Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10

Another poll finds Scott Morrison’s personal ratings on a downward trajectory, but still very little in it on voting intention.

The Age/Herald yesterday brought us the third result in its monthly federal polling series from Resolve Strategic, which had the Coalition on 40% (up one), Labor on 36% (up one), the Greens on 10% (down two) and One Nation on 3% (up one). This series doesn’t provide a published two-party result, but based on the last election this suggests a Labor lead of 50.5-49.5, down from around 51-49 last time. Scott Morrison has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down five on approval to 48% and up two on disapproval to 40%, while Anthony Albanese is down a point on both, to 31% and 44% respectively. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 46-23, unchanged in magnitude from 48-25 last time.

Full results from the poll, which was conducted last Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1600, can be viewed here. This includes the poll’s usual results for leader attributes and best party to handle various issues, as well as breakdowns for all major questions by region and gender. After last month’s poll unusually found Labor doing better in New South Wales than Victoria, this result reverts to normal. The pollster has also been up and down in its gender breakdowns, having found Labor doing better among women in the second poll a month ago, but little gender gap in the first poll and the third.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,521 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10”

Comments Page 47 of 51
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  1. Cud Chewer @ #2292 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Yabba

    Possibly the best exposition of Goedel’s Incompleteness theorem – and a host of other issues including conscious awareness and AI.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del,_Escher,_Bach

    My brother bought me this when I was a teenager. I’d rate it in my top 5 books. It had a profound impact on me and further fostered my interest in the problem of other minds – awareness/consciousness in other animals. As well as my love for AI.

    Cud, likewise one of my favourite books. I came across it in 1980, in Dymocks, when looking for a Bach biography. I gather my original hardback is now worth hundreds. It is in the bookcase in my bedroom. I dive into the CGAT chapters every now and a gain for amusement and mental stimulation. It is a superbly constructed intellectual tour de force.

  2. N @ #1180 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:11 pm

    Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:02 pm
    Lefty_e @ #1168 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:56 pm

    I see Sir Peta Credlin and Dame Alan Jones will be fronting a new Sky program for regional Australia.

    Should provide some much needed balance :O

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2021/jun/16/sky-news-to-launch-dedicated-regional-australia-channel

    Trying to target the 4.5% Country party vote that is holding the rest of Australia to ransom with their extremist rubbish that every other country is moving away from.

    Really, this is about appropriating Australian Romanticism for political purposes. Romanticism often has reactionary dimensions – the throwing of a warm glow over the imagined past. The (usually male) settler/miner/soldier will be purified and exalted. The Shooters and ON, the Nationals, most of the Liberals identify with these values. They once were Labor values too…but no longer. Labor is post-Romantic, whereas many voters are still imbued with it.

    The threat to Romantic values is one of the reasons reactionary parties are doing so well.

    Fine. Remove all the ag & mining subsidies and assistance and go back to using horse and plough. That’s romance ..!

  3. Yabba says:

    Cud, likewise one of my favourite books. I came across it in 1980, in Dymocks, when looking for a Bach biography.
    _________________
    Don’t lie you were looking for comic books.

  4. One interesting experience when travelling to many countries is visiting museums.

    Mexicanbeemer @ #2300 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 12:13 pm

    C@T
    LOL that photo is so fake with the two laying face down but their shoes are facing up and the work gear is spotless.

    Take a closer look, they’re wearing hoodies and face masks.

  5. Barney
    If you look at their bodies.
    The guy closet to the camera looks like his body is twisted and looks to be laying face down with his fingers pointing up showing the tips of his fingers.

  6. N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

  7. Sky after dark will be seen in a lot more than the National Party heartland.

    (from the Guardian article) Sky News Regional will be broadcast on channel 56 in 17 of SCA’s regional markets across Victoria, southern NSW and Queensland, including Cairns, Townsville, Sunshine Coast, Canberra, Wollongong, Wagga Wagga, Orange, Bendigo and Ballarat.

    It will also be available on Win’s channel 53 in northern NSW and on channel 83 in Griffith, NSW and South Australia.

    However I’m not sure if that means its reach will be greater than the current coverage. The WIN network (including in Canberra) currently carries Sky on one of its channels that is not used by the Ten network.

