Roy Morgan seems to have moved to weekly reporting of its federal voting intention numbers, with a poll published last night showing Labor’s two-party lead in from 58-42 to 57-43 through a survey period that ran from last Monday to Sunday. However, this masks a three-and-a-half point drop in Labor’s primary vote to 36%, which only does minor damage on two-party preferred because the Coalition is also down, by half a point to 32.5%, and Labor has done even better than usual this time on Morgan’s respondent-allocated preference flow. If preferences from 2019 were applied to these figures, the result would come out to about 55-45, in from amount 56.5-43.5 last time. For the minor parties, the Greens and One Nation are each up one-and-a-half, to 12.5% and 5% respectively – respectively their equal best and actual best results for the term – and the United Australia Party is up half a point to 1.5%.
The state breakdowns have Labor leading 55-45 in New South Wales (unchanged on last week, a swing of around 7.5%), 58-42 in Victoria (in from 60.5-39.5, a swing of around 5%), 50.5-49.5 in Queensland (unchanged, a swing of around 9%), 63.5-36.5 in Western Australia (out from 59-41, a swing of fully 19%), 53-47 in South Australia (in from 56-44, a swing of around 2.5%) and 69-31 in Tasmania. The sample size for the poll was 1384.
Also:
• The Australian that Dawson MP George Christensen, having parted company with the Liberal National Party last week ahead of his presumed retirement at the election, will today announce he will run as a candidate for One Nation at the election, though it is not yet clear if it will be for his existing seat. The report also reveals One Nation will run in all 151 lower house seats, whereas it only did so in 59 seats in 2019.
• Labor’s awkward start to the campaign has caused betting markets to tighten significantly: Sportsbet is now offering $1.63 on Labor, out from $1.45 at the start of the campaign, while the Coalition is in from $3.20 to $2.30.
• Australian Development Strategies, run by former Labor Senator John Black, has a map showing federal electorates’ concentrations of 35-to-49 year olds in the highest income quartile, whom he classifies as “maturing traditional swinging voters and aspirational voters in the ages at which they traditionally begin to move their vote from Labor to the Coalition”. We’ll see about that, but in any case it’s a nice and easily navigable map of federal electoral boundaries.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Katina Curtis writes that the six-figure settlement the government is expected to reach with a former staffer of minister Alan Tudge suggests her complaint has been recognised as a “major claim” with “a meaningful prospect of liability” under the bureaucracy’s rules. (So big that Morrison still insists he has no knowledge of it).
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/prospective-payout-to-tudge-s-former-staffer-recognises-major-claim-20220412-p5acvi.html
We have Schrödinger’s minister with Alan Tudge both in and out of Morrison’s cabinet, declares Katherine Murphy.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/12/we-have-schrodingers-minister-with-alan-tudge-both-in-and-out-of-morrisons-cabinet
According to Rachel Clun and Angus Thompson, experts are saying the only way to meet Morrison’s pledge to create 1.3 million jobs is to bring in significant numbers of foreign workers to fill them.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hollow-promise-foreign-workers-needed-to-meet-pm-s-jobs-target-20220412-p5actb.html
Sarah Martin writes that Anthony Albanese is set to announce Labor’s first major health commitment of the election campaign: $135m to trial 50 new urgent care clinics meant to ease pressure on hospitals.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/13/labor-to-commit-135m-to-trial-50-urgent-care-clinics-intended-to-ease-pressure-on-hospitals
Ross Gittins wants us to use this election to raise the quality of the politics we get. It’s quite a good read.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/let-s-use-this-election-to-raise-the-quality-of-the-politics-we-get-20220412-p5acul.html
Low wage growth in Australia didn’t happen by accident – it’s the system working as intended, argues Richard Denniss. In the article he says, “Just as Scott Morrison wants to see more women get into parliament (but not at the expense of men) and wants to see housing affordability improve (without house prices actually falling) the prime minister is all in favour of stronger wage growth – but not at the expense of higher profits. Unfortunately for Australians struggling with the rising cost of living, they can’t feed magic pudding to their kids.”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/12/low-wage-growth-in-australia-didnt-happen-by-accident-its-the-system-working-as-intended
David Crowe says that Labor will avoid a fight with the Coalition on the JobSeeker rate, dropping plans for a review of the payment.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-drops-plans-to-review-jobseeker-rate-20220412-p5acz8.html
Paul Kelly reckons the gaffe indicates that Albanese’s mind is not on the economy and it has left him exposed.
