notion that the 70% increase in applications would make the postal voter population more representative and less conservative than in past years. However, this doesn’t mean Labor can expect a surge in its favour in late counting, since the swing is not so big as to completely eradicate postal voting’s conservative lean and they are in greater in overall number now.

The other development was that fresh two-candidate preferred counts were commenced in three interesting (Griffith, Ryan and Cowper) and seven uninteresting (Bradfield, Calare, Sydney, Hinkler, Maranoa, Melbourne and Grey) races. None of these counts is very far advanced, and for several it was just a case of throwing to new pairs of candidates during today’s counting of postal votes. However, we can presumably expect them to go back through the ordinary votes and publish fresh two-candidate preferred results in fairly short order.

There are another four seats where it is clear the wrong two candidates were picked for the candidate on the night, but in which new counts have not been commenced since it is not clear which candidate will drop out before the final count, of which I rate one to be very much in doubt (Brisbane) and three not so (Richmond, Macnamara and Wannon). We won’t know exactly what’s happened in these races until all the votes are in and the full distributions of preferences are conducted.

My system is definitively calling 72 seats for Labor, 47 for the Coalition, three for independents, two for the Greens and one for Bob Katter, but there are a number involving independents that it is being too slow to give away, which I should probably do something about. These include Mackellar, North Sydney, Wentworth, Goldstein and Kooyong, where the Liberals can hope for no more from postals than to reduce the teal independents’ winning margins, and Fowler, where Kristina Keneally seemingly can’t even hope for that much. Conversely, the presence of independents in the race is making the system too slow to call Bradfield, Nicholls and Wannon for the Coalition.

The only one of the six main teal independent targets I would still rate in doubt is Curtin, and even there Liberal member Celia Hammond will need to pull a rabbit out of the hat. Postals are favouring her, as they are with the Liberals in all such contests, but they are on track to bite only around 2000 out of Chaney’s existing 3350 vote margin. That would leave her needing some dynamic on absent and out-of-division pre-polls to favour her, the nature of which wouldn’t seem clear at this stage.

Then there’s Cowper, where my system is crediting Nationals incumbent Pat Conaghan with a slight advantage over independent Caz Heise. We’re in the very early stages of a two-candidate count between the two in which the only substantial result is the postals, on which preferences are flowing to Heise 67.3-32.7. Applying that split over the projected primary votes, which have Conaghan on 39.6% and Heise on 26.7%, Conaghan would hold on by a margin of 0.6%, which is closer than the 2.0% being produced by the crude estimate of preference slows in my system.

The system is also being slow to call Ryan for the Greens, but I expect that to resolve when the fresh two-candidate count there reaches a sufficient stage that I stop relying on my preference estimates, which cause me to impose a bigger margin of error. There has been some talk of the Greens making it as high as five, but this includes Macnamara which I now can’t see happening. Labor had a very strong result on the first batch of postals, which swung 9.0% in their favour on the primary vote, making it very unlikely they will drop out ahead of both the Greens and the Liberals, which is what it would take for them to lose. The remaining issue is whether Brisbane gets them to four, on which more below.

I don’t imagine my system is too far off calling Lingiari for Labor and Casey, Dickson and Bass for the Coalition, though I’d keep at least half an eye on the latter. Throwing those on the pile, we get Labor to 74, the Coalition to 54, independents to ten and the Greens to three, with Bob Katter still on one, Cowper to either stay Coalition or go independent, and a further eight outstanding from which Labor might get the two extra they need to make it to 76. As I see it, these are, in roughly descending order of likelihood:

Bennelong. Yesterday’s 5760 postals broke 3131-2629 to Liberal, but this marked a 12.2% swing to Labor compared with 2019 and suggested postals will not give Liberal candidate Simon Kennedy the lift he needs to close what remains a 1749 vote Labor lead. Whatever they Liberals gain on remaining postals seems likely to be approximately matched by advantages to Labor on other types of outstanding vote.

Lyons. Labor’s Brian Mitchell had a very encouraging first batch of postal votes here, breaking 2056-1833 his way. Mitchell leads by 0.6% on the raw count, but I’m projecting this to come out at just 0.1% based on an assumption that the outstanding postals will lean conservative, as they did last time. If further batches of postals put paid to that idea, he can start to breathe easier.