    From 1 July the WIN network will be aligned with Nine and there will generally be no spare channel for Sky. I haven’t seen where Ten goes then (OH will be outraged if Masterchef disappears!) However I’m assuming Ten will move to Southern Cross Austereo (SCA) which would give Sky the spare channel mentioned by the Guardian.

    So the upshot is probably that the ‘characters’ on Sky after dark will continue to be seen outside the state capital cities on a different network. As for any change in the number of viewers, who knows?

  8. Recon @ #2303 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:19 pm

    Yabba says:

    Cud, likewise one of my favourite books. I came across it in 1980, in Dymocks, when looking for a Bach biography.
    _________________
    Don’t lie you were looking for comic books.

    We are not all like you, Anathema.

    This week, in our recorder consort, we have been playing Bach’s Contrapunctus I and IX from ‘The art of the Fugue’. IX especially is technically demanding. I recommend that you listen to it to see if you can begin to understand that other people are able to find interests different to comic books, unlike yourself.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B9dc2ite_i4

    I play the little one.

    Well chosen name, by the way, Anathema.

  9. Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    It’s a reprise of “The Young Ones” with the cast consisting entirely of Neil

  10. Player One @ #2196 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 11:11 am

    Steve777 @ #2178 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 10:37 am

    The question is why isn’t Labor?

    Labor is decrying the slow pace of the vaccine rollout and its general incompetence, in Facebook, for example. However, the Daily and National Ruperts, Channels 9 and 7, Former Fairfax and the ABC are either not reporting it or going very low key. An “interesting” contrast to reporting of the Home Insulation Program back in the Gillard era.

    Labor seems to have forgotten that if you want your comments to be reported, you have to actually take a risk and say say them in a way that is worth reporting.

    Just decrying the government for general incompetence is not really very newsworthy, is it?

    Bingo P1.

  11. Yabba @ #2177 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:34 pm

    Recon @ #2303 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:19 pm

    Yabba says:

    Cud, likewise one of my favourite books. I came across it in 1980, in Dymocks, when looking for a Bach biography.
    _________________
    Don’t lie you were looking for comic books.

    We are not all like you, Anathema.

    This week, in our recorder consort, we have been playing Bach’s Contrapunctus I and IX from ‘The art of the Fugue’. IX especially is technically demanding. I recommend that you listen to it to see if you can begin to understand that other people are able to find interests different to comic books, unlike yourself.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B9dc2ite_i4

    I play the little one.

    Well chosen name, by the way, Anathema.

    Fabulous intonation.
    Great projection and presence from the bass rec. which is notoriously difficult to balance in ensemble.
    Good post. Don’t know this group. Will look ’em up.

  12. Yabba @ #2186 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:49 pm

    Recon @ #2312 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:39 pm

    Yabba says:

    This week, in our recorder consort….
    __________________
    Laugh? I nearly shit myself.

    Only nearly? That must have been a pleasant change for your carers.
    Keep it up!

    Click to Edit – <b>Recon</b> @ <a href='https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/06/16/resolve-strategic-coalition-40-labor-36-greens-10/comment-page-47/#comment-3629590&#039; title='1624163961000'>#2312 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:39 pm</a>

    <blockquote>Yabba says:

    This week, in our recorder consort….
    __________________
    Laugh? I nearly shit myself.</blockquote>

    Only nearly? That must have been a pleasant change for your carers.
    Keep it up!SaveCancelDelete

    Gold.

  13. I suppose if I lose interest in sex, drugs, rock and roll, travel and literature I might take up medieval wind instruments.

  14. Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:26 pm
    N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    Lol. Quite a lot, considering. I can’t help seeing things as they are. Perhaps I should confine my remarks to highly refined, 24-carat optimism. Consider the record, Spray. Consider it and tell me I’m mistaken.

  15. Spray @ #1241 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:26 pm

    N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    He’s practising for the WA Labor version of Waiting For Godot.
    It’s called Waiting For Federal Government.

  16. N @ #2323 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:56 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:26 pm
    N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    Lol. Quite a lot, considering. I can’t help seeing things as they are. Perhaps I should confine my remarks to highly refined, 24-carat optimism. Consider the record, Spray. Consider it and tell me I’m mistaken.