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/election-2022-economic-mindset-vital-for-labors-success/news-story/4cac28356074f9bcb19ac78480601b89
Julie Szego contrasts the first video advertising efforts from Labor and Liberal parties. She looks at the subliminal messages therein.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/these-are-the-subliminal-messages-in-each-frame-of-morrison-and-albanese-s-election-ads-20220412-p5acxx.html
Phil Coorey says that Anthony Albanese and his team are contemplating urgent changes to the Labor leader’s campaign style after a disastrous start that has shaken morale and boosted the government’s confidence.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/labor-changes-poll-tack-as-albanese-urged-to-sharpen-up-20220412-p5acsi
Forget the election gaffes: Australia’s unemployment rate of 4% is good news – and set to get even better by polling day, writes Peter Martin.
https://theconversation.com/forget-the-election-gaffes-australias-unemployment-rate-of-4-is-good-news-and-set-to-get-even-better-by-polling-day-181141
“If Anthony Albanese has no grip on the key economic numbers, how much grip does he really have on the prospective job of prime minister?”, asks the AFR’s editorial.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/is-the-real-albo-up-to-managing-the-economy-20220411-p5acqd
For the first time, there is a genuine contest for the blue ribbon Liberal seat of Goldstein. Royce Millar tells us how the battle lines are drawn.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/the-chill-winds-of-change-and-the-battle-for-goldstein-s-golden-mile-20220407-p5absh.html
Frank Bongiorno writes that there’s a great tale Labor could tell about how it would govern, but it just needs to start telling it.
https://theconversation.com/the-story-of-us-theres-a-great-tale-labor-could-tell-about-how-it-would-govern-it-just-needs-to-start-telling-it-181147
The Morrison Government has been accused of stacking AHRC top jobs, resulting in the Commission potentially losing its top-tier status, writes Binoy Kampmark.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/human-rights-commission-facing-downgrade-over-morrison-appointments,16254
Labor will never appease Murdoch, and should stop trying, says Jack Waterford.
https://johnmenadue.com/labor-will-never-appease-murdoch-and-should-stop-trying/
Scott Morrison has failed to commit to implementing religious discrimination laws if he is re-elected, undermining his push to gain ground in culturally diverse electorates in western Sydney, writes The Australian’s Greg Brown.
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/election-2022-scott-morrison-refuses-to-commit-to-religious-freedom-laws/news-story/0ce760a82a877410ef5b08c918b8d520
Michael Springer writes about Scott Morrison’s lies, character and incompetence.
https://theaimn.com/scott-morrisons-lies-character-and-incompetence/
Rogue former Queensland LNP MP George Christensen has abandoned his plan to retire from parliament at the May 21 election and will run instead as a One Nation candidate. As usual, the crap finds its way to the bottom!
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/election-2022-rogue-lnp-mp-george-christensen-to-run-for-one-nation/news-story/93d9fa167f1b40a1ebce334df6d90148
Christian lobby groups are pressing both major parties to recommit to the unamended religious discrimination bill as Labor guarantees to extend the chaplaincy program with a secular choice for schools, writes Paul Karp.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/13/christian-lobby-groups-push-major-parties-to-support-unamended-religious-discrimination-bill
Did the Morrison government really prevent 40,000 COVID deaths? A health economist checks the claims against the facts.