Brisbane. As I noted in yesterday’s post, what we need here not a two but a three-candidate preferred count to establish who will out first out of the Greens and Labor, as the seat will go to whichever survives at this point. While I am projecting the Greens to hold a slight lead on the primary vote, and they should get a fillip in the preference count when Animal Justice are distributed, the postals give Labor more than a shred of hope. Postals are always weak for the Greens, but the first batch has only recorded a 1.3% primary vote swing for them compared with 5.6% overall. If that’s maintained over the rest of the postals, it’s likely to be very close. So unless the AEC does something innovative here, this will have to wait until all the votes are in and the full distribution of preferences is completed.

Gilmore. A similar story to Bennelong insofar as a weaker than anticipated showing for the Liberals on the first batch of postals suggests the final result will come in roughly where it is at the moment. That means lineball in this case, with Liberal member Andrew Constance leading by 306 votes.

Deakin. Here on the other hand postals were favourable to the Liberals, swinging 3.7% to Labor compared with 5.0% overall. While my projection still has Labor 0.5% ahead, if the postal count so far continues over what should be at least 12,000 more yet to come, Michael Sukkar will retain the seat.

Menzies. The postals swung similarly to the overall result here, which is good news for the Liberals because the increased number of them means their natural lean to the Liberals should cause the gap to widen as more can come in, by a greater amount than Labor can hope to reel in on other types of vote.

Sturt. The swing on postals here was in line with the overall result, so I’m satisfied with my projection of a 0.5% Liberal lead, which happens to be very close to the raw count. However, there are enough votes still out there that it can’t be given away yet.

Moore. Labor recorded a below par swing on the first batch of postals, suggesting Liberal member Ian Goodenough’s 1138-vote lead is more likely to widen than shrink, and that Labor will have to make do with four gains in Western Australia rather than five.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,501 comments on “Federal election live: day three”

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  5. Another batch of Macnamara postals counted. These ones a little stronger for both Libs and Greens and a bit weaker for Labor than the first batch.

    There’s around 6700 postal envelopes received atill to process, then possibly up to another 2000 to receive: if they come in they are likely to be Covid postals and break nothing like the others.

    So far there’s at least 5500 absent, dec prepoll and provisional to count. Greens typically do well on these. Then there’s also the telephone votes, a big question mark.

    And the gap between Labor & Greens is currently 1.3%. There’s a good chance it doesn’t grow much more than that. If postals start shifting with the Covid ones and Greend dominate the other vote types, it could even shrink (while postals will also increase the Lib vote to close to 30%).

    Then there’s approximately 9% worth of minor preferences to distribute between the top 3, and I think the Libs and Greens will do best of them.

    As I said before, I’d rather be in Josh’s position than Steph’s, he’s much more likely to win; but I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of all 3 finishing within around 1% of each other on primaries then minor preferences knocking Labor out as a possible scenario. I just can’t see many of those minor party voters putting Labor ahead of both Libs & Greens and am sure they’ll get the smallest share.

  6. “strapped himself to the Liberal Party like a suicide bomber and blew the whole show up”
    I guess you guys were cool with that until the explosion. “No, now that my self-interest is ruined, and that self-interest is indeed the centrepiece of an enlightened life, I don’t want any of that Scott! He was the covfefe boy, never knew him”

  7. Martin B @ #1261 Monday, May 23rd, 2022 – 7:29 pm

    “He uses the spurious justification that The Greens vote with Labor so much of the time that it should be automatically assumed they will continue to do so in the new parliament”

    I never made that assumption. I point to the statistical fact that the Greens vote in parliament with the ALP more often than any other group, and that when they disagree it is much more likely that it is the ALP voting with the LNP. This is not my opinion or amateur psychologising, it is a verifiable published fact.

    “then goes on to give examples of issues where they won’t, actually”

    That was a little flippant but the specific examples were denying due process and torturing refugees.

    I’m happy to chat but being verballed is annoying. Should I say that you’d like to vote with Dutton on torturing refugees rather than ever agreeing with Greens?