    No, you’re not mistaken, based on the recent past. But the tide does turn eventually doesn’t it?

    For the first quarter of my life I saw nothing but a movement towards a more progressive society, and assumed that was how things would continue to flow. But they didn’t, and evil bastards like Howard sniffed the breeze and capitalised politically. The progressive movement has hit a few hurdles (and cleared a few), but these too will pass.

    The trick is to live long enough to see what happens next. Optimism helps. Enjoy those parties.

  17. C@tmomma @ #2324 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 3:00 pm

    Spray @ #1241 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:26 pm

    N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    He’s practising for the WA Labor version of Waiting For Godot.
    It’s called Waiting For Federal Government.

    I’ve lived most of my life in WA. A Federal election win for Labor, driven by seats won in WA, would be a thing of beauty. It’s always been a fanciful notion (since Hawke at least), but maybe the McGowan factor might help? Frankly I have no idea, but at least Labor isn’t a dirty word over there any more.

  18. Recon @ #2321 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:52 pm

    I suppose if I lose interest in sex, drugs, rock and roll, travel and literature I might take up medieval wind instruments.

    I couldn’t give a flying fuck what you do, but I do wish that you would find somewhere else to shit yourself.

    I have been playing said woodwind instrument since I was 4 years old. It is less mediæval than a guitar or violin, not that mediævality is a problem. Give me Charpentier or Frescobaldi over Tommy James & The Shondells any day.

  19. I’ve lived most of my life in WA. A Federal election win for Labor, driven by seats won in WA, would be a thing of beauty. It’s always been a fanciful notion (since Hawke at least), but maybe the McGowan factor might help? Frankly I have no idea, but at least Labor isn’t a dirty word over there any more.

    I lived in WA for 15 years myself. It took WA a long time to get over Brain Bourke and trust State Labor again. Hopefully federal Labor will be next?

  20. Spray

    but at least Labor isn’t a dirty word over there any more.

    Thank Dog that W.A. Inc. is well and truly dead buried and cremated.

  21. Reminds me of the 80s and the first generation of electronic keyboards.

    A conversation my dad had with his friend’s wife on arrival.

    So where is xyz..?
    He’s downstairs, playing with his organ.

  22. Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 3:10 pm
    N @ #2323 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:56 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:26 pm
    N @ #2294 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:03 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm
    N @ #2286 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 1:51 pm

    Spray says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 1:46 pm

    …..to be laid to rest in the Republic of Australia, that’d do me.

    Sadly, there’s nothing like a majority constituency for even the most minimal constitutional change. The adoption of a Republic in either form or substance seems very remote. The monarchic/reactionaries would have a field day opposing substantive changes. They profit from opposing even comparatively trivial ideas, such as changes to the flag or the anthem.

    We live in a reactionary principality.
    Agree N, but when things start to happen….what’s that old quote?

    “Events, dear boy, events….”.

    In LNP-land, there are no events. Nothing has ever happened. Nothing is happening now. Nothing will ever happen. We are in a time pit – a hole into which history has fallen – in this country.

    Geez N, do you get invited to a lot of parties these days?

    Lol. Quite a lot, considering. I can’t help seeing things as they are. Perhaps I should confine my remarks to highly refined, 24-carat optimism. Consider the record, Spray. Consider it and tell me I’m mistaken.
    No, you’re not mistaken, based on the recent past. But the tide does turn eventually doesn’t it?

    For the first quarter of my life I saw nothing but a movement towards a more progressive society, and assumed that was how things would continue to flow. But they didn’t, and evil bastards like Howard sniffed the breeze and capitalised politically. The progressive movement has hit a few hurdles (and cleared a few), but these too will pass.

    The trick is to live long enough to see what happens next. Optimism helps. Enjoy those parties.

    Cheers, Spray. I’m with you on the 1st quarter. We’ve been kicking into a cold wind ever since….

  23. Yabba @ #2297 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:05 pm

    I’ll take it that you didn’t like the piece, then.

    I didn’t bother with it. Do you often feel a need to revisit your undergraduate studies? Didn’t you understand them the first time around?

    Did you study exponential vs linear equations at uni too?

