Roy Morgan has unveiled its unpredictably timed fortnightly federal voting intention poll, which on this occasion shows Labor leading 54-46 – up from 52.5-47.5 a fortnight ago, and almost back to the 54.5-45.5 result in the poll before that. Both major parties are on 36% of the primary vote, which entails a three-and-a-half point drop for the Coalition and a one point increase for Labor. With the Greens down half a point to 12.5%, this makes room for an increase in the independents/others category that has been a pattern of recent polling, in this case gaining one-and-a-half points to 12%. One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%.
The state two-party breakdowns show Labor leading 53.5-46.5 in New South Wales, for a swing of 5.3%; 56-44 in Victoria, a swing of 2.9%; 54.5-45.5 in Western Australia, a swing of 10.1%; 58.5-41.5 in South Australia, a swing of 7.8%; and 52-48 in Tasmania, a swing to the Coalition of 4.0%, though here the sample gets very small indeed. The Coalition leads only in Queensland, by 52.5-47.5, a swing to Labor of 5.9%. The poll was conducted over the past two weekends from a sample of 2752.
Also out this week was the regular fortnightly survey from Essential Research, which does not on this occasion feature the monthly leadership ratings (we are also about due for its roughly quarterly dump of voting intention results). The poll tackles the nuclear submarines issue and related matters, finding 45% believe the deal will make Australia more secure, 36% that it will not affect Australia’s security, and 19% that it will make Australia less secure. Further questions find respondents taking a benign view of the issue generally, and also surprisingly (to me at least) towards nuclear power: 50% say they would support it for electricity generation with 32% opposed.
The poll also has the regular fortnightly questions on federal and state government responses to COVID-19 management, which give the federal government its best numbers since July: good up two points to 45%, poor down five to 30%. The good ratings for the state governments, in descending order of reliability due to diminishing sample sizes, are 53% for New South Wales, up seven; 44% for Victoria, down six; 62% for Queensland, down three; 82% for Western Australia, down five; and 55% for South Australia, down twelve. The latter result is that government’s weakest so far, but here the error bars are particularly wide. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1094.
DisplayName @ #1342 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 8:05 pm
He never does. He’s been asked to do it multiple times and he just ignores people’s requests and keeps doing it that way, oblivious.
‘mikehilliard says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 8:02 pm
The only good contribution Tim Wilson has made to the best of my knowledge is support for SSM.
This not so much.’
______________________
Born-to-rule frat boy? A gift to the people?
When Paul Farrell asked GladysB about the Wagga $5.5m clay pigeon shooting grant at one of her 11am Covid pressers, she said ‘don’t disrespect this press conference’.
And she did this – the only time such a tell was displayed…
https://twitter.com/imprettybitter/status/1443770182778830851?s=21
The opinion of two journalists of integrity (the real stuff, not the stuff Berejiklian tries to cover herself in as a figleaf for her alleged corrupt practices):
Barrie Cassidy
@barriecassidy
Watching the ABC you would think the NSW Premier has just been struck down by poor health. Would somebody give us a backgrounder on what is alleged against her.
Nick Feik
@NickFeik
There’s a very real undertone to a lot of the responses to Berejiklian’s resignation: what’s a little corruption, really?
WB,
I have already posted that I pay $30 a month and have done so for a few years now. So, no wow there.
You have also acknowledged that I have made extra payments over the odds at times. So thank you for that.
It’s a truism that no good deed ever goes unpunished.
The truth is that my motivation in revealing my contribution is all about giving other posters a standard for what I regard as reasonable in my circumstances. Others can disagree.
People should contribute to what they are able and the amount of their contribution to your site is a matter of conscience.
The only prime minister/LOTO who has even come close to Morrison when it comes to speaking gibberish is Abbott.
There are times when it is impossible even to guess what Morrison means…. uless Morrison means to mean nothing.
Some news on the long term future of Covid.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/10/01/pill-to-treat-covid/
boerwar
Maybe the intent is for people to read what they want into it. Everyone gets something.
DM
No worries.
I had been a bit of a sea peoples fan for quite a while.
I just love the way in which if enough archaeology gets done the patterns emerge.
‘DisplayName says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 8:12 pm
boerwar
There are times when it is impossible even to guess what Morrison means…. uless Morrison means to mean nothing.
Maybe the intent is for people to read what they want into it. Everyone gets something.’
______________________
There is no point.
Gibberish: ‘unintelligible or meaningless speech or writing; nonsense’
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=gibberish+definition
Loris
SA MPs voted unanimously to restrict ICAC investigations into cases of serious breach of a Code of Conduct.
Of course politicians in SA don’t have a Code of Conduct which is very convenient for them.
Remember the carry on when a dozen NSW Liberal MPs were found to have taken illegal donations from developers?
The Liberals have this new kind of underprivileged class: the crooks are the victims and the people they steal from are supposed to feel sorry for the crooks while the people the crooks ladle the loot out to just happened to be in the way when they were showered with taxpayer funds for no good reason at all.