    This is a classic example of why this blog has lost capacity for meaningful discussion.

    This post is a classic example of verballing me, if anything. Making sly allusions, though not stated as absolute fact of course, that if I don’t agree with The Greens’ position on refugees, then I must be ‘siding with Dutton’, even if the codicil was made that it was only an assertion by way of example (yeah right). ‘On the side of ‘torturing refugees’ even!

    When the evidence over a very long time on this blog is that I have advocated forcefully FOR refugees and for Australia to take them directly out of the hell hole refugee camps and bring them to Australia to live. Also, that I have never agreed to accepting asylum seekers who have come by boat because they are exploited by People Traffickers for profit, are wealthy enough to pay them, and too often die at sea on their way here. That I don’t agree with The Greens’ position to ‘Let them come’, when there are more refugees in the world than the population of Australia, that to let them all come would see Australia’s environment (something The Greens are supposed to care about), decimated in order to provide housing for all 40 million of them or even only a good deal of them, is also a matter of historical record.

    To which, Greens’ (obvious) fanbois like Martin B., have no logical answer, simply abuse of the kind I have received above. Preferring instead to contemplate some sort of refugee policy utopia which takes no account of realities on the ground, simply throwing out emotive buzzwords in a pathetic attempt to tug at the heartstrings. Because. Greens perfect. Everyone who doesn’t agree with them. Monsters.

    It’s for that reason that I must say that trying to debate reality versus his fairies at the bottom of the garden approach is a waste of my time if I continue. However, it has been good to see that The Greens are incapable of change going forward in the new parliament and are already falling back into their old habits and we should thus expect nothing new from them at all.

    Also, Martin B., too bad, so sad if the blog doesn’t conform to your requirements. I’m sure there’s a Greens blog out there that could act as an echo chamber for you and for everyone to agree with you. Probably on some Uni website. Or Eureka Street. 🙂

  10. I just heard Alan fecking Tudge blame Dan Andrews for the loss of Liberal seats in Victoria at the election! That man has a hide thicker than Jessie the cow!

  12. So, the Boofhead, whose main game last parliament was to stymie debate like an enthusiastic executioner, is going to be the Opposition Leader? Lol.

  13. Here we go againsays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:04 pm
    _____________________
    Good for you.
    But it all has a 2010-2013 feel about it to me. Bandt will be no pushover.
    Anyway will give them a go, and see how they are travelling and what they have accomplished after 3-6 months.
    Expectations are high and it can all turn to shit pretty quickly.

  16. citizen @ #1290 Monday, May 23rd, 2022 – 8:02 pm

    One way of describing things…

    Today one MP with a talent for inflammatory language told News Corp Australia the beaten prime minister Scott Morrison should have resigned months ago, but instead “strapped himself to the Liberal Party like a suicide bomber and blew the whole show up”.

    https://www.news.com.au/national/federal-election/liberal-party-bickers-about-whos-to-blame-for-election-defeat-and-what-to-do-next/news-story/f519149346cf4e2314324cb57e1791ac

    First name begins with ‘B’, second name begins with ‘J’?

  17. ”
    middle aged balding white mansays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 7:27 pm
    Mr Finn used to be my local member. AS objectionable a human miscreant as he is, let me assure you, he was an even worse local member. He actually scares little children with his snarling and jowling. Saw it with my own eyes, on more than one occasion.

    It always astounded me how he was number 1 on their ticket for 2 decades. Unless of course they are all like him, just not as obvious.

    Don’t ever forget he used to go and speak to the Feedumb rallies in Melbourne.
    ”

    ALP was/ is no better in that respect when it came to shady characters. Who was that Union guy who was number 1 on WA Senate ticket during Gillard government election in 2010? He was abominable and as bad as Finn when it came to women.
    And NSW Labor right couldn’t find winnable Senate position for KK but Victorian Labor right were ready to give winnable Senate position to KKitching, whose record as Senator was not good and who reportedly/ allegedly was leaking like a sieve.

  18. I was looking at Fowler and the informal rate is over 10%. I was like clearly this a protest vote, but it is actually 2.64% lower than last time. In fact the five highest informal votes are in Sydney’s west over 10%. There really needs to be an education campaign there in multiple languages.

