Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

Anthony Albanese draws level on preferred prime minister as Labor maintains its commanding lead on voting intention.

As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,117 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  2. I’ve never understood why WA (Perth in particular) doesn’t have summer hours.
    What’s the point of it being light at 4.30am in the morning when the majority can’t appreciate it. Real pain in the arse conducting business with WA during summer too it must be said.
    Used to love the trials of summer hours in Perth when was I lad in Perth, loved riding my bike to the beach during the daylight in the evening.

  3. Burgey says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 7:36 pm

    The worst thing for Labor would be Frydenberg taking over. The soft lib’leavers would see it as an excuse to give the new bloke a go just like 2019.

    Josh seems to have the charisma of a dead squid. I’m not sure how well he would go leading a federal campaign. I have a feeling he’s make Albo look like Hollywood.

  4. Desert Qlder at 7.32pm

    If memory serves, the Coalition and their mates dredged up a story from the 80s or 90s, when pre-parliament Albo interviewed some Commies. At least with the 1998 thing they’re getting close to this century!

    Seriously? Is that the best they’re got?

  5. Rewi:

    If we scraped a microsecond off every second of the 1461 days of a four year period we could add an extra day to three years and every year could have 366 days. Boom, no more Leap Years.

    Perhaps I’m just not getting the joke, but those microseconds would only add up to measly 2 minutes or so over four years?

  8. bc,

    That’s not the point. If you’ve got people leaving the LNP because they’re off Morrison, giving them a new, comparatively moderate leader gives them an excuse to go back to them.

  9. It is desperation, clear and simple. Morrison is in a political death spiral and everything he is doing is making the situation worse. It couldn’t be happening to a nicer person 😉

  12. It’s dark in the mornings until 7am now and I feel far less productive than I was last year.

    That’s because the switch back is only a couple of weeks away now.

  14. It would be funny if ongoing court action meant the Libs didn’t get their selections in on time for those three seats in NSW.

  15. As for Cam Smith winning the Players Golf Championship (hat tip to blog legend beguiledagain for the heads up), this unobtrusive bloke with a mullet could end up the best we have ever produced.

  18. Daylight saving made a lot more sense in the days of rigid 9-5 work hours. Loved it for that reason when we had the trial in Queensland in 1971-72.

    Now most of us can do a fair bit of shifting of our daily activities. In a Brisbane summer, it is much more pleasant having that glass of wine after the sun has gone down rather than having it still beating down on one.

    I don’t think there’s a single bit of evidence that it contributes in any way to economic well-being, but the business community still seem to go on about it.

  20. There’s no way Morrison has had hair plugs. If he has, he needs to get his money back!

    The supposed inconsistencies in his hairline that have fuelled this conspiracy look to me like the results of varying hair lengths, camera angles, and lighting. That stuff can make huge differences to how thick a balding man’s hair looks.

  21. caf

    a) I love that you have bothered to respond to that at all.

    b) I meant milliseconds, and I think (I cannot stress the word ‘think’ in this enough) that it’s something like 487 milliseconds from each second.

  23. Nah – Morrison hasn’t had hairplugs, it’s just looks like more then when it’s longer and disappears when he cuts it.

  27. Ita Buttrose was once asked what you do if you had 6 months left to live and said “I would move to Adelaide and marry an accountant – it would feel like a lifetime”.

    Spot on.

  29. Kevin Bonham
    @kevinbonham

    Better Premier Malinauskas leads 45-40. Personal ratings v similar to #Newspoll despite the voting intention blowout – Marshall -2 (46-48) Malinauskas +19 (51-32) #savotes

  30. I disagree, Sprocket at 8.06pm…

    Morrison is a man (or, at least, male) and lots of him is shaky – in many senses!

  31. Yeah but the short game Rex is next level.
    Drive for show, putt for dough and all that.

    What is KB’s source for those poll numbers btw.

    As for the WA summer hours business divide, has definitely cost some of my WA customers business.

  32. Morrison mocking Albo’s weight loss and in so doing, also being incredibly hypocritical given his own earlier efforts. In any case, apparently he only has to act in a Christian manner when it suits him. I don’t recall that methodology in my biblical studies. He must have a very different version of the bible.

  33. Henry

    Never seen a better putting display than Cams the past few weeks. The commentator Paul Azinger picked him to win 2 days ago based on that.

  34. More evidence for the ‘anti-Labor media conspiracy’ hypothesis…

    Adelaide media spend the past week declaring the SA Coalition has ‘turned the corner’ etc

    Opinion poll today declares it hasn’t

    Baseless declarations by SA media in support of their desperate maaates

  35. sprocket_ says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:24 pm

    I reckon Angus Taylor has the Field Marshall’s baton in the knapsack.

  36. Granny Anny says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:37 pm
    It looks like Morrison is talking out of both sides of his mouth again.

    He is currently in WA. The online version of the West Austrlian has a headline where Morrison says that nuclear subs will be ready before 2040, (maybe December 2039) and that they will spend a large proportion of their time in WA.