Roy Orbison @ #1345 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 8:06 pm
I was going to say that but I thought I’d get pizzled for not being true to my gender or whatever else the moderator likes to chew me out for when he feels like it. 😉
‘sprocket_ says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 8:08 pm
When Paul Farrell asked GladysB about the Wagga $5.5m clay pigeon shooting grant at one of her 11am Covid pressers, she said ‘don’t disrespect this press conference’.
….’
_____________________________
I remember thinking that if she gets away with that she’ll get away with anything.
Steelydan:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 7:45 pm
Mavis:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 7:31 pm
So Aunty’s joined the conga line – quite pathetic. I’m unsure of why Berejyklian engenders so much public empathy. And while she may’ve been an effective premier, it’s alleged she used her position to enrich a sporting club in Wagga with close ties and at the apparent behest of then boyfriend. This negates the good she may’ve done. It’s a breach of trust of the highest order.
[‘This is the sort of thinking that makes millions not want a federal ICAC all you need is an investigation and your guilty.’]
You’ll note that I used the word “alleged”. Politicians of all persuasions spend their waking hours avoiding scrutiny, mostly from an impertinent 4th Estate, thus creating the need for a corruption commission.
The ICAC is not prosecutorial; it’s investigative, meaning that if it recommends charges, it’s the courts that determine innocence of guilt. Polling indicates that there’s strong support for a federal ICAC – which doesn’t quite gell with your claim.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/03/eighty-one-per-cent-of-australian-voters-want-a-federal-icac-guardian-essential-poll-shows
So how many Pentecostal Maaaates are in Morrison’s Cabinet now?
A thousand yard stare?
Payne is reviled in certain right Right quarters for not saying enough in public, for not selling her brief, for not building a constituency for reform, for strategy or for the Government’s position.
I reckon they’re on the money.
Friendly Jordies cracks open the champagne.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJBNX2Vzdrk&t=6s
https://youtu.be/ndKMfOAbVWY
Enjoyed this. Throwback to 1999, Albo standing up for his beloved Rabbitohs.
Guytuar prompted me to look up progress on these mooted anti-viral pills.
And it appears that the much maligned Big Pharma might be onto what we really want to see – an effective way out of this pandemic. Along with the vaccines, a quick and easy treatment when you catch it..
‘The drug maker Merck said on Friday that it would seek authorization for the first antiviral pill for Covid after its drug, known as molnupiravir, was shown in a clinical trial to cut the risk of hospitalization or death in half when given to high-risk people early in their infections.
The treatment could become the first in a wave of antiviral pill products, which experts say could offer a powerful new tool in efforts to tame the pandemic, as they could reach more people than the antibody treatments that are being widely used in the United States for similar patients.
“I think it will translate into many thousands of lives being saved worldwide, where there’s less access to monoclonal antibodies, and in this country, too,” said Dr. Robert Shafer, an infectious disease specialist and expert on antiviral therapy at Stanford University.
Late-stage study results of two other antiviral pills, one developed by Pfizer and the other by Atea Pharmaceuticals and Roche, are expected within the next few months.
The Merck drug, which is designed to stop the coronavirus from replicating, is to be taken as four capsules twice a day for five days.
Merck said an independent board of experts monitoring its study data had recommended that its trial be stopped early because the drug’s benefit to patients had proved so convincing. The company said that the Food and Drug Administration had agreed with that decision.’
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/10/01/world/covid-delta-variant-vaccines
I see that the NSW minister for the environment has a plan to get the Kozzie horses down from 14,000 back down to 3,000 horses.
That is 3,000 feral animals too many but it is better than 14,000 horses.
The plan specifies that aerial shooting – the cheapest and most efficient way to knock off 11,000 horses will not be allowed. Instead there will be horsey round ups and pacific traps and euthanasia in yards. Costs a motsa and the opportunity cost in a state which is generating more and more endangered species… well, who gives a fuck? Not Gladys.
The plan is an exposure plan and while the plan is being exposed, 14,000 horses are going around making more and more horses.
‘All we did was provide information based on the representations made to us.’
Morrison doing bullshit gibberish about his role in the sports grants corruption.
poroti
Love the Wil-E Coyote clip 🙂
Vaccine rollout
NSW
65.2% fully vaccinated; 87.7% first dose
National
55.1% fully vaccinated; 78.5% first dose
Of the estimated population aged 16 and over
– SMH
BW,
My Oh is a mad keen amateur forensic paleoanthropologist, and I really enjoy ancient history, especially the studies into collapse of civilizations, ever since my grandmother gave 5yo me a book on…the sea peoples!
Whatever else people think about Gladys how can it possibly be appropriate for her to imply that ICAC’s timing was inappropriate, or as some journalists have suggested, politically motivated?
ICAC’s premise, is that there is sufficient evidence to support an investigation into the conduct of the NSW Premier. Whether ICAC ultimately makes adverse findings or exonerates her, the idea that ICAC should blithely sit by and defer its investigation to some uncertain point in the future that would be more convenient seems extraordinary to me. Any credible integrity question relating to the State’s most senior politician surely needs to be interrogated as a matter of highest priority.