https://theconversation.com/did-the-morrison-government-really-prevent-40-000-covid-deaths-a-health-economist-checks-claims-against-facts-181052
NSW Tourism Minister Stuart Ayres has conceded that hellish queues at Sydney Airport as people head off on long-awaited travel is “intensely disappointing” and warned the delays would continue.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/intensely-disappointing-but-nsw-tourism-minister-says-airport-queues-will-continue-20220412-p5ad0u.html
And Elizabeth Knight tells us that Qantas has sent out an urgent plea to unrostered pilots to fly three international flights and a number of domestic flights scheduled for today due to “critically short uncrewed flying on it”.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/long-way-from-match-fit-qantas-scrambles-to-tackle-pilot-shortage-20220412-p5acun.html
Meanwhile, a consumer advocacy group has lodged a formal complaint with the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission over Qantas’ credit redemption rules. Choice lashed the airline’s flight credit scheme as “unfair” and “unworkable”, saying consumers faced numerous obstacles when trying to use flight credits they were given in place of refunds.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/consumer/2022/04/12/accc-qantas-flight-credits/
The time has come for a powerful government Climate Department to allow strong action on legislating, regulating, and coordinating mitigation, adaptation, and transition, urges Mike Scrafton.
https://johnmenadue.com/the-need-for-a-department-of-climate-change-is-now-self-evident/
Frustrated GPs are preparing to ramp up their federal election campaign for higher Medicare rebates by encouraging patients to use their votes to demand funding for longer consultations, including after hours. Dana Daniel tells us that the Australian Medical Association will today give the nation’s 45,840 general practitioners election posters to hang in their practices and template letters for patients to send to their local MPs over the next 5½ weeks.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/army-of-gps-to-target-patients-in-campaign-for-medicare-reform-20220411-p5acia.html
Labor’s claim of an increase in insecure work is more fiction than fact, says Jennifer Hewett.
https://www.afr.com/work-and-careers/workplace/labor-claim-of-an-increase-in-insecure-work-is-more-fiction-than-fact-20220412-p5acwh
Sarah Danckert reports that ASIC was forced to dump its longstanding security contractor after learning the Australian Federal Police was investigating the company for suspected links to an outlaw motorcycle gang, illegal phoenixing, fraud offences and money laundering. That’s a touch embarrassing!
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/asic-sacked-security-contractor-over-suspected-links-to-bikies-20220411-p5aco4.html
More on this story from Ben Butler.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/12/legal-action-launched-against-australian-companies-accused-of-overcharging-the-vulnerable-for-electronics-and-whitegoods
Mortgage holders need to start thinking now about how they are going to find the money to service higher repayments, warns John Collett.
https://www.smh.com.au/money/planning-and-budgeting/sydney-melbourne-mortgage-repayments-to-rise-by-thousands-a-year-20220408-p5ac2q.html
Collett says the “bank of mum and dad” is the ninth biggest lender and parents are gifting or lending a record average.
https://www.smh.com.au/money/planning-and-budgeting/parents-cough-up-record-100-000-to-help-children-buy-first-home-20220408-p5abza.html
Residential rents rising as fast as property prices are attracting investors seeking higher yields, a hedge against inflation and generous depreciation and tax breaks. This looks like a perfect storm!
https://www.afr.com/wealth/personal-finance/investors-return-as-rents-soar-up-to-20pc-20220412-p5acxo
Around 940 of the nation’s super rich are the target of deep-dive audits into their finances by the Australian Taxation Office due to suspected tax avoidance or non-compliance. Bring it on!
https://www.afr.com/wealth/personal-finance/ato-warns-super-rich-of-unprecedented-powers-to-scrutinise-wealth-20220410-p5acce
Charlotte Grieve writes that ASIC says predatory lending in Australia is endemic and changes to traditional banking, combined with the rise of buy-now-pay-later services, have created rising risks for financially disadvantaged people. Yesterday it launched legal action against two companies, Rent4Keeps and Layaway Depot, for allegedly disguising loans as lease contracts for white goods. I hope they go in hard!