  19. I’ve always been impressed that the Libs managed to make so much of their own impact on carbon emissions reduction. It’s true that Australia has done well compared to some other countries, but I had thought that it was down to three things: Gillard/Rudd emissions reduction initiatives, rooftop solar installed by the average punter and state-driven land use and land clearing regulation (this having the greatest impact). Morrison’s government had bugger all to do with any of them.

    I was always even more impressed that the former Minister for That Kinda Stuff had a bit of a problem with NSW land clearing regulations. Or that a person who had such an issue with land clearing regulations was made the Minister for That Kinda Stuff. There could be a difference, maybe?

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/company-part-owned-by-angus-taylor-illegally-poisoned-grasslands-ministerial-review-finds

    Anyway, the ABC is now reporting that Angus Taylor is calling for the Liberal Party to return to its core values: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-05-23/angus-taylor-liberal-party-core-values/101092970

    Angus sniffs a change in the wind direction. Either time for a burn-off or a run for further party prominence, I think.

  20. Ven – The Labor Right in Victoria weren’t too keen on giving Kimberly Kitching the gig again. That was what the whole stress killed her thing was about.

  21. C@tmommasays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:23 pm
    I just heard Alan fecking Tudge blame Dan Andrews for the loss of Liberal seats in Victoria at the election! That man has a hide thicker than Jessie the cow!

    I think he’s right to some degree and I’m Labor through and through. Dan carved up the federal Libs very effectively in some of the pressers I saw and if it wasn’t for his governments popularity it could have been a different story.

  22. With respect to the honourable First Dog… we did this without any help at all from Tasmania. I think you need to check your own backyard Mr Onthemoon.

  24. So, let us enjoy our happiness before the forces of Mordor Murdoch regroup.

    There are so many things I have thought about in the last 48 hours, since my excellent “Don’s Party”.

    The Murrugappan family are going back to Biloela! I really hope they get their restaurant up and running again. I am definitely on a road trip there as soon as it up and running. May they make a franchise of great Sri Lankan curry houses. While I mostly go for the vegetarian stuff, I am pretty sure they will cook their chicken.

    And once again, how bizarre was the photo of the raw chicken? And then Morrison said it was the “light reflecting off the skin”, when it was obviously skinless.

    Did he ever really cook a curry? And how flustered were he and the photographer to put out a photo of raw chicken in an uncooked sauce? OH suggested it was the “marinade”, and the stuff-up was the photo where the “Before” was shown. Much as OH cooks an amazing Provençal repertoire, he is not into south Asian cooking – that is my department, and there is no way that was chicken in a marinade, especially since it was supposed to be a korma.

    We are getting Early Childhood education!!! In 20 years time the kids who start their education early will not be dumb fcuks who vote for “the guy in the fluro vest that makes the curries on Saturday nights”.

    A longitudinal study in the USA, reported in around 1990, as entitled “Build preschools now, or jails in 20 years time”.

    A FICAC!

    I could go on, but I will also suggest that an important step forward is the fact that Australia, in three different groupings – Labor, the Greens and the Teals – have destroyed the Liberal party. The Coalition will have less than 60 seats in the new parliament, and the Nats held all theirs.

    Another thing I think is important is that both Albo and Adam Bandt were part of the minority government from 2010 – 2013. Neither of them wants to see this end up with a landslide to Peter Dutton in 3 years time.

    They will find ways to work together, and with the large cross bench of Teals and others, to get real action on climate change, a FICAC and a host of other things.

    For climate change, targets are aspirational anyway. What is most important is putting in the changes – supporting renewables, ending the propping up by the Federal government of unviable coal fired power stations, the transition to electric vehicles etc.

    All of the ALP, Teals and Greens should be able to sell these things as real progress, without needing to break pre-election promises.

    This is very important – the Murdoch media love “broken promises” as defined by them.

    DO NOT GIVE THEM THE AMMUNITION!!!

    edited for my usual typos

  25. What is the seat of Aston like demographically? As a Sydneysider I am (ashamedly) unfamiliar with the outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne. What area in Sydney is similar to Aston?