Then there’s this idea that Gladys was compelled by big bad ICAC to resign because, for reasons unspecified, if she merely stood aside, the management of the pandemic would be compromised. How? Why?
The whole thing seems utterly disingenuous.
No no, it wasn’t a book it was in this set: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1227053.Childcraft
Dandy
‘Dandy Murray says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 8:39 pm
BW,
My Oh is a mad keen amateur forensic paleoanthropologist, and I really enjoy ancient history, especially the studies into collapse of civilizations, ever since my grandmother gave 5yo me a book on…the sea peoples!’
——————-
How does one get to do amateur forensic paleoanthropology without getting arrested? Or should one not ask?
Dandy Murray @ #1376 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 8:09 pm
Just in case you didn’t see this YouTube channel I posted the other day.
https://www.youtube.com/c/FallofCivilizationsPodcast/videos
JM
Yep. Saw it. Have been dipping into since. Love it. Thanks.
Commissioner McColl has a thousand yard stare.
So JM is to blame. I saw Boerwar’s post just before bed the other night and started watching it and watching ……..until far too late. 😆
Kate McClymont Retweeted
E P Conrad
@altimetr
Replying to
@Kate_McClymont
and
@GladysB
“Don’t cry for me, Wagga Clay Shooters”
Half watching commercial TV while looking at PB and the weather forecasting models. That bumptious, moronic buffoon Craig Kelly leaps onto the screen every ad break.
guytaur @ #897 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 11:08 am
And you’d trust the current Government to establish one with the appropriate levels of scrutiny?
Boerwar @ #1382 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 8:26 pm
Cheers. It is so well done.
Though my post just above was directed to DM.
poroti @ #1384 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 8:29 pm
We may have a little confusion here.
BW posted the 1117BC collapse lecture, which I have watched a couple of times before and is very good, and is on my watch again list.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRcu-ysocX4
In response I posted the Fall of Civilizations channel.
The voice of FoC’s narrator is so smooth and relaxing it is blissfully soporific at times.
This article originally from the Rupertarium is pretty blunt re Binchook.
NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian is popular and well-liked, so her resignation is sad – but don’t cry for her
news.com.au
By: Shannon Molloy
……………………Well, for starters, Berejiklian hasn’t been forced out of anything.
This is a catastrophic outcome entirely of her own making and any attempt by her or her supporters to spin it otherwise should be ignored.
These are the facts.No matter how much you like a politician, or how lovely they seem, or whether we’re in a crisis, any legitimate question of a breach of your trust must be answered………..Don’t cry for Berejiklian.
………………………….In her final act as leader of the state, Berejiklian has attempted to undermine the independent corruption watchdog by painting it as the big, bad wolf and she as the little lamb.
You, upset as you might be, are the lamb.
ICAC is the strong fence that separates the predators from the defenceless sitting ducks, and without it, make no mistake, they would eat you without second thought.
Politicians, no matter how nice they are, they are the wolves.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/analysis-nsw-premier-gladys-berejiklian-is-popular-and-well-liked-so-her-resignation-is-sad-but-dont-cry-for-her/UNU7KJFEMTHH5V5YE4WQYHYD6Q/
poroti @ #915 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 11:14 am
Maybe she was the Messiah!
She saved others, but couldn’t save herself.
JM
Right, so you are not to ‘blame’ then 🙂
Barney
The Greens ICAC proposal has passed the Senate. Labor voted for it.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #1390 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 9:20 pm
The Devil’s Advocate inquires whether or not her dad arranged to have her nailed to a tree?
“The Independent Commission Against Corruption doesn’t stuff about. Its decisions are precise – clinical really – and made only after a meticulous examination of the facts.”
This is a little bit over the top. It has kind of stuffed about with the Maguire proceedings being split, substantially unresolved and without an end in sight after 3 years.
It seems the Mighty SMH has anointed Perrotet as next Premier, without offering the slightest scintilla of evidence as to that possibility.
“Emotional”? If today’s performance from Gladys was “emotional” then I’m a monkey’s uncle (and I ain’t no chimpanzee).
guytaur @ #1392 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 7:21 pm
So?
It was never going to pass the House.
You have heard what the Government considers a federal ICAC should look like?
Steve777 @ #1385 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 9:16 pm
You left out, shameless.
Maybe she was the Messiah!
No, we’re being asked to accept that she was just a naughty little girl. 😐
No sympathy for the binchicken from my POV.
She can FRO as far as I am concerned.
She governed for the northern beaches and that was pretty much that.
The rest of the state was mere bagatelle as far as she was concerned. Not her concern, labor seats and all that.
Like the rest of these stupid Tories she had no real clue about the other 50% of this state.
Privatise everything, value nothing is their motto.
She can burn in hell, or alternatively find a cosy sinecure at NAB, Macquarie Bank like her other disgraced colleagues.
Charlatans the lot of them.
Just putting this out there 🙂
https://content.app-us1.com/EkLAg/2021/09/29/e7c10bd7-d219-407c-8309-ef8bcbb2dcc4.jpeg