As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.
Look for Frydenburg to come up the middle.
Back from lunch in Freo with a Green mate and find bludgers debating the merits of daylight saving!
Always tackling the big issues here.
C@tmomma @ #943 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 5:59 pm
He’ll be lucky to hold his seat
“I think daylight saving should be all year-round.”
Move the International Date Line 1666km (at the equator) east! Or is that west? I’ll just go ask the cows…
Rewi,
Khaki Election is so last Test!
That would be delicious. Morrison arranges for Frydenburg to take over to save the furniture and then Frydenburg loses his seat!
I note the earlier decision today of the Federal Court that agreed with Environment Minister Sussan Ley that she had no duty of care to protect young people from climate change. I think this is a classic case of winning the battle but losing the war.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-15/federal-court-judgement-on-climate-change-government-doc/100909214
Labor can now validly say in an election campaign in 2 or 3 weeks time:
“How can Scott Morrison claim to be serious about acting on climate change, when his own environment minister is arguing in court that they have no duty to do so?”
I will leave the legal debates to the experts.
“And there are some genuine problems created by DST”
Just as an engineer you’d be familiar with purely arbitary frames of reference, where what is important isn’t where the (0,0,0) coordinate is, but rather that everyone knows where it is and uses the same.
Time is like that, such that any problem with daylight saving by definition is solved exactly the same way as problems without it.
I think there is some evidence that the switch between the two can be problematic. To which I’d propose we just have permanent daylight savings.
I don’t think nondaylight savings people are silly, and the reason it is pushed in WA is to help business and that is silly.
I will say that lack of employer and govt flexibility is the biggest problem. I can get up at 3 am, but I can’t get public transport to work, and i can get into the office on the first train two hours before start time but leaving two hours earlier than I would normally is a lot more problematic.
So good time (daylight saving time) 6 months, bad time the rest (normal time) with two inconvenient switches is a great compromise, but the normal time sloths aren’t just lazy and can’t get out of bed they are greedy too.
““Of course there are people who identify as otherwise, that’s a very small minority and we shouldn’t make over arching rules, or not be able to answer public statements to cater to very very small minorities.”
McSweeney went on to tell former senator Cory Bernardi that she would be able to determine the sex of everyone in the street.
“We have to respect minorities but overwhelmingly I’m pretty sure Cory if you and I walked down the street, particularly in the electorate of Swan, I could just about tell you who was a woman and who was a man. It’s pretty basic, If you want to sit in the Australian parliament that’s probably a skill you have to learn first.” McSweeney said.
McSweeney was a journalist and media commentator before becoming a political staffer. She is the daughter of former state minister Robyn McSweeney.”
https://www.outinperth.com/liberal-candidate-says-she-can-determine-everyones-gender-in-electorate/
When you are happy to say outloud you are a thug and a bully:
“Of course there are people who identify as otherwise, that’s a very small minority and we shouldn’t make over arching rules, or not be able to answer public statements to cater to very very small minorities.”
The idea Morrison doesn’t still see himself as their best chance… let alone voluntarily step-aside.
As has been discussed before, Frydenberg and Dutton are both at risk. A leadership change to one, probably dooms the other.
sprocket_ says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 5:47 pm
https://twitter.com/tackleberry_82/status/1503507983497830406 (warning, has a naughty word)
Latest friendlyjordies.
https://youtu.be/f83qfSV16i4
WWP –
Yeah, nah. The issue is with introducing the discontinuity. Without the shift there is no discontinuity, so they are not otherwise equivalent scenarios.
This would be fine by me. It’s the shifts that offend me, not an attachment to any particular relationship between the hour of the day and where the sun is in the sky.
People, people, I think we all know who the obvious compromise candidate is:
Prime Minister Stuart Robert.
Asha
I reckon Angus Taylor has the Field Marshall’s baton in the knapsack..
Daylight saving is fine for temperate climates, it is totally pointless and unsuitable for tropical and sub tropical climates.