  26. WB, what about the prepoll votes for Deakin?

    I don’t think the declaration pre-polls (“Pre-Poll (Out of Division)” in my system) are going to do much. I’m also assuming these EAV results aren’t going to amount to much, but maybe I’m wrong about that.

  28. poroti says:

    “The Reichspud looks to be firming as fave for the job. He’s even attempting a smile.
    Peter Dutton all but certain to lead as Liberals circle for deputy job.”

    There has never been a better time for a Federal ICAC. I have wondered about Dutton in cabinet and any conflict of interest from Federal income from his childcare centres for ages.

    It would be great for Dutton to become Reichs Potato, unelectable south of the Tweed anyway, then have him front a new Federal ICAC.

  29. @Trent: The Greens did improve their position, but only very marginally, and still performed much worse than the ALP. With 6500-8000 postals to go, and the Greens losing 20%+ in each throw on the Liberals and 915 votes clear, it’s a good chance the Libs will overtake them. On the other hand, Labor is only losing 10% on the Liberals, and are over 2500 votes clear. There is little risk of Burns falling to 3rd on postals, even with an unfavourable preference flow. Will have to wait and see whether declaration votes (absents, declaration pre-polls, provisionals) do something unusual but this one is overwhelmingly likely to be retained.

  30. Whats the conflict of interest in Dutton’s wife owning a childcare centre and being a minister or Opposition Leader? Aren’t women allowed to have careers/businesses of their own Socrates?

  31. No counting or movement in a number of key seats today. I did hear a rumour that the AEC was outsourcing the final throes of the count to Australia Post. We’ll be waiting weeks yet.

  32. Jack Ofalltrades @ #1322 Monday, May 23rd, 2022 – 8:36 pm

    C@tmommasays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:23 pm
    I just heard Alan fecking Tudge blame Dan Andrews for the loss of Liberal seats in Victoria at the election! That man has a hide thicker than Jessie the cow!

    I think he’s right to some degree and I’m Labor through and through. Dan carved up the federal Libs very effectively in some of the pressers I saw and if it wasn’t for his governments popularity it could have been a different story.

    Whilst I 100% agree with you, I think he was coming at it from the pov of the lockdowns ‘destroying’ businesses in Victoria and people blamed the feds.

  33. “This post is a classic example of verballing me, if anything. Making sly allusions, though not stated as absolute fact of course, that if I don’t agree with The Greens’ position on refugees, then I must be ‘siding with Dutton’, even if the codicil was made that it was only an assertion by way of example (yeah right). ‘On the side of ‘torturing refugees’ even!”

    What I said was – in response to you asserting intentions to me – was “Should I say that you’d like to vote with Dutton on torturing refugees rather than ever agreeing with Greens?”

    Obviously I know that the literal answer to the question was “no” and that you don’t agree with that, that was the point of the comment.

    The response, well…

    Have a nice evening. We are still in good times.

  34. Simmo: Aston is affluent outer suburbia that was the mortgage belt a generation ago (and has therefore drifted from Labor to Lib since the 80’s). If I had to nominate a particular Sydney seat, probably Hughes?

  35. Socrates @ #1329 Monday, May 23rd, 2022 – 8:45 pm

    poroti says:

    “The Reichspud looks to be firming as fave for the job. He’s even attempting a smile.
    Peter Dutton all but certain to lead as Liberals circle for deputy job.”

    There has never been a better time for a Federal ICAC. I have wondered about Dutton in cabinet and any conflict of interest from Federal income from his childcare centres for ages.

    It would be great for Dutton to become Reichs Potato, unelectable south of the Tweed anyway, then have him front a new Federal ICAC.

    It was reported today that Dutton’s wife, Kirrilee, quietly sold one of their Child Care Centres before the election. Make of that what you will.

  36. I had a funny thing happen tonight. I checked the mail and found I had gotten a letter from John Howard OM (Old Man) AC (Angry Conservative), addressed to me as a resident of Sturt. It arrived today AFTER the election. 😀

    Some classic quotes:
    “Of course, Scott Morrison has his critics and that’s part of the job”.
    “Defying all predictions, unemployment is on track to fall to its lowest level in almost 50 years”.

