Unless Roy Morgan is feeling ambitious, we’re unlikely to see new polling until mid-to-late January, although The Australian should have Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns immediately after Christmas. If breakdowns are your game, Essential Research now provides a mother lode of them for all its polling going back the start of 2020, with voting intention broken down by (mainland) state, gender, age cohort, work status and region (categorised as inner metro, outer metro, provincial and rural). With the availability of this data, it will become worth my while to again provide state-level polling trends in BludgerTrack, as was done before the 2019 election. So stay tuned for that. For the time being, Essential’s state and gender results are now included in my poll data archive.
A few other polling morsels to report:
• The latest EMRS poll of state voting intention in Tasmania snuck out last week without me noticing. It found little change on the last poll in August, with the Liberals steady on 49%, Labor down two to 26% and the Greens steady on 13%, which in turn differed little from the March election result of Liberal 48.7%, Labor 28.2% and Greens 12.4%. Peter Gutwein’s 59-28 lead over Rebecca White as preferred premier is likewise hardly changed from 59-29 last time. The poll was conducted November 28 to December 5 from a sample of 1000.
• JWS Research has released its latest True Issues survey on issue salience. Ratings for the government’s performance across a range of 20 issues are down across the board by zero to five points since July, with defence, security and terrorism and immigration remaining its strongest suits and cost of living and environment/climate change its weakest. Among many findings about COVID-19, the federal government is deemed to have performed well by 40% and poorly by 28%, while state and territory governments in aggregate are on 60% and 12% respectively, with both maintaining downward trends from a peak late last year. Cost of living and health are rated effectively equal as the issue the government should be most focused on, with 59% and 58% respectively including them among five choices out of a list of 20. The survey was conducted November 22 to November 24 from a sample of 1000.
• Recommended reading: Kevin Bonham on “the overrated impact of party preferencing decisions” and Alan Kohler on the Australian Electoral Commission.
Interesting thread calling out another corporate media hack PvO…
continues… https://twitter.com/evolvable/status/1472018440802111489
UK Cartoons:
JimmyD
History is always being rewritten and you only need to look at mainstream popular history to see that.
When it comes to cancel culture i will give the example of Thomas Jefferson. Everyone knows Jefferson owned slaves but we also know that owning slaves was common at that time but we see people wanting to remove Jefferson statues because of it. Removing Jefferson statues doesn’t rewrite history and it ignores other things Jefferson did and this is where it becomes overly judgemental.
It would be better to tell the stories of those who experienced slavery or people like Fredrick Douglass instead of focusing on removing the slave owners because slavery has been a common feature of the ugly side of history.
There is a case for removing Robert Lee statues because he tuned Lincoln down and choose to led the confederacy.
Q: I’m enormously sceptical that “cancel culture” exists
Exactly, cancel culture is just latest, tiresome abuse term for people of the left- we have had bleeding hearts, woke, cancel culture, politically correct etc etc… just glib marketing, made up concepts for culture wars.
The comparison of Perrotet to Frank Spencer, posted by Poroti @9.29 am is far too kind. My TV is currently at risk.
Am I reading too much into the fact that none of Kerry Chant, Jeremy McAnulty or Marian Gale (sp?) is present at today’s press conference. Admittedly it is Sunday and they would desperately need a rest.
BTW, certain members of my family now refer in writing to the NSW Premier as DoPe. Not original, but possibly apt.
Edit Added surnames. Given names only was a bit familiar.
Re Aqualung @9:59. I wonder who took that picture? It must have been taken through a telephoto lens from another building or the street. Why? I wouldn’t have thought that the Deputy Prime Minister of Australia was the sort of celebrity that would be tracked in America by the papparazi, like a rock star, a Royal or one of the Kardashians.
Anyway, it certainly cries out for a caption. I like the one about the bar fridge. Other possibilities: “How do I get this thing to stay open?”; “Where the @@@@ am I?”…
Torchbearer
It exists because we do see campaigns against certain views and behaviors like slavery.
Woke is an African American term for being aware of racism.
Bleeding hearts is a term used by Keatings former speech writer Don Watson.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-has-recorded-2566-covid-19-cases-20211219-p59iqo.html
More than 10,000 people have contracted COVID-19 in NSW the past five days, with another 2566 cases reported on Sunday as health experts demand NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet reintroduce mandatory mask-wearing indoors.
The state’s COVID-19 daily numbers have skyrocketed over the past week as the Omicron variant takes hold, from 595 reported last Sunday.
Daily case numbers first cracked the 2000 mark on Thursday after restrictions were eased on Wednesday, including reopening venues to unvaccinated patrons and scrapping mandatory masks and QR code check-ins in shops and restaurants.
”Am I reading too much into the fact that none of Kerry, Jeremy or Marian (sp?) is present at today’s press conference.”
Or Peta, to put some tough questions to the Premier regarding why NSW is experiencing Australia’s worst Covid surge of the pandemic, with no end in sight and things set to get much worse.
‘Mexicanbeemer says:
Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 10:34 am
JimmyD
History is always being rewritten and you only need to look at mainstream popular history to see that.
