Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10

Another poll finds Scott Morrison’s personal ratings on a downward trajectory, but still very little in it on voting intention.

The Age/Herald yesterday brought us the third result in its monthly federal polling series from Resolve Strategic, which had the Coalition on 40% (up one), Labor on 36% (up one), the Greens on 10% (down two) and One Nation on 3% (up one). This series doesn’t provide a published two-party result, but based on the last election this suggests a Labor lead of 50.5-49.5, down from around 51-49 last time. Scott Morrison has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down five on approval to 48% and up two on disapproval to 40%, while Anthony Albanese is down a point on both, to 31% and 44% respectively. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 46-23, unchanged in magnitude from 48-25 last time.

Full results from the poll, which was conducted last Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1600, can be viewed here. This includes the poll’s usual results for leader attributes and best party to handle various issues, as well as breakdowns for all major questions by region and gender. After last month’s poll unusually found Labor doing better in New South Wales than Victoria, this result reverts to normal. The pollster has also been up and down in its gender breakdowns, having found Labor doing better among women in the second poll a month ago, but little gender gap in the first poll and the third.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,521 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10”

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  1. Bushfire Bill says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 10:35 pm

    Loosen up, Recon. Who really gives as toss what school Guy Pearce went to?

    Name 1 person (besides yourself).
    ____________
    It affects the realism of the show. He sounds like a private school boy giving out beatings. Actors are chameleons and Pearce is a fine actor but one thing actors struggle in is crossing the class divide.

    An infinitely better show is Mr Inbetween on Foxtel. Or for a retro experience, Blue Murder, or the two amazing ABC series on Melbourne crime in the 80s, Janus and Phoenix.

  2. No, actually, south I think I’ll go and read, ‘What Happened to the Intellectual Dark Web’ on Arc Digital. Ttfn. Have fun playing in the sand pit with mundo and Player One and sticking pins in your Albo doll. 🙂

  3. steve davis says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 9:02 pm

    “Wonder if Joyce and Morrison get on together? Hardly see them together anywhere.”

    Ones the PM and the other is a backbencher. That’s pretty normal.

  4. Speaking about class and acting. Michael Caine only got the role of a British officer in Zulu because the director was American. Caine admitted than an English director would never have dreamed of casting a cockney as an Officer in a Regiment.

  5. Tomorrow is the Winter Solstice (1:32 PM AEST, 21/6/2021), the shortest day of the year. From the day after tomorrow, the days start getting longer, ever so slowly at first, just a few extra seconds per day. Although it will be colder in July, the slow climb back to Summer is about to begin.

  6. steve davis says:
    Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 11:13 pm

    You obviously have not had much to do with the lives of Ministers let alone a PM. Unless he is a close friend he’d be lucky to get a phone call unless there’s a specific reason.

  7. Steve777 @ #2510 Sunday, June 20th, 2021 – 9:15 pm

    Tomorrow is the Winter Solstice (1:32 PM AEST, 21/6/2021), the shortest day of the year. From the day after tomorrow, the days start getting longer, ever so slowly at first, just a few extra seconds per day. Although it will be colder in July, the slow climb back to Summer is about to begin.

    Only 11 hours and 50 minutes of daylight tomorrow.

    At least it’s getting longer now, only 6 months until 12 hours and 10 minutes of daylight. 😆

  8. Buce
    I wouldnt want much to do with their lives either. Most of them couldnt lie straight in bed. Bloody Judases.

  9. Steve777
    Good. I need to shed these winter pounds. Happens every year.
    1st surf for ages this morning and wettie was bursting at the seams.
    New fitness program starting tomorrow. A 5k walk and 25 burpees a day leading up to my Qld holiday in Sept.

  10. Dead man walking towards end of the road
    Michael McCormack is finished as Nationals leader and Deputy Prime Minister. Citing Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership difficulties is not an argument. It’s a concession.

    Denis Shanahan.

  11. Regarding the other kind of counting in politics, this is interesting from a well informed source:

    “ Samantha Maiden@samanthamaiden.52m
    Anyway I reckon I can count to 10 votes for
    @BarnabyJoyceLNP
    – he needs 11. Let’s see what happens tmw!”

  12. If people on the north shore of Sydney have to endure a lockdown for more than 7 days. I think the tide will turn.”

    The People of North Shore Sydney will continue to vote for the Liberal Party until thy kingdom come, so its not going to make a difference if Gladys locks them down, nor to her federal colleagues.

  13. Technically we elect representatives and not political parties
    —————-
    Sorry david, I moved away from the thread.
    Yes, I think we discussed this some years ago. If we could turn that technical point into something real it would be a significant change for the better. That we have so little floor crossing is a shame.

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