    Absolutely no mention of rising living costs, inflation, house prices or interest rates.

    This shows how desperate they were – and how incompetent.

  37. C@tmommasays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:23 pm
    I just heard Alan fecking Tudge blame Dan Andrews for the loss of Liberal seats in Victoria at the election! That man has a hide thicker than Jessie the cow!

    I think he’s right to some degree and I’m Labor through and through. Dan carved up the federal Libs very effectively in some of the pressers I saw and if it wasn’t for his governments popularity it could have been a different story.

    C@tmommasays:
    Whilst I 100% agree with you, I think he was coming at it from the pov of the lockdowns ‘destroying’ businesses in Victoria and people blamed the feds.

    Oh ok, fair enough.

  38. What will Peter Duttons nickname be…

    Ped… you know what, never mind…

    What time did everyone feel like scomo was gone – for me it was 7.20 and the alp was leading in more seats and the primary was way down for the lnp

  40. simm0888 says:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:39 pm

    What is the seat of Aston like demographically? As a Sydneysider I am (ashamedly) unfamiliar with the outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne. What area in Sydney is similar to Aston?
    ____________
    It’s a bit of a mystery. Back in the 80s most of those suburbs were pretty ordinary, probably labor leaning in some cases. Probably alot of people pushed out of formerly strong liberal inner and middle eastern suburbs have landed there.

    I read somewhere that there is big factor of people moving outward from their original suburbs, along the radial train lines, rather than jumping across the city. Perhaps it is that which explains it.

  41. Cat

    “It was reported today that Dutton’s wife, Kirrilee, quietly sold one of their Child Care Centres before the election. Make of that what you will.”

    Strange action for a law-abiding MP to take now, with demand for childcare sky high and centres highly profitable?

    There has never been a better time to have a Federal ICAC with retrospective powers!

  42. We already have ‘Freedom’ in Australia. Especially the freedom to be an idiot and not wear a mask, not get vaccinated and to contract COVID-19 if you so choose that ‘Freedom’.

  45. Might have been answered earlier, but why has the projected 2PP for the ALP dropped to 51.8% from 52.9% earlier today

  46. Interestingly enough, the strongest Liberal booths for Aston are in Rowville, possibly the most car dependent, public transport starved suburb in that close a radius to Melbourne.

  47. Nath: more likely the boomers who bought houses there back in the 80’s stayed put and became reliable Lib voters, while their Green-voting kids moved out. Moore (WA) is another seat like that.

  48. The story of the woman who may become WA’s 3rd Labor Senator is a heart-warming and fascinating one:

    A final Senate hopeful to watch is Labor candidate Fatima Payman, an Australian Muslim with cultural roots from Afghanistan.

    Ms Payman is 27 and on her candidate page says only a few years ago, she and her three siblings were being provided for by her dad, an Afghan refugee who was “working around the clock” as a security guard, taxi driver and kitchen hand to ensure his children had a better life.

    Ms Payman makes a point of being proud of her identity and has embraced her story as a reflection of a new, more diverse, Australia.

    “While he worked around the clock as a kitchen hand, a security guard and a taxi driver, Mum looked after us before starting her own small business of providing driving lessons,” Ms Payman wrote.

    “Dad instilled in me the values of hard work and perseverance.”

    In 2018, Ms Payman’s father died from leukaemia.

    She describes it as a turning point in her life and after her father’s death, she became active in WA as a community organiser and union representative so she could, in her words, help people like her dad.

    Ms Payman sits in the third position on the WA Senate ticket, which means she is a chance to accompany the swathe of diverse Australians joining the parliament.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-05-23/federal-parliament-new-diverse-representatives/101092182

  49. Jack Ofalltrades
    Thanks to the banks the number of insolvencies fell to very low levels during the first two lockdowns but the Liberals were too busy moaning about Andrews to benefit from it.

  50. ”
    B.S. Fairmansays:
    Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:35 pm
    Ven – The Labor Right in Victoria weren’t too keen on giving Kimberly Kitching the gig again. That was what the whole stress killed her thing was about.
    ”

    But according to news reports Marles said that they were about announce her candidature but unfortunately she passed away before that announcement was made.

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