When it comes to cancel culture i will give the example of Thomas Jefferson. Everyone knows Jefferson owned slaves but we also know that owning slaves was common at that time but we see people wanting to remove Jefferson statues because of it. Removing Jefferson statues doesn’t rewrite history and it ignores other things Jefferson did and this is where it becomes overly judgemental.
It would be better to tell the stories of those who experienced slavery or people like Fredrick Douglass instead of focusing on removing the slave owners because slavery has been a common feature of the ugly side of history.
There is a stronger case for removing Robert Lee statues because he tuned Lincoln down and choose to led the confederacy.’
—————————
If you want to do historical context then mentioning that there were other slave owners besides Jefferson is not nearly enough. There was also a contemporary and massive public policy debate about slave ownership. This debate included a substantial and eventually successful element of society that wanted to cancel slavery.
The reality is that statues of public political figures have generally been a way of formalizing and normalizing some abuse of power or other. They often appropriate public spaces for some vested interest or other. Statues are far too simplistic to deal with the complexity of history.
Partial list of those whose statues have been cancelled: Hitler, Stalin, Saddam, Gaddafi..
So
I was able to advance my booster by 8 days thru my GP (seeking 1 month)
Due to supply and the number of bookings
I have been able to advance the booster by a further 11 days thru my Pharmacy
So my booster is now at 5 months plus 12 days by my best efforts
Readily available?
Or, to quote Grattan, “botched”?
And just marketing
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/12/18/us/airstrikes-pentagon-records-civilian-deaths.html
The trove of documents — the military’s own confidential assessments of more than 1,300 reports of civilian casualties, obtained by The New York Times — lays bare how the air war has been marked by deeply flawed intelligence, rushed and often imprecise targeting, and the deaths of thousands of civilians, many of them children, a sharp contrast to the American government’s image of war waged by all-seeing drones and precision bombs.
The documents show, too, that despite the Pentagon’s highly codified system for examining civilian casualties, pledges of transparency and accountability have given way to opacity and impunity. In only a handful of cases were the assessments made public. Not a single record provided includes a finding of wrongdoing or disciplinary action. Fewer than a dozen condolence payments were made, even though many survivors were left with disabilities requiring expensive medical care. Documented efforts to identify root causes or lessons learned are rare.
Have just seen the latest juice media honest government ad, i think it was written by P1.
Biiig trouble in paradise folks. The words “breaking” and “promise” have been used…
AOC always manages to give me a little hope for America’s future, which is quite an achievement considering how truly woeful the present and past administrations are and have been.
mexicanbeemer
the only reference I can see to a statue of Thomas Jefferson being removed is the removal of a statue from NY City Hall. That is entirely reasonable if the city council has determined that a public space where elected officials make decisions that affect the lives of ordinary people is not the appropriate place for a statue of someone with an increasingly contested legacy and who enslaved over 600 people through the course of his life.
In a minority-majority city, why should black people be expected to tolerate the presence of a statue of someone, who for them, is not necessarily a uniformly historically positive figure? In any case, the statue has been moved to the New York Historical Society where Jefferson’s historical context can be more appropriately explored.
Given the kinds of people who usually comissioned and paid for statues, one has to ask – are statues really neutral expressions of history, or are they closer to an expression of propaganda? Certainly, if we refuse to interrogate the legacy of individuals so honoured, they run that risk.
Just ask yourself – is Scott Morrison spending $3 million on a statue of James Cook at Botany Bay a neutral expression of Australian history? Why is that appropriate when there are so few statues of indigenous figures or women? I’d suggest to you that Scott Morrison and his party have a certain view of history, and that are other views are unwelcome and illegitimate.
Torchbearer
indeed. One could almost accuse the right of trying to “cancel” the left by using such terms.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/why-religious-lobby-groups-are-fighting-to-keep-schools-power-to-discriminate-20211216-p59i3s.html
Why isn’t the Lobby groups in front of the UN council ? but they did with China ?
Shit-Lite party hacks of PB trying to make a point on political donations
Though trying so hard to never ever discuss it at the same time, because you know
Any wonder Origin gets to frack the channel country and Beetaloo basin, and Shit-Lite supports over a hundred other coal and gas projects
It seems BW has friends in Republican Camp ?
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/tucker-carlson-jesse-kelly-military-women-1273709/
Larse
sprocket has introduced a new KPI for new vaccine rollout.
He says now we are at the back of the queue again regarding vaccine rollout. Another stroll out he says. There is no satisfying this man.
Last time around it we were behind only 38 countries. Now were behind 70 countries. 🙂
”
sprocket_says:
Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 8:05 am
It’s not a race…
Australia could take until well into next year to hit an 80% booster vaccination rate, with the rollout currently ranking almost last out of 70 countries, Guardian analysis shows.
“
The Greens Political Party receives political donations.
But donations to the Greens are good.
And donations to all other parties are bad.
Who knew?
As if to prove the Shit party vs Shit-lite party meme
Here’s the Shit party history on donations
So why would neither Shit party nor Shit-lite party have any interest in discussing donations reform or state capture by fossil fuels interests?