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/asic-deputy-chair-warns-predatory-lending-endemic-in-australia-20220412-p5acuq.html
The corporate watchdog is also becoming increasingly concerned about online financial influencers who dispense dodgy financial advice.
https://www.smh.com.au/money/investing/financial-planners-welcome-asic-s-crackdown-on-finfluencers-20220411-p5acl3.html
Trucking companies will be left “devastated” by the government’s recent cut to the fuel excise, the industry has warned. South Australian Road Transport Association chief executive Steve Shearer says freight companies will lose out on $700m across the country after the government cut a vital diesel rebate in last month’s federal budget. The Fuel Tax Credit, a rebate which offered freight companies around 18 cents per litre cashback on diesel, was reduced to zero when the government halved the fuel excise. Despite calls for support, Mr Shearer said the government had failed to acknowledge the problem.
https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/business/sa-business/fuel-excise-cut-to-cost-truckies-700m-over-six-months/news-story/e4dd121c3654bbcfed1741b2f1544ceb?amp
New South Wales Liberal senator Hollie Hughes justified claiming a taxpayer-funded travel allowance for Melbourne Cup day by saying the alcohol company that gave her a spot in its marquee had employees in her home state, making her attendance parliamentary business. Nice try, Hollie!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/13/nsw-liberal-senator-billed-taxpayers-for-travel-allowance-on-day-of-melbourne-cup-marquee-event
And on top of that we see Matt Canavan billing taxpayers thousands of dollars to fly with his family for a three-night trip to Brisbane, during which he headlined Christmas drinks for a controversial conservative group that planned to donate part of the night’s proceeds to him.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/12/matt-canavan-billed-taxpayers-for-trip-with-family-to-brisbane-where-he-spoke-at-cpac-dinner
Michaela Whitbourn reports that a top lawyer at The Star Entertainment group has been grilled about why a damning audit report identifying money laundering risks at its casinos was described as legally privileged, in a move that shielded it from being handed over to a regulator.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/the-star-lawyer-grilled-over-whether-damning-kpmg-audit-was-hidden-from-regulator-20220412-p5acum.html
Australian gas projects face a raft of challenges beyond this decade while LNG exports could plummet to 20 per cent of current levels by 2050 under climate change scenarios, the Investor Group on Climate Change has warned.
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/business/gas-industry-faces-dramatic-dropoff-investors/news-story/0672c5869755d8cc81b5182fa65d8ba2
The SMH editorial looks at China’s difficulties in maintaining its Covid zero tolerance policy.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/shanghai-surprise-as-omicron-beats-zero-tolerance-policy-20220412-p5ad0w.html
Elon Musk’s vision for the internet is dangerous nonsense, says Robert Reich.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/12/elon-musk-internet-twitter
Cartoon Corner
David Pope
David Rowe
John Shakespeare
Peter Broelman
Badiucao
Mark Knight
Spooner returns to Murdoch form here
From the US
“Your just pushing the same sort partisan of shit that we rightly criticise Firefox for.”
What? Spamming Greens propaganda is the same as having a negative opinion about the Lib media collusion?
I guess there will be no open Town Hall rallies during this campaign. You know, where normal citizens turn up and ask questions of the PM – or the Oppn Leader.
Nothing staged, no protests, no attempt to stir up pushing and shoving in the audience. Just a civilised Town Hall.
I can remember Menzies handling a heckler at the Kew Town Hall, Melbourne in the 1960 campaign.
Heckler “ I wouldn’t vote for you if you were the Angel Gabriel”. Menzies “ madam, you would not have to because you would not be in my electorate “.
From the AFR, Phil Coorey this morning:
….
Sources have told The Australian Financial Review that Mr Albanese’s long, rambling, daily press conferences, which he regards as a virtue because he is being transparent, need to be reined in to be more like the style of Scott Morrison’s.
The prime minister takes about 10 to 12 questions each day and strives to keep his message succinct. Discussions also include putting more experienced advisers on the road with Mr Albanese.