    Presumably they will spend some time at sea. If a large proportion of the remaining time will be spent in WA, why do we need a base on the east coast, and if we do spend billions on an east coast base, how much use will it get?

    How can Morrison be confident that subs will be here before 2040 if no decision has been made as to where they will come from.

    Morrison is like the real estate agent who tried to sell us a house in a newly developing area in 1992. If we mentioned that it would be nice to have a local shop, he would say “one will be built over there”. And so on for his other promised amenities that of course have never eventuated. We didn’t buy through him.

    By the time Morrison has circumnavigated Australia, he will have promised multiple submarine base facilities for the non-existent submarines, just like our dodgy real estate agent.

  37. “As for the WA summer hours business divide, has definitely cost some of my WA customers business.”

    It isn’t logical but the extra hour you guys separate by when you go to summer time seems to narrow the usable part of the day in terms of videoconferences with the east by more than an hour. I’m not sure what it is, but getting your east coast solicitors into a call on short notice is significantly easier when the gap is only two hours.

  40. WWP

    My son worked for a while with a company that sourced products in the eastern states for WA customers.
    The extra hour time difference in summer often meant afternoon orders were delayed a day.
    He had to train his clients to order early.
    He would start earlier but his boss expected him to finish on WA Time!
    I had no strong feelings either way on daylight saving but after the record breaking summer of 2021-22 I think if we had it there might be moves to dump it.

  42. Insurance premiums are already unaffordable in some areas. The message is to get out of those areas (if you can).

    And people do this how? And go where? Honestly, I know people who are staying in their houses because they cannot afford all the costs of moving, let alone moving to somewhere desirable because it is protected from the effects of Climate Change, hence more expensive, more likely than not.

    Are you advocating for a Relocating Grant and Moving Fund, zoomster?

  43. I think there is an argument that the whole world should simply operate on GMT/UTC.

    If that means the sun rises at 0000 where you are, so be it. We would get used to it

  44. sprocket_ @ #1038 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 8:26 pm

    Apparently Isaac Levido is back to kick start the Liberals campaign..

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/16/isaac-levido-the-australian-political-strategist-credited-with-boris-johnsons-victory

    Well, other than hoping he fails miserably because Morrison and the Liberals don’t deserve another term because they are a bunch of plundering pirates of the Treasury and ideological zealots with a thin veneer of blokeiness, he needs to start by canning the truck with Xi voting Labor. All the feedback I am getting about it is that it just seems like a Chinese guy telling Chinese people to vote Labor.

    Which, of course, I don’t mind on the other hand. 😉

  45. eWantPaul says Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 8:19 pm

    It isn’t logical but the extra hour you guys separate by when you go to summer time seems to narrow the usable part of the day in terms of videoconferences with the east by more than an hour. I’m not sure what it is, but getting your east coast solicitors into a call on short notice is significantly easier when the gap is only two hours.

    On the other hand, I sometimes found the three hour difference useful. It meant I could call a business over east before heading off to work (the call not being part of my work).

  46. sprocket_ says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 8:26 pm
    Apparently Isaac Levido is back to kick start the Liberals campaign..

    Levido left Downing Street in July 2020 to found Fleetwood Strategy. He was appointed Officer of the Order of the British Empire (OBE) in the 2020 Birthday Honours for political service.

    Services to Rupert?

  47. Re the criticism of Albanese’s weight loss by Morrison, his basic schtick is, everything that he is not is wrong and fair game for character assassination. The real crime of it all is that the media always reinforces Morrison’s attacks, for example, Mark Riley on 7 trawling back to 1998 so he could troll Albanese, instead of calling Morrison out for his trivial attack.

  49. @C@t – most of the commentary was pretty scathing.

    On bringing on this Issac person – yet again, this feels ridiculously late in the game to do this.

  50. Spare a thought for people in China who all live in one time zone, based on Beijing time.

    Rise at 11? China’s Single Time Zone Means Keeping Odd Hours

    Some days, the sun doesn’t come up until 10 a.m. or later. People eat lunch after 2 p.m., or even after 4 if they’re not in a rush. The school day stretches so late that children can’t get home in time to catch their favorite cartoon shows.

    Why are the clocks in Urumqi, China, so far out of kilter with the cycles of the sun? Because of a legacy of Mao Zedong and the Communist Party’s desire for unified control. Though China is almost as wide as the continental United States, the whole country is officially in just one time zone — Beijing time.

    So when it’s 7 a.m. in the Forbidden City, it’s also officially 7 a.m. 2,000 miles to the west in Urumqi, the capital of the Xinjiang region — even if the stars are still out there.

    That can lead to headaches — and lost sleep. “It’s hard to adjust,” says Gao Li, a sanitation worker in Urumqi. “I often think we must be the only people who eat dinner at midnight.”

    So schools, airports and train stations operate at odd hours; national exams are sometimes given in the dead of night; and restaurants stay open for dinner into the wee hours.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/17/world/asia/china-single-time-zone.html

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