Aqualung @ #146 Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 10:23 am
Try the pharmacy in Victoria St Darlo between the Cross and the hospital, opposite the old church. They’ve got lots. There was a queue of about 30 outside on Friday. Password: JA sent me.
Quoll
Except that Labor supports donation reform.
”
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 8:31 am
Our GP said they just don’t have the vaccines to be able to give anyone a booster! So, call back in the New Year.
”
Same here. Then I went to a Public Health vaccination Centre near me and got my Pfizer booster. There was Moderna vaccine available at a Pharmacy near me. But I choose Pfizer. Now side effects after 3 days other than sore arm on day 2.
Let’s face it. Greens outrage about donations is just Greens sour grapes.
Nobody wants to give the Greens any money because they don’t actually deliver anything.
Bad losers are bad losers.
In breaking news.
ItzaDream @ #174 Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 11:10 am
Thanks Itzadream.
I’m doing 311s this week. Wonder if the passengers will mind if I pop in while they wait 🙂
Who is this guy called Quoll with the coprophagic fixation?
…and, of course, when Graeme Wood made his initial donation, the Greens quickly amended their guidelines so they could accept it.
I think perhaps the juice media comes here and made these for the shitlite brigade that rules the roost:
https://youtu.be/bleyX4oMCgM
https://youtu.be/rnzaiYrvvrw
ItzaDream @ #NaN Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 10:03 am
They don’t quite get that ‘Prisoner of Zenda’ look that way though. 😐
GG
Morrison is a multi-cellular organism.
Pass it on.
WeWantPaul @ #NaN Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 11:25 am
Yes, those uber fake girls with their perfect smiles and perfect teeth. Boy, what they can tell us about the poors! 😐
Probably wouldn’t run across a poor person in their obviously privileged lives. But hey, let’s guffaw at the people who support them. 🙄
Not a surprise that member of the privileged elite himself, WeWantPaul, dredges this stuff up.
zoomster says:
Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 11:21 am
…and, of course, when Graeme Wood made his initial donation, the Greens quickly amended their guidelines so they could accept it.
________
Not that I doubt you but ….. source?
Fulvio Sammut @ #NaN Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 11:21 am
Would you believe it, it’s a woman?
Labor wants donation reform and the Coalition doesn’t. Labor has to work with the current system for now. Unless and until that system is reformed, Labor, within reason, should not be disadvantaging itself by refusing donations. In the meantime, Labor does voluntarily disclose donations above the limit they want.
martini henry @ #164 Sunday, December 19th, 2021 – 10:52 am
I presume you mean this one …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnzaiYrvvrw
I didn’t write it, but I did enjoy it. It is good to see the message is getting out …
“With a hung parliament, it’s not size that matters, it’s how you use it” 🙂
However, this is also true …
“Thank fuck, most of you don’t know how preferential voting works” 🙁
Barnaby doing his very best version of Stanley Kowalski from Cat on a Hot Tin Roof.
Stella!
Or perhaps you meant this one …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bleyX4oMCgM
Oo er! The 2 largest political parties, and parties of government, receive the most political donations! 😯 😆
“Except that Labor supports donation reform.”
***
Labor’s most recent vote in Parliament in relation to donations tells a very different story.
Yup, you guessed it, another case of Labor teaming up with the Coalition to vote against the Greens and crossbench…
https://theyvoteforyou.org.au/divisions/senate/2021-02-04/8
Labor has also switched to small money donations.
Dr Queen Victoria
@Vic_Rollison
·
2h
On Friday night, a 19 year old in Adelaide went to cricket, then went out clubbing. He got text at 10.18pm telling him he had covid. Rather than going home, he stayed out and spent ‘several hours’ at a nightclub, before telling people he was positive. Talk about weakest link 😯
Anthony Albanese
@AlboMP
We have everything we need right here – we just need a government that backs the Australian people.
Kevin Bonham
@kevinbonham
·
1m
Takes quite some skill to come up with a pseph take that is more out on a limb than those of Adam Bandt and Bob Brown but Graeme Wood has managed it with his claim that making SH-Y leader could double the Greens vote!
The Green boosters are panicking after their biggest donor said he is favouring the Teals, until they put someone with communication skills in as leader..
‘In an interview with The Sun-Herald and The Sunday Age, Mr Wood said the Greens needed a “shot in the arm” because its support had not increased since 2010. The party’s vote is still hovering just above 10 per cent and Mr Wood said that could be doubled with the right leader and strategy.
“They just don’t seem to be cutting through enough,” Mr Wood said. “They could double their vote if they had somebody out front really telling the world what they do. Someone like Sarah Hanson-Young is clever, young, and female with opinions – she should be handed the megaphone a bit more often.”
Mr Wood, who made his fortune by starting online travel company Wotif and is now an investor and philanthropist, said he had not been in touch with the Greens for some time. His last donation was in 2019 and while he did not rule out donating to them ahead of the election, he said he was “more attracted” to the growing movement of independents such as Warringah MP Zali Steggall.
“The independents are the new wave,” Mr Wood said. “They’re our best hope of reshaping Federal Parliament and reshaping the direction the country’s … just sort of lumbering into.”’
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/greens-all-time-top-donor-considers-switch-to-climate-independents-20211215-p59hov.html