….
“One MP said the blunder was not enough to cost Labor the election, but there was no room for another mishap.
He likened Mr Albanese to a character in an old arcade game who had been shot up and had only a small amount of life left.”
The Revisionist @ #52 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 5:22 am
How is this event evidence of collusion?
You’re conflating the issues.
“The share of GDP flowing to workers has declined steadily since the Coalition came to power, from 53.2% in 2013 to about 50.6%. To put that decline into context, if the wage share of GDP had remained steady since Tony Abbott came to power, Australian workers would be taking home an additional $49bn in their pay packers this year. To put that in perspective, we only spend $51bn on the entire aged pension.“
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/12/low-wage-growth-in-australia-didnt-happen-by-accident-its-the-system-working-as-intended
Those sources would be right. The voters that matter won’t be watching long press conferences. The most they might see is a sound bite on the nightly news (do people even still watch the news?)
The debates will very probably decide this one.
““The share of GDP flowing to workers has declined steadily since the Coalition came to power, from 53.2% in 2013 to about 50.6%. To put that decline into context, if the wage share of GDP had remained steady since Tony Abbott came to power, Australian workers would be taking home an additional $49bn in their pay packers this year. To put that in perspective, we only spend $51bn on the entire aged pension.“”
That is sobering stuff.
And it isn’t like it started in a good place.
“The debates will very probably decide this one.”
There is a lot more narrowing needed before that makes any sense at all. It is the kind of thing the media would say.
Rewi/WWP – The point about the decline in wages share is it all happened under legislation drafted and designed by Julia Gillard – Labor’s Fair Work Act.
“Barney in Tanjung Bungasays:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 7:30 am
The Revisionist @ #52 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 5:22 am
“Your just pushing the same sort partisan of shit that we rightly criticise Firefox for.”
What? Spamming Greens propaganda is the same as having a negative opinion about the Lib media collusion?
How is this event evidence of collusion?
You’re conflating the issues.”
What? Take a break dude
Whether its Labor or Lib/nats , greens No matter which political party or member of parliament , having drinks with the media who should be independent from politics should be completely barred
PK still milking the gaffe…of course
From what I understand of the major health announcement for today, it is an old concept which the states have tried with mixed to poor results for quite a few years. One example: https://ahclinic.com.au/
However, I don’t expect it to inspire comment from the press, because that would mean they would have to analyse a policy
Maybe they can pass some legislation to outlaw drinking with members of the media. Life imprisonment for all those who fail to obey.
Would simply being in proximity of liquor activate the laws?
The midwinter ball might be a slight logistical issue.
Coorey talking to PK. It essentially reinforces the accuracy of that late line clip posted last night about the horse race nature of political “journalism”.
Deadbats commentary on the Miller settlement, defends Morrison’s short (no scrutiny) press conferences with “he’s got to win an election”, has the gall to describe Labor’s platform as policy free.
The man is a buffoon.
Ok, two things about this:
* if “Mr Albanese’s long, rambling, daily press conferences” are a thing then how can anyone in the media let Morrison get away with suggesting that Albanese was in hiding or avoiding scrutiny?
* It’s good that Albo values transparency. But clearly no one in the media gives it much weight given they very rarely pull up Morrison or his ministers who all seem to reflexively dissemble and avoid answering questions – on water matters, Canberra bubble, numbers numbers numbers etc. Politicians of all persuasions will naturally try to cover things up if the media lets them get away with it – the media should not let them get away with it, and should make a virtue of politicians who actually answer questions and keep the public informed, then we might get a bit more of it.
Lars Von Trier @ #46 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 7:20 am
How about my alma mater Guildford Grammar?