    No, high school. You were no doubt too busy dating.

  24. poroti @ #2331 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 3:24 pm

    Spray

    but at least Labor isn’t a dirty word over there any more.

    Thank Dog that W.A. Inc. is well and truly dead buried and cremated.

    It’s like I said Poroti, the trick is to live long enough. Maybe we’ll see the day when the NSW ALP can shed the stink of Obeid and co.

  25. Player One @ #2334 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 3:52 pm

    Yabba @ #2297 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 2:05 pm

    I’ll take it that you didn’t like the piece, then.

    I didn’t bother with it. Do you often feel a need to revisit your undergraduate studies? Didn’t you understand them the first time around?

    Did you study exponential vs linear equations at uni too?

    No, high school. You were no doubt too busy dating.

    I have made a very nice living as an operations research modeller for many tens of years, and still do. Look up what that is.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operations_research

  26. Visited my Mum in her aged care facility today. She’s still waiting for her Covid jab, as she was in hospital when they came around, back in March-April. (Too infirm for us to take her out now.)Asked three carers if they’d had vax. No. @GregHuntMP Have we learnt nothing?— The Cathy Wilcox (@cathywilcox1) June 20, 2021

    How is this still happening ??

  27. Is there nothing happening in the world today except a little sport? Perhaps we’re all bunkered down against the virus?

  28. William, please publish this and make sure Zoomster sees it when she is here next. Thanks.

    ***

    Dear Zoomster/Zuvele,

    I would like to apologise to you for the case of mistaken identity that occurred awhile ago.

    After being the target of personal abuse, I incorrectly claimed that you were someone called Helen and that you were the source of the attacks against me.

    Even though I have already corrected the record on multiple occasions, I would like to formally apologise to you in this manner in the hope that we can put it behind us.

    While making this apology, I feel that it is important to point out that I certainly was the target of personal abuse and that I was right to stand up to it. In fact, I found doing so to be a very empowering experience.

    However, I do regret mistaking you for someone else, which is why I am offering you this apology. You were not the source of the personal attacks against me and should not bear responsibility for the wrongdoings of others.

    As you know, I am someone who places high value in the truth, which is why I have previously corrected the record after realising my mistake and why I am formally apologising to you now.

    I offer you this apology freely, without coercion, and without qualification.

    I am sorry.

    Yours sincerely,
    -Firefox/Theo

  29. Dear Firefox/Theo

    Apology accepted.

    I can understand that, having made the initial mistake, how outraged you must have been when you thought I was denying all knowledge of the events you referred to, which obviously hurt you deeply.

    Like you, I value the truth.

    I will also, always, defend my reputation.

    Thank you.

  30. Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne says she doesn’t want to comment on the rumoured defection to the United States of a senior Chinese spy but has urged Beijing to fully comply with the next phase of the investigation into the origins of COVID-19.

    Chinese vice-minister of State Security, Dong Jingwei, has reportedly defected to the US and given information about the Wuhan Institute of Virology which is at the centre of the COVID-19 lab leak theory.
    Rumours are flying that Dong Jingwei may have flown to the US from Hong Kong in February.

    Dong was responsible for China’s counter-intelligence activities and if the reports are true, it would be the highest-level defection in the history of the People’s Republic of China.

    The rumour of the defection has been spreading on Chinese language media and Twitter in recent days, which included reports that Dong fled to the US via Hong Kong with his daughter in February.

  31. Player One @ #2341 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 4:26 pm

    Yabba @ #2338 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 4:04 pm

    You were no doubt too busy dating.

    I have made a very nice living as an operations research modeller for many tens of years, and still do.

    So, not a success on the dating front either?

    Brilliant! I am shattered! You win. Your fractional wit and boundless self-belief overcome all setbacks, even your staggering ignorance. You and anathema make a delightful pair. He has lots of shit to spare, and you provide the vomit.

  32. lizzie @ #1273 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 4:20 pm

    Is there nothing happening in the world today except a little sport? Perhaps we’re all bunkered down against the virus?

    I just heard that the Justice department in the US are working towards charging Donald Trump and others in Congress with Inciting an Insurrection. That’s kinda ‘happening’. 🙂

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