QLD should move our clocks backwards each summer so that the afternoon hours (by the clock) are cooler not hotter, and to bring us closer time wise to our major international trading partners.
sprocket_ says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:24 pm
Smartest guy in the room and all that…
ScoManshake…
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/scott-morrisons-weightloss-journey-revealed-after-anthony-albanese-sledge/news-story/41b493a035bcdea303a6c0a8b3b719ef
Sprocket,
Dildos are apparently Multi functional.
I did not hear the Liam Bartlett interview this morning on 6PR because I though Bartlett would just give Morrison a tummy rub…..However, much as I dislike Bartlett’s style, his grouse with JobSeeker/Keeper has been of long standing….
He has, to give him his credit, been on the case and perceives the money handout as verging on a rort……That he had the balls to confront Morrison this morning over this is a pleasant surprise.
More ammunition to fire at Morrison is at hand, with the charge of $14,000 to attend a dinner with him tomorrow night ……Now that is a waste of money……….
I am sure there will be enough lick-spittle folk who will be happy to throw $14000 the way of the Liberals to bathe/eat in the light of the Great White Father………………
In the US, at least, there’s some evidence of a spike in road accidents the day after clocks move forward, due to everyone operating on an hour less sleep:
https://www.healthline.com/health-news/daylight-saving-can-make-driving-less-safe
I feel that the problems Daylight Savings are supposed to solve would be be better dealt with by allowing for more flexible work and school hours.
One way for Frydenberg to sell his budget AND win his seat of Kooyong is to challenge Morrison. That would guarantee him maximum exposure…. for his inevitable fall. Still, he could stay on as oppo after he blames Morrison for all his party’s woes.
@sprocket_
Not a bad read, and so demonstrates the cultural differences between the two
SfM seeks the lazy quick fix with expensive shakes, backgrounding the media about his transformation then pretending to be surprised and no lasting results.
Albo – quiet achiever, personal discipline, no booze and high carb food, lasting results
It looks like Morrison is talking out of both sides of his mouth again.
He is currently in WA. The online version of the West Austrlian has a headline where Morrison says that nuclear subs will be ready before 2040, (maybe December 2039) and that they will spend a large proportion of their time in WA.
Presumably they will spend some time at sea. If a large proportion of the remaining time will be spent in WA, why do we need a base on the east coast, and if we do spend billions on an east coast base, how much use will it get?
How can Morrison be confident that subs will be here before 2040 if no decision has been made as to where they will come from.
So much talent going to waste in the Senate – PM Gerard Rennick! PM Michaelia Cash! PM Matt Canavan! PM Eric Abetz!
@Drongo – I’m not sure the Goodburgers of Kooyong will reward him, not unless he can bring the party closer to the centre. I assume he’d be required to make a similar Faustian deal as Turnbull, that eventually brought him down.
Dutton is no doubt seen as a saviour to some in Qld, NSW and the harder right more generally. It’s hard to see Dutton playing well almost anywhere else. Particularly, where the risk to the Liberal primary vote is from Labor directly and moderate teals… running to the base is not going to solve their problems.
The history of leadership changes is, usually, you swap to someone more popular (Rudd in 2013, Turnbull in 2015) or someone with a net neutral position (Gillard in 2010 – although she was well-regarded by the public or Morrison in 2018). Dutton is not a popular figure.
Didn’t Morrison either rearrange his hair-do, or get himself a hair transplant recently?
Rewi says:
Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:01 pm
“I think daylight saving should be all year-round.”
Move the International Date Line 1666km (at the equator) east! Or is that west? I’ll just go ask the cows…
And, on the other hand,
according to Irving Kahal and Harry Richman
in their fun song from 1931:
“There ought to be a moonlight saving time
So I could love that man of mine
Until the birdies wake and chime:
“Good morning”
There ought to be a law in clover time
To keep that moon out overtime
To keep each lover’s lane in rhyme
Till dawning
You’d better hurry up, hurry up, hurry up
Get busy today
You’d better croon a tune to the man up in the moon
Here is what I say:
There ought to be a moonlight saving time
So I could love that man of mine
Until the birdies wake and chime:
“Good morning”
The original:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMnZCVsmp1c
and up to date:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WreRVZ6WlKs
C@tmomma,
I would have said the morals of an alley cat and the appetite of a junkyard dog!