This is why the media outlets like the lib/nats are fearful of independent federal national Integrity commission or ICAC which ever is formed
Not only they will get caught in corrupt like behaviour
The Media outlets will be split from being the political propaganda arm of the lib/nats
Bellwether @ #54 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 7:34 am
Like they did last time…oh, wait..
mundo says:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 7:53 am
Lars Von Trier @ #46 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 7:20 am
19% swing in WA to Labor according to Morgan. Amazeballs!!!
If realised even The Hale School would be in a Labor seat!
How about my alma mater Guildford Grammar?
_____________________________________
Yup Swan too!
Perth Modern as well!
Lars Von Trier says:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 7:20 am
19% swing in WA to Labor according to Morgan. Amazeballs!!!
West Australians have no reason whatsoever to vote for the LRP. Why would we feel inclined to vote for the idiot, Morrison, Palmer’s off-sider?
WA Labor has governed particularly well over the last 4 years. The contrast between the Labor government and the Federal government is really quite profound. No one will be surprised if the Federal vote is similar to the vote in the 2021 State election.
A different Michael says:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 7:52 am
Coorey talking to PK. It essentially reinforces the accuracy of that late line clip posted last night about the horse race nature of political “journalism”.
Deadbats commentary on the Miller settlement, defends Morrison’s short (no scrutiny) press conferences with “he’s got to win an election”, has the gall to describe Labor’s platform as policy free.
The man is a buffoon.
———————————————
He sure is , Phillip Coorey biggest bold prediction was Gladys Berejiklian the woman who saved Australia
Turn out to be the quite opposite
‘Frank Bongiorno writes that there’s a great tale Labor could tell about how it would govern, but it just needs to start telling it.’
It has a great story to tell about how it’s governed in the past and won’t tell it so don’t hold your breath.
Albo needs a better media manager and more experienced hard heads out there campaigning with him, and more tightly controlled media events.
And get your better shadow ministers out there and far less of Richard Marles.
And bypass Murdoch altogether, there are plenty of other media avenues out there.
I agree about the ABC this time, Andrew Probyn last night was pro Morrison and then their report on the race in Parramatta was framed in a way to hurt Andrew Charlton.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #NaN Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 7:19 am
No. I have a different point of view to you. It doesn’t make it wrong because you don’t like it.
Briefly, if the LRP got 55.5% in WA in 2019 and its an 19% swing – it must mean Morgan is still overstating the LRP vote by 3.5%? ie its really a 22.5% swing?
Rogue former Coalition MP George Christensen has prompted one of the early shocks of the 2022 election campaign, announcing he will run for Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party at the May 21 election.
It is not clear whether Mr Christensen will try to re-contest Dawson, as One Nation has already selected Julie Hall as its candidate for the seat.
At the 2019 election, Mr Christensen recorded a massive 11.3 per cent swing toward him – something Coalition members put down to his personal brand in North Queensland.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-13/george-christensen-to-run-as-one-nation-candidate/100986990
Gee, mundo,
That week you took off just flew by!
Guildford Grammar is in Hasluck, I believe, so every chance it could fall. Although I tipped that as a seat to go against the trend.
max @ #NaN Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 7:44 am
Because, when they are criticised they always double down.
Can we get a list of journalists who were at the event with Morrison last night in the pub?
George Christensen for PHON in the Senate in Queensland?
theunaustralian.net
Breaking: PM Devastated After His Creepy Mate Dumps Him For Pauline Hanson. Barnaby Joyce Was Seen Rushing To The PM’s Office With Ice Cream And A Copy Of Bridget Jones’ Diary.
How does that bloated windbag have a ‘personal brand’? Just reinforces the view that people in FNQ really are from another planet.
Perception is reality and it’s impossible to defend the indefensible. There’s no other way of seeing the Morrison/Media private party, especially at this early stage of the campaign, as anything other than compromising the media’s objectivity. If it cannot see that then it truly is totally lost and any remaining trust in it’s fairness and legitimacy has been trashed.
Does anybody know if this is normal election behaviour in which case it is further proof of my cave existence or is this aberrant behaviour?
cronus – even Mike Carlton tweeted words to the effect it was normal for party leaders to host the travelling media for drinks. Presumably Albo will do the same.
If Newspoll is 53-47 on Sunday Night (or Monday given the PH) I am sure the media pack will swing back against ScoMo. Everybody wants to back who they think will be the winner.
C@tmomma @ #41 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 8:04 am
Out in the marginals they’d say Patricia who?
Lars Von Trier says:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 8:02 am
Briefly, if the LRP got 55.5% in WA in 2019 and its an 19% swing – it must mean Morgan is still overstating the LRP vote by 3.5%? ie its really a 22.5% swing?
Mebbe. I haven’t checked the sums. The LRP have utterly failed WA for years and years. They should expect voters to support Labor, who have provided a model government – competent, attentive, restrained, disciplined, unified, pro-active, modernising, honest and cohesive. If the federal government were even half as good as the State government this country would be well-run. Instead in the LRP-run Commonwealth we have daily bungling by the worst government since Federation.
Evan @ #76 Wednesday, April 13th, 2022 – 8:01 am
Nice one Evan. File it away and send it to the Labor elders who conduct the Review of What Went Wrong 2022
@Cronus – pretty standard operating procedure for pretty much any large scale campaign.
Carlton was right – you can argue the ethics – the CPG and the Hill are deeply incestuous (socially) – but, again the issue was how SfM turned on a dime on the young guy as it risked an impromptu moment he couldn’t control. The drinks focus from some will backfire given they all do it.
It is a great wedge.
Either Albo has a function (which you can absolutely be sure has been planned) and suffers the same fate on PB that Morrison has or he stands between journalists and free beer. I know which one will cause him less harm.
I felt that NSW ALP’s last hope for a great leader was Luke Foley but, of course, he was buying drinks for journalists after a celebration when he put his uninvited hand into a journalist’s underpants.
Buying drinks for journalists is a risky business.
True that OC. If not for the scandal , Luke travelling with Albo during the campaign would be exactly the sort of support he could use atm.
Gillespie is quoted from 2 to 3 years ago that Indue card a possibility for age pensioners.
Does anyone have quotes from other govt members saying something similar?
Lars and jt1983
Thanks. It doesn’t seem like a good idea but I’m sure I’m very out-of-touch with what is now considered appropriate on so many different issues/things. I’ll now Wimbledon back to the cave with my old-fashioned mores (chuckles).
Based on the Edwina/Lars posting frequency metric, Coalition still behind but Labor can be torn down.
So bitter.
Pauline Hanson is the lead Senate candidate for Queensland so unless she’s decided to retire I don’t think George is getting that gig.
ABC TV edited the exchange between the “drinks gate crasher” and Morrison.
Morrison has a trust problem as the polls indicate.
The “Albanese gaffe” is looking very insignificant.
The “drinks gate crasher” and Morrison interaction is showing itself to be very popular on social media.
The ABC reporter, an attendee at the private drinks party, dismissed the incident because it’s a normal part of political campaigns for the leaders of political parties to organize drinks events during a campaign.
The effort needed for a smug Morrison to turn around the negative polling for himself and the LNP has just become more difficult particularly among the younger voters.
This is shaping as a very incident riddled campaign.
Lars Von Triersays:
Wednesday, April 13, 2022 at 7:25 am
From the AFR, Phil Coorey this morning:
….
Financial Review
“The prime minister takes about 10 to 12 questions each day and strives to keep his message succinct.”
–
SfM may well respond to 12 questions but he rarely actually answers the question instead going on a waffle about the economy etc and I have NEVER heard SfM keeping “his message succinct”.
To keep sanity I choose to ignore most of the MSM up and down attempts to get a ‘gotcha moment’ to staple of the front page of newspapers and headline news…It is all about making money and keeping up the TV ratings and yes that includes the ABC and breakfast radio .
Journalism these days is all about money and gotcha moments that they milk to death until the next one comes along. I am not riding that wave to the election day – I’ts a bonkers way to live.