Jackol says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:37 pm
Why go to the Senate when you still have potential PM Kevin Andrews?
My problem with Denis Atkins’ article: your average alley cat tends to be slender and athletic.
See the problem with the analogy?
Asha
There are also lots of studies showing a spike in heart attacks when daylight saving starts.
It always seemed to me that daylight saving was started to appease the finance industry who wanted markets opening times to line up. It was one of the many parts on the employer assault on working conditions in the 1990s. Teacher friends of mine always hated it, as the kids were not concentrating at the start of the day either.
With more flexible hours possible in post covid working arrangements, daylight saving is redundant. The further north or west you live, the less convenient it is.
We should get rid of daylight savings, and those who want to start early are free to do so. They should not have the right to impose it on those who do not want it.
Don’t vote for Albo he successfully dieted.
Is that really going to be Liberals election slogan?
Socrates @ #983 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 5:48 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bJ_ptg9GnDI
Socrates
That sounds like a good urban myth since trading hours are better aligned in the winter months.
That and the discussion around resilience points to a level of cynicism more expected from the Qon crowd.
Ballantyne says:
Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:50 am
beguiledagain
Was the answer to your no prize quiz on that cartoon a couple of days ago Battleship Potemkin? The Odessa steps scene.
——————————————————–
Congratulations, you have won the no prize quiz.
100%!
Since moving to a daylight savings state I can’t see the point of it.
It’s dark in the mornings until 7am now and I feel far less productive than I was last year. The best time to exercise is in the cool of the morning, not the heat of the afternoon.
My (Qld-resident) in-laws hate daylight saving; I therefore love it.
Smith makes a meal of a routine catch.
Is Morrison really describing Albo as an “inauthentic shape shifter” because he has lost weight and toned up? If so, Morrison is an absolute imbecile who belongs in Slobsville.
Back to the Greens polling, someone asked if the 42% Labor PV was Senate or House.
This line from the Nine article tells us it’s the latter:
“The Labor love was predicted to continue in the upper house with a primary vote of 39 per cent.”
GG at 7.13pm
Steve Smith’s slips catching has been patchy in this match.
I read an article by Greg Chappell in the 70s in which he shifted the ‘catches win matches’ saying to ‘dropped catches lose matches.’
Maybe I’ll settle for ‘dropped catches help prevent you from winning matches.’
Snappy Tom
Catchy.
Former insurance boss Geoff Summerhayes says calling the recent floods a “one-in-500 year event” is a disservice to the public that will delay the overhaul needed in infrastructure and planning to better protect Australians.
Mr Summerhayes, who was Suncorp Life’s chief executive between 2008 and 2015 and later a board member of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, said extreme weather had become the “new normal”.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/public-disservice-ex-suncorp-chief-hits-out-at-1-in-500-year-floods-narrative-20220314-p5a4cv.html
Now all we need is guys like this in the insurance industry to realise what the new normal is and translate it to affordable insurance policies for us all.
“Everyone is waiting for Reverse swing in Karachi.”
Perhaps the 35% or so of Australian voters and certainly Morrison and Frydenberg are desperate for a sign of reverse swing in the Australian political arena
‘Now all we need is guys like this in the insurance industry to realise what the new normal is and translate it to affordable insurance policies for us all.’
Yes, they just have to find a magical inexhaustible pile of money!
The insurance industry was onto the implications of climate change well before most other industries. One of the first climate change forums I attended (over twenty years ago) was sponsored by them, and the key speaker used data from claims to demonstrate what was happening.
Insurance premiums are already unaffordable in some areas. The message is to get out of those areas (if you can).
Morrison 6PR interview:
https://www.6pr.com.au/exclusive-unpopularity-doesnt-faze-pm-as-he-locks-horns-with-liam-bartlett/
7 News does same/same on Morrison going personal.
Mark Riley dredges up Albanese comments from 1998(!) on Howards eyebrows.
https://twitter.com/7NewsBrisbane/status/1503646682763902978
The worst thing for Labor would be Frydenberg taking over. The soft lib’leavers would see it as an excuse to give the new bloke a go